mti--
Play: Boston (ML -140)
Line Source: STATIONS
Posted on: April 9, 2011 @ 9:25:13 AM EDT
The Red Sox were in danger of dropping to 0-7 on the season yesterday afternoon, but they battled and battled and earned their first win of the season. They have demonstrated the ability to carry the momentum of a come-from-behind win into their next game and thus, we’re on them here. Boston is a reliable 32-6 as a home 140+ favorite during the day when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit. IN addition, the Red Sox have a tradition of doing well in this spot, as they are 62-20 as a 140+ favorite after a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series and 45-11 since as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers.
The Red Sox have a lot of ground to make up in the AL East. They have capitalized on such opportunities in the past as they are a very nice 10-0 (+3.4 rpg) since April 20th 2010 as a home favorite of more than 110 vs a team with a better record (this is BOS004 from the 2011 MLB Handicapping Bible).
Complementing this one beautifully is the fact that the Yankees are 0-9 as an underdog vs a team that has a worse record.
Buchholz lost his first start 5-1 in Texas. He has been very reliable in this spot. Boston was a perfect 5-0 last season as a favorite with Buchholz when they scored fewer than two runs in his last start, winning by an average of 4.8 runs per game. In these five games, the opponent has scored a TOTAL of six runs.
We’re getting the much better starter and a team whose bats have finally come alive. Lay the price.
MTi’s FORECAST: BOSTON 7 NY Yankees 3
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Boston
Time: 1:10 PM EDT (Sat)
Listed pitchers must go: Nova, Ivan (R) vs. Buchholz, Clay (R)
Play: Boston (-1.5 +140)
Line Source: BETJAMAICA
Posted on: April 9, 2011 @ 9:25:13 AM EDT
The Red Sox were in danger of dropping to 0-7 on the season yesterday afternoon, but they battled and battled and earned their first win of the season. They have demonstrated the ability to carry the momentum of a come-from-behind win into their next game and thus, we’re on them here. Boston is a reliable 32-6 as a home 140+ favorite during the day when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit. IN addition, the Red Sox have a tradition of doing well in this spot, as they are 62-20 as a 140+ favorite after a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series and 45-11 since as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers.
The Red Sox have a lot of ground to make up in the AL East. They have capitalized on such opportunities in the past as they are a very nice 10-0 (+3.4 rpg) since April 20th 2010 as a home favorite of more than 110 vs a team with a better record (this is BOS004 from the 2011 MLB Handicapping Bible).
Complementing this one beautifully is the fact that the Yankees are 0-9 as an underdog vs a team that has a worse record.
Buchholz lost his first start 5-1 in Texas. He has been very reliable in this spot. Boston was a perfect 5-0 last season as a favorite with Buchholz when they scored fewer than two runs in his last start, winning by an average of 4.8 runs per game. In these five games, the opponent has scored a TOTAL of six runs.
Take this one on the run-line, as we're getting a starter that is in a great spot and a home team whose bats have finally came alive.
MTi’s FORECAST: BOSTON 7 NY Yankees 3
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at San Diego
Time: 9:20 PM EDT (Sat)
Listed pitchers must go: Kuroda, Hiroki (R) vs. Moseley, Dustin (R)
Play: San Diego (ML +117)
Line Source: WYNN
Posted on: April 9, 2011 @ 9:25:13 AM EDT
The Padres are ahead of the Dodgers in the NL West and they are at home – yet they are the underdog. This is a motivating spot for the Padres. San Diego is a very profitable 81-80 as an underdog vs a team that has a worse record. Fitting in nicely here is the fact that the Dodgers are 1-9 as a favorite of less than 135 vs a team with a better record. In Moseley’s first start of the season, he pitched very well, but was the victim of Jamie Garcia’s complete game, 2-0 shutout. The Padres tend to “pick-up” their starter in the spot, as San Diego is a perfect 5-0 when they were shutout in their starter’s last start, scoring an average of 5.2 runs per game and winning by an average of 3.2 runs per game.
At this price, the Padres have the line value.
MTi’s FORECAST: SAN DIEGO 3 LA Dodgers 2
Matchup: Colorado at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Sat)
Listed pitchers must go: Reynolds, Greg (R) vs. Morton, Charlie (R)
Play: Pittsburgh (ML +100)
Line Source: PEPPERMILL
Posted on: April 9, 2011 @ 9:25:13 AM EDT
The Pirates are on a roll. They are 5-3 on the season and they are off a very nice come-from-behind win over the Rockies yesterday. Colorado scored three runs in the first inning, but the Pirates held them scoreless for the next thirteen and won 4-3 in the 14th inning. We almost released the Rockies yesterday and were regretting it after the first inning. It turns out we dodged a bullet. Whenever a bad team wins a close game that they usually lose, they can be very motivated. The Pirates are no exception. Pittsburgh is a spectacular 22-2 at home at night after a one-run win and it is not the first game of a series. So, the situation is simply that the Pirates are hosting a team they just beat by a single run and they are playing at night. That’s all. Check it out with this SDQL text:
team=Pirates and H and NGT and tp:margin=1 and SG>1 and 20040529<=date
Note that Pittsburgh was 6-0 in this spot last season. Note further that Charlie Morton was in this spot twice and he pitched gems; beating the Giants 2-0 and the Cubs 4-2. If we restrict the opponent to outside their division, the 22-2 team trend tightens to a perfect 16-0 in which the Pirates have won by multiple runs in each of the last 14 games. Remember, this is the Pirates we’re talking about. Wow.
This has been a TERRIBLE spot for the Rockies. Colorado is 13-52 at night on the road after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and 21-55 when playing a night game on the road when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs.
After last night’s marathon win, the Pirates have all the momentum. They are the side on which to be.
MTi’s FORECAST: PITTSBURGH 7 Colorado 3
Play: Boston (ML -140)
Line Source: STATIONS
Posted on: April 9, 2011 @ 9:25:13 AM EDT
The Red Sox were in danger of dropping to 0-7 on the season yesterday afternoon, but they battled and battled and earned their first win of the season. They have demonstrated the ability to carry the momentum of a come-from-behind win into their next game and thus, we’re on them here. Boston is a reliable 32-6 as a home 140+ favorite during the day when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit. IN addition, the Red Sox have a tradition of doing well in this spot, as they are 62-20 as a 140+ favorite after a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series and 45-11 since as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers.
The Red Sox have a lot of ground to make up in the AL East. They have capitalized on such opportunities in the past as they are a very nice 10-0 (+3.4 rpg) since April 20th 2010 as a home favorite of more than 110 vs a team with a better record (this is BOS004 from the 2011 MLB Handicapping Bible).
Complementing this one beautifully is the fact that the Yankees are 0-9 as an underdog vs a team that has a worse record.
Buchholz lost his first start 5-1 in Texas. He has been very reliable in this spot. Boston was a perfect 5-0 last season as a favorite with Buchholz when they scored fewer than two runs in his last start, winning by an average of 4.8 runs per game. In these five games, the opponent has scored a TOTAL of six runs.
We’re getting the much better starter and a team whose bats have finally come alive. Lay the price.
MTi’s FORECAST: BOSTON 7 NY Yankees 3
Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Boston
Time: 1:10 PM EDT (Sat)
Listed pitchers must go: Nova, Ivan (R) vs. Buchholz, Clay (R)
Play: Boston (-1.5 +140)
Line Source: BETJAMAICA
Posted on: April 9, 2011 @ 9:25:13 AM EDT
The Red Sox were in danger of dropping to 0-7 on the season yesterday afternoon, but they battled and battled and earned their first win of the season. They have demonstrated the ability to carry the momentum of a come-from-behind win into their next game and thus, we’re on them here. Boston is a reliable 32-6 as a home 140+ favorite during the day when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit. IN addition, the Red Sox have a tradition of doing well in this spot, as they are 62-20 as a 140+ favorite after a win in which they had 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series and 45-11 since as a home 140+ favorite after a win in which they used 5+ pitchers.
The Red Sox have a lot of ground to make up in the AL East. They have capitalized on such opportunities in the past as they are a very nice 10-0 (+3.4 rpg) since April 20th 2010 as a home favorite of more than 110 vs a team with a better record (this is BOS004 from the 2011 MLB Handicapping Bible).
Complementing this one beautifully is the fact that the Yankees are 0-9 as an underdog vs a team that has a worse record.
Buchholz lost his first start 5-1 in Texas. He has been very reliable in this spot. Boston was a perfect 5-0 last season as a favorite with Buchholz when they scored fewer than two runs in his last start, winning by an average of 4.8 runs per game. In these five games, the opponent has scored a TOTAL of six runs.
Take this one on the run-line, as we're getting a starter that is in a great spot and a home team whose bats have finally came alive.
MTi’s FORECAST: BOSTON 7 NY Yankees 3
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at San Diego
Time: 9:20 PM EDT (Sat)
Listed pitchers must go: Kuroda, Hiroki (R) vs. Moseley, Dustin (R)
Play: San Diego (ML +117)
Line Source: WYNN
Posted on: April 9, 2011 @ 9:25:13 AM EDT
The Padres are ahead of the Dodgers in the NL West and they are at home – yet they are the underdog. This is a motivating spot for the Padres. San Diego is a very profitable 81-80 as an underdog vs a team that has a worse record. Fitting in nicely here is the fact that the Dodgers are 1-9 as a favorite of less than 135 vs a team with a better record. In Moseley’s first start of the season, he pitched very well, but was the victim of Jamie Garcia’s complete game, 2-0 shutout. The Padres tend to “pick-up” their starter in the spot, as San Diego is a perfect 5-0 when they were shutout in their starter’s last start, scoring an average of 5.2 runs per game and winning by an average of 3.2 runs per game.
At this price, the Padres have the line value.
MTi’s FORECAST: SAN DIEGO 3 LA Dodgers 2
Matchup: Colorado at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Sat)
Listed pitchers must go: Reynolds, Greg (R) vs. Morton, Charlie (R)
Play: Pittsburgh (ML +100)
Line Source: PEPPERMILL
Posted on: April 9, 2011 @ 9:25:13 AM EDT
The Pirates are on a roll. They are 5-3 on the season and they are off a very nice come-from-behind win over the Rockies yesterday. Colorado scored three runs in the first inning, but the Pirates held them scoreless for the next thirteen and won 4-3 in the 14th inning. We almost released the Rockies yesterday and were regretting it after the first inning. It turns out we dodged a bullet. Whenever a bad team wins a close game that they usually lose, they can be very motivated. The Pirates are no exception. Pittsburgh is a spectacular 22-2 at home at night after a one-run win and it is not the first game of a series. So, the situation is simply that the Pirates are hosting a team they just beat by a single run and they are playing at night. That’s all. Check it out with this SDQL text:
team=Pirates and H and NGT and tp:margin=1 and SG>1 and 20040529<=date
Note that Pittsburgh was 6-0 in this spot last season. Note further that Charlie Morton was in this spot twice and he pitched gems; beating the Giants 2-0 and the Cubs 4-2. If we restrict the opponent to outside their division, the 22-2 team trend tightens to a perfect 16-0 in which the Pirates have won by multiple runs in each of the last 14 games. Remember, this is the Pirates we’re talking about. Wow.
This has been a TERRIBLE spot for the Rockies. Colorado is 13-52 at night on the road after a loss in which their opponent left 18+ men on base and 21-55 when playing a night game on the road when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs.
After last night’s marathon win, the Pirates have all the momentum. They are the side on which to be.
MTi’s FORECAST: PITTSBURGH 7 Colorado 3
