Service Plays Saturday 12/05/09

[LLXC13]

Pointwise

Key Releases:
Rating 1
LOUISIANA TECH 48 - San Jose State 7 - (2:00) -- Bulldogs' 3-8 record is a joke. Are +15 ppg ATS at home, running for 268 ypg in lined hosters, with Porter & Jenkins (16/5) leading that "O". Spartans off first LG win since '08 (FG in last 0:34), & have a 158-46 pt deficit last 5 outings. Can't stop the run.

Rating 4
ACC CHAMPIONSHIP @ Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Georgia Tech 33 - Clemson 24 - (8:00 - ESPN) -- Both teams must regroup off terrible showings, with 8-gm & 6-gm runs snapped. Tech was at 366 RYpg prior 6 games, before just 205, in 30-24 loss to Ga. Tigers were also posting big RY numbers, but only 90 RYpg last 2 outings. Clemson is a notorious streak team.

Rating 5
CONFERENCE USA CHAMPIONSHIP Houston 44 - EAST CAROLINA 30 - (12:00 - ESPN) -- Explosive Coogs just keep on doing it. At 48.3 ppg last 7 outings, with Keenum now 38/6 & 71%. Check 59 pts & 465 yds in 1st half LW. Pirates 5 pts from 8-0 ATS run, but have topped 176 RYs just twice, & rank disastrous 85th in passing "D". Coogs!

 

[LLXC13]

Northcoast Power Plays

4.5★ PITTSBURGH 32 CINCINNATI 26
4★ ILLINOIS 30 FRESNO STATE 23
4★ LOUISIANA TECH 32 SAN JOSE STATE 7
3★ RUTGERS (+) 20 WEST VIRGINIA 18
3★ BOISE ST 53 NEW MEXICO STATE 0
3★ ARIZONA (+) 22 USC 26
3★ CALIFORNIA 29 WASHINGTON 21

 

[LLXC13]

Northcoast Power Sweep

3* RUTGERS over W Virginia, Forecast 23-16
3* Clemson over Georgia Tech, Forecast: 31-24
2* Arizona (+) over USC, Forecast: 23-26
2* LOUISIANA TECH over San Jose State, Forecast: 34-6
Underdog Play of the week: Usf (+7) over CONNECTICUT, Forecast: 20-21

 

[LLXC13]

Sports Memo Newsletter

Best Bets:

Louisiana Tech
Situational - Tech comes in off a bye and has played hard the last month despite some tough defeats. San Jose held New Mexico State to 218 yards but needed a FG with 34 seconds remaining to earn the victory. Fundamental - Because of its poor overall record, Tech looks down from last year. However, their conference stats are the same as last year’s team that went 5- 3. With five losses by one score or less, this year’s Bulldogs could easily be 6-5 or even 7-4. You can’t make that argument with woeful San Jose State. Game Notes - The Spartans ranked 111th in third down defense, allowing opponents to convert at a 45% clip.

Florida Intl
Situational - Last year’s Shula Bowl was bananas to say the least with 56 points scored in the fourth quarter alone. International comes off a late season bye while Atlantic hasn’t had a break since mid- October. Fundamental - We’ll make this real simple; both teams can move the football, both teams can’t stop the football. If both teams were to lineup for a best of seven series, even money would be the price on it going the distance. For every advantage, there is a disadvantage that offsets it. Game Notes - Neither team has beaten a league foe that currently has a winning record in conference play.

 

[LLXC13]

Pointwise Red Sheet

RATINGS: 89 & ABOVE: SUPERIOR PLAY
88 & BELOW: ABOVE AVERAGE PLAY

LOUISIANA TECH 51 - San Jose State 7 - (2:00 EST) -- Line opened at LaTech minus 17, and is now minus 18. As our readers are well aware, we've been on this Bulldog squad in the host role for the past couple of seasons, & have been duly rewarded. This year, they have not only covered all 3 HGs, but by an average spread margin of 15 ppg. Their 3-8 straightup record is highly misleading, as they've covered their last 4 games, all vs teams which will play in bowls, while scoring 34, 35, & 28 pts in 3 of those matches. Spartans in off their only Div 1A win of the season, vs 3-9 NMexSt, by 3 pts in the final 0:34. Bulldog blowout!
RATING: LOUISIANA TECH 90

CONNECTICUT 34 - South Florida 17 - (8:00) -- Line opened at Connecticut minus 61⁄2, and is now minus 7. The Huskies of UConn are another team whose record hardly reflects its true worth. Five losses by a combined 15 pts, & those all coming vs bowl squads, with names such as NoCaro, Pitt, WestVa, Rutgers, & Cincinnati. But the pressure is now off, as last week's win over Syracuse places them in the bowl eligible column. The Bulls of SoFlorida opened at 5- 0, seemingly overcame the loss of their brilliant leader, QB Grothe, but that has gone by the boards, losing their last 2 RGs by a combined 72-14 score. Host series.
RATING: CONNECTICUT 89

BOISE STATE 66 - New Mexico State 0 - (3:00) -- Line opened at BoiseSt minus 45, and is now minus 461⁄2. Sure, it seems ridiculous in backing a team laying such an astronomical amount of pts. However, the Broncos simply own the top scoring team in the nation, while the Ags check in with the absolute worst scoring offense in the land. Boise has reached the 6th spot in the nation, & another romping win could project them even higher. Led by QB Moore (38 TD passes), we would not be surprised if this spot is covered by intermission.
RATING: BOISE STATE 88

 

[LLXC13]

Winning Points Newsletter

****BEST BET
WASHINGTON* over CALIFORNIA by 14
As the season goes on and the win/loss records become identifiers for teams, often the public will have a great deal of trouble rating a side that lost a series of tough games. They just get blended in after a while. Washington is just such a team – if the Huskies had just a bit more experience and confidence, losses to Notre Dame, Arizona State and U.C.L.A. could have been reversed, and remember what the box score showed in that loss to L.S.U. to open the season. Steve Sarkisian has had them playing with a lot of enthusiasm and very positive energy in his first season of the building process in Seattle, and we will call for them to go out in style in a game that should not really be considered an upset. The combination of a bye two weeks ago, and then that methodical home shutout of Washington State last week, means that the physical tank is well-stocked for this setting, as is the confidence level, and that makes this a bowl game for the Huskies. There is no such magic for over-rated Cal. The Bears did rise to the occasion at Stanford in that showdown, but this trip now shapes up as a bit of a yawner, especially since they will be going bowling in a couple of weeks. But that Stanford win does inflate this line, and a defense that has allowed five Pac 10 opponents to roll for over 400 yards, includ- ing Washington State and U.C.L.A., the two worst offenses in the conference, more than has its hands full on the road keeping Jake Locker in check. WASHINGTON 37-23.

 

[LLXC13]

Randall the Handle

HAWAII +12½ over Wisconsin PINNACLE
Here is what’s at stake for Hawaii this Saturday: Win and they play in their Hawaii bowl against former coach June Jones and Southern Methodist. Lose and the season is over. Understand this about College Football – motivation plays an incredible role in determining the outcome of a game. While the motivation factor for Hawaii is as high as it’s going to be, the same can not be said for Wisconsin. Wisconsin must travel to Hawaii to play in a game that means very little to them in the grand scheme of things, as their fates have already been determined. Wisconsin will play in a bowl game against a good SEC or Big 12 team regardless of this games result and one could understand if they choose to go through the motions Saturday. Wisconsin is a double-digit road favorite for a reason, however, as they lead the Big 10 in points per game but have not defeated any notable teams. Wisconsin scheduled very, very lightly, not playing a road game until October 3rd and only won 2 road games the entire season. Hawaii is rolling, having won 4 straight to put themselves in this win-and-their in position. Hawaii defeated Navy at home, a big win that they absolutely needed and that shows what this team can do when it plays with a sense of urgency. Quarterback Bryant Moniz has played adequately this year, averaging 244 passing yards per game to go along with a 13-8 touchdown to interception ratio. Moniz has been injured this season and probably hasn’t practiced as much as Coach Greg McMackin would have liked, but he gives Hawaii the best chance to win this Saturday. Prepare for a shootout and maximum effort from the Warriors as they look to play against their old coach this bowl season. Wisconsin has the talent advantage but it won’t play as big a role as it would if this was the first game of the year. Take the points. Play: #326 Hawaii +12½ (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

 

[Born2Booze]

from their website.. :drink:

DESTROY THE BOOK SPORTS
12/5/09- Saturday At The Track
$5.00

AQUEDUCT
(post- 12:30pm)

Race1
#3- Gin Tango
#8- Disco Diva

Race2
#5- TheManintheGlass
#3- Afleet Express

Race3
#5- Successful Sarah
#3- MoreThanaReason

Race5
#8- Four Star Bo

Race6
#6- Five Aces

Race7
#7- Mustang Fever

Race8
#3- Distorted Passion

 

[Gabanaks]

Gus Picks

Saturday Game:

50 Units: Louisiana Tech (-18)
50 Units: Alabama (+4)

 

[Typhoon]

Kelso:
50 units Alabama +5
10 units La Tech -23.5
5 units Pitt +2
4 units West Virginia +1.5
3 units Arizona +7

Root:
10* Washington +7
6* Pitt +2.5
4* East Carolina +3
GOY Clemson -1

can u get the rest of Root
3* vegas legend......noon start
TV GOW
Favorite GOW

His Bonus Play = Rutgers

 

[THECHICAGOCONNECTION]

ChicagoSportsConnection

ChicagoSportsConnection
NBA Saturday

4**** ...OVER 204...Atlanta @ Dallas...........9:00 ET
After looking harder into this game I've upgraded this from a 2* freeplay to a full unit play.

Both teams are playing their 3rd in 4...

both traveling...not much D expected.

DALL...6 of last 7 @home have gone over 206.

ATL had a couple preps for this shootout...

Lost last night 114-107 vs NYK and beat TOR 146-115 on Wednesday.



5***** ...TORONTO +7 @ Chicago..............8:00 ET
Word is TOR had a team meeting after their blowout loss to ATL on Wednesday.

The air was cleared and everyone is on the same page....and it showed last night.

I look for a tight game vs a low-scoring CHIC group.

Predicting a 97-94 type game.



2** .....UNDER 207.....Toronto @ Chicago.....8:00 ET
See above.

 

[LLXC13]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL

4* Best Bet = Louisiana Tech
3* = Texas
2* = Illinois
2* = Boise State

 

[LLXC13]

Insider Sports Report
5* Cincinnati -1.5 over Pittsburgh (NCAAF)
4* Georgia Tech Pk over Clemson (NCAAF)
3* Florida/Alabama UNDER 41.5 (NCAAF)
3* Texas -14 over Nebraska (NCAAF)

 

[LLXC13]

StatFox Platinum Sheet Best Bets CFB:

Dave: USC, Hawaii, Fl. Intl, Houston, Nebraska
John: W Kentucky, Illinois, Hawaii, Georgia Tech, Nebraska
Steve: Arkansas St, Illinois, USC, Houston, Nebraska
Doug: Oregon St, Connecticut, Rutgers, Houston, Alabama

StatFox Dave 41 22 1 65%
StatFox John 37 25 1 60%
StatFox Steve 31 31 3 50%
StatFox Doug 29 33 2 47%

 

[LLXC13]

Joyce Sterling
College Football Saturday


San Jose St.+23.5 vs Louisiana Tech 2:00 EST
Revenging last year's 21-0 loss. Coming off a 13-10 win. They score points in this game
. Winning Head Coach Tomey is leaving and players play hard.

Arizona +7 vs USC
10 STAR Game
The Wildcats have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and 4 of the last 5 here.
USC is 2-8 ATS vs conference revenge and have failed to cover 5 straight as favorites of less than 13. USC offense is sputtering averaging only 20.8 points per game.

South Florida +7 @ Connecticut
The Huskies are emotionally drained and have lost the stats in each of their last 3 games allowing season high yardage in 2 of those games.

 

[LLXC13]

John Harrison

Houston/East Carolina OVER 69 (1,000,000 UNITS)
Cincinnati pk (1,000,000 UNITS)
Georgia Tech (1,000,000 UNITS)

 

[LLXC13]

Mike Lineback

[711-712] 4* Atlanta Hawks/Dallas Mavericks UNDER 204.5 -110 | 9:00p ET

[314] 4* Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 -125 (1/2 pt buy) | 12:30p ET

[332] 4* Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 -110 | 4:00p ET

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dr. Bob


2 Star Selection
**Nebraska 16 Texas (-14.5) 24 (at Arlington)
05:00 PM Pacific, 05-Dec-09

I'll take Nebraska in a 2-Star Best Bet at +14 points or more

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz free picks

fla atlantic
arizona
hawaii
all cfb

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
363 - 253 run 59 %

Bonus Play Sat FB Houston -3