Gold Sheet
Virginia Commonwealth 65 - Butler 63—
It is a cruel “tragedy” for these pages
that these two hard-biting underdogs must face each other in the semifinals
instead of both getting points should they have been paired opposite Kentucky and
UConn in order to reach the final. Both teams in this one have been exceedingly
good to our tournament-issue readers (Butler for the second straight season), as
they have rewarded our faith over and over vs. more highly-regarded opposition.
Butler is 7-0 as an NCAA tourney underdog the last two seasons; VCU 5-0 as dog
this season.
But, facing each other, it is difficult to feature either breaking free decisively
from the other. And, obviously, one can make a strong argument for either team.
In Butler’s case, the Bulldogs have “been there” before, making it to the Final LY
vs. Duke and losing 61-59 after a last-second halfcourt shot by then-star Gordon
Hayward narrowly banged off the rim. Butler also has better rebound stats (+3.2
per game) than sometimes-vulnerable VCU (-3.8 per game). The Bulldogs play
tough perimeter defense and have a slight edge in FT accuracy (72.7% vs. 71.6%).
And disciplined Butler has hit a slightly higher percentage of its FGs for the season
(44.3% vs. 43.6%), with the Rams sometimes hoisting shots that would make
Hank Iba spin in his grave as if he were on a rotisserie.
There are also some nice matchups for the Bulldogs, with defensive ace 6-0 jr.
Ronald Nored hounding VCU key PG Joey Rodriguez. 6-8 sr. F Matt Howard, often
plagued by foul problems in his career, has played intelligently and patiently on the
defensive end in the tournament, keeping himself in games in the late going to
become Butler’s Mr. Clutch in its narrow, late victories over Old Dominion and
Pittsburgh. Lastly, PG Shelvin Mack has played with amazing poise throughout the
tournament, going for 30 points vs. rugged Pitt and 27 vs. Florida, despite being
well-marked by Gator defensive ace Kenny Boynton (fresh from disrupting Jimmer
Fredette). Plus, does not young HC Brad Stevens impress as one of the smartest,
coolest, best-prepared mentors in the nation?
Yes, he does. But VCU’s Shaka Smart, while a bit more excitable on the
sideline, has been nothing but impressive the entire tourney, showing that he
knows his team exceedingly well, punching the right buttons, and making effective
substitutions time after time. And was it not Smart’s defense that caused powerful
Kansas—the top FG percentage offense in the country—to look like a disoriented,
discombobulated team, with the Jayhawks hitting an eye-openingly-weak 35.5%?
This, after KU had dissected Richmond’s respected matchup zone just two days
before?
The facts are that in this tough-to-call challenge for a spot in the Final, the Rams
have just as good of a chance as the Bulldogs. So we must look at taking the
points. VCU has six players who are bona fide three-point threats, and top scorer
F Jamie Skeen stepped up his play in a big way Sunday vs. the vaunted Morris
twins, going for 26 points, 10 rebounds, and 4 of 7 treys. Wings Brandon Rozzell
(17 of 35 triples) and Bradford Burgess (13 of 22) have fired away from the arc with
unhesitating confidence and marvelous accuracy the entire tourney. The Rams go
a bit deeper than the Bulldogs, with even soph backup PG Darius Theus
contributing in a big way during VCU’s OT victory vs. Florida State, the nation’s top
defensive team. PG Rodriguez, while sometimes impetuous, now has 38 assists
vs. only 10 turnovers in the tourney. And perhaps VCU’s presses might bother
Butler, which had some issues in that department in its victory over Wisconsin.
It pains us a bit to criticize this Butler team after its wonderful achievements of
the past two seasons. But one thing has become clear. The Bulldogs truly tend “to
play ‘em close.” Of the Bulldogs’ ten NCAA games the L2Ys, five have been
decided by 1 or 2 points, another by 3 in OT, and yet another by 4 points! In what
could be another nail-biter, it might be good to have a couple of points.
Kentucky 71 - Connecticut 64—
There are plenty of interesting sidebar angles
to this matchup besides the normal hype of the Final Four, not the least of which is
a tasty subplot courtesy of the acknowledged chilly relationship between coaches
John Calipari and Jim Calhoun. Their lack of fondness for one another stems back
to the days Coach Cal was also based in New England and leading UMass
between 1988-96, when Calhoun decided to discontinue the series vs. the
Minutemen early in Calipari’s tenure at Amherst. Mostly, however, scars remain
from the pitched recruiting battle for Hartford’s Marcus Camby, still one of the most
ballyhooed preps in the history of the region. Of course, Calipari won that duel for
Camby, and to this day admits that he and Calhoun “don’t send cards to each
other,” though the deep freeze between the two has apparently thawed somewhat.
For example, punches were not thrown, and barbs not exchanged, when the two
faced off in a rare meeting in the finals of last November’s Maui Invitational, with
Calhoun’s UConn beating Calipari’s Kentucky by an 84-67 score. “I was
outcoached badly,” said Calipari. “He (Calhoun) never lost control of the game. I
was the JV coach.”
Calipari’s rare humility aside, a quick revisit of that earlier meeting is in order
despite the fact it was played more than four months ago. As was the pattern in
Maui, UConn dominated, with G Kemba Walker serving conclusive notice that he
was a force to be reckoned with by scoring a game-high 29 points to complete a
marvelous three-game run on the islands, where he was the tourney MVP and
scored 30 ppg. The Huskies blitzed the Cats early when rolling to a 50-29 lead and
ended up hitting 58% from the floor in that eventual 17-point cruise. Of course, it
was also the first week that Calipari’s frosh stars Brandon Knight, Terrence Jones,
and Doron Lamb were college players, and, of the threesome, only Jones (with 24
points) was a factor. Knight was ineffective, missing 12 of 15 FG attempts and all
of his 3-pointers, while Lamb only added five points. Moreover, rugged 6-10 sr.
Josh Harrellson was practically invisible, held scoreless in 25 minutes of floor time.
In the eighteen weeks since, however, Kentucky seems to have made more
strides...
likely enough to reverse the outcome of the first meeting, much as the
Cats just avenged an early-December loss to North Carolina in the finals of last
Sunday’s East Regional at Newark.
Although not generating the headlines of his explosive frosh mates Knight (17.3
ppg), Jones (15.6 ppg), and Lamb (12.3 ppg), the progress of the rugged
Harrellson might be as important as any development in the Cats’ advancement to
Houston. Whereas UK didn’t have a post scoring threat early in the campaign, a
more-confident Harrellson (61.4% from the floor) has provided some of that as the
season progressed, not to mention serving in the valuable enforcer role while
pulling yeoman duty on the boards (8.8 rpg). Indeed, it is Calipari’s onceoverlooked
upperclassmen (who also include jr. wings Darius Miller and DeAndre
Liggins, who hit the big triple on Sunday vs. Tar Heels) and their acceptance of
their roles that has keyed the recent surge that includes 10 straight wins, eight of
those away from Lexington, where the Cats had earlier struggled, losing 6 of 7 at
one point on the SEC trail.
Granted, the Huskies are hard to dismiss, having won 9 games in a 19-day span
and covering the first eight of those prior to their cliffhanger in Saturday’s West
regional final vs. Arizona. Moreover, when including Maui, UConn is now 12-0 SU
in knockout tourney formats this season. And Calhoun's crew has a few different
dimensions than it had in November, too, as Calhoun’s own frosh Gs, Jeremy
Lamb (DD scoring in nine straight games) and Shabazz Napier have relieved some
of the scoring load from Walker, while it should be noted that 6-9 Alex Oriakhi
completely outplayed Harrellson in Maui when scoring 18 and hauling in 11
rebounds. But Kentucky’s lengthy backcourt, keying a defense that allows fewer
than 40% FGs, can at least disrupt the non-Kemba elements of the Huskies'
offense, and we expect the much-improved Harrellson to be a motivated force vs.
Oriakhi as he was vs. the Tar Heels last week. For once we might agree with the
analysis of none other than Digger Phelps, who believes that so much of UConn’s
offense flows through Walker that by limiting the damage caused by his supporting
cast (something the Cats can do), the Huskies will eventually be at a disadvantage
vs. the better-balanced UK attack. Wins last week over Ohio State and North
Carolina offer conclusive evidence that Phelps might for once be right, and that
Kentucky has progressed to the point where it can avenge that earlier defeat in
Maui.