Today's NBA Picks
Phoenix at Dallas
The Suns (21-18 on the road) head to Dallas tonight to face a Mavericks team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Phoenix is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
Phoenix at Dallas
The Suns (21-18 on the road) head to Dallas tonight to face a Mavericks team that is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record. Phoenix is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
| SATURDAY, APRIL 12 Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 501-502: Sacramento at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.835; LA Clippers 128.040 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 14; 211 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 205 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-10); Over |
| Game 503-504: Milwaukee at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 110.797; Washington 119.605 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 9; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 11; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+11); Under |
| Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 106.965; Charlotte 122.958 Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 16; 201 Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 11 1/2; 206 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-11 1/2); Under |
| Game 507-508: Boston at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 112.243; Cleveland 117.400 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 5; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 8; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+8); Over |
| Game 509-510: Miami at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.602; Atlanta 119.546 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 196 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4 1/2); Under |
| Game 511-512: New Orleans at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 110.840; Houston 127.516 Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 16 1/2; 219 Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 14 1/2; 213 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-14 1/2); Over |
| Game 513-514: Phoenix at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 123.202; Dallas 125.298 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2; 217 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 210 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4 1/2); Over |
| Game 515-516: Utah at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 107.593; Denver 123.219 Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 15 1/2; 209 Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 9; 214 Dunkel Pick: Denver (-9); Under |
River City Sharps
We really like Sonny Gray for the Athletics and he takes the mound tonight against the surprising Mariners. Gray has had quite a bit of success against the Mariners over his short career, sporting a 2-0 record with a 1.50 ERA in three starts, holding the M’s to a .172 average while striking out 18 batters over just 18 innings. The Mariners are going to counter with Erasmo Ramirez, who is 1-1 on the young season with a 5.73 ERA. This looks like a really good spot to back Gray in one of the shorter prices you will see on him this season. The Sharps say…
3 UNITS – OAKLAND ATHLETICS (-115)
We really like Sonny Gray for the Athletics and he takes the mound tonight against the surprising Mariners. Gray has had quite a bit of success against the Mariners over his short career, sporting a 2-0 record with a 1.50 ERA in three starts, holding the M’s to a .172 average while striking out 18 batters over just 18 innings. The Mariners are going to counter with Erasmo Ramirez, who is 1-1 on the young season with a 5.73 ERA. This looks like a really good spot to back Gray in one of the shorter prices you will see on him this season. The Sharps say…
3 UNITS – OAKLAND ATHLETICS (-115)
Dave Essler | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet – 922 TEX (-150) vs 921 HOU
Analysis: This one’s an easy call with a plan.
I am parlaying St. Louis/Wainright (-225) to Texas/Scheppers (-150).
I am not a huge fan of Scheppers, but IF the Cardinals win I will go back and take Houston for the free money, or perhaps get greedy and play the RL, which I had thought about doing anyways
double-dime bet – 922 TEX (-150) vs 921 HOU
Analysis: This one’s an easy call with a plan.
I am parlaying St. Louis/Wainright (-225) to Texas/Scheppers (-150).
I am not a huge fan of Scheppers, but IF the Cardinals win I will go back and take Houston for the free money, or perhaps get greedy and play the RL, which I had thought about doing anyways
BONES BEST BET
Friday MLB recap: 5-2, +2.09u
Good news and bad news. The good news is we have now won 5 days in a row on the diamond and going for 6 today! The bad news is we can’t seem to hit a best bet right now, in turn ruining what would be monster nights. That being said, we aren’t too concerned about this mini-slump we’re in with our best bet as it is a proven winner and will always win long term. It’s never failed us for even a month and we don’t plan on that changing anytime soon.
INDIANS @ WHITE SOX – OVER 8.5 -115 *5* (2:10 PM ET) BEST BET
These two teams have played to 10 and 15 runs in their first two meetings – with both offenses putting up a lot of runs. Masterson hasn’t been great to start the year – and the White Sox have been scoring at a 6.36 clip this season, not good news for Masterson. Add in that Paulino on the mound for the White Sox has been lit up early this season owning a WHIP of 2.28 and an ERA of 6.52, just terrible numbers.
RED SOX @ YANKEES – UNDER 8.5 -103 *2* (1:05 PM ET)
RED SOX @ YANKEES – F5 UNDER 4.5 -125 *2* (1:05 PM ET)
Both meetings between these teams this year have gone under, and both offenses havent hit their stride. Both Lackey and Kuroda had great years last year, and both own great numbers after two starts this season (Lackey 0.85 WHIP, 1.38 ERA – Kuroda 0.97 WHIP, 2.92 ERA). Both teams this season are scoring in the mid-3′s this season, that will not get you to 8.5, especially against these pitchers.
ROYALS @ TWINS – OVER 7.5 -107 *2* (2:10 PM ET)
ROYALS ML + CARDINALS ML +147 *3* (2:10 PM ET)
The Twins are 9-1 to the over this season, scoring na average of 5.6 runs per game on the season. While Shields is on the mound and we don’t expect them to put up 6 – we expect them to score a couple (2-3) – however as Nolasco is on the mound for the Twins, we expect the Royals offense to come out to play. Nolasco has been terrible to start the season with a WHIP of 2.3 and an ERA of 9!
ASTROS @ RANGERS – UNDER 9.5 -115 *1* (8:10 PM ET)
The Astros couldn’t hit beach ball right now and this number should not be up at 9.5. The Astros have scored 3 or less runs in 7 of their first 10 games, on top of that were shutout in a 12 inning game yesterday. The pitching matchup here is not the greatest but neither of these teams are hitting right now, not many units but we are on this play today.
DODGERS ML -118 *2* (8:10 PM ET)
This is a short price for the better team with the better pitcher. The Dodgers have won 10 of Greinke’s last 11 starts vs a team with a losing record. Miley has been good early but the Dodgers still have 5 guys with a career average over .300 vs Miley.
BREWERS -1 -105 *3* (7:10 PM ET)
The Brewers have won 7 in a row, there is no hotter team in baseball as we speak. Gallardo is 2-0 on the season with an ERA of 0. Brewers have won 5 of Gallardo’s last 6 starts.
Friday MLB recap: 5-2, +2.09u
Good news and bad news. The good news is we have now won 5 days in a row on the diamond and going for 6 today! The bad news is we can’t seem to hit a best bet right now, in turn ruining what would be monster nights. That being said, we aren’t too concerned about this mini-slump we’re in with our best bet as it is a proven winner and will always win long term. It’s never failed us for even a month and we don’t plan on that changing anytime soon.
INDIANS @ WHITE SOX – OVER 8.5 -115 *5* (2:10 PM ET) BEST BET
These two teams have played to 10 and 15 runs in their first two meetings – with both offenses putting up a lot of runs. Masterson hasn’t been great to start the year – and the White Sox have been scoring at a 6.36 clip this season, not good news for Masterson. Add in that Paulino on the mound for the White Sox has been lit up early this season owning a WHIP of 2.28 and an ERA of 6.52, just terrible numbers.
RED SOX @ YANKEES – UNDER 8.5 -103 *2* (1:05 PM ET)
RED SOX @ YANKEES – F5 UNDER 4.5 -125 *2* (1:05 PM ET)
Both meetings between these teams this year have gone under, and both offenses havent hit their stride. Both Lackey and Kuroda had great years last year, and both own great numbers after two starts this season (Lackey 0.85 WHIP, 1.38 ERA – Kuroda 0.97 WHIP, 2.92 ERA). Both teams this season are scoring in the mid-3′s this season, that will not get you to 8.5, especially against these pitchers.
ROYALS @ TWINS – OVER 7.5 -107 *2* (2:10 PM ET)
ROYALS ML + CARDINALS ML +147 *3* (2:10 PM ET)
The Twins are 9-1 to the over this season, scoring na average of 5.6 runs per game on the season. While Shields is on the mound and we don’t expect them to put up 6 – we expect them to score a couple (2-3) – however as Nolasco is on the mound for the Twins, we expect the Royals offense to come out to play. Nolasco has been terrible to start the season with a WHIP of 2.3 and an ERA of 9!
ASTROS @ RANGERS – UNDER 9.5 -115 *1* (8:10 PM ET)
The Astros couldn’t hit beach ball right now and this number should not be up at 9.5. The Astros have scored 3 or less runs in 7 of their first 10 games, on top of that were shutout in a 12 inning game yesterday. The pitching matchup here is not the greatest but neither of these teams are hitting right now, not many units but we are on this play today.
DODGERS ML -118 *2* (8:10 PM ET)
This is a short price for the better team with the better pitcher. The Dodgers have won 10 of Greinke’s last 11 starts vs a team with a losing record. Miley has been good early but the Dodgers still have 5 guys with a career average over .300 vs Miley.
BREWERS -1 -105 *3* (7:10 PM ET)
The Brewers have won 7 in a row, there is no hotter team in baseball as we speak. Gallardo is 2-0 on the season with an ERA of 0. Brewers have won 5 of Gallardo’s last 6 starts.
STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 4/12/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
***** Saturday, 4/12/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________
Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Teams
-- Clippers won five of their last seven games.
-- Charlotte won five of its last six games.
-- Miami won six of its last nine games.
-- Hawks won four of their last five games.
-- Suns won nine of last twelve games.
-- Dallas won four of its last five games.
-- Denver Nuggets covered their last six games.
•Cold Teams
-- Kings lost last four games, by 33-2-15-1 point.
-- 76ers lost 31 of last 33 games (5-2 ATS L7).
-- Washington lost last two, covered one of L4 home.
-- Bucks lost six of its last seven games.
-- Celtics lost nine of last ten games (3-6-1 vs. spread).
-- Cavaliers lost three of their last four games.
-- Houston lost five of its last eight games.
-- Pelicans lost their last seven games (2-4-1 vs. spread).
-- Jazz lost eight of last nine games (0-5-1 ATS L6).
•Totals
-- Seven of last eight Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Five of Clippers' last seven games went over.
-- Six of last eight Philly games went over total.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Nine of Wizards' last ten games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Miami games went over total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Rocket-Pelican games.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Phoenix games.
-- Five of last seven Utah games went over total.
•Series Records
-- Clippers won eight of last nine games with Sacramento.
-- Bobcats won six of last seven games with Philly.
-- Wizards won four of last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Heat won nine of last ten games with Atlanta.
-- Celtics won six of last eight games with Cleveland.
-- Rockets won six of last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Suns lost 12 of last 15 games with Dallas.
-- Jazz split their last six visits to Denver.
Hoop Trends - Saturday
•CHARLOTTE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 103.5, OPPONENT 93.7.
•SACRAMENTO is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 91.0, OPPONENT 104.7.
•CHARLOTTE is 19-3 (+15.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 51.8, OPPONENT 47.5.
•UTAH is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 40.9, OPPONENT 49.5.
•KEVIN MCHALE is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread as the coach of HOUSTON.
The average score was McHale 110.0, OPPONENT 95.6.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Any team versus the money line (DENVER) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a loss against a division rival.
(92-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.0%, +66.2 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +109
The average score in these games was: Team 104.7, Opponent 99.1 (Average point differential = +5.6)
The situation's record this season is: (12-10, +4.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (50-16, +36 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (276-176, +66 units).
___________________________________________
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
***** Saturday, 4/12/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________
Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Teams
-- Clippers won five of their last seven games.
-- Charlotte won five of its last six games.
-- Miami won six of its last nine games.
-- Hawks won four of their last five games.
-- Suns won nine of last twelve games.
-- Dallas won four of its last five games.
-- Denver Nuggets covered their last six games.
•Cold Teams
-- Kings lost last four games, by 33-2-15-1 point.
-- 76ers lost 31 of last 33 games (5-2 ATS L7).
-- Washington lost last two, covered one of L4 home.
-- Bucks lost six of its last seven games.
-- Celtics lost nine of last ten games (3-6-1 vs. spread).
-- Cavaliers lost three of their last four games.
-- Houston lost five of its last eight games.
-- Pelicans lost their last seven games (2-4-1 vs. spread).
-- Jazz lost eight of last nine games (0-5-1 ATS L6).
•Totals
-- Seven of last eight Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Five of Clippers' last seven games went over.
-- Six of last eight Philly games went over total.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Nine of Wizards' last ten games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Miami games went over total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Rocket-Pelican games.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Phoenix games.
-- Five of last seven Utah games went over total.
•Series Records
-- Clippers won eight of last nine games with Sacramento.
-- Bobcats won six of last seven games with Philly.
-- Wizards won four of last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Heat won nine of last ten games with Atlanta.
-- Celtics won six of last eight games with Cleveland.
-- Rockets won six of last seven games with New Orleans.
-- Suns lost 12 of last 15 games with Dallas.
-- Jazz split their last six visits to Denver.
Hoop Trends - Saturday
•CHARLOTTE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 103.5, OPPONENT 93.7.
•SACRAMENTO is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 91.0, OPPONENT 104.7.
•CHARLOTTE is 19-3 (+15.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 51.8, OPPONENT 47.5.
•UTAH is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 40.9, OPPONENT 49.5.
•KEVIN MCHALE is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread as the coach of HOUSTON.
The average score was McHale 110.0, OPPONENT 95.6.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Any team versus the money line (DENVER) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a loss against a division rival.
(92-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.0%, +66.2 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +109
The average score in these games was: Team 104.7, Opponent 99.1 (Average point differential = +5.6)
The situation's record this season is: (12-10, +4.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (50-16, +36 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (276-176, +66 units).
___________________________________________
Wunderdog Sports Free Pick
Game: Tampa Bay Rays @ Cincinnati Reds
Time: Saturday 04/12 1:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Cincinnati +120 (moneyline) at Sportsbook.com
The Tampa Bay Rays have some good pitching, and won here 2-1 last night behind ace David Price. Matt Moore has dropped a lot of velocity, and he may be out for a bit, so the Rays' pitching has gotten thinner. They are 6-5 on the season, but 3-0 when Price takes the hill, and 3-5 otherwise. The Rays' attack will be an issue all season, and right now they have been punchless, producing just 8 runs in their last five games. They have not been good behind Cobb off a poor offensive showing at 4-11 in his last 15 starts after scoring 2 or fewer in their previous game. The Reds have been unstoppable at home in interleague play vs. a team with a winning record at 9-0 here in their last nine. Go with the Reds.
Game: Tampa Bay Rays @ Cincinnati Reds
Time: Saturday 04/12 1:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Cincinnati +120 (moneyline) at Sportsbook.com
The Tampa Bay Rays have some good pitching, and won here 2-1 last night behind ace David Price. Matt Moore has dropped a lot of velocity, and he may be out for a bit, so the Rays' pitching has gotten thinner. They are 6-5 on the season, but 3-0 when Price takes the hill, and 3-5 otherwise. The Rays' attack will be an issue all season, and right now they have been punchless, producing just 8 runs in their last five games. They have not been good behind Cobb off a poor offensive showing at 4-11 in his last 15 starts after scoring 2 or fewer in their previous game. The Reds have been unstoppable at home in interleague play vs. a team with a winning record at 9-0 here in their last nine. Go with the Reds.
rxb@ll
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SUNS @ MAVERICKS O211 -103 *3*
Both meeting between these two have gone way over the number with 231 and 217 points scored in each. The Mavs average 107.6 points per game playing at home while the Suns average 105.5 on the year. This number in our opinions is about 3 points too low.
SUNS @ MAVERICKS O211 -103 *3*
Both meeting between these two have gone way over the number with 231 and 217 points scored in each. The Mavs average 107.6 points per game playing at home while the Suns average 105.5 on the year. This number in our opinions is about 3 points too low.
