Service Plays Saturday 9/18/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Vegas Sports Informer's

2 Unit Play. #102 Take NC State -1 ½ over Cincinnati (7:45p.m., Thursday, Sept. 16 ESPN)

Big believer that good defense wins games against any team and tonight the Wolfpack 'D' will prevail. Cincinnati is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games and NC State is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games.

4 Unit Play. #112 Take Kansas St -3 ½ over Iowa St (12:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 18 FSN)

If Iowa St can stop the run in this game then Kansas St. will have no problem getting a home win and controlling the clock. Iowa racked up over 200 yards on the ground against the Cyclones and we could see the same results from Daniel Thomas and the rest of the Wildcats offense. Wildcats win this home game against another Big 12 opponent and the Wildcats win by a TD. Kansas St is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings against Big 12 schools.

2 Unit Play. #119 Take Over 45 ½ Ohio at Ohio St (12:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 18 Big10)

This play is not on the Ohio Bobcats offense but on the Buckeyes offense! Ohio St. should have no trouble scoring and the Buckeyes are averaging 40.5ppg in their last 2 games. Ohio St is 4-1 O/U in their last 5 home games.

6 Unit Play. #168 Take Western Michigan -3 over Toledo (7:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 18)

(Game of the Month) Would play this game even if this number moves to -4! Both teams open MAC play in this matchup and I'm shocked to see this number so low. I thought the Broncos would be a 6 point favorite at home against Toledo and Western Michigan is a PERFECT 4-0 SU against Toledo in their last 4 meetings. Toledo has struggled on offense scoring a total of 15 points in two games and I don't see the Rockets offense breaking through the Broncos defense. Toledo also struggles on the road and their ATS shows it going 9-21 ATS in their last 30 road games. Look for Western Michigan QB Alex Carder to have a big game at home and give the Broncos a MAC win and back-to-back wins.

2 Unit Play. #177 Take Utah -22 ½ over New Mexico (8:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 18 MTN)

This could be a trend that I will be betting against New Mexico every week if they continue to play like they have in their first 2 games. New Mexico has been outscored 124-17 in their last 2 games so Utah should have no trouble covering this double-digit road favorite.

3 Unit Play. #187 Take UNLV +7 over Idaho (10:30p.m., Saturday, Sept. 18 ESPNU)

This is not a typo we are betting with the UNLV Rebels. Idaho is at home and should be able to hold on to a home victory but covering a 7-point spread could be difficult. UNLV has played Wisconsin, and Utah in their first two games so the higher quality teams the Rebels have played could help them in this road game. Wouldn't shock me to see UNLV steal this game on the road! Idaho is 1-5-1 ATS following a SU loss by 20 points or more.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Strike Point Sports

6-Unit Play (Game of the Month). #112 Take Kansas State (-4) over Iowa State (12 p.m., Saturday, September 18)

Wildcats by double digits in this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jason Sharpe's

6 Unit Play Take #162 'Under' 51 Navy/Louisiana Tech (7:00pm est):

With more running plays, the clock keeps ticking away and in turn we have less play ran from the line of scrimmage and less plays ran means fewer points scored. No team in CFB likes to run the ball more then Navy. Their games tend to have a solid 20 plays less a game then a normal CFB game. 20 plays less in a game is like playing only 3.5 quarters of football. Plus more running plays means generally quite a few less big plays in the game and longer drives, etc...

Navy is far from a big strike offense. They try and wear you down and beat you in the second half. They have now scored fewer then 20 points in their last 4 regular season games and have went 'under' in their last 7 games overall dating back to last year. They like to play mistake free football as they have now went 'under' in 14 of their last 16 games following a loss. Navy's opening week loss to Maryland were they turned the ball over 2 times was crushing for Dobbs and the offense. They look like they are trying to be much more careful with the football.

La Tech is also a team who slows things thing down a bit when they get outside their conference as they have went 'under' in 6 of their last 8 non-conference games. They have brought in a new head coach this year in Sonny Dykes and they are still trying to learn his spread offense. They have looked completely lost so far as they averaged under 5.0 yards a play against Grambling in game 1, a team they were favored by 28 points over. They came back in week 2 and only managed to average 3.3 yards per play against Texas A&M. So this offense is still a work in progress.

Both teams will have simple game plans and will come in trying not to turn the ball over. Less plays combined with very conservative play calling leads to less scoring in this one. Just can't see how things ever make it to 50 points here. Play 'under' the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Indian Cowboy


4-Unit Play. Take #180. Take Utah State +5.5 over Fresno State (Saturday @ 8:00pm est).

This line has been steadily dropping and for good reason. Utah State returns 20 players to its team and that is a very experience laden team. Utah State is the same team that gave Oklahoma a huge run for its money on the road nearly winning that game outright, tack on the fact they beat Idaho State 38-17, this team very well could surprise a lot of people as they could end up with seven wins and a consequent bowl bid. This is certainly a game that they can win here at home, in front of their faithful on a Saturday night, having revenge from last year's 27-31 loss on the road, and now they get to face this team at home. In fact, Utah State has covered this ballgame the last five years dating back to 2005 and the last two years has been decided by a total of five points. I look for UtahState to win this game outright.

 

[joeduffy]

ScoresOddsPicks of OffshoreInsiders

No. 6 Texas (-3) at Texas Tech – 8:00 ET on ABC

Texas’ offense is a work in progress. Garrett Gilbert has big shoes to fill with Colt McCoy leaving for the NFL, and he hasn’t figured it out quite yet. Though he hasn’t killed the Longhorns with turnovers, big plays have been at a premium. Defensively, Texas has played its cards pretty close to the chest—obviously waiting to spring its exotic coverages and blitzes on Texas Tech.

The Red Raiders aren’t playing their “A” game. Sure, they’re 2-0, but they needed some brilliant special teams to take care of business against Wyoming (two blocked punts and a 93-yard kick return set up scoring drives in the win). The ground game has struggled, putting extra pressure on quarterback Taylor Potts. The Red Raiders have struggled a bit against the pass, but it shouldn’t be a problem with Garrett under center for Texas.

This is Gilbert’s first big road game as a starter. He hasn’t played very well yet, and Tech has won half of the past 10 meetings between these teams against the spread. It’s quite tempting to take the Red Raiders at home, but Gilbert will probably be bailed out by a talented defense. Look for a very tight game, but the Longhorns to just barely cover. Also from ScoresOddsPicks of OffshoreInsiders.com

No. 9 Iowa (-2) at No. 24 Arizona – 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN

Both teams are coming off two straight blowout victories, but Arizona has looked very impressive, winning by a cumulative score of 93-8. Of course, Iowa is a different beast than the Citadel and Toledo. The last time the Wildcats faced a tough defensive line was last year’s Holiday Bowl against Nebraska; Arizona lost 33-0 and gained just 109 yards.

Iowa, meanwhile, arguably features the best defensive line in the country. Certainly, Arizona running back Nic Grigsby is a threat (107 yards on 11 carries last week), but these guys aren’t afraid of anybody. The Hawkeyes also boast a talented offense, led by a dominating rushing attack; Adam Robinson and Jewel Hampton combined for 240 yards in last week’s 35-7 win over Iowa State.

The Wildcats have looked impressive, to be sure, but they haven’t proven anything yet. Iowa is a sleeper National Championship candidate after winning 11 games last season, and the team hasn’t shown anything to change that so far. With all four starters from last year’s defensive line returning, the Hawkeyes are in prime position to shut down Arizona’s biggest threat in Grigsby. Take the Hawkeyes to cover on the road.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GREG SHAKER

Georgia Bulldogs -2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LPW SPORTS FORECAST
College Football
September 18th

GAME OF THE WEEK
10 UNIT Va.Tech -19.5 over ECU

Hokies simply plagued by sloppy play last week as they had a 23-14 1st down advantage and simply didnt appear focused after loss to Boise.St ECU off miracle Win against Tulsa and Win over Memphis that was a bit misleading as Memphis garnered 413 total yards! ECU will have difficult time here slowing down a motivated Hokie team! Blow out!

UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK
10 UNIT Clemson +7 over Auburn

Auburn off huge SEC win last week and will face toughest test of season to date with Clemson and a very balanced attack.This should be a close game with Clemson having solid shot at su and we feel experience at QB gives added edge.Take Points

OTHER COLLEGE RELEASES
6 UNIT Army -5.5 over N.Texas St
6 UNIT Washington +3 over Nebraska
5 UNIT Ball State/Purdue Under 49
5 UNIT Washington St +23 over SMU
3 UNIT Hawaii/Colorado Over 55.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS

$400 Iowa Hawkeyes +1
$400 Nebraska Cornhuskers -3
$400 Tulsa/Oklahoma Under 70
$400 F5 INNINGS Colorado Rockies -135 ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Supercolts sports

VirginiaTech -20
NCarolina -2.5
HoustonU -4
Iowa+1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TEDDY COVERS

NCAAF BIG TICKET GAME OF THE MONTH
20* USC Trojans

NCAAF TRIFECTA
Navy Midshipmen
Miss St Bulldogs
N Mexico State Aggies

NCAAF SATURDAY AFTERNOON TV SHOCKER
Baylor Bears

NCAAF LATE NIGHT WEST COAST WINNER
Stanford Cardinal

NFL BIG TICKET GAME OF THE WEEK
20* NY Giants

 

[zags]

401ksports

4* BOISE ST. -23.5 over wyoming (8pm et)(top rated play!!)

Well boise took a big blow last week seeing virginia tech lose to lowly james madison as the win over va.tech does not look all that impressive now to the voters are computers now they travel to wyoming to face the cowboys who have not looked good at all in the 2 games they have played against southern utah they only had 36 yards rushing and were just 4/10 on 3rd downs and were sacked 3 times and s.utah held the ball for 35 minutes and had 384 yards of offense verus wyoming and things did not get any better last week verus texas they were 3/15 on 3rd and 4th down combined sacked 3 times and only had 257 yards of offense. Wyoming cannot run and if they are no better on 3rd downs then boise will do what i expect here the broncos know they must go out and lay the wood to these teams and let the chips fall were they may as for the rankings go. I look for boise to lay a whooping on wyoming even on the road. Boise 48 wyoming 14.


3* HOUSTON -4 over ucla (10:30pm et)

The bruins have really looked bad in these first two games kansas st. rushed for 313 yards and last week stanford rushed for 211 yards and both teams controlled the clock 35 and 36 minutes respectfully the bruins were really pushed around last week at home verus stanford losing 35-0. In the first two games the bruins are a combined 4/22 on 3rd downs and the Qb is 20/47 with 4 int's. The cougars offense continues to roll as they had 308 yards rushing last week verus utep to go along with that terrific passing game and after two games they are averging 61 points per game now this would be even a better play if we new for sure that case keenum was going to play i for one think he plays here but for now we will leave it at a 3*. Even if the bruins can hold the cougars to half their average 30 points i just cannot see the bruins offense matching it. One other tidbit last season the bruins averged 79,000 at home but only had 56,000 last week and they are not expecting more than 50,000 saturday night the bruins are 0-2 and with a trip to texas next week it looks like a rough year for the bruins.


3* NEBRASKA -3 over washington (3:30pm et)

I was suprised when this line came out as i was expecting to see nebraska -7 so -3 is a nice gift the cornhuskers have rushed for 649 total yards in the first two games and the defense got better from game 1 to game 2. Now washington will have to have balance here on offense if locker is forced to throw the ball 40 times here against this defense and secondary he will be in for along day last week the cornhuskers held idaho to 60 yards rushing forcing them to the air and they were 21/39 for 219 yards passing but the cornhuskers had 5 int's and 7 Qb sacks if the huskies do not have balance it will be a tough day for locker. For those who read my top 25 before the season knows i like nebraska to make it to the national title game so laying only -3 on the road against a team who may or may not make it to a bowl game i will gladly take that lets lay the number with nebraska here today.


2* WISCONSIN -12 over arizona st. (3:30pm et)

Last year the sundevils were 4-8 they have started this season 2-0 but those wins were against portland state and northern arizona but today is a whole nother matter traveling to the east coast to face one of the big tens best as i mentioned the sundevils were 4-8 last season and only return 4 starters on offense and 7 on defense. The badgers have all 5 offensive linemen back from last season and a terrific back in john clay and the badgers believe they have a shot at the bigten title. The badgers will pound the rock and control the clock and the sundevils young Qb will make mistakes i see a wisconsin 35-13 final here today.


2* W.MICHIGAN -3 over toledo (7pm et)

The rockets are averaging less than 3 yards a carry on the ground and less than 200 yards of total offense and on defense while they were better last week verus ohio the bobcats never really attacked them thru the air where they are vulenerable and Qb carder and the w.michigan offense is averaging near 300 yards passing and should have no trouble throwing the ball against this rockets squad. I will back the broncos at home only laying a fieldgoal here!!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Prophet - these were released a couple days ago, most lines aren't available now

1. Alabama -21 -120 - buy the 1/2 point

2. Oregon State -16 -120 - buy the 1/2 point

3. Kansas State -3 -120 - buy the 1/2 point

4. Houston -3

5. Middle Tennessee State -5

6. Tulsa/Oklahoma State over 69

7. Air Force/Oklahoma over 53

8. Wake Forest/Stanford over 59

9. Clemson/Auburn over 55

10. Boise State/Wyoming over 52

11. Texas/Texas Tech over 54

12. Arkansas State -3 -120 - buy the 1/2 point

13. Hawaii/Colorado over 54

14. Georgia -1 -120 - buy the 1/2 point

MLB - Nats/Phils over 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Canadian Bacon: Week 12 Analysis and predictions

SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 18

Hamilton Tiger Cats at B.C. Lions (-3.5, 49.5)

After a miserable start, the Lions now seem back on track with consecutive wins against Montreal and Toronto. B.C. QB Casey Printers looks like a QB still recovering from a knee injury out on the field but he’s been opportunistic.

Meanwhile the Tiger-Cats aren't getting as much as they would like from RB DeAndra’ Cobb and WR Matt Carter, who was injured in the Alouettes game and won’t be available.

DE Garrett McIntyre also got hurt last week and remains doubtful. But the team did improve defensively by signing DE Stevie Bagg who registered 12 sacks and 55 tackles last season with the Saskatchewan Roughriders.

The TiCats won their last two games against the Lions last season but had lost the nine previous meetings.

Pick: B.C.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Toronto Argonauts (-1, 51.5)

A game against Winnipeg is just what the doctor ordered for the slumping Argos. Toronto looks to snap its three-game losing streak against at home vs. the Blue Bombers.

But Winnipeg just knocked out off Saskatchewan with Steven Jyles taking snaps at QB. The Bombers will show up in Toronto playing with house money. They've got nothing to lose.

And it's not like the Argos are striking fear into opponents. All the good the Argos did at the start of the season seem like a distant memory now.

QB Cleo Lemon is multiplying mistakes and gaffes with every game. And RB Cory Boyd, who was so sensational earlier on, will not play after because of a concussion. Toronto will also be without OT Rob Murphy, DT Adriano Belli and possibly SB Jeremaine Copeland.

Pick: Winnipeg


SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 19

Edmonton Eskimos at Montreal Alouettes (-12, 52.5)

If all goes according to the plan, QB Anthony Calvillo will be back behind center after missing two games because of a bruised sternum. The veteran pivot says he feels fine and will wear new shoulder pads that should provide better protection.

The swift and elusive Adrian McPherson showed last week he can be a bigger part of Montreal's offense with or without Calvillo on the field.

The Eskimos do have a new GM in Eric Tillman and you can bet some players will try to impress the new boss but the real immediate reinforcement might come from Fred Stamps, who's expected back after missing the last two games due to injury. Stamps was the easier the best receiver in the CFL in 2009.

To replace Arkee Whitlock and Chris Ciezki, the Eskimos will likely go to RB Daniel Porter; a former star from Louisiana Tech. Safety Elliott Richardson should also be back in the formation after missing nine games because of a wrist fracture.

Pick: Montreal

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

MIN (-140) over OAK

 

[Bomber77]

Crown City Sports Consultant
Saturday September 18, 2010

62% winners past 30 days
6-1 week
4-1 NCAA Football

Saturday Trifecta Release #1 of 2 for Saturday

3- Troy -3
2- Vandy +12
2- Usc -12

 

[hook'em25]

Budin- Arizona

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DOC'S SPORTS

5* Michigan State
4* North Texas
4* USC
4* Mississippi State
4* Western Michigan
4* Iowa UNDER

 

[SinCityCJ]

Docs Sports

High to low......
Michigan State

N. Texas
USC
Miss State
W. Michigan
Iowa to go under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joey Cassano

Alabama -24
Nebraska under 53
Houston UCLA over 62.5
Kansas St -4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chad Greene

UCONN -5.5