Service Plays Saturday 11/14/09

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Smooth44

CFB<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:time hour="12" minute="0">12:00PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
133 Clemson
134 NC State<o:p></o:p>

TOP PLAY: NC STATE +8<o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: NC STATE MONEYLINE +255<o:p></o:p>
After their upset win over Pittsburgh NCST dropped 4 straight before beating <st1:state><st1:place>Maryland</st1:place></st1:state> last week. That win snapped their losing streak but also moved NCST to a PERFECT 8-0 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> in November L2 seasons!! Today they play host to a Clemson team that is coming off a huge rivalry win over <st1:place><st1:placename>Florida</st1:placename> <st1:placetype>State</st1:placetype></st1:place>. Despite their 4-5 mark we can not over look what QB Russell Wilson has done this season completing more than 60 percent of his passes for nearly 2,400 yards and 24 TDs against just 9 picks!! Look for <st1:city><st1:place>Wilson</st1:place></st1:city> to enjoy success today against a Tigers defense that has struggled on the road giving up more than 30 points per game!! Clemson has a history of struggling on the road and this season is no different. In their 3 road games this year Clemson is 2-1 but all 3 games were decided by exactly 3 points!! Look for Clemson to enter this game feeling a little too good after that win last win over FSU and for NCST to shock them!! It is worth noting Clemson is just 1-4 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L5 as a road fave while NCST is a PERFECT 5-0 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L5 as a home dog and a PERFECT 6-0 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L6 after losing 4 of their L5 games!! <o:p></o:p>
PREDICTION: NC STATE 30 CLEMSON 27<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:time hour="12" minute="0">12:00PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
139 <st1:state><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:state>
140 Baylor<o:p></o:p>

TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1:place>TEXAS</st1:place></st1:state> -23 -120<o:p></o:p>
It will probably be a long time before you see me lay 23 points again but it is tough for me to ignore this one. Baylor is coming off a SU win over Mizzou as a double digit dog and kids at this level fail miserably in this spot!! <st1:state><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:state> has owned this squad and as much as I believe <st1:state><st1:place>Texas</st1:place></st1:state> is severely over-rated there is little reason to think they won’t steamroll the Bears today!! Take the over-rated Longhorns over another weak opponent!! It is worth noting that Baylor is 4-12 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L16 as a home dog including 3-7 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L10 as a home dog of 10.5 points or more and are 5-16 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L21 home games versus a team with a winning road record!!
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1:place>TEXAS</st1:place></st1:state> 45 BAYLOR 10<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:time hour="15" minute="30">3:30PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
149 <st1:state><st1:place>Nebraska</st1:place></st1:state>
150
<st1:state><st1:place>Kansas</st1:place></st1:state><o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1:place>KANSAS</st1:place></st1:state> +4<o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1:place>KANSAS</st1:place></st1:state> MONEYLINE +165<o:p></o:p>
This is a perfect spot for <st1:state><st1:place>Kansas</st1:place></st1:state> to rebound off their 4 straight losses as they catch <st1:state><st1:place>Nebraska</st1:place></st1:state> coming off a huge upset win over <st1:state><st1:place>Oklahoma</st1:place></st1:state>. I backed <st1:state><st1:place>Nebraska</st1:place></st1:state> in that win last week but today will gladly go against them!! Despite the Huskers win last week it is important to note they were out-gained by almost 150 yards!! Their offense was non-existent and it was their defense that actually won the game. Today, however, not even their defense can win this one!! <st1:state><st1:place>Kansas</st1:place></st1:state> possesses too many weapons offensively and will ultimately wear down the Huskers defense. Defensively, the one thing <st1:state><st1:place>Kansas</st1:place></st1:state> does well is defend the run and unfortunately for the Huskers that’s all they can do – or try to do!! The simple goal for <st1:state><st1:place>Kansas</st1:place></st1:state> today – get the lead!! If they do it’s lights out for <st1:state><st1:place>Nebraska</st1:place></st1:state>!! It is important to note that <st1:state><st1:place>Kansas</st1:place></st1:state> qualifies for an incredibly strong system involving certain home teams playing on revenge; these teams have cashed almost 80% of the time over the long haul!!
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1:place>KANSAS</st1:place></st1:state> 27 <st1:state><st1:place>NEBRASKA</st1:place></st1:state> 10<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:time hour="15" minute="30">3:30PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
123 <st1:state><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:state>
124
<st1:state><st1:place>Ohio</st1:place></st1:state> State<o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY – <st1:stockticker>CFB</st1:stockticker> GAME OF THE WEEK: <st1:state><st1:place>IOWA</st1:place></st1:state> +17<o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1:place>IOWA</st1:place></st1:state> MONEYLINE +570<o:p></o:p>
Folks, these are the situations that Vegas gets rich on!! All the hype surrounding OSU now that <st1:state><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:state>’s QB went down last week with a season ending injury!! What’s funny is that oddsmakers set the opening line at 13.5 already knowing his season was done but the public quickly pounded this number to 16.5/17 and I will gladly take all of these points and more!! Here is the bottom line!! OSU is a team <st1:country-region><st1:place>America</st1:place></st1:country-region> loves to love and even though this offense has been very inconsistent this year the win over <st1:place><st1:placename>Penn</st1:placename> <st1:placetype>State</st1:placetype></st1:place>, a SU win as a 5.5 point dog, has people believing they are a great team – THEY <st1:stockticker>ARE</st1:stockticker> NOT!! Losing QB Stanzi is a blow, no doubt, but <st1:state><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:state>’s defense has an opportunity to shine against a team that relies heavily on the run, something they defend really well!! This will put all pressure on Pryor and he will make a few of his classic bonehead mistakes and give <st1:state><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:state> some short fields to work with!! Look for <st1:state><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:state> to keep this close throughout, <st1:stockticker>AND</st1:stockticker> STEAL THE <st1:stockticker>WIN</st1:stockticker>, through conservative play calling and ball control and look for OSU to have a classic letdown and it helps knowing they are just 2-6 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L8 at home against teams with winning records!! It is worth noting <st1:state><st1:place>Iowa</st1:place></st1:state> is 10-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L11 road games including 6-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L7 as a road dog of 10.5 points or more!! The Hawkeyes are also 9-2 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L11 against teams with winning records, are 25-10 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L35 of a SU loss and 22-6 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L28 after scoring 20 or fewer points!!
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1:place>IOWA</st1:place></st1:state> 17 <st1:state><st1:place>OHIO</st1:place></st1:state> STATE 13
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<st1:time hour="15" minute="30">3:30PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
183 <st1:state><st1:place>Florida</st1:place></st1:state>
184
<st1:state><st1:place>South Carolina</st1:place></st1:state><o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1:place>SOUTH CAROLINA</st1:place></st1:state> +18 -120<o:p></o:p>
SC is coming off B2B tough road losses to <st1:state><st1:place>Tennessee</st1:place></st1:state> and <st1:state><st1:place>Arkansas</st1:place></st1:state> and now hosts <st1:state><st1:place>Florida</st1:place></st1:state>, Spurrier’s old team. We find Spurrier and his Cocks in a huge home revenge system that has cashed almost 80% of the time over the long haul. Last year <st1:state><st1:place>Florida</st1:place></st1:state> humiliated SC in a 56-6 rout, one of Spurrier’s worst career losses!! The Gators won by 50 as a 21 point fave in that one and now this year only opens as a 15 point fave?? I <st1:stockticker>DON</st1:stockticker>’T THINK SO!! Look for Spurrier’s boys to play with tremendous heart and pride and even give the Gators a scare!!<o:p></o:p>
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1:place>FLORIDA</st1:place></st1:state> 21 <st1:state><st1:place>SOUTH CAROLINA</st1:place></st1:state> 17<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:time hour="15" minute="30">3:30PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
163 Stanford
164
<st1:stockticker>USC</st1:stockticker><o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: <st1:stockticker>USC</st1:stockticker> -10 -120<o:p></o:p>
Stanford is coming off their huge an impressive win over <st1:state><st1:place>Oregon</st1:place></st1:state> last week – CAN YOU SAY MAJOR LETDOWN?? And the line says it all!! Oddsmakers opened the line at 11.5 knowing the public would take the bait and they are!! But history shows that Stanford falls flat on their faces today!! The Cardinal are just 2-8 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L10 as a road dog including 1-4 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L5 as a road dog of 10.5 points or more!! The Cardinal are laso a horrible 1-7 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L8 on the road against teams with winning records. Meanwhile, <st1:stockticker>USC</st1:stockticker> is 5-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L6 at home against teams with losing records on the <st1:stockticker>ROAD</st1:stockticker>!! <st1:stockticker>USC</st1:stockticker> is over-rated but today they will look like the dominant team of year’s past again with an easy and impressive win!!
PREDICTION: <st1:stockticker>USC</st1:stockticker> 31 STANFORD 13<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:time hour="19" minute="0">7:00PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
185 <st1:state><st1:place>Alabama</st1:place></st1:state>
186
<st1:state><st1:place>Mississippi</st1:place></st1:state> St<o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: <st1:place><st1:placename>MISSISSIPPI</st1:placename><st1:placetype>STATE</st1:placetype></st1:place> +13 -120<o:p></o:p>
This week MSU enters off a bye week after a huge road win before that and facing a Bama team coming off a huge home win against LSU – certain teams in this spot are an amazing 19-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> since 1980!! Bama’s win last week also clinched the division title so this could be a classic letdown spot. With the Tide’s offense struggling against quality defenses averaging just 20 pts/gm over L4 it is tough to pass up the points today!!<o:p></o:p>
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1:place>ALABAMA</st1:place></st1:state> 24 <st1:state><st1:place>MISSISSIPPI</st1:place></st1:state> STATE 20<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:time hour="19" minute="30">7:30PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
193 <st1:state><st1:place>Utah</st1:place></st1:state>
194 TCU<o:p></o:p>

TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1:place>UTAH</st1:place></st1:state> +20<o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: <st1:state><st1:place>UTAH</st1:place></st1:state> MONEYLINE +820<o:p></o:p>
I have to admit this line is odd but I am taking the bait!! TCU is on a roll and a win here today almost guarantees a <st1:stockticker>BCS</st1:stockticker> bowl berth. However, don’t expect <st1:state><st1:place>Utah</st1:place></st1:state> to roll over and play dead!! <st1:state><st1:place>Utah</st1:place></st1:state> is a dangerous opponent for TCU because they possess something that a lot of TCU’s opponents didn’t – and that is BALANCE!! The Utes offensive line is big and powerful and they have RB Eddie Wise whose current streak of 100+ yard games is a school record!! They have the defense to slow TCU down and they have the playmakers to keep the Frogs’ defense on their heels!! This one comes down to execution and taking care of the ball. If the Utes can win the turnover margin they will win the game!! Utah is 5-1 SU L6 meetings and 25-7-1 L33 as a road dog. Even more impressive <st1:state><st1:place>Utah</st1:place></st1:state> is a PERFECT 7-0 SU when they and their opponent are both ranked in the AP Poll!! <o:p></o:p>
PREDICTION: <st1:state><st1:place>UTAH</st1:place></st1:state> 24 TCU 21<o:p></o:p>
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<st1:time hour="20" minute="0">8:00PM EST</st1:time><o:p></o:p>
161 Notre Dame
162
<st1:city><st1:place>Pittsburgh</st1:place></st1:city> U<o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: NOTRE DAME +7 <o:p></o:p>
TOP PLAY: NOTRE DAME MONEYLINE +220<o:p></o:p>
After losing to Navy last week everyone has jumped off the Irish bandwagon but I will jump on for TODAY!! This is a series that covers 19 games and is rich in tradition. It is important to note the Panthers have only been favored 3 times during this stretch and THEY LOST <st1:stockticker>ALL</st1:stockticker> 3 GAMES OUTRIGHT!! As many of you know I am not a huge fan of Wannstedt and I think he simply gets out-classed at times and today will be just that!! Wannstedt is a horrible 1-6 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> against teams with a winning percentage of 67% or higher!! When they are favored by 8 or less the Panthers are just 2-6 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> L8!! The Irish lost to the Panthers last season in quadruple OT and will be seeking redemption for that loss!! Navy beat the Irish last week, true, but it is very possible the Irish got caught looking ahead to this showdown!! The Irish are an incredible 11-1 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> as a road dog of 8 points or less!! The Irish also qualify for a very unique but incredibly successful system that involves certain road dogs off a SU loss to a military school; those teams are a PERFECT 12-0 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> since 1980 when playing an opponent with a winning percentage of 70% or greater!! Additionally, Pitt qualifies for a system that supports going against certain home faves of 4 or more points who are riding current SU and <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> streaks of 3; these teams have failed miserably going a PERFECT 0-11 <st1:stockticker>ATS</st1:stockticker> since 1980!!
PREDICTION” NOTRE DAME 31 <st1:city><st1:place>PITTSBURGH</st1:place></st1:city> 27 <o:p></o:p>
 
Joined
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1. Asa 4- tcu, 3- miss st., nd
2. Ats 1 / 6 10- okla st., 8 ore., 7 wisc, 6 utah, bc, stan
3. Ben burns 5t 10- goy- usc, 9-kan
4. Big money okla st.
5. Blazer 4-troy, 3- fla. St., col, cfla, fla atl
6. Carolina sports 5-kst, 4-col, miss st, cfla, 3-ore, neb, nev, sd st
7. Doc enterprises 6-kst, 5-oh st, nd, 4- wisc, miss st, bay, tcu
8. Dr. Bob 3-neb, midd tn, ore st, 2-ill, nev, okla st
9. Gameday 5-oreg, 3-ore st, ala, 2-pur, kan, nd
10. Inside info 3-oreg, 2-ore st
11. Joe d / 2 25-okla st, 20-haw, ole miss, 15-col, uab, nd
12. Lt profits 5-va, 3-oreg, ore st, utah st, stan over
13. Nationwide (goldst) super 7-kst, top: Nc st, reg: Louis, byu, af, haw
14. Neri
15. Northcoast 4-kst, unlv, sd st, 3-col, louis
16. Pointwise / 3 4-ore, ariz, 3-nd, haw, pst, wisc, kst, ohio st
2- stan, la tech, miss st, nw, oreg

17. Preferred picks
18. Private players 5t 5-oreg, kst, 4-pitt, idaho, 3-ntx over
19. Score / 5
20. Underdog
21. Northcoast totals 4-smu over, 3-tcu under, ncst over, rice over
2-boise over, okla st under, lsu under

22. Kelso / 4 100-ucla, 15-gt, 5-oh st, 4-col, 3-scar, sd st
23. Millionaire club / 1
24. Ness 20-kst, 10-sd st, 9-nev, usc
25. Pure lock 3t cfla
 

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Joined
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New service doing very well, 14-0 last 14. Picks today: Saturday:
119 Northwestern +4 1/2 Over Illinois for 2 units
137 Kentucky -3 Over Vandy for 2 units
151 UAB -1 Over Memphis for 2 unit
163 Stanford +10.5 Over USC for 3 units
165 Arizona +3 Over Cal for 2 unit
191 Texas Tech +4 1/2 Over Oklahoma St. for 2 units
209 Troy +13.5 Over Ark. for 1 unit

They are Big Dog Sports and a buddy turned me onto them last week. I'll post their address when I can find it.
 
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Joey Torelli

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Today we are being kind because of all the support and giving away our Big Premium Play for FREE!!!!!

Take Wisconsin -9!!! Cash it In!!!!
 
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JACK JONES

Tennessee Vols +6 at Bookmaker
Take the points and Tennessee on Saturday as the Vols defense continues to impress, even with a very difficult schedule. Tennessee's average opponent scores 26.3 points per game but the Vols are allowing just 18.9 points per game and less than 300 yards per game of total offense to their opponents. Ole Miss was highly touted coming into the 2009 season, but they haven't lived up to expectations, sporting a 6-3 record overall and a 2-3 record within the SEC. Both teams have played well defensively against decent offensive units and this one should be decided by a touchdown one way or the other. I'll take the points and the Vols.
 

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Joined
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Stryker 9* GOY ????

Stryker 9*GOY
Which is it?
Been posted as Oregon and USC
Clarification Needed!
 
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Pat Hawkins

Florida at South Carolina
Pick: South Carolina +16

This could be one of those dangerous road games for the unbeaten Gators. In UF's last real road game, Miss St gave them a run for their money, look for Carolina and the "ole ball coach" to give the Gators all they can handle. Carolina has a good defense so they will slow down the Gator offense that has been out of sync all season. Look for Carolina to mix up their plays setting up the pass thru the run.
 

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