Steve Duemig
Saturday sweep
40 Dime Missouri
K St has become a very popular darling of the public this year and for good reason. Bill Snyder returned from the retirement home and they are winning football games. This week they opened as a 2.5 point fav and now, even though they are picking up public money at a 70% clip we see the line has moved toward Mizzu. As you know these reverse line moves are my favorite because they are telling the rue value that you have in the line. I expect more of the public money to contiue to flow toward K St and by the time this closes we could be getting points again. Even so, I will take Gabbert here and their passing game over a mostly run oriented K St team
15 Dime California
We saw last week AZ lay a beat down on Wazzu, but everyone has this year. We saw Cal take it on the chin and the head (Jahvid Best) in a 17 pt loss at Ore. St
The line comes out on Sunday and what do we see? Az favored by 2.5!! NOT SO FAST MY FRIEND!! AZ is still on the road and has yet to play the toughest part of their PAC 10 schedule. Cal is at home where it plays much better. .
A look today at the line now shows Cal as the favorite!!! But they are not laying a killer number it it may move back to AZ anyway. But wait, AZ is picking up 70 % of the spread bets, 82% of money line bets and 80% of parlay bets. This is the biggest reverse line moves of the season and we can still lay at 3 or lower. The books made a mistake opening up AZ as the fav here and they realize it now. When you see a favorite change like this the wrong team was favored.
5 Dime Stanford
Stanford can actually boast about the better freshman QB in Luck and the best RB in Gerhart, who had 223 yr against Oregon last week, in this matchup with USC has major defensive problems and a freshman QB of it's own. This is simply too many points to be laying here with USC, who have not been very good ATS wit no covers in their last 4 and 7/8 on the year. Coach Harbaugh has his team humming.