feist
total..................miafla under
personal best............w.mich, washington
platinum........................tenn over
inner circle..................marshall
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cokin
big shot...............penn st
total.......................nwestern under, bgreen under
window........................cal
under the hat..................ohio st, okla st
spreitzer
10* total..............cincy under
5* total............sanjose over
ko....................oregon
tko sec shocker gom........miss
tko..............iowa
tko..............mich
total..................miafla under
personal best............w.mich, washington
platinum........................tenn over
inner circle..................marshall
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cokin
big shot...............penn st
total.......................nwestern under, bgreen under
window........................cal
under the hat..................ohio st, okla st
spreitzer
10* total..............cincy under
5* total............sanjose over
ko....................oregon
tko sec shocker gom........miss
tko..............iowa
tko..............mich
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coverthenumber
Josh Daniels 7* 7 UNIT SATURDAY SHOCKER
Marshall @ West Virgina
Marshall +15
In our 7 unit big play for Saturday we are taking Marshall +15. In a rainy day in Morgantwon expect the game to be played between the 30's. West Virgina's "spread" offense will not be able to get their offense going in the pouring down rain on Saturday. Take the Wisconson game out of the picture, then Marshall has only givin up an average of 125 yards on the ground. And with Pat White un-ableness to be a throwing quarterback, Marshall will stack the box making it hard to run. Take Marshall and the points in our 7 Unit play!
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Josh Daniels 7* 7 UNIT SATURDAY SHOCKER
Marshall @ West Virgina
Marshall +15
In our 7 unit big play for Saturday we are taking Marshall +15. In a rainy day in Morgantwon expect the game to be played between the 30's. West Virgina's "spread" offense will not be able to get their offense going in the pouring down rain on Saturday. Take the Wisconson game out of the picture, then Marshall has only givin up an average of 125 yards on the ground. And with Pat White un-ableness to be a throwing quarterback, Marshall will stack the box making it hard to run. Take Marshall and the points in our 7 Unit play!
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Rockboxsports
4 STAR PLAY: OREGON -21.5 @ WASHINGTON STATE
We think the public hasn't figured out quite yet how truly bad this Washington State team is. This is not your typical Pac-10 last place team that plays tough at home from time to time and covers some spreads against the top programs. This year's Washington State team is way over its head in the Pac-10 with a first year coach and a redshirt Freshman quarterback making his first career start. It's true that Oregon is down to its third and fourth string QB's as well, but the Ducks have far greater depth. They may start a freshman of their own in this game, but that freshman will likely be Darren Turner, who looked great last week coming off the bench and nearly leading the Ducks to victory after being down 24 at the start of the fourth quarter. Last week's surprising home loss to Boise will ensure that the Ducks are not looking past the Cougars in this spot. Oregon has the superior talent at virtually every position and should be able to steamroll Wazzu. Meanwhile, we get good value on the Ducks here as they are coming off the loss to Boise (1 STAR play for Rock Box Sports last week). Get on the bandwagon this week and cash in before the public catches on and the lines on WSU go through the roof.
3 STAR PLAY: LSU -24.5 VS. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Mississippi State must be bracing themselves here coming off a 38-7 thrashing in which opponent Georgia Tech put up 500 yards of offense. The Bulldogs are banged up physically and emotionally and seem unlikely to give a spirited effort here on the road. We might fear a letdown here for LSU coming off the huge and bruising game at Auburn, but the situation does not seem to lend itself to that. The Tigers are at home, have a bye week coming up next, and seem to be hitting their stride now that they may have found their QB last week. This is a team that is as talented as any in the country and if they get good QB play, as they may this week, they could become scary good. LSU can name their score here. The only hope for Miss St. backers will be if the Tigers show some mercy late and leave the back door open. Considering that LSU is averaging 42.5 points over their last four vs. MSU and have outscored them 340-81 in the last eight, we'll assume this won't be the case.
2 STAR PLAY: PENN STATE -15 VS. ILLINOIS
Ron Zook's Illini have had two weeks to prepare here, but that likely won't be enough to handle Penn State, particularly the PSU offense. Nittany Lion QB Daryll Clark is an excellent athlete, has been making the big throws and has mastered the spread offense. After warming up against a mediocre non-conference slate, the Lions are itching to show the Big-10 what they've got and we think they'll pile on here if they get the chance. Illinois has a shot to score some points, but their defense will be completely overmatched and they won't be able to keep pace in the second half.
1 STAR PLAY: MISSISSIPPI +22.5 AT FLORIDA
Tough loss for the Rebels last week, as they outgained Vandy 385-202, led 17-7 in the first quarter, and had numerous chances to win the game. Turnovers were the culprit, as Miss gave it up six times, highlighted by four picks by QB Jarvis Snead, including one returned 79 yards for a TD. We still believe that this team is better than they have shown, and better than most think. Coach Houston Nutt will surely be addressing the ball security issue in practice this week. Coming off the disappointing loss last week, we don't expect Nutt's team to go in the tank but, rather, to come out with a strong effort here.
ADDITIONAL 1 STAR PLAYS:
INDIANA +8; NORTHWESTERN +8; NORTHWESTERN UNDER 42.5; OHIO STATE -19; MARSHALL +15; TCU +18.5; GEORGIA/BAMA UNDER 44
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4 STAR PLAY: OREGON -21.5 @ WASHINGTON STATE
We think the public hasn't figured out quite yet how truly bad this Washington State team is. This is not your typical Pac-10 last place team that plays tough at home from time to time and covers some spreads against the top programs. This year's Washington State team is way over its head in the Pac-10 with a first year coach and a redshirt Freshman quarterback making his first career start. It's true that Oregon is down to its third and fourth string QB's as well, but the Ducks have far greater depth. They may start a freshman of their own in this game, but that freshman will likely be Darren Turner, who looked great last week coming off the bench and nearly leading the Ducks to victory after being down 24 at the start of the fourth quarter. Last week's surprising home loss to Boise will ensure that the Ducks are not looking past the Cougars in this spot. Oregon has the superior talent at virtually every position and should be able to steamroll Wazzu. Meanwhile, we get good value on the Ducks here as they are coming off the loss to Boise (1 STAR play for Rock Box Sports last week). Get on the bandwagon this week and cash in before the public catches on and the lines on WSU go through the roof.
3 STAR PLAY: LSU -24.5 VS. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Mississippi State must be bracing themselves here coming off a 38-7 thrashing in which opponent Georgia Tech put up 500 yards of offense. The Bulldogs are banged up physically and emotionally and seem unlikely to give a spirited effort here on the road. We might fear a letdown here for LSU coming off the huge and bruising game at Auburn, but the situation does not seem to lend itself to that. The Tigers are at home, have a bye week coming up next, and seem to be hitting their stride now that they may have found their QB last week. This is a team that is as talented as any in the country and if they get good QB play, as they may this week, they could become scary good. LSU can name their score here. The only hope for Miss St. backers will be if the Tigers show some mercy late and leave the back door open. Considering that LSU is averaging 42.5 points over their last four vs. MSU and have outscored them 340-81 in the last eight, we'll assume this won't be the case.
2 STAR PLAY: PENN STATE -15 VS. ILLINOIS
Ron Zook's Illini have had two weeks to prepare here, but that likely won't be enough to handle Penn State, particularly the PSU offense. Nittany Lion QB Daryll Clark is an excellent athlete, has been making the big throws and has mastered the spread offense. After warming up against a mediocre non-conference slate, the Lions are itching to show the Big-10 what they've got and we think they'll pile on here if they get the chance. Illinois has a shot to score some points, but their defense will be completely overmatched and they won't be able to keep pace in the second half.
1 STAR PLAY: MISSISSIPPI +22.5 AT FLORIDA
Tough loss for the Rebels last week, as they outgained Vandy 385-202, led 17-7 in the first quarter, and had numerous chances to win the game. Turnovers were the culprit, as Miss gave it up six times, highlighted by four picks by QB Jarvis Snead, including one returned 79 yards for a TD. We still believe that this team is better than they have shown, and better than most think. Coach Houston Nutt will surely be addressing the ball security issue in practice this week. Coming off the disappointing loss last week, we don't expect Nutt's team to go in the tank but, rather, to come out with a strong effort here.
ADDITIONAL 1 STAR PLAYS:
INDIANA +8; NORTHWESTERN +8; NORTHWESTERN UNDER 42.5; OHIO STATE -19; MARSHALL +15; TCU +18.5; GEORGIA/BAMA UNDER 44
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Johnny Guild
Navy Midshipmen at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
The Demon Deacons have won six straight games, 12 of their last 14 overall and the last four clashes versus the Midshipmen. Wake Forest Quarterback Riley Skinner and crew should be able to move the ball easily against Navy’s vulnerable defense, playing poorly against the run and allowing 276 passing yards per game. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games and 4-2 ATS in its last 6 versus Navy.Take the Deacons at BB&T Field.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16
Clemson Tigers -11
Fresno State Bulldogs -7
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16
Oklahoma State Cowboys -17
Penn State Nittany Lions -16
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Navy Midshipmen at Wake Forest Demon Deacons
The Demon Deacons have won six straight games, 12 of their last 14 overall and the last four clashes versus the Midshipmen. Wake Forest Quarterback Riley Skinner and crew should be able to move the ball easily against Navy’s vulnerable defense, playing poorly against the run and allowing 276 passing yards per game. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games and 4-2 ATS in its last 6 versus Navy.Take the Deacons at BB&T Field.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16
Clemson Tigers -11
Fresno State Bulldogs -7
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16
Oklahoma State Cowboys -17
Penn State Nittany Lions -16
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LSU DAWG
PICK OF THE WEEK IS Arkansas + 27.5 @ Texas – Arkansas looks pretty bad so far this season and Texas looks strong, but this is way too many points. Arkansas did do some good things against Alabama offensively, and they gave Bama two touchdowns with pick-6s. Texas has never been too good at covering these large spreads, especially against decent opponents. Lastly, Arkansas and Texas played a series a few years ago and Arkansas won one game outright and played Texas very close in the other. It's a big game for the Hogs but one that Texas doesn't take too seriously. Arkansas has the mental edge. I like Texas big, but maybe something like 31-14.
UAB +26.5 @ South Carolina- Can South Carolina even score 26 points? I'm doubting that. South Carolina has looked really bad in every game this year, with the exception being their game against Georgia. But even in that game, their offense still looked pedestrian. I'm not a believer in the Cocks right now, especially after they struggled with Wofford last week, winning only 23-13. Don't get me wrong, UAB is crap...but this is way too many points for South Carolina's offense, regardless of who they're playing.
Georgia -6.5 vs. Alabama - Georgia is very quietly going about their business and living up to their pre-season expectations this year. They arne't flashy but they are definitely getting the job done. Alabama has received a lot of attention, and rightfully so, for playing impressively through 3 of their first 4 games. Crushing Arkansas on the road last week certainly gave them a lot of confidence. But Alabama's offense only works if they can run the ball to open things up and Georgia's run defense is top notch...better than anything Bama has faced yet. Heck, Tulane was the most physical team Bama has played yet so their running game hasn't been all that tested. I think Bama's offense will sputter with Georgia controlling the line of scrimmage. On offense, I think Georgia will be able to do enough on the ground to where QB Matt Stafford can hit some big plays off play action. I think UGA has the match-up advantage in this game, and I see them winning by 10-14 points.
LSU -24.5 vs. Mississppi State - This is a lot of points, especially given the unpredictability of LSU's offense right now. Will QB Jarrett Lee be the erratic freshman or the guy who was throwing darts in the 2nd half at Auburn? He'll need the running game to take pressure off of him, and I think he'll have it. LSU is second in the SEC in rushing while Mississippi State is 11th in the SEC in rush defense. That should really open up the play action and ensure a lot of man coverage for LSU's wide receivers. Overall, LSU has the league's 2nd ranked offense and State has the 11th ranked defense. So even a mediocre day from LSU's QBs should be enough to get the job done. The flip side, and the main reason why I like this pick, is that Mississippi State's offense is putrid. It is really bad and the match up favors LSU in a large, large way. Over the last few years, LSU has really killed offense without a mobile QB and who don't run a spread offense. State has a traditional offense with a poor QB and a poor OL blocking for him. State's strength is running the ball, but their running back, Anthony Dixon, is a north south runner and doesn't have much speed. He'll be trying to run up the middle against LSU and it wont' work. I'd be downright shocked if State scored in double digits in this game. They very well might get shut out. Lastly, LSU owns Mississippi State winning 14 of the last 15 straight up and every game this decade.
Ole Miss +22 @ Florida - I'm going against the public in a big way here. I realize UF just beat Tennessee on the road by 24, so covering 22 at home against Ole Miss should be no sweat. Plus, Ole Miss just lost to Vanderbilt. But 3 TDs is a lot in any SEC game, and I still think this Ole Miss team is much improved from a year ago. Ole Miss ran the ball very well a week ago, averaging 5 yards per carry. Their problem was turnovers as Jevon Snead threw 4 interceptions. They have a very good offensive line, so they could certainly do some things on the ground against Florida. Florida, meanwhile, hasn't looked right on offense this year. They managed just 243 yards of total offense last week, despite the lopsided score and they only rushed for 3.8 yards per carry. Tim Tebow also only went 8 of 15 for 96 yards. Florida will be trying to work out the kinks, but I'm not sure their offense is what everyone thinks it is right now. I like Ole Miss to stay within 3 TDs here.
Tennessee +7 @ Auburn (buy half point if necessary) - Both of these teams are coming off big losses. Both of the fanbases are down on the coaching staffs. And both of these teams need a win in a big, big way. I think that Tennessee's coaching staff is certainly feeling more pressure right now than Auburn's however. These teams are almost identical statistically and both have inexperienced quarterbacks. I see a very hard fought game that is going to come down to the wire. I like the matchup of Tennessee's very good, very physical secondary going against Auburn's inexperienced QB trying to throw down the field. And if he's unable to throw down the field, Auburn will struggle to move the ball. Against a good LSU defense last week, Auburn didn't move the ball well but got some big plays throwing down the field. If those are taken away from them, their offense is very mediocre. Tennessee will have to scrap for points, but after seeing a good running back run through Auburn's defense last week, I have to like Arian Foster's chance of having a good day.
PICK OF THE WEEK IS Arkansas + 27.5 @ Texas – Arkansas looks pretty bad so far this season and Texas looks strong, but this is way too many points. Arkansas did do some good things against Alabama offensively, and they gave Bama two touchdowns with pick-6s. Texas has never been too good at covering these large spreads, especially against decent opponents. Lastly, Arkansas and Texas played a series a few years ago and Arkansas won one game outright and played Texas very close in the other. It's a big game for the Hogs but one that Texas doesn't take too seriously. Arkansas has the mental edge. I like Texas big, but maybe something like 31-14.
UAB +26.5 @ South Carolina- Can South Carolina even score 26 points? I'm doubting that. South Carolina has looked really bad in every game this year, with the exception being their game against Georgia. But even in that game, their offense still looked pedestrian. I'm not a believer in the Cocks right now, especially after they struggled with Wofford last week, winning only 23-13. Don't get me wrong, UAB is crap...but this is way too many points for South Carolina's offense, regardless of who they're playing.
Georgia -6.5 vs. Alabama - Georgia is very quietly going about their business and living up to their pre-season expectations this year. They arne't flashy but they are definitely getting the job done. Alabama has received a lot of attention, and rightfully so, for playing impressively through 3 of their first 4 games. Crushing Arkansas on the road last week certainly gave them a lot of confidence. But Alabama's offense only works if they can run the ball to open things up and Georgia's run defense is top notch...better than anything Bama has faced yet. Heck, Tulane was the most physical team Bama has played yet so their running game hasn't been all that tested. I think Bama's offense will sputter with Georgia controlling the line of scrimmage. On offense, I think Georgia will be able to do enough on the ground to where QB Matt Stafford can hit some big plays off play action. I think UGA has the match-up advantage in this game, and I see them winning by 10-14 points.
LSU -24.5 vs. Mississppi State - This is a lot of points, especially given the unpredictability of LSU's offense right now. Will QB Jarrett Lee be the erratic freshman or the guy who was throwing darts in the 2nd half at Auburn? He'll need the running game to take pressure off of him, and I think he'll have it. LSU is second in the SEC in rushing while Mississippi State is 11th in the SEC in rush defense. That should really open up the play action and ensure a lot of man coverage for LSU's wide receivers. Overall, LSU has the league's 2nd ranked offense and State has the 11th ranked defense. So even a mediocre day from LSU's QBs should be enough to get the job done. The flip side, and the main reason why I like this pick, is that Mississippi State's offense is putrid. It is really bad and the match up favors LSU in a large, large way. Over the last few years, LSU has really killed offense without a mobile QB and who don't run a spread offense. State has a traditional offense with a poor QB and a poor OL blocking for him. State's strength is running the ball, but their running back, Anthony Dixon, is a north south runner and doesn't have much speed. He'll be trying to run up the middle against LSU and it wont' work. I'd be downright shocked if State scored in double digits in this game. They very well might get shut out. Lastly, LSU owns Mississippi State winning 14 of the last 15 straight up and every game this decade.
Ole Miss +22 @ Florida - I'm going against the public in a big way here. I realize UF just beat Tennessee on the road by 24, so covering 22 at home against Ole Miss should be no sweat. Plus, Ole Miss just lost to Vanderbilt. But 3 TDs is a lot in any SEC game, and I still think this Ole Miss team is much improved from a year ago. Ole Miss ran the ball very well a week ago, averaging 5 yards per carry. Their problem was turnovers as Jevon Snead threw 4 interceptions. They have a very good offensive line, so they could certainly do some things on the ground against Florida. Florida, meanwhile, hasn't looked right on offense this year. They managed just 243 yards of total offense last week, despite the lopsided score and they only rushed for 3.8 yards per carry. Tim Tebow also only went 8 of 15 for 96 yards. Florida will be trying to work out the kinks, but I'm not sure their offense is what everyone thinks it is right now. I like Ole Miss to stay within 3 TDs here.
Tennessee +7 @ Auburn (buy half point if necessary) - Both of these teams are coming off big losses. Both of the fanbases are down on the coaching staffs. And both of these teams need a win in a big, big way. I think that Tennessee's coaching staff is certainly feeling more pressure right now than Auburn's however. These teams are almost identical statistically and both have inexperienced quarterbacks. I see a very hard fought game that is going to come down to the wire. I like the matchup of Tennessee's very good, very physical secondary going against Auburn's inexperienced QB trying to throw down the field. And if he's unable to throw down the field, Auburn will struggle to move the ball. Against a good LSU defense last week, Auburn didn't move the ball well but got some big plays throwing down the field. If those are taken away from them, their offense is very mediocre. Tennessee will have to scrap for points, but after seeing a good running back run through Auburn's defense last week, I have to like Arian Foster's chance of having a good day.
Ness 25*- Central Michigan
Michigan +6 vs Wisconsin
Double-Dime Bet
I'm calling for some 'magic' this Saturday in the Big House. Take the home dog to 'bark loudly' in this one. STP on Michigan.
Nebraska -7 vs Virginia Tech
Double-Dime Bet
Nebraska is 26-3 SU in home night games and after Saturday night, we can make that 27-3. STP on Nebraska.
15* Rivalry Game of the Month
UNLV -4 vs Nevada
Final STP is my Rivalry Game of the Month 15* UNLV.
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Michigan +6 vs Wisconsin
Double-Dime Bet
I'm calling for some 'magic' this Saturday in the Big House. Take the home dog to 'bark loudly' in this one. STP on Michigan.
Nebraska -7 vs Virginia Tech
Double-Dime Bet
Nebraska is 26-3 SU in home night games and after Saturday night, we can make that 27-3. STP on Nebraska.
15* Rivalry Game of the Month
UNLV -4 vs Nevada
Final STP is my Rivalry Game of the Month 15* UNLV.
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Big AL
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over NC State. Take South Florida. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini plus the points over Penn State. Big 10 Game of the Month on Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide + the points over Georgia. College Football Game of the Month on Alabama. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over NC State. Take South Florida. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini plus the points over Penn State. Big 10 Game of the Month on Illinois. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide + the points over Georgia. College Football Game of the Month on Alabama. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Bob Balfe
College Football
Iowa -8 over Northwestern
Northwestern will have Sutton in the lineup, but he is not 100%. Sutton is the heart and soul of that team that is not as good as their 4-0 record. Iowa lost a tough game last week to Pitt and will be looking to bounce back at home. Northwestern QB Bacher also have a few sprained fingers and will be playing through pain. Look for Iowa to stop the run and win at home.
Houston +10.5 over East Carolina
The public wants so bad for ECU to be a Cinderella team, but they are nothing more than an average team that played two fading programs the first week of the season. This ECU team almost lost to Tulane and they did lose to NC State last week. Houston has a great offense and I don't know if ECU can match their point total. Houston looked flat in the first half of last weeks game, but played a great second half and almost won. This team is finally getting back to normal after Hurricane Ike. Look for the Houston offense to click today. Take Houston.
Tennessee +7 over Auburn
This is the most bet on game of the day. The public money is all over Auburn and I can understand why after watching Tennessee lose to UCLA and get crushed by Florida. Tennessee played good defense in the Florida game, but shot themselves in the foot with turnovers. Its not that easy to take an Auburn team today. The public is betting against Tennessee and not on Auburn. This is one of those games where Tennessee rebounds and proves they still are a good program.
Major League Baseball
Brewers -150 over Cubs
Sheets/Lilly
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College Football
Iowa -8 over Northwestern
Northwestern will have Sutton in the lineup, but he is not 100%. Sutton is the heart and soul of that team that is not as good as their 4-0 record. Iowa lost a tough game last week to Pitt and will be looking to bounce back at home. Northwestern QB Bacher also have a few sprained fingers and will be playing through pain. Look for Iowa to stop the run and win at home.
Houston +10.5 over East Carolina
The public wants so bad for ECU to be a Cinderella team, but they are nothing more than an average team that played two fading programs the first week of the season. This ECU team almost lost to Tulane and they did lose to NC State last week. Houston has a great offense and I don't know if ECU can match their point total. Houston looked flat in the first half of last weeks game, but played a great second half and almost won. This team is finally getting back to normal after Hurricane Ike. Look for the Houston offense to click today. Take Houston.
Tennessee +7 over Auburn
This is the most bet on game of the day. The public money is all over Auburn and I can understand why after watching Tennessee lose to UCLA and get crushed by Florida. Tennessee played good defense in the Florida game, but shot themselves in the foot with turnovers. Its not that easy to take an Auburn team today. The public is betting against Tennessee and not on Auburn. This is one of those games where Tennessee rebounds and proves they still are a good program.
Major League Baseball
Brewers -150 over Cubs
Sheets/Lilly
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