Service Plays Saturday 11/21/09

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 21

Game 315-316: Ohio State at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 106.830; Michigan 87.973
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 19; 45
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 11 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-11 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Northern Illinois at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 81.407; Ohio 81.719
Dunkel Line: Even; 46
Vegas Line: Ohio by 1; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+1); Over

Game 319-320: Virginia at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 82.268; Clemson 103.787
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 21 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Clemson by 20 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-20 1/2); Under

Game 321-322: Wisconsin at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 95.940; Northwestern 87.523
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-7); Over

Game 323-324: Minnesota at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 91.033; Iowa 96.454
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 5 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Iowa by 10; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+10); Over

Game 325-326: Louisville at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 81.879; South Florida 91.685
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 10; 42
Vegas Line: South Florida by 11 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+11 1/2); Under

Game 327-328: Rutgers at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 95.516; Syracuse 82.940
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 12 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 9 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-9 1/2); Under

Game 329-330: Purdue at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 86.084; Indiana 86.601
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 1; 64
Vegas Line: Purdue by 3; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3); Over

Game 331-332: Maryland at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 78.718; Florida State 97.044
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 18 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Florida State by 19 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+19 1/2); Under

Game 333-334: North Carolina at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 96.008; Boston College 96.169
Dunkel Line: Even; 34
Vegas Line: Boston College by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3 1/2); Under

Game 335-336: North Carolina State at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 80.430; Virginia Tech 103.682
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 23 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 21; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-21); Over

Game 337-338: Iowa State at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 83.208; Missouri 100.212
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 17; 46
Vegas Line: Missouri by 15; 50
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-15); Under

Game 339-340: Vanderbilt at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 82.781; Tennessee 98.163
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 15 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 17; 45
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+17); Under

Game 341-342: Kentucky at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 86.335; Georgia 97.910
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 11 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Georgia by 8; 51
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-8); Under

Game 343-344: Kent State at Temple
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 77.118; Temple 90.960
Dunkel Line: Temple by 14; 42
Vegas Line: Temple by 11; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-11); Under

Game 345-346: TCU at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 110.625; Wyoming 76.013
Dunkel Line: TCU by 34 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: TCU by 31; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-31); Over

Game 347-348: Mississippi State at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 90.924; Arkansas 106.318
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 15 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 10 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-10 1/2); Under

Game 349-350: Connecticut at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 92.648; Notre Dame 94.826
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6; 57
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+6); Over

Game 351-352: Oregon State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 102.351; Washington State 68.057
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 34 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 30 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-30 1/2); Over

Game 353-354: Penn State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 101.701; Michigan State 95.608
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 6; 43
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-3); Under

Game 355-356: Arizona State at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 87.671; UCLA 95.905
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 8 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: UCLA by 4 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-4 1/2); Under

Game 357-358: California at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: California 92.610; Stanford 109.406
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 17; 72
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7; 65
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-7); Over

Game 359-360: LSU at Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 100.020; Mississippi 103.912
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 4 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+4 1/2); Under

Game 361-362: Air Force at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 88.688; BYU 99.374
Dunkel Line: BYU by 10 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: BYU by 10; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-10); Under

Game 363-364: UAB at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 76.410; East Carolina 93.289
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 17; 62
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 12; 56
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-12); Over

Game 365-366: Kansas State at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 86.058; Nebraska 104.527
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 18 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 16 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-16 1/2); Over

Game 367-368: Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 110.134; Texas Tech 104.139
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 6 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+6 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: Baylor at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 83.599; Texas A&M 91.958
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 8 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 7; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-7); Under

Game 371-372: UTEP at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 74.678; Rice 69.501
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 5; 75
Vegas Line: UTEP by 6 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+6 1/2); Over

Game 373-374: San Diego State at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 72.018; Utah 96.737
Dunkel Line: Utah by 24 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Utah by 20; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-20); Over

Game 375-376: Louisiana Tech at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 80.627; Fresno State 93.358
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-9 1/2); Under

Game 377-378: Colorado State at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 68.660; New Mexico 71.195
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+4); Under

Game 379-380: Oregon at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 111.545; Arizona 100.925
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 10 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Oregon by 5 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-5 1/2); Over

Game 381-382: SMU at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 81.609; Marshall 85.155
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 3 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Marshall by 4; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+4); Over

Game 383-384: Tulsa at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 86.396; Southern Mississippi 87.159
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 8 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+8 1/2); Under

Game 385-386: Kansas at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 90.158; Texas 121.188
Dunkel Line: Texas by 31; 58
Vegas Line: Texas by 27 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-27 1/2); Over

Game 387-388: Duke at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 84.459; Miami (FL) 101.831
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 20; 56
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+20); Over

Game 389-390: Memphis at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 70.659; Houston 95.919
Dunkel Line: Houston by 25 1/2; 80
Vegas Line: Houston by 23 1/2; 75 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-23 1/2); Over

Game 391-392: Tulane at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 64.445; Central Florida 90.404
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 26; 55
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 21; 48
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-21); Over

Game 393-394: Nevada at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 96.981; New Mexico State 63.488
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 33 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Nevada by 30; 58
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-30); Over

Game 395-396: Hawaii at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 71.226; San Jose State 77.577
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 6 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 3; 55
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+3); Over

Game 397-398: Florida International at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 70.758; Florida 110.869
Dunkel Line: Florida by 40; 58
Vegas Line: Florida by 45; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+45); Over

Game 399-400: Army at North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Army 66.889; North Texas 70.904
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 4; 49
Vegas Line: North Texas by 2; 51
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-2); Under

Game 401-402: Florida Atlantic at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 71.747; Troy 90.234
Dunkel Line: Troy by 18 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Troy by 16; 67
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-16); Over

Game 403-404: UL Monroe at UL Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 75.554; UL Lafayette 73.713
Dunkel Line: UL Monroe by 2; 48
Vegas Line: UL Monroe by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL Lafayette (+3); Under

Game 405-406: Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 70.240; Middle Tennessee State 85.862
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11; 49
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-11); Under
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Boise State (-23) Friday night.

Today in college football it's Missouri and Nebraska. The surplus is 750 sirignanos.
 

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john ryan 25* GOY


Game: Rutgers at Syracuse Nov 21 2009 3:30PM
Prediction: Syracuse
Reason: Ai Simulator 25* graded play on Syracuse as they host Rutgers set to start at 3:30 EST. AiS shows an 89% probability that Syracuse will lose this game by 8 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 73-29 for 72% winners since 2004. Play against a road team after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread in weeks 10 through 13. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 49-21 for 70% winners since 1992. Play on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games facing an opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games. Here is a 3rd system that has gone 63-27 ATS for 70% winners since 1999. Play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference matchups and is a good offensive team scoring 28-34 PPG facing an average defensive team allowing 21-28 PPG. Here is a 4th system that uses the money line and exploits false favorites with an average play of +149 producing a 51-24 mark for 68% winners over the past 10 seasons. Play on a home team versus the money line after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers facing an opponent after 2 consecutive games where they forced 3 or more turnovers. Rutgers is off a 31-0 pasting of South Florida where they were the beneficiary of four South Florida turnovers. Note that Rutgers is just 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers since 1992. In Syracuse’s last game they allowed just 34 rushing yards on 35 carries at Louisville. Syracuse is a solid 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. This play ranks among the top-25 strongest graded plays produced by my AiS spanning more than 16 seasons. The accompanying series of systems and angles serve only to reinforce the strength of this play. Best of Luck to all of us. Take Syracuse.
 
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Chicago sports connection

CHICAGO SPORTS CONNECTION

3:30 EST (time change)
#327 RUTGERS -8.5 @ Syracuse

4:30 EST (time change)
#406 MID TENN ST -10 vs Ark St

7:00 EST
#403 UL MONROE-3.5 @ La Lafayette

7:30 EST (time change)
#341 KENTUCKY +9.5 @ Georgia
 

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Trace Adams
Trace Adams 2000* - Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 500* - Kentucky Wildcats, 500* - Kansas State Wildcats Yes, last week's 500♦ Pay-After play was Syracuse plus the points at Louisville, and while the Orange covered, they did lose that game, and they scored only 9-points in the process.

That makes 3 straight losses for Coach Marrone's team, and they have scored only 26-points total in those 3 setbacks.

Into town comes a rested-and-ready Rutgers team that is playing just their 2nd game this month, and their first since holding South Florida to 159 yards, and 7 first downs in a 31-0 wax-job.

Rutgers has won and covered their last 3, and they have also won and covered the last 4 series meetings against the Orangemen.

The Knights have also covered 7 in a row on the road, and with Coach Schiano wanting to use this game for recruiting purposes, don't expect any let up by the visitor in this one.

42-15 is my projected final, although I have my doubts the 'Cuse will muster that many points.

2000♦ - Rutgers Scarlet Knights

So Georgia stuck it to me, and to Auburn last week in Athens. I will still go against this Bulldogs team that played an unusually "clean" game last week as far as penalties, and turnovers are concerned.

Georgia has only covered 1 of their last 8 lined home games, and they do have 21 turnovers on their stat sheet this season.

Kentucky went through a bunch of early season injuries, and now they are reaping the rewards, as the 'Cats depth has been a strong suit down the stretch for UK this season, and I honestly think Kentucky has a shot at the outright here.

The Wildcats are 14-3-1 their last 18 against the spread on the road, and they have covered ALL 3 SEC road games this season as the dog.

Last year a better Georgia team was only able to win 42-38 over Kentucky, I expect around a 4-point final again tonight.

500♦ - Kentucky Wildcats

Big 12 North Title up for grabs in Lincoln today, and while Nebraska has the home field edge, I think this number is way too high for the Huskers to clear.

Nebraska is just 2-5 against the spread under Bo Pelini when hosting the Big 12, and Kansas State has done a nice job under Bill Snyder covering 4 of their last 6 in the underdog role.

The Cornhuskers have totaled 20-points or less in 4 of their last 5, games, so tell me if they hit that price range again, how are they going to cover this impost?

Exactly, they are NOT going to cover this impost.

Take the points and the Wildcats to keep it tight at Memorial Stadium.

500♦ - Kansas State Wildcats



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----------GL GUYS:103631605
 
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Mike Lineback 11/21

Premium Selections

[327] 4* Rutgers -8.5 -105 | 3:30p ET

[370] 4* Texas A & M -5.5 -110 | 3:30p ET
 
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R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sat.-Nov. 21

Just a note from me: Be careful here, I see John Ryan has a lock of the year on Syracuse. :+clueless

R.A.W. FOOTBALL - Sat.

5* Lock = Rutgers
3* = Tennessee
3* = Houston
2* = Texas
2* = UCLA
 

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Stephen Nover Saturday's winner ... 75 Dime RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS - I don't see battered and demoralized Syracuse being able to compete at all with Rutgers. The Orangemen can barely dress 50 players with all the injuries they have suffered.

Rutgers cracked the Top 25 and deservedly so. The Scarlet Knights' only two losses have been to top-10 powerhouses Cincinnati and Pittsburgh.

Rutgers has won seven of its last eight games. They are off a confidence-building 31-0 blanking of South Florida, a former top-25 team. The Scarlet Knights have had a couple of extra days of rest and preparation. The schedule has laid out well for them. They will be fresh for this matchup.

That's not the case for Syracuse, which has had more players lost to injuries and suspensions than perhaps any other team.

Just in the last two weeks, the Orangemen have had six players injured severely enough that they are out for the season. Syracuse has a cluster injury problem at nearly every position. The worst, though, was star wide receiver Mike Williams quitting the team. The Orangemen have no offense without him.

Rutgers has allowed just 11.8 points per game during its last eight contests. The Scarlet Knights have forced 28 turnovers during this span. Syracuse has one of the worst turnover ratios in the country.

Rutgers has been a proven profit-maker on the road covering its last seven away matchups. Syracuse is 4-10-1 against the spread the past 15 times it has been a home 'dog.

Syracuse has no bowl possibilities and has lost eight consecutive Big East games. The motivation, talent and situation is all with Rutgers. Look for the Scarlet Knights to win this game handily.


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------GL GUYS:103631605
 
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Dave Hochman

361 Air Force +10
423 Saints OV 51
413 Colts -1
312 Toledo -16
365 Kansas St +16
436 Texans -5
Best Bet:
358 Sanford -7
 

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Bob Valentino
Saturday's 30 Dime winner ... 30 DIME: TENNESSEE (minus the points vs. Vanderbilt)


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Kelso:
100 units UCF -22
100 units UL Monroe -3.2
15 units North Carolina +3.2
5 units Rutgers -8.5
4 units Kentucky +4.5
3 units Kansas State +16.5

Root:
Billionaire Club GOY: Michigan State +3
10 * Ole Miss
7* Arizona
4* California
 
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Scott Ferrall

NCAAF FREE POINTS TOTAL PICKS

Nevada / New Mexico State OVER 58
Hawaii / San Jose State UNDER 55

Army / North Texas UNDER 51
FAU / Troy OVER 67
Arkansas State / Middle Tennessee OVER 48 ½
 

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Billionaires Club...the Game Of The Year

Mich St.

Wayne Allen Root

WAYNE ROOT
2009 Football Upset Club
Saturday, November 21, 2009

4*California (+7½) over Stanford
7:30 PM -- Stanford Stadium




7*Arizona (+5) over Oregon
8:00 PM -- Arizona Stadium

Paid/Confirmed
 

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