Smooth44
CFB<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:time hour="12" minute="0">
12:00PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
133 Clemson
134 NC State<o></o>
TOP PLAY: NC STATE +8<o></o>
TOP PLAY: NC STATE MONEYLINE +255<o></o>
After their upset win over Pittsburgh NCST dropped 4 straight before beating <st1:state><st1
lace>Maryland</st1
lace></st1:state> last week. That win snapped their losing streak but also moved NCST to a PERFECT 8-0 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> in November L2 seasons!! Today they play host to a Clemson team that is coming off a huge rivalry win over <st1
lace><st1
lacename>Florida</st1
lacename> <st1
lacetype>State</st1
lacetype></st1
lace>. Despite their 4-5 mark we can not over look what QB Russell Wilson has done this season completing more than 60 percent of his passes for nearly 2,400 yards and 24 TDs against just 9 picks!! Look for <st1:city><st1
lace>Wilson</st1
lace></st1:city> to enjoy success today against a Tigers defense that has struggled on the road giving up more than 30 points per game!! Clemson has a history of struggling on the road and this season is no different. In their 3 road games this year Clemson is 2-1 but all 3 games were decided by exactly 3 points!! Look for Clemson to enter this game feeling a little too good after that win last win over FSU and for NCST to shock them!! It is worth noting Clemson is just 1-4 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L5 as a road fave while NCST is a PERFECT 5-0 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L5 as a home dog and a PERFECT 6-0 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L6 after losing 4 of their L5 games!! <o
></o
>
PREDICTION: NC STATE 30 CLEMSON 27<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:time hour="12" minute="0">
12:00PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
139 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Texas</st1
lace></st1:state>
140 Baylor<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1
lace>
TEXAS</st1
lace></st1:state>
-23 -120<o></o>
It will probably be a long time before you see me lay 23 points again but it is tough for me to ignore this one. Baylor is coming off a SU win over Mizzou as a double digit dog and kids at this level fail miserably in this spot!! <st1:state><st1
lace>Texas</st1
lace></st1:state> has owned this squad and as much as I believe <st1:state><st1
lace>Texas</st1
lace></st1:state> is severely over-rated there is little reason to think they won’t steamroll the Bears today!! Take the over-rated Longhorns over another weak opponent!! It is worth noting that Baylor is 4-12 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L16 as a home dog including 3-7 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L10 as a home dog of 10.5 points or more and are 5-16 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L21 home games versus a team with a winning road record!!
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1
lace>
TEXAS</st1
lace></st1:state>
45 BAYLOR 10<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:time hour="15" minute="30">
3:30PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
149 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Nebraska</st1
lace></st1:state>
150 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Kansas</st1
lace></st1:state>
<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1
lace>
KANSAS</st1
lace></st1:state>
+4<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1
lace>
KANSAS</st1
lace></st1:state>
MONEYLINE +165<o></o>
This is a perfect spot for <st1:state><st1
lace>Kansas</st1
lace></st1:state> to rebound off their 4 straight losses as they catch <st1:state><st1
lace>Nebraska</st1
lace></st1:state> coming off a huge upset win over <st1:state><st1
lace>Oklahoma</st1
lace></st1:state>. I backed <st1:state><st1
lace>Nebraska</st1
lace></st1:state> in that win last week but today will gladly go against them!! Despite the Huskers win last week it is important to note they were out-gained by almost 150 yards!! Their offense was non-existent and it was their defense that actually won the game. Today, however, not even their defense can win this one!! <st1:state><st1
lace>Kansas</st1
lace></st1:state> possesses too many weapons offensively and will ultimately wear down the Huskers defense. Defensively, the one thing <st1:state><st1
lace>Kansas</st1
lace></st1:state> does well is defend the run and unfortunately for the Huskers that’s all they can do – or try to do!! The simple goal for <st1:state><st1
lace>Kansas</st1
lace></st1:state> today – get the lead!! If they do it’s lights out for <st1:state><st1
lace>Nebraska</st1
lace></st1:state>!! It is important to note that <st1:state><st1
lace>Kansas</st1
lace></st1:state> qualifies for an incredibly strong system involving certain home teams playing on revenge; these teams have cashed almost 80% of the time over the long haul!!
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1
lace>
KANSAS</st1
lace></st1:state>
27 <st1:state><st1
lace>
NEBRASKA</st1
lace></st1:state>
10<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:time hour="15" minute="30">
3:30PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
123 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Iowa</st1
lace></st1:state>
124 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Ohio</st1
lace></st1:state>
State<o></o>
TOP PLAY – <st1:stockticker>CFB</st1:stockticker> GAME OF THE WEEK: <st1:state><st1lace>IOWA</st1lace></st1:state> +17<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1
lace>
IOWA</st1
lace></st1:state>
MONEYLINE +570<o></o>
Folks, these are the situations that Vegas gets rich on!! All the hype surrounding OSU now that <st1:state><st1
lace>Iowa</st1
lace></st1:state>’s QB went down last week with a season ending injury!! What’s funny is that oddsmakers set the opening line at 13.5 already knowing his season was done but the public quickly pounded this number to 16.5/17 and I will gladly take all of these points and more!! Here is the bottom line!! OSU is a team <st1:country-region><st1
lace>America</st1
lace></st1:country-region> loves to love and even though this offense has been very inconsistent this year the win over <st1
lace><st1
lacename>Penn</st1
lacename> <st1
lacetype>State</st1
lacetype></st1
lace>, a SU win as a 5.5 point dog, has people believing they are a great team – THEY <st1:stockticker>ARE</st1:stockticker> NOT!! Losing QB Stanzi is a blow, no doubt, but <st1:state><st1
lace>Iowa</st1
lace></st1:state>’s defense has an opportunity to shine against a team that relies heavily on the run, something they defend really well!! This will put all pressure on Pryor and he will make a few of his classic bonehead mistakes and give <st1:state><st1
lace>Iowa</st1
lace></st1:state> some short fields to work with!! Look for <st1:state><st1
lace>Iowa</st1
lace></st1:state> to keep this close throughout, <st1:stockticker>AND</st1:stockticker> STEAL THE <st1:stockticker>WIN</st1:stockticker>, through conservative play calling and ball control and look for OSU to have a classic letdown and it helps knowing they are just 2-6 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L8 at home against teams with winning records!! It is worth noting <st1:state><st1
lace>Iowa</st1
lace></st1:state> is 10-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L11 road games including 6-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L7 as a road dog of 10.5 points or more!! The Hawkeyes are also 9-2 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L11 against teams with winning records, are 25-10 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L35 of a SU loss and 22-6 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L28 after scoring 20 or fewer points!!
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1
lace>
IOWA</st1
lace></st1:state>
17 <st1:state><st1
lace>
OHIO</st1
lace></st1:state>
STATE 13
<o> </o>
<st1:time hour="15" minute="30">
3:30PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
183 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Florida</st1
lace></st1:state>
184 <st1:state><st1
lace>
South Carolina</st1
lace></st1:state>
<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1
lace>
SOUTH CAROLINA</st1
lace></st1:state>
+18 -120<o></o>
SC is coming off B2B tough road losses to <st1:state><st1
lace>Tennessee</st1
lace></st1:state> and <st1:state><st1
lace>Arkansas</st1
lace></st1:state> and now hosts <st1:state><st1
lace>Florida</st1
lace></st1:state>, Spurrier’s old team. We find Spurrier and his Cocks in a huge home revenge system that has cashed almost 80% of the time over the long haul. Last year <st1:state><st1
lace>Florida</st1
lace></st1:state> humiliated SC in a 56-6 rout, one of Spurrier’s worst career losses!! The Gators won by 50 as a 21 point fave in that one and now this year only opens as a 15 point fave?? I <st1:stockticker>DON</st1:stockticker>’T THINK SO!! Look for Spurrier’s boys to play with tremendous heart and pride and even give the Gators a scare!!<o
></o
>
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1
lace>
FLORIDA</st1
lace></st1:state>
21 <st1:state><st1
lace>
SOUTH CAROLINA</st1
lace></st1:state>
17<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:time hour="15" minute="30">
3:30PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
163 Stanford
164 <st1:stockticker>
USC</st1:stockticker>
<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1:stockticker>
USC</st1:stockticker>
-10 -120<o></o>
Stanford is coming off their huge an impressive win over <st1:state><st1
lace>Oregon</st1
lace></st1:state> last week – CAN YOU SAY MAJOR LETDOWN?? And the line says it all!! Oddsmakers opened the line at 11.5 knowing the public would take the bait and they are!! But history shows that Stanford falls flat on their faces today!! The Cardinal are just 2-8 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L10 as a road dog including 1-4 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L5 as a road dog of 10.5 points or more!! The Cardinal are laso a horrible 1-7 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L8 on the road against teams with winning records. Meanwhile, <st1:stockticker>USC</st1:stockticker> is 5-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L6 at home against teams with losing records on the <st1:stockticker>ROAD</st1:stockticker>!! <st1:stockticker>USC</st1:stockticker> is over-rated but today they will look like the dominant team of year’s past again with an easy and impressive win!!
PREDICTION: <st1:stockticker>
USC</st1:stockticker>
31 STANFORD 13<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:time hour="19" minute="0">
7:00PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
185 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Alabama</st1
lace></st1:state>
186 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Mississippi</st1
lace></st1:state>
St<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1
lace><st1
lacename>
MISSISSIPPI</st1
lacename><st1
lacetype>
STATE</st1
lacetype></st1
lace>
+13 -120<o></o>
This week MSU enters off a bye week after a huge road win before that and facing a Bama team coming off a huge home win against LSU – certain teams in this spot are an amazing 19-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> since 1980!! Bama’s win last week also clinched the division title so this could be a classic letdown spot. With the Tide’s offense struggling against quality defenses averaging just 20 pts/gm over L4 it is tough to pass up the points today!!<o
></o
>
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1
lace>
ALABAMA</st1
lace></st1:state>
24 <st1:state><st1
lace>
MISSISSIPPI</st1
lace></st1:state>
STATE 20<o></o>
<o> </o>
<st1:time hour="19" minute="30">
7:30PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
193 <st1:state><st1
lace>
Utah</st1
lace></st1:state>
194 TCU<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1
lace>
UTAH</st1
lace></st1:state>
+20<o></o>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1
lace>
UTAH</st1
lace></st1:state>
MONEYLINE +820<o></o>
I have to admit this line is odd but I am taking the bait!! TCU is on a roll and a win here today almost guarantees a <st1:stockticker>BCS</st1:stockticker> bowl berth. However, don’t expect <st1:state><st1
lace>Utah</st1
lace></st1:state> to roll over and play dead!! <st1:state><st1
lace>Utah</st1
lace></st1:state> is a dangerous opponent for TCU because they possess something that a lot of TCU’s opponents didn’t – and that is BALANCE!! The Utes offensive line is big and powerful and they have RB Eddie Wise whose current streak of 100+ yard games is a school record!! They have the defense to slow TCU down and they have the playmakers to keep the Frogs’ defense on their heels!! This one comes down to execution and taking care of the ball. If the Utes can win the turnover margin they will win the game!! Utah is 5-1 SU L6 meetings and 25-7-1 L33 as a road dog. Even more impressive <st1:state><st1
lace>Utah</st1
lace></st1:state> is a PERFECT 7-0 SU when they and their opponent are both ranked in the AP Poll!! <o
></o
>
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1
lace>
UTAH</st1
lace></st1:state>
24 TCU 21<o></o>
<o
> </o
>
<st1:time hour="20" minute="0">
8:00PM EST</st1:time>
<o></o>
161 Notre Dame
162 <st1:city><st1
lace>
Pittsburgh</st1
lace></st1:city>
U<o></o>
TOP PLAY: NOTRE DAME +7 <o></o>
TOP PLAY: NOTRE DAME MONEYLINE +220<o></o>
After losing to Navy last week everyone has jumped off the Irish bandwagon but I will jump on for TODAY!! This is a series that covers 19 games and is rich in tradition. It is important to note the Panthers have only been favored 3 times during this stretch and THEY LOST <st1:stockticker>ALL</st1:stockticker> 3 GAMES OUTRIGHT!! As many of you know I am not a huge fan of Wannstedt and I think he simply gets out-classed at times and today will be just that!! Wannstedt is a horrible 1-6 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> against teams with a winning percentage of 67% or higher!! When they are favored by 8 or less the Panthers are just 2-6 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L8!! The Irish lost to the Panthers last season in quadruple OT and will be seeking redemption for that loss!! Navy beat the Irish last week, true, but it is very possible the Irish got caught looking ahead to this showdown!! The Irish are an incredible 11-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> as a road dog of 8 points or less!! The Irish also qualify for a very unique but incredibly successful system that involves certain road dogs off a SU loss to a military school; those teams are a PERFECT 12-0 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> since 1980 when playing an opponent with a winning percentage of 70% or greater!! Additionally, Pitt qualifies for a system that supports going against certain home faves of 4 or more points who are riding current SU and <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> streaks of 3; these teams have failed miserably going a PERFECT 0-11 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> since 1980!!
PREDICTION” NOTRE DAME 31 <st1:city><st1
lace>
PITTSBURGH</st1
lace></st1:city>
27 <o></o>