Service Plays Saturday 4/12/14

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Baseball Crusher
Seattle Mariners +103 over Oakland
(System Record: 8-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 8-5
 

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Hockey Crusher
Montreal Canadiens -127 over NY Rangers
(System Record: 90-4, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 90-72-1
 

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Basketball Crusher
Utah Jazz +9.5 over Denver Nuggets
(System Record: 74-8, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 74-85-5
 

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Soccer Crusher
Quilmes + Estudiantes LP OVER 1.5
This match is happening in
Argentina
(System Record: 550-20, won last 5 games and a push)
Overall Record: 550-473-81
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Saturday Brandon Lang

20 Dimes - Sacramento Kings +10 1/2 visiting the LA Clippers, 3:35 PM EST
 

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS
(records are of current month only)


BASEBALL RELEASES
JEFF (6-9-3 -4.73)
1X- SEATTLE +105 OAKLAND (9PM)
1X- DETROIT -145 SD (840PM)


JIMMY (13-6 +6.19)
1X- KC -150 MINNESOTA (2PM)


MARC (14-12 -.49)
1X- CLEVELAND/CHICAGO – OVER 8.5 -110 (2PM)


NHL RELEASES


JIMMY (3-6 -6.44)
1X- MONTREAL -135 NYR (7PM)


MARC (5-5 -.95)
1X- BOSTON/BUFFALO – OVER 5 -120 (1230PM)


NBA RELEASES
JEFF (2-5 -3.50)
PASS


JIMMY (0-2 -2.20)
PASS


MARC (5-1+3.90)
1X- MILWAUKEE/WASHINGTON – OVER 202 (7PM)
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, APRIL 12th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________



***** Saturday, 4/12/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________

Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Wainwright has a 2.14 RA in his last three starts. Villanueva is 1-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.
-- Eovaldi is 2-1, 2.02 in his last four starts.
-- Wood is 1-1, 1.93 in two starts so far this season. Jordan is 1-0, 3.77 in his last five starts.
-- Gallardo is 2-0, 0.00 (12.2 IP) in two starts this season. Volquez is 0-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
-- Greinke is 4-2, 2.07 in his last ten starts. Miley is 2-1, 3.00 in his last five.

-- Lackey is 3-0, 1.93 in his last three starts; Kuroda is 1-1, 2.92 in his first two starts this season.
-- Paulino is 2-1, 3.03 in his last seven starts.
-- Shields is 3-1, 1.70 in his last six starts.
-- Gray is 1-0, 2.25 in his first two '14 starts.

-- Cobb is 3-1, 1.85 in his last six starts. Simon allowed one run in seven IP in his first '14 start, his first MLB start since '11 (4-9, 4.90).
-- Verlander is 1-2, 1.10 in his last seven starts. Kennedy is 2-1, 3.00 in his last three outings.
-- Niese is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Cain is 0-2, 5.00 in his last three starts. Anderson is 0-2, 6.75 in his first two starts for Colorado.
-- Pettibone is 0-1, 5.06 in his last three starts.

-- Masterson is 1-2, 3.66 in his last six starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-1, 9.00 in his first two starts for Minnesota.
-- Hutchison is 1-2, 6.32 in his last four starts. Norris is 0-2, 8.10 in his last three outings.
-- Scheppers is 0-1, 9.00 in his first two MLB starts. Cosart is 1-2, 3.94 in his last six starts.
-- Ramirez is 1-2, 8.03 in his last three starts.

-- Weaver is 0-2, 6.75 in his first two '14 starts.

•Totals
-- Last five Philly games went over the total.
-- Last three Washington games went over the total.
-- All four games at Miller Park stayed under total; three of last four Pittsburgh games went over.
-- Last five Cub games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games went over total; five of six Dodger road games stayed under.
-- Ten of eleven Giant games went over the total.

-- All five Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- All four games at Camden Yards stayed under.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Texas games.
-- All five White Sox home games went over total.
-- Nine of ten Minnesota games went over total.
-- Four of last five Oakland games went over total.

-- Four of last five Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Eight of ten Angel games went over the total.
-- Eight of ten San Diego games stayed under.

•Hot Teams
-- Nationals won four of their last five games.
-- Milwaukee won its last seven games.

-- White Sox won four of their first five home games.
-- Blue Jays won three of their last four games.
-- Rangers won their last three home games.
-- Oakland won four of its last five games. Mariners won six of first nine.

-- Tampa Bay won five of its last eight games.
-- Angels both won five of their last seven games.

•Cold Teams
-- Miami lost its last five games; Phillies lost four of last five.
-- Arizona lost four of its five home games.

-- Red Sox lost five of their last eight games. Bronx lost three of last four.
-- Orioles lost three of their four home games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Indians lost five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost three of its first four home games. Kansas City lost its first three away games.

-- Cincinnati lost seven of its first ten games. Rays lost three of last five.
-- San Diego lost six of its last nine games; Detroit lost three of last four.

•Umpires Trends
-- Chi-StL-- Under is 11-2-2 in last fifteen Estabrook games.
-- Col-SF-- 10 of last 14 Hudson games went over total.
-- Mia-Phil-- Underdogs won four of last five Barksdale games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Four of last five Miller games stayed under.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Eight of last twelve Vanover games went over.
-- LA-Az-- 10 of last 14 Timmons games went over the total.

-- Bos-NY-- Underdogs won seven of last ten Tumpane games.
-- KC-Min-- Under is 5-2-2 in last nine Nelson games.
-- Cle-Chi-- Five of last seven Wolcott games went over.
-- Tor-Blt-- Underdogs won nine of last 14 Emmel games.
-- A's-Sea-- Hoberg's first two games both went over total.
-- Hst-Tex-- Five of last six Drake games went over total.

-- TB-Cin-- Underdogs are 10-6 in last sixteen TWelke games.
-- Det-SD-- First game behind plate in MLB for rookie ump Buckminster.
-- NY-LAA-- Barber has worked two games behind plate; no trends yet.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•ATLANTA is 11-1 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.2, OPPONENT 2.2.

•KANSAS CITY is 19-5 UNDER (+13.4 Units) revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 3.0, OPPONENT 3.6.

•LA DODGERS are 13-2 (+13.4 Units) against the run line after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 3.9, OPPONENT 3.7.

•JUSTIN VERLANDER is 1-9 (-16.2 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VERLANDER 2.7, OPPONENT 5.0.

•JOHN LACKEY is 16-3 UNDER (+12.6 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LACKEY 4.0, OPPONENT 3.3.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (ARIZONA) - averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season against opponent terrible fielding team - averaging 0.9+ errors/game on the season.
(46-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +36.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (44-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5, money line price: +112
The average score in these games was: Team 4.6, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 35 (57.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5, +21.2 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (126-96, +32.5 units).
___________________________________________
 
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Baseball Crusher
Seattle Mariners +103 over Oakland
(System Record: 8-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 8-5

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Houston Astros +140 over Texas
Miami Marlins +104 over Philly
Kansas City Royals -140 over Minnesota


Hockey
Anaheim Ducks +109 over LA
Pittsburgh Penguins -137 over philly
Boston Bruins -1.5 over Buffalo


Basketball
Milwaukee Bucks +10.5 over washington
Milwaukee Bucks + Washington Wizards OVER 203.5
Charlotte Bobcats -12 over Philadelphia
 
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Harvick claims Darlington pole; Almirola sets record

DARLINGTON, N.C. -- Aric Almirola has the record, but Kevin Harvick has the starting spot that counts most after Friday's NASCAR Sprint Cup Series knockout qualifying session at Darlington Raceway.

With a lap at 183.479 mph in the five-minute third round of time trials, Harvick won the Coors Light pole for the Bojangles' Southern 500 on Saturday night at the egg-shaped 1.366-mile speedway.

The pole was Harvick's first of the season, his first at Darlington and the seventh of his career.

Joey Logano landed the second spot with a lap of 183.049 mph and will start from the front row for the third time in eight Sprint Cup races this season. Almirola qualified third at 182.946 mph after setting a track record in the second of the three rounds.

Marcus Ambrose (182.485 mph) will start fourth, followed by Brad Keselowski (182.059 mph) and Jamie McMurray (182.019 mph). Ryan Newman, Kyle Busch, series points leader Jeff Gordon, Denny Hamlin, Paul Menard and Martin Truex Jr. will start from positions seven through 12 on the grid.

Crew chief Rodney Childers, himself a former driver, advised Harvick to change his racing line after the first round of time trials.

"I was on the bottom all day in practice and Rodney felt like that, in order to get the pole, we were going to need to run the top after we ran our first run," Harvick said. "That's the driver in him. That's why he's good to have sitting there watching, because he knows what's going on.

"He can relay -- -and also having (spotter) Tim Fedewa up on top -- -as former drivers, knowing what's going on, they can relay what you need to do. We moved up and picked up in the second (round). I felt like I didn't roll through there fast enough. In the last one, I felt like I rolled through there pretty good."

In the first round, which pared the number of drivers eligible for the pole from 44 to 24, Menard posted a best lap at 183.946 mph, breaking Kurt Busch's previous track record of 181.918 mph, set May 10, 2013.

In round No. 2, Almirola one-upped Menard with a record lap at 184.145 mph on scuffed tires, despite having an electrical short in his No. 43 Ford that forced his team to push-start the car before it rolled onto the track.

"After that first session, when I tried to fire the car up, when I would go to turn the starter on and it would try to engage with the flywheel, the electrical system in the whole car would shut itself down," Almirola said.

"We obviously had a short in our starter or something, and every time we would flick the starter switch on, it would shut the electrical system down, so we had to push-start it the last two sessions. It made it interesting trying to blend on the racetrack."

In the second session, though, Almirola blended well enough to set the record.

NOTES: Logano is the only driver to make the final round of all seven knockout qualifying sessions held so far this season. ... David Reutimann failed to make the 43-car field. ... Coming off a 43rd-place finish last Sunday at Texas -- the result of an early accident -- Dale Earnhardt Jr. will start 15th. ... Six-time series champion Jimmie Johnson will take the green flag in 26th place after failing to advance to the second round of knockout qualifying.

NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Qualifying - Bojangles' Southern 500

Darlington Raceway

Darlington, South Carolina

Friday, April 11, 2014

1. (4) Kevin Harvick, Chevrolet, 183.479 mph.

2. (22) Joey Logano, Ford, 183.049 mph.

3. (43) Aric Almirola, Ford, 182.946 mph.

4. (9) Marcos Ambrose, Ford, 182.485 mph.

5. (2) Brad Keselowski, Ford, 182.059 mph.

6. (1) Jamie McMurray, Chevrolet, 182.019 mph.

7. (31) Ryan Newman, Chevrolet, 181.985 mph.

8. (18) Kyle Busch, Toyota, 181.763 mph.

9. (24) Jeff Gordon, Chevrolet, 181.756 mph.

10. (11) Denny Hamlin, Toyota, 181.548 mph.

11. (27) Paul Menard, Chevrolet, 181.481 mph.

12. (78) Martin Truex Jr., Chevrolet, 181.200 mph.

13. (41) Kurt Busch, Chevrolet, 182.181 mph.

14. (55) Brian Vickers, Toyota, 181.985 mph.

15. (88) Dale Earnhardt Jr., Chevrolet, 181.689 mph.

16. (15) Clint Bowyer, Toyota, 181.247 mph.

17. (42) Kyle Larson, Chevrolet, 181.194 mph.

18. (47) AJ Allmendinger, Chevrolet, 181.127 mph.

19. (16) Greg Biffle, Ford, 180.947 mph.

20. (3) Austin Dillon, Chevrolet, 180.914 mph.

21. (99) Carl Edwards, Ford, 180.901 mph.

22. (5) Kasey Kahne, Chevrolet, 180.787 mph.

23. (14) Tony Stewart, Chevrolet, 180.185 mph.

24. (51) Justin Allgaier, Chevrolet, 178.958 mph.

25. (20) Matt Kenseth, Toyota, 182.059 mph.

26. (48) Jimmie Johnson, Chevrolet, 181.911 mph.

27. (38) David Gilliland, Ford, 181.548 mph.

28. (17) Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Ford, 181.394 mph.

29. (98) Josh Wise, Chevrolet, 180.549 mph.

30. (7) Michael Annett, Chevrolet, 180.330 mph.

31. (13) Casey Mears, Chevrolet, 180.310 mph.

32. (34) David Ragan, Ford, 180.204 mph.

33. (10) Danica Patrick, Chevrolet, 180.158 mph.

34. (23) Alex Bowman, Toyota, 179.993 mph.

35. (40) Landon Cassill, Chevrolet, 179.717 mph.

36. (77) Dave Blaney, Ford, 179.606 mph.

37. (33) David Stremme, Chevrolet, Owner Points

38. (30) Parker Kligerman, Toyota, Owner Points

39. (83) Ryan Truex, Toyota, Owner Points

40. (36) Reed Sorenson, Chevrolet, Owner Points

41. (32) Travis Kvapil, Ford, Owner Points

42. (26) Cole Whitt, Toyota, Owner Points

43. (66) Joe Nemechek, Toyota, Owner Points

1 driver failed to qualify.

44. (35) David Reutimann, Ford, 178.491 mph
 
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StatFox Super Situations

PHOENIX at DALLAS
Play On - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) off a upset loss as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record 79-39 since 1997. ( 66.9% | 36.1 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

MILWAUKEE at WASHINGTON
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MILWAUKEE) poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) after 42+ games 82-58 since 1997. ( 58.6% | 41.4 units ) 11-11 this year. ( 50.0% | 4.9 units )

UTAH at DENVER
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots 149-85 since 1997. ( 63.7% | 55.5 units ) 24-13 this year. ( 64.9% | 9.7 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | CLEVELAND at CHI WHITE SOX
Play Against – Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 20+ losses in last 30 games against opponent first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 20+ wins in last 30 games
34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% | 22.0 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | CHICAGO CUBS at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 16-1 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in Home games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (6.9) , OPPONENT (2.2)
 
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THE REAL DEAL
Sports Picks

MLB 1000* THE REAL DEAL PLAY
KANSAS CITY -142

MLB 750* Detroit Tigers -134

MLB 500* Cleveland Indians -135

MLB 500* Oakland A's -117

MLB 500* LA Angels -160
 
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GC: NBA Play

Saturday card has the 6* NHL Total Of the Year from a Huge late season System and 2 Late Season 5* NBA Power systems both cashing over 90%. There is MLB and the Analysis for the Bluegrass Stakes and Arkansas Derby. NBA Play below.

The NBA 3* Play is on Dallas. Game 514 at 8:35 eastern. This is the last home game for Dallas. They come in off a tough loss to San Antonio here on Thursday and have now lost the last 2 here. They need this game as it has playoff implications and listening to Dirk Nowitzki post game comments after that loss the Mavs will know doubt be ready for a Phoenix team that blew a double digit lead in their loss to the Spurs last night. In this series the winning team has covered 24 of the last 25 times and Dallas has won 8 of 12 off a favored loss this season. The Suns are playing a 3rd in 4th night on the road and have lost and failed to cover in 3 of the last 4 here. Take Dallas.. On Saturday we have the 6* NHL Total of the Year from a perfect late season totals system. In the NBA There are 2 Late season 90% 5* system sides. MLB is on the card and we also have the Analysis for the 2 major Kentucky Derby preps, the Bluegrass staked and Arkansas Derby. All part of a big day and night. Jump on and flatten your book on Saturday. For the Bonus Play take Dallas. GC
 

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