Service Plays Saturday 4/2/11

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SuperSportsGroup

Minnesota v. Toronto 1:05pm
9* PICK: OVER 8.5 Game -115 Best bet of the day #1
8* PICK: Jays ML +103 Game

San Fran v. LA 4:10pm
8* PICK: UNDER 7 Game -120

Milwaukee v. St Louis 4:10pm
8* PICK: Cards RL +140

Houston v. Philadelphia 7pm
8* PICK: OVER 7 Game +105

Boston v. Texas 8pm
9* PICK: Red Sox ML +104 Best bet of the day #2

2* 3 team parlay for
Pirates ML +178
White Sox RL +125
Brewers ML +104
 
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Game: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Cleveland +115 (moneyline)

The Cleveland Indians were a road disaster a year ago where they lost 50 games. They were respectable at home, collecting 38 wins. They expect big things from Carlos Carrasco this season as he finished strong to end 2010. Carrasco allowed more than 3 runs in just one of his last eight starts last year. The White Sox will turn to Edwin Jackson who was getting bombed in Arizona before they acquired him and he did do well with the change in uniform. His problem is location, as he walks way too many hitters and early in the season, I would expect a pitcher that has trouble with command to struggle even more.
Cleveland wins this one.
 
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GC NBA Play

Saturday 2 BIG Final 4 Power system Plays + 14-0 NBA Blowout side and 92% MLB Power System play all go in evening action. NBA Bonus Play below.

On Saturday the NBA Bonus Play is on the Philadelphia 76ers. Game 805 at 8:35 eastern. The Sixers play this one with 28 point loss revenge tonight. They are 13-3 straight up vs Teams with losing records in the second half, while the Bucks are just 3-10 straight up vs Winning teams in the second half. The Only thing that keeps this play from being unit rated is the Bucks fantastic record vs The Atlantic conference as they are 14-0 ats if they shot 45% or less and 22-2 ats if they scored 90 or less and then take on an Atlantic Conference team. The Sixers though are on a mission and are beating teams much better than the Bucks so we will make then the Bonus Play tonight. On Saturday I have both Final 4 Games one form a Triple system situation. In the NBA I have a 14-0 Blowout Play and a 92% MLB Power system side. Jump on and Cash big On Saturday. For the Bonus Play take the Philadelphia 76ers. GC
 
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newsletter play from 3G
Today’s play is the Golden St Warriors over the Dallas Mavericks at home. The Warriors have been putting a hurting on the scoreboard lately, lighting them up over the last several games. They can knock down the deep ball extremely well at 39% as a team on the season. The Warriors have 4 very legitimate scorers on the team in Monta Ellis, Steph Curry, David Lee, and Dorell Wright, all of whom can put up 20-25 on any night of the week. But their defense has also gotten worse, as they have opened up the court play.

The Mavs, who a very good road team, have done the opposite, they have tightened it up on defense recently, holding the Lakers to only 96 and the Suns to only 83 points. Also a very good deep ball shooting team led by “Jason Vorthrees”, Jason Kidd and Jason Terry. Last meeting, Dallas hammered them 101-73 behind Tyson Chandler’s monster 17 rebound night, including 5 offensive. I think the Warriors will keep in mind that game and get retribution at home. Golden St is very respectable at home and I like them tonight.

PREDICTION: Golden St Wins 108-104
 

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Tipsheet mania from OffshoreInsiders

The 2011 Final 4 is here and it is time for the official betting preview of Virginia Commonwealth vs. Butler and Kentucky vs. Connecticut.

Commencing with the Cinderella Bowl, sportsbooks have Butler (-2.5) as the small favorites with a total of 133.

VCU is 28-11 straight up and 18-20 against the spread, going over at an 18-17 rate. The Bulldogs are 27-9 straight up, 19-13 against the spread going over 19-14.

The Rams score 71.8 points per game to teams that normally allow 65.9, shooting 43.6 percent from the field to defenses that permit 42.4.

On the defensive side of the ball, Shaka Smart’s boys clearly are not here because of their ability to shut down teams as they allow 66.7 points per game to teams normally getting 68.1 on a very poor 44.8 field goal percentage against versus squads that earn 44.1.

Butler scores 72.1 points per game to defenses that allow an average of 67.2 on 44.3 percent shooting to 43.2.

Defensively they allow just 64.5 points per game to squads that normally accumulate 69.1 on 42.7 shooting to 44 percent.

Top expert pick on this game: Forensic sports handicapping says both sides UConn/Kentucky, Butler/VCU rise to the level of premium lock plays and the earlier tipoff is a Level 5. So is a pro basketball game. Get ready to sweep, sweep, sweep again. Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

Now to the second game of the sports betting NCAA Tournament card Kentucky vs. Connecticut.

The scores and odds Vegas line is Kentucky -2.5 with a total of 140. UK is 29-8 straight up, 17-14 in the wallet, going under 17-12. UConn is 30-9 outright, 21-12 against the spread, going under at an 18-14 rate.

The Wildcats average 73.3 points per game to squads usually permitting just 66.5 on a stunning 46.3 percent from the field to foes that are permitting an average of just 41.6.

They allow just 63.7 points per game against units that normally get 70.8, allowing 39.3 percent from the field to 44.2.

The Huskies score 73.3 points per game to 65.9 with 43.5 percent shooting to 41.8. They permit just 65.7 points per game to teams normally getting 70.7, allowing 40 percent shooting to 44.4.

Top expert pick on this game: The Lord of the Dance GodsTips owns the Final 4 again. Both side selections are up. The Wise Guy is on UConn and Kentucky side, plus we have the total on that game. Get three Final 4 plays from the winningest handicapper who has ever lived.

Added are two MLB sides, an NBA winner, and even an NCAA women’s basketball winner from a very trusted source. Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

OffshoreInsiders Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick Saturday on the Houston Astros (+225) at Philadelphia.

Reasoning: I never mind teams that are coming off of horrific losses and that is the case with the Houston Astros after blowing the 4-0 lead very late yesterday. Professionals just seem to bounce back a lot more than they don’t no matter the situation and at this quality take back why not back the visitors from Houston?

Of course Cliff Lee has the upside of any pitcher in the game today, save maybe Roy Halladay, and could twirl a gem against any team and that certainly includes the mediocre at the very best Astros. But there is something right now about Charlie Manual’s offense with Chase Utley out that I do not like. Ryan Howard and the boys did not look very good yesterday at all. They did win in the end thanks to a bunch of key singles but I do not believe this team is locked and loaded. We saw a bunch of ice cold hitting from the Phils last season as they struggled immensely at times. How they wound up winning 97 games or whatever truly was a miracle as they just weren’t that good a lot of the time.

Wandy Rodriguez gets the ball for the Astros and the lefty at times can be awesome. He was not that good in the first half of last season but this kid has high quality stuff and certainly can neutralize Howard, Raul Ibanez and whatever lefty is in the Philadelphia lineup.

If Lee is lights out and just too good then I will tip my cap. But Rodriguez can match him with some zeros of his own and after yesterday’s rough beat and at this big-time take back I am fine with Hunter Pence, Michael Bourn and the Astros today.

Top expert pick on this game: Houston Astros

Virginia Commonwealth vs. Butler (-2.5) 133.5

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): VCU 9-0 is as an underdog, 9-0 in NCAA Tournament, 6-0 nonconference, 5-0 as an underdog.

Butler is 6-0 off straight up win, 15-2 on neutral courts, 21-4 versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or above, 17-5 in NCAA Tournament, 2-15 to teams with a winning record, and 40-16 outside the conference.

Over/under trends: VCU over 10-3 off win, but under 7-3 as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Butler has gone under 7-2 in NCAA Tournament, over 14-6 neutral site games as a favorite, under 7-3 off win.

Kentucky (-2.5) 140 vs. Connecticut

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Kentucky 7-1 in nonconference games, 8-2 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, 16-5 to Big East, but 3-7 off straight up win.

UConn is 6-0 neutral site games as an underdog, 9-1 10 non-conference games, 26-9 following a S.U. win, 23-8 as underdogs.

Over/under trends: Kentucky over 5-0 off straight up win.
 
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Valley Sports

3* Chicago Cubs (Zambrano) Over Pittsburgh (Maholm)
3* Minnesot a(Liriano) / Toronto (Drabek) Under
2* Cincinnati (Wood) Over Milwaukee (Marcum)
2* Cleveland (Carrasco) Over Chicago W/S (Jackson)
 

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tom freese nba okla city anyone know larry ness nba play thanks ?
 
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Kelso

10 UNIT* MLB* San Francisco Giants, -105 ML
10 UNIT* NBA* Memphis Grizzlies, -13.5
3 UNIT* MLB* Texas Rangers , -115 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* Cincinnati Reds, -115 ML
 
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Bob Balfe

Butler -2.5

Cleveland Indians +124

I was very impressed with the Indians comeback as they were down 14-0 and could have called it a day. Instead, they outscored the Sox 10-1 and have a lot of momentum coming into this game today. I am not impressed with Edwin Jackson for the White Sox and think the Indians will put up a decent amount of runs today. Starting Indians pitcher, Carlos Carasco, has tremendous upside and should pitch a good enough game to get his team a win. Take the Indians.
 

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