Topshelfpicks
Raider
Cincinnati/Milwaukee Over 8 With this pitching match-up, I am looking for a high scoring game today. Milwaukee sends Matt Garza (5-5, 4.10 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, .252 BAA) to the hill today, while Cincinnati sends Homer Bailey (8-4, 4.39 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, .269 BAA). Milwaukee's offense is struggling, having scored just 18 runs in their last 5 games. However, for the season they are 5th in the majors in runs scored, so we know their offense can explode. Today, the Brewers face a very hittable pitcher, and one they've hit in the past. Their roster has a collective .302 lifetime batting average against Bailey. Since 2011, the Brewers have scored 40 ER in 69.2 innings against Bailey for a 5.17 ERA. Of course, as well as Milwaukee has hit Bailey, the Reds have had similar success against Matt Garza. The Reds roster has hit a collective .284 against Garza. Since 2011, he has been tagged by the Reds for a 5.45 ERA himself. The Reds have tagged him for 6 home runs in that time; only Houston has hit more off him. The Reds offense has cooled off, scoring only 10 runs in their last 5 games and being shut out twice. In their 11 games prior to that they had scored 67 runs, so this offense has shown itself capable. This looks like a perfect set up for the Reds to break out of their slump. Look for a rather high scoring game in Cincinnati today.
Leans
New York Yankees ML (-110) at Minnesota
New York Mets ML (-132) vs Texas Rangers