Tipsheet mania from OffshoreInsiders
The 2011 Final 4 is here and it is time for the official betting preview of Virginia Commonwealth vs. Butler and Kentucky vs. Connecticut.
Commencing with the Cinderella Bowl, sportsbooks have Butler (-2.5) as the small favorites with a total of 133.
VCU is 28-11 straight up and 18-20 against the spread, going over at an 18-17 rate. The Bulldogs are 27-9 straight up, 19-13 against the spread going over 19-14.
The Rams score 71.8 points per game to teams that normally allow 65.9, shooting 43.6 percent from the field to defenses that permit 42.4.
On the defensive side of the ball, Shaka Smart’s boys clearly are not here because of their ability to shut down teams as they allow 66.7 points per game to teams normally getting 68.1 on a very poor 44.8 field goal percentage against versus squads that earn 44.1.
Butler scores 72.1 points per game to defenses that allow an average of 67.2 on 44.3 percent shooting to 43.2.
Defensively they allow just 64.5 points per game to squads that normally accumulate 69.1 on 42.7 shooting to 44 percent.
Top expert pick on this game: Forensic sports handicapping says both sides UConn/Kentucky, Butler/VCU rise to the level of premium lock plays and the earlier tipoff is a Level 5. So is a pro basketball game. Get ready to sweep, sweep, sweep again. Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com
Now to the second game of the sports betting NCAA Tournament card Kentucky vs. Connecticut.
The scores and odds Vegas line is Kentucky -2.5 with a total of 140. UK is 29-8 straight up, 17-14 in the wallet, going under 17-12. UConn is 30-9 outright, 21-12 against the spread, going under at an 18-14 rate.
The Wildcats average 73.3 points per game to squads usually permitting just 66.5 on a stunning 46.3 percent from the field to foes that are permitting an average of just 41.6.
They allow just 63.7 points per game against units that normally get 70.8, allowing 39.3 percent from the field to 44.2.
The Huskies score 73.3 points per game to 65.9 with 43.5 percent shooting to 41.8. They permit just 65.7 points per game to teams normally getting 70.7, allowing 40 percent shooting to 44.4.
Top expert pick on this game: The Lord of the Dance GodsTips owns the Final 4 again. Both side selections are up. The Wise Guy is on UConn and Kentucky side, plus we have the total on that game. Get three Final 4 plays from the winningest handicapper who has ever lived.
Added are two MLB sides, an NBA winner, and even an NCAA women’s basketball winner from a very trusted source. Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com
OffshoreInsiders Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a free pick Saturday on the Houston Astros (+225) at Philadelphia.
Reasoning: I never mind teams that are coming off of horrific losses and that is the case with the Houston Astros after blowing the 4-0 lead very late yesterday. Professionals just seem to bounce back a lot more than they don’t no matter the situation and at this quality take back why not back the visitors from Houston?
Of course Cliff Lee has the upside of any pitcher in the game today, save maybe Roy Halladay, and could twirl a gem against any team and that certainly includes the mediocre at the very best Astros. But there is something right now about Charlie Manual’s offense with Chase Utley out that I do not like. Ryan Howard and the boys did not look very good yesterday at all. They did win in the end thanks to a bunch of key singles but I do not believe this team is locked and loaded. We saw a bunch of ice cold hitting from the Phils last season as they struggled immensely at times. How they wound up winning 97 games or whatever truly was a miracle as they just weren’t that good a lot of the time.
Wandy Rodriguez gets the ball for the Astros and the lefty at times can be awesome. He was not that good in the first half of last season but this kid has high quality stuff and certainly can neutralize Howard, Raul Ibanez and whatever lefty is in the Philadelphia lineup.
If Lee is lights out and just too good then I will tip my cap. But Rodriguez can match him with some zeros of his own and after yesterday’s rough beat and at this big-time take back I am fine with Hunter Pence, Michael Bourn and the Astros today.
Top expert pick on this game: Houston Astros
Virginia Commonwealth vs. Butler (-2.5) 133.5
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): VCU 9-0 is as an underdog, 9-0 in NCAA Tournament, 6-0 nonconference, 5-0 as an underdog.
Butler is 6-0 off straight up win, 15-2 on neutral courts, 21-4 versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or above, 17-5 in NCAA Tournament, 2-15 to teams with a winning record, and 40-16 outside the conference.
Over/under trends: VCU over 10-3 off win, but under 7-3 as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. Butler has gone under 7-2 in NCAA Tournament, over 14-6 neutral site games as a favorite, under 7-3 off win.
Kentucky (-2.5) 140 vs. Connecticut
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Kentucky 7-1 in nonconference games, 8-2 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, 16-5 to Big East, but 3-7 off straight up win.
UConn is 6-0 neutral site games as an underdog, 9-1 10 non-conference games, 26-9 following a S.U. win, 23-8 as underdogs.
Over/under trends: Kentucky over 5-0 off straight up win.