Service Plays Saturday 12/26/09

[WINNERS_ONLY]

FREDDY WILLS
Kings +7 (3.5 DIME** NBA POD) 16-11-1 ats L28 NBA PODs

The Lakers had a tough game yesterday against the Cavs and now they go on the road to play an uptempo Sacramento team that is hot on 0 days rest. The Lakers are 2-6 in their last 8 on 0 days rest and are 2-4 ATS this year. It comes at a worse situation as the Lakers starters combined for more than 160 minutes they are 0-4 ATS when that happens. I really look for them to struggle here again the last time they were home and then on the road on 0 days rest vs. a fast paced team was Denver and they lost 79-105.
Sacramento is a very good rebounding team and fly under the radar they are 10-4 straight up at home. They just lost to Cleveland at home, but in OT while the Lakers just got man handled by the Cavs. The Kings are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 following a straight up loss by 10+ which they did in OT to the Cavs. They are also 9-1 ATS following an ATS loss. While the Lakers fall under the situation of being on 0 days rest where they by far play their worst defense, the Kings come in on 2 days rest where they are 24-7-1 in their last 32 including 6-0-1 ATS this year where they play their 2nd best defense.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
Don't miss Street's *500 Tomorrow, it will be posted tonight!

*200 North Carolina +1 (NCAAF)
*200 Charlotte Bobcats +6 (NBA)
*200 Chicago Bulls -2 (NBA)
*200 Houston Rockets -8 (NBA)
*200 Phoenix Suns -3 (NBA)

Trey is pasing today.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

supercolt sports

(LittleCaesarsPizzaBowl)
Marshall+3

MeinkeCarCareBowl)
NorthCarolina+2

(EmeraldBowl)
BOSTON COLLEGE +7.5
BC/USC UNDER 45

col hoops
wva-4
nba
Timberwolves(Minnesota)+2
76ers(Philadelphia)+7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marco (sports unlimited)

5*BB Under 45 Pitt/N Carolina

4* Under 203 Hawks/Pacers

4* Kings +7/Lakers

3* Bonus Marshall +3/Ohio (Game already started)

Free phone Griz +8.5/Mavs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NSA

20* CFB Pittsburgh -1.5
20* CFB USC -7
20* NBA Sacramento +5.5
10* CFB Ohio -3
10* NBA Phoenix @ Golden St OVER 233.5
10* CBB West Virginia -3.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Action Jackson- Seton Hall

Payday- 6 on BC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS

10* PF - USC
9* BB - WARRIORS
8* Over NETS

 

[Anthonyd4]

Burns 10* Personal Favorite

USC


BIG AL's DOUBLE-GUARANTEED EMERALD BOWL WINNER
Al McMordie SMASHED the books again on Thursday when he released SMU +11. Big Al is now 4-1 (80%) in the Bowls this season and the WINNING CONTINUES on Saturday in the Emerald Bowl between BC & USC. And it's DOUBLE-GUARANTEED. YOU WIN, or it's FREE, & Sunday's Bowl Winner is also FREE. Get on it.


Boston College

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joey Torelli 12/26 Bonus Plays

NCAAF:
Marshall +3
Marshall/Ohio Under 48
UNC +1
BC +7

NBA:
Bulls -1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Doc's NBA

4-Unit Play #706 Take New Jersey +9 Over Houston (7:35 p.m. EST, Saturday)
3-unit Play #708 Take Chicago -2 ½ Over New Orleans (8 p.m. EST, Saturday)
3-Unit Play #716 Take Utah -7 Over Philadelphia (9 p.m. EST, Saturday)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

Columbus +1.51 over DETROIT

What has happened to the Jackets? Wow, this team has lost complete confidence and as a result are now on a franchise worst eight-game losing streak. They’re not scoring and when they do score three times, which is a rare occurrence these days, they allow four, five or six against. Anyway, the Jackets are not banged up at all and in fact, are one of the healthier teams in the league. The Jackets looked so good to start the year and then they just ran into a brick wall. This Jackets team has to come out of this short break with a sense of urgency and hopefully the break was what they needed. They’re just too talented to keep losing at this pace and let’s not forget the last time they played the Red Wings they were completely humiliated 9-1. Now they get a chance to face a Red Wings team that is depleted, struggling and likely wanted about another week off. They will get Valterri Filppula back tonight but are still without Henrik Zetterberg, Jonathan Ericsson, LW Dan Cleary, D Niklas Kronwall, RW Jason William, LW Johan Franzen and D Andreas Lilja. Detroit has also been shutout in two straight games and they’re as ripe to get beaten as they’ve been in a long, long time. The tag makes this one a game that must be considered. Play: Columbus +1.51 (Risking 2 units).


St. Louis +1.15 over MINNESOTA

The Blue Notes are playing some tremendous hockey these days and should be ready to pick up where they left off before the break. They’re coming off a three-game sweep on the road in Vancouver, Edmonton and Calgary and not too many teams will make that same claim when any season is over. Not only are they winning but they’re a completely healthy group and they’re finally scoring some goals, something they struggled with earlier. The Blue Notes have tightened up defensively as well and in fact, has allowed 25 shots on net or fewer in four of its last six. Meanwhile, the Wild are coming off a 3-1 win over the reeling Oilers but prior to that they had lost two straight too Ottawa and Colorado and they didn’t look pretty in all three. No way are they the better team and with the Blue Notes taking back a price and playing this good, they’re absolutely worthy of a wager here. Play: St. Louis +1.15 (Risking 2 units).


SACRAMENTO +2.48 over L.A. Lakers

Definitely would have preferred the Lakers to have won yesterday over the Cav’s but it’s not the way it turned out and it’s not going to deter from playing against them here. What I do know is that Arco will be electric here and the Kings will be ready to go. Prior to Xmas, Sac hoisted Cleveland and the Cav’s played a terrific game, yet Sac went toe-to-toe with them the whole way. The Kings eventually lost in OT but they played a great game too and should duplicate that here because this team is no fluke. They play hard, they play with fire and enthuSIAsm and they have more young talent than any team in the league. They’ve proven over and over again and they can play with anyone and at home they’re three times as good. Yeah, the Lakers are the Lakers and there’s really not a lot you can say against them. However, hopefully that loss yesterday and the hordes of media it attracted will have them on a bit of a downer here. For sure they didn’t like getting embarrassed by the Cav’s and Kobe has to be feeling the worst of all of them because LeBron out-everythinged him. The hangover from yesterday’s loss could definitely carry over here and if the Lakers aren’t completely ready they’ll get beat by this very impressive Kings team. Furthermore, for the Lakers this game is sandwiched between yesterday’s Cav’s game and Monday against the Nuggets. Play: Sacramento +2.48 (Risking 2 units).


Memphis +8½ over DALLAS

The Mav’s certainly win its fair share of games but as a favorite at home laying points they’ve been a bankroll killer. In fact, at American Airlines Arena, the Mav’s have covered just once in its past 10 games. They even lost to a depleted Trail Blazer team last week. The Grizz are always tough and they’re getting tougher. Memphis has won three straight and also had a chance to beat the Celtics 12 days ago. Basketball has always been about match-ups and these Grizzlies give the Mav’s fits. They’ve beaten them three times in a row and that includes a 16-point win in Memphis in early December. This one goes off at 3:00 PM and we saw yesterday how the pooches did in three early games. This one should also be close and well within this margin. Play: Memphis +8½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

King Creole | NBA Total Sat, 12/26/09 - 10:05 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 717 LAL / 718 SAC Under 209.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
10:05pm ET / Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings
Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

1-9 O/U this year: All NBA road favorites with NO REST (Lakers) off a SU loss...

0-5 O/U last 3 years: All favorites of 6 < points playing off a SU home loss of 15 > points as a favorite of -5 > points (Lakers).... versus any opponent off an ATS loss (Kings).

3-11 O/U this year: All NBA home dogs off a DOUBLE-DIGIT home loss (Kings).... and 0-2 O/U vs division opponents.

3-12-2 O/U this year: All NBA home teams off a SU loss (Kings)... vs a DI~VISION opponent off a SU loss (Lakers)... when the OU line is 210 < points. Home DOGS are 0-3-1 O/U.

3-12 O/U in DECEMBER: All SATURDAY games when the OU line is 200 > points.... and when it's stretched out to 208 > points, the results are 1-6 O/U.

 

[ugk]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

NHL Total Sat, 12/26/09 - 7:05 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 11 MON / 12 TOR Under 6.0 bodog
Analysis: For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "under":

Undefeated so far on a season-high seven-game road trip, the Canadiens look to avenge one of their worst losses of the season Saturday night against thei€r Original Six rival.

Montreal (18-18-3) is 2-1-0 against Toronto (13-17-8) this season, but lost the last matchup 3-0 at home Dec. 1 as rookie Jonas Gustavsson and journeyman Joey MacDonald combined to make 26 saves. It was the third time the Canadiens have been shut out this season.

Jaroslav Halak has given up a total of four goals while starting each of the last three games; Halak made 46 saves against the Hurricanes, one short of the career high he set in a 4-3 overtime win over the Thrashers on Monday. He’s 2-1-0 with a 2.33 goals-against average in three games at Toronto.

On the other side of the rink: The Maple Leafs have been held to two goals or fewer in four straight contests, and are 1-3-1 after winning eight of their previous 11. Toronto is coming off its fourth straight road loss, 3-1 against the New York Islanders on Wednesday night.

Expect another lack-luster offensive performance tonight.

Also, keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of the Leafs last six at home overall.

Bottom line: I expect the Canadiens to continue to play well (even if Carey Price gets the nod tonight) and for Toronto's offensive issues to once again rear its ugly head; when also taking into account these O/U trends, the sharp money in this one is on the UNDER!

 

[doubleornothing]

VR and Ethan Law

Any VR or Ethan Law today? I saw Ethan had 2% on USC, but no VR?

Thanks!

DON

 

[ugk]

KING CREOLE

CFB Total Sat, 12/26/09 - 8:00 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 217 Boston College / 218 Southern Cal Under 46.0 bodog
Analysis:
8:00pm ET / EMERALD BOWL / USC Trojans vs BOSTON COLLEGE Eagles
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

Put the USC Trojans in a PRE-New Years Day Bowl... and they don't give a s**t. For you ATS fans, we note that USC has played EIGHT pre-New Years Day Bowl games. They have gone a PERFECT 0-8 ATs in this game! Also, we note that they have gone a PERFCT 0-4 O/U in these games in the last 14 seasons. Sharp players already know that the Trojans are 'trending UNDER' as of late. USC has gone 13-28-1 O/U as favorites in the last 4 seasons. Also 6-17 O/U after allowing < 100 yards rushing in their last game. Meanwhile, the EAGLES of Boston College are 1-6 O/U as underdogs of 3 to 10 points... a PERFECT 0-5 O/U in their last 5 NON-conference games... and 1-4 O/U in Neutral site games.

In our database collection, we have created an Over / Under set for ALL Bowl games played on the SATURDAY after Christmas. And these games have also 'trended UNDER' in the last few years. 70% UNDER to be exact in the last 4 seasons. And when the OU Line is LESS than 50 points in these games, the results are 1-6 O/U.

USCs defense is not anywhere the dominant unit like they have been. But this is still a good defense, and they put up respectable defensive numbers vs. high powered offenses in the Pac-10. They should be able to contain BC. Trojans gave up single digits 5 times. 3 of those 5 teams were AZ State, UCLA, and Cal. You'll notice, I compared UCLA AND AZ State to Boston College.

USC's defense had a couple of bad games where their defensive stats got messed up. Those were games against big time offenses like Stanford, Oregon and Oregon State giving up 55, 47, and 36. Notre Dame has a pretty good offense they scored 27. Arizona's offense is okay, they scored 21. All of these offenses are much better than Bo~ston College's.

Considering the way BCs offense played down the stretch and how USC has shut down poor offenses, I think it may be tough for BC to hit the 17 point mark, or it will be very close.

I think best case scenario: USC scores around 24 and best case scenario BC scores around 17. That is a best case scenario score of 41, with a total set for 45 basically.

With USC having offensive suspensions, and a freshman QB, they shouldn't all of the sudden click and go off offensively. And with BC struggling to score down the stretch, having a freshman QB themselves, and traveling to the west coast, they shouldn't all of the sudden click and fire on all cylinders.

Neither of these freshman have done anything to suggest that they will get their teams and offenses to fire vs. opposing good defenses. Both teams have inconsistencies. It just looks like this may be an ugly, sloppy game

 

[ugk]

ATS Lock Club

4 Units Suns

3 Units Lakers

 

[DeuceII]

vegas-runner | CFB Side
free pick 215 North Carolina 1.0 (-110) BetUS vs 216 PittsburghAnalysis: ** NCAAFB FREE BOWL PICK **
Unfortunately...the Betting Syndicates beat me to the "move"...and went ahead and Bought-Up all of the +3 that was available on UNC for this afternoon's Meineke Car Care Bowl...
Now many times, I will still go ahead and take a position after the books have had a chance to adjust for "Steam"...because I feel that there is still plenty of Value...
But in this spot...the Wiseguys took the kind of Value that I still need to make an Official Bet...
With that said...I will definitely be using UNC +1 on a handful of "courtesy bets" for Saturday's Action...Best of Luck, VR...

 

[ugk]

NHL PRO PICKS

NY Islanders +155
Carolina +103
Ottawa +172
Columbus +145
Tampa Bay -102 (bet to win 1 unit)
Edmonton +187
Anaheim +201

 

[jonnyangel]

sportsbetsnow 0-6 L3D

NCAAF

2 units UNC +1
1 unit BC +7

NBA

2 units Philly +7
2 units Houston -8.5

 

[DeuceII]

Any1 have vr? Thx

vegas-runner | CFB TotalSat, 12/26/09 - 4:30 PM ¾~
double-dime bet215 North Carolina / 216 Pittsburgh UNDER 46.0 Bodog
Analysis: ** NCAAFB 2* "PRI ME-TIME" PERSONAL PLAY **


vegas-runner | CFB TotalSat, 12/26/09 - 8:00 PM ¾~
triple-dime bet217 Boston College / 218 Southern Cal OVER 45.0 Bodog
Analysis:
*** NCAAFB 3* "PRIME-TIME" BOWL BOMB ***

We are really getting some excellent betting value on the OVER...Due to "Public Perception", which is based on all the attention that the Defenses are getting for BOTH of these teams coming into this Bowl Game...And because of that, we are able to get a very fair Total to go Over...Which according to my "True Line", is almost "6" Points to o low...Bottom Line, this USC Defense has allowed some points this season...and in 5 of their L/7 games, we've seen teams them allow 27, 36, 47, 55, & 21...And although the BC Defense has looked good all season, given time to prepare...I expect Caroll to have this Trojan Offense ready to put some points on the board...So let's go ahead and bet this game OVER 45, and see if we can get some points from BOTH teams...and cash this BIG BOMB...VR