HQ REPORT 5* (5-1-1)
HQ REPORT ATS (5-2)...NEW MEXICO
HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL (2-5)
HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY OF WEEK (4-3)
5* GEORGIA (-14) over VANDERBILT by 24
3* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-7) over Toledo by 17
3* MIAMI FLORIDA (- 6) over Duke by 13
3* TROY (- 8) over Florida International by 15
HQREPORT UNDERDOG PLAY of the WEEK
TOP PLAY >>>> NEW MEXICO STATE (+3) over SAN JOSE STATE
Record to Date 5-2 Last Week LouisianaTech (+8) lost 14-24
HQREPORT TOTAL RECALL OVER / UNDER
SINGLE PLAY >>>>NEBRASKA versus IOWA STATE PLAY OVER
A.T.S. (Angles, Trends & Systems) `
TOP PLAY >>>>NEW MEXICO (-14) OVER SAN DIEGO STATE
HQ REPORT ATS (5-2)...NEW MEXICO
HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL (2-5)
HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY OF WEEK (4-3)
5* GEORGIA (-14) over VANDERBILT by 24
3* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (-7) over Toledo by 17
3* MIAMI FLORIDA (- 6) over Duke by 13
3* TROY (- 8) over Florida International by 15
HQREPORT UNDERDOG PLAY of the WEEK
TOP PLAY >>>> NEW MEXICO STATE (+3) over SAN JOSE STATE
Record to Date 5-2 Last Week LouisianaTech (+8) lost 14-24
HQREPORT TOTAL RECALL OVER / UNDER
SINGLE PLAY >>>>NEBRASKA versus IOWA STATE PLAY OVER
A.T.S. (Angles, Trends & Systems) `
TOP PLAY >>>>NEW MEXICO (-14) OVER SAN DIEGO STATE
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Saturday NCAA College Football Executive Report:
Our High Volume Reportfor Dominic Brando Sports will be sent on Saturday by 2:45 PM Eastern!
SPECIAL 150 UNIT EXECUTIVE MAX OUT ORDER
DBIC BIG 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR:
#352 MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS +4/-120 over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 3:30 PM Eastern ABC National TV):
Ohio State has dominated this series dating back into the late 90's, but today is the time and Spartyland is the place for Michigan State to finally take down the Buckeyes. Look for a VERY LIVE Spartan club this afternoon playing in what we judge to the single most important game of the Michigan State season. The Spartans are a sound football team which plays extremely solid defense and does not turn the ball over, a perfect formula for success versus the conservative style of Ohio State. We have NO PROBLEM taking +4 in a game where our matchup tools signal a false favorite! Our analysis yields one of the single best investment opportunities of the season thus far, and we will make the call for Michigan State outright in a game that could stand as a program builder for years to come: MICHIGAN STATE 24 OHIO STATE 20
Our High Volume Reportfor Dominic Brando Sports will be sent on Saturday by 2:45 PM Eastern!
SPECIAL 150 UNIT EXECUTIVE MAX OUT ORDER
DBIC BIG 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR:
#352 MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS +4/-120 over Ohio State Buckeyes (Saturday 3:30 PM Eastern ABC National TV):
Ohio State has dominated this series dating back into the late 90's, but today is the time and Spartyland is the place for Michigan State to finally take down the Buckeyes. Look for a VERY LIVE Spartan club this afternoon playing in what we judge to the single most important game of the Michigan State season. The Spartans are a sound football team which plays extremely solid defense and does not turn the ball over, a perfect formula for success versus the conservative style of Ohio State. We have NO PROBLEM taking +4 in a game where our matchup tools signal a false favorite! Our analysis yields one of the single best investment opportunities of the season thus far, and we will make the call for Michigan State outright in a game that could stand as a program builder for years to come: MICHIGAN STATE 24 OHIO STATE 20
Dominic Brando's SEC Underdog Game of the Year
Pick Up Dominic Brando's SEC Conference Underdog Game of the Year on Saturday for Only $20 GUARANTEED TO CASH IN A WINNER OR YOU RECEIVE BOTH SUNDAY NFL WEEK 7 INNER CIRCLE SERVICE AND THE NEXT GAME OF THE YEAR LEVEL RELEASE ABSOLUTELY FREE WITH NO QUESTIONS ASKED....
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Saturday NCAA College Football Executive Report:
*** SATURDAY MARKS OUR FIRST TOP RATED INNER CIRCLE FOOTBALL RELEASES OF THE SEASON (CHECK FREESPORTSMONITOR.COM FOR DOCUMENTED RESULTS OF OUR INNER CIRCLE PROGRAM AND THESPORTSMONITOR.COM FOR DOCUMENTED RESULTS OF BOTH THE INNER CIRCLE AND DOMINIC BRANDO SPORTS PROGRAMS). Our High Volume Report (Including 6-10 100 Unit Releases) for Dominic Brando Sports will be sent on Saturday by 2:45 PM Eastern!
SPECIAL 150 UNIT EXECUTIVE MAX OUT ORDER:
DBIC SEC CONFERENCE UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
#382 SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS +3/-120 over LSU Tigers (8:00 PM ET ESPN)
Our analysis yields a no brainer move on South Carolina AT +3 ON THE HALF POINT BUY. We will order a substantial investment on another targeted underdog in a monumental national TV conference home rivalry game. We expect South Carolina to come out barking in a big way in this spot, as the Gamecocks enter with triple revenge (not having beaten LSU in four seasons). Let's go on the take with +3 and back a MORE THAN SOLID Gamecock defense in what will clearly be viewed as the most important game of the South Carolina season. Our numbers indicate an OUTRIGHT win by a live value home underdog in a perfect spot to make some serious noise: SOUTH CAROLINA 23 LSU 17
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Pick Up Dominic Brando's SEC Conference Underdog Game of the Year on Saturday for Only $20 GUARANTEED TO CASH IN A WINNER OR YOU RECEIVE BOTH SUNDAY NFL WEEK 7 INNER CIRCLE SERVICE AND THE NEXT GAME OF THE YEAR LEVEL RELEASE ABSOLUTELY FREE WITH NO QUESTIONS ASKED....
Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Saturday NCAA College Football Executive Report:
*** SATURDAY MARKS OUR FIRST TOP RATED INNER CIRCLE FOOTBALL RELEASES OF THE SEASON (CHECK FREESPORTSMONITOR.COM FOR DOCUMENTED RESULTS OF OUR INNER CIRCLE PROGRAM AND THESPORTSMONITOR.COM FOR DOCUMENTED RESULTS OF BOTH THE INNER CIRCLE AND DOMINIC BRANDO SPORTS PROGRAMS). Our High Volume Report (Including 6-10 100 Unit Releases) for Dominic Brando Sports will be sent on Saturday by 2:45 PM Eastern!
SPECIAL 150 UNIT EXECUTIVE MAX OUT ORDER:
DBIC SEC CONFERENCE UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
#382 SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS +3/-120 over LSU Tigers (8:00 PM ET ESPN)
Our analysis yields a no brainer move on South Carolina AT +3 ON THE HALF POINT BUY. We will order a substantial investment on another targeted underdog in a monumental national TV conference home rivalry game. We expect South Carolina to come out barking in a big way in this spot, as the Gamecocks enter with triple revenge (not having beaten LSU in four seasons). Let's go on the take with +3 and back a MORE THAN SOLID Gamecock defense in what will clearly be viewed as the most important game of the South Carolina season. Our numbers indicate an OUTRIGHT win by a live value home underdog in a perfect spot to make some serious noise: SOUTH CAROLINA 23 LSU 17
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Mark Lawrence
College Best Bets 15-3 last 6 Weeks
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (6-1)
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (4-3)
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK UPSET (1-4)
5* BEST BET MISSOURI
The Longhorns’ scintillating win over No. 1 Oklahoma last Saturday
was not only one of the most exciting college football games of
the 2008 season, it also proved that a program devoid of highprofi
le superstars could play inspired TEAM football to topple
an ‘unbeatable’ Sooners squad. And what reward does Bevo reap
for accomplishing this stunning feat? A trio of gut-busting games
against Missouri, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech! “It was one of the
greatest football games I’ve ever seen,” said Texas coach Mack Brown
after the heavyweight battle, a victory that could have historical
signifi cance for the Longhorns. The last time Texas came out of the
OU game undefeated (2005), it won the Rose Bowl and a National
title. Well, don’t look for that to happen this year – not through the
treacherous Big 12 – and don’t be shocked if Bevo takes a stun gun
to the forehead right here. Our BRILLIANT DISGUISE article (page
2) is at work in favor of Missouri, a team that sports a fl awless 8-
0 ATS record on the road versus opponents off consecutive SUATS
wins. Tiger coach Pinkel is also 6-1 ATS against foes off a SU dog
win, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS if the opponent has a winning
record. We’re sure the more keen-eyed of you are already shouting,
“Hey, wait! Missouri was unbeaten and got deep-sixed by Okie State.
Shouldn’t they be a BUBBLE BURST fade?” No, because the scenario
only works against FAVORED teams that were 5-0 or greater and
tasted defeat for the fi rst time. Even though Texas has covered eight
of the last nine games after Oklahoma, we think Chase Daniel and
company can win this outright. The new No. 1 goes down
4* BEST BET
You know we’re big Steve Spurrier fans, especially in conference play.
However, today is not the day to test the man’s demeanor. From a
talent standpoint the cards in this game are stacked heavily in LSU’s
favor, for sure. The defending National Champs have had blue chip
recruiting classes throughout the decade while the Gamecocks do their
best to just keep fellow Carolinians in Columbia. It’s been Spurrier’s
coaching moxie that has kept this team above water. The task at hand
today will be to suppress the wanton desires of a defending National
Champion in a game off its fi rst loss of the season. Other teams have
tried and according to our INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3, almost all have
failed. To further add fuel to the fi re, LSU is 9-0 SU and 7-1-1 TS in
games off a loss the last six years. Bengal boss Les Miles himself is 11-0
SU and 9-1-1 ATS when favored in games off a SU and ATS defeat. To
add more kerosene to the fl ames, our powerful database tells us to:
Play On any team in Game Six off its fi rst loss of the season if they are
on the road versus a .500 or greater opponent that is off a win. That’s
because teams in this role are 21-5 ATS since 1980. With Spurrier 1-7
SU and 2-6 ATS in his career as a home dog of 4 or fewer points, there
will no SOS (Steven Orr Spurrier) signals being sent out of our office this week. LSU in a big bounce back.
3* BEST BET
Oklahoma’s upset loss to Texas last week not withstanding, football
in the state of Oklahoma has been delightful this season. The three
Football Bowl Subdivision (there’s that dang title, again) teams from
Merle Haggard’s beloved state – OU, OSU and Tulsa – are 17-1 combined
in 2008. The task at hand this week for Mike Gundy’s Cowboys will be to
keep focused on the task at hand, namely the Baylor Bears, and not on
a date with No. 1 ranked Texas next week. Good luck. For openers, Art
Briles has done a splendid job in his fi rst year at the helm with the Bears as
they have already won as many games as they did last season. It’s because
his troops are +53 net YPG on the year, a dramatic improvement from
last year’s -113 net YPG fi gure. Aside from the Longhorn look ahead,
Gundy battles a huge letdown possibility given the fact he is 0-4 ATS in
games off an underdog win and his team is 0-8-1 SU and 2-7 ATS games
after meeting Missouri. It’s simply too much of a BRILLIANT DISGUISE for
any team to overcome. Were going Bear hunting this week.
UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK
VIRGINIA over N Carolina by 6
Virginia coach Al Groh’s realtor must be feeling a bit down right now.
After the Wahoos got dissected by Duke while opening the season 1-
3, ‘Groh Must Go’ banners were seen all around Charlottesville and a
change of address seemed like a certainty for the eight-year Cavalier
mentor. But when Virginia registered a pair of shocking upsets over
Maryland and East Carolina, Groh’s ‘For Sale’ signs disappeared from
his front yard. We don’t know where they went but they may as well
stay in storage: Virginia is 9-1 ATS kickin’ it with the Heels (8-0 L8
home) and the Cavs have cashed to the tune of 7-1 ATS as ACC home
dogs of 5 or more points. Carolina’s gaudy 5-1 record is betrayed by a
mirror-opposite 1-5 mark ‘In The Stats’ and the Heels have fallen into
a lifeless 0-5 ATS pit when playing a conference team the week after
meeting a non-conference adversary. THIS JUST IN: teams who beat
Notre Dame and come favored in their next games are just 4-16 ATS
versus a conference foe of < .666. The Cavs have rolled up 66 points in
their last two games so we’ll stay along for the ride.
College Best Bets 15-3 last 6 Weeks
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (6-1)
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (4-3)
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK UPSET (1-4)
5* BEST BET MISSOURI
The Longhorns’ scintillating win over No. 1 Oklahoma last Saturday
was not only one of the most exciting college football games of
the 2008 season, it also proved that a program devoid of highprofi
le superstars could play inspired TEAM football to topple
an ‘unbeatable’ Sooners squad. And what reward does Bevo reap
for accomplishing this stunning feat? A trio of gut-busting games
against Missouri, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech! “It was one of the
greatest football games I’ve ever seen,” said Texas coach Mack Brown
after the heavyweight battle, a victory that could have historical
signifi cance for the Longhorns. The last time Texas came out of the
OU game undefeated (2005), it won the Rose Bowl and a National
title. Well, don’t look for that to happen this year – not through the
treacherous Big 12 – and don’t be shocked if Bevo takes a stun gun
to the forehead right here. Our BRILLIANT DISGUISE article (page
2) is at work in favor of Missouri, a team that sports a fl awless 8-
0 ATS record on the road versus opponents off consecutive SUATS
wins. Tiger coach Pinkel is also 6-1 ATS against foes off a SU dog
win, including 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS if the opponent has a winning
record. We’re sure the more keen-eyed of you are already shouting,
“Hey, wait! Missouri was unbeaten and got deep-sixed by Okie State.
Shouldn’t they be a BUBBLE BURST fade?” No, because the scenario
only works against FAVORED teams that were 5-0 or greater and
tasted defeat for the fi rst time. Even though Texas has covered eight
of the last nine games after Oklahoma, we think Chase Daniel and
company can win this outright. The new No. 1 goes down
4* BEST BET
You know we’re big Steve Spurrier fans, especially in conference play.
However, today is not the day to test the man’s demeanor. From a
talent standpoint the cards in this game are stacked heavily in LSU’s
favor, for sure. The defending National Champs have had blue chip
recruiting classes throughout the decade while the Gamecocks do their
best to just keep fellow Carolinians in Columbia. It’s been Spurrier’s
coaching moxie that has kept this team above water. The task at hand
today will be to suppress the wanton desires of a defending National
Champion in a game off its fi rst loss of the season. Other teams have
tried and according to our INCREDIBLE STAT on page 3, almost all have
failed. To further add fuel to the fi re, LSU is 9-0 SU and 7-1-1 TS in
games off a loss the last six years. Bengal boss Les Miles himself is 11-0
SU and 9-1-1 ATS when favored in games off a SU and ATS defeat. To
add more kerosene to the fl ames, our powerful database tells us to:
Play On any team in Game Six off its fi rst loss of the season if they are
on the road versus a .500 or greater opponent that is off a win. That’s
because teams in this role are 21-5 ATS since 1980. With Spurrier 1-7
SU and 2-6 ATS in his career as a home dog of 4 or fewer points, there
will no SOS (Steven Orr Spurrier) signals being sent out of our office this week. LSU in a big bounce back.
3* BEST BET
Oklahoma’s upset loss to Texas last week not withstanding, football
in the state of Oklahoma has been delightful this season. The three
Football Bowl Subdivision (there’s that dang title, again) teams from
Merle Haggard’s beloved state – OU, OSU and Tulsa – are 17-1 combined
in 2008. The task at hand this week for Mike Gundy’s Cowboys will be to
keep focused on the task at hand, namely the Baylor Bears, and not on
a date with No. 1 ranked Texas next week. Good luck. For openers, Art
Briles has done a splendid job in his fi rst year at the helm with the Bears as
they have already won as many games as they did last season. It’s because
his troops are +53 net YPG on the year, a dramatic improvement from
last year’s -113 net YPG fi gure. Aside from the Longhorn look ahead,
Gundy battles a huge letdown possibility given the fact he is 0-4 ATS in
games off an underdog win and his team is 0-8-1 SU and 2-7 ATS games
after meeting Missouri. It’s simply too much of a BRILLIANT DISGUISE for
any team to overcome. Were going Bear hunting this week.
UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK
VIRGINIA over N Carolina by 6
Virginia coach Al Groh’s realtor must be feeling a bit down right now.
After the Wahoos got dissected by Duke while opening the season 1-
3, ‘Groh Must Go’ banners were seen all around Charlottesville and a
change of address seemed like a certainty for the eight-year Cavalier
mentor. But when Virginia registered a pair of shocking upsets over
Maryland and East Carolina, Groh’s ‘For Sale’ signs disappeared from
his front yard. We don’t know where they went but they may as well
stay in storage: Virginia is 9-1 ATS kickin’ it with the Heels (8-0 L8
home) and the Cavs have cashed to the tune of 7-1 ATS as ACC home
dogs of 5 or more points. Carolina’s gaudy 5-1 record is betrayed by a
mirror-opposite 1-5 mark ‘In The Stats’ and the Heels have fallen into
a lifeless 0-5 ATS pit when playing a conference team the week after
meeting a non-conference adversary. THIS JUST IN: teams who beat
Notre Dame and come favored in their next games are just 4-16 ATS
versus a conference foe of < .666. The Cavs have rolled up 66 points in
their last two games so we’ll stay along for the ride.
GOLDENCONTENDERS-SATURDAY SYSTEM CLUB PLAY . now 17-2 the last 19 releases and On Saturday afternoon the system club play is on the Penn.St Nittany lions.Game 364 at 4:30 pm eastern.These system club plays are 5-1 in college action this year, lets see if we can cash another.PENNST qualifies in 2 solid systems both cashing over 80% long term,lets take a look at one.Play on certain home favs -10 to -30 off a win of 40 or more points if they allowed less than 10 points in there last game.Pennt st is coming off the 48-7 shellacking of a decent Wisconsin team,which sets this play up.Michigan has been terrible this year and was destroyed by notre dame by 18 points in there only road game this year.Illinois was able to go into michigan and win by 25,while penntst beat illinios by 14.You see where im going with this.Pennst should be able to name the score here,and take it to a michigan team thats 8-0 against them the last 10 years.This could get ugly fast.This will be one of the plays on my card that features a 32-2 system in Big 12 action a 16-0 system that dates to 1980 in Sec action a 92% Mac conference bomb and a Sunbelt conf play.bol gc-
** ncaa newsletters **
hot
confidential kick off 11* (5-1-1)...western michigan
dave fobare (the maxx) (5-1)...missouri
ed cash (sports memo) (5-1)...duke
erik scheponik (the maxx) (4-2)...duke
hq report 5* (5-1-1)...georgia
hq report ats (5-2)...new mexico
jared klein (sports memo) (3-1)...navy
marc lawrence playbook 5* (6-1)...missouri
the gold sheet extra (18-12)...georgia tech…virginia tech…s florida…arkansas…army
the red sheet 89* (9-4-1)...georgia…georgia tech
winning points best bet (10-4)...oklahoma…georgia tech
cold
hq report total recall (2-5)...nebraska/iowa st over
logical approach moneyline (3-9)...duke...wisconsin...purdue...arkansas st
marc lawrence playbook upset (1-4)...virginia
marty otto (sports memo) (0-3)...unlv
northcoast power sweep 4* (1-6)...oklahoma
pointwise 2* (1-7)...virginia
rob veno (sports memo) (1-3)...virginia
winning points preferred (11-18-1)...northwestern…mississippi st…alabama…stanford
the rest
brent crow (sports memo) (2-3)...colorado
cajun sports gator report 2* (1-2)...
Cajun sports gator report 3* (0-1)...
Confidential kick off 10* (11-10-1)...mississippi...vanderbilt...virginia
donnie black (sports memo) (2-3)...duke
erin rynning (sports memo) (2-1)...missouri
fairway jay (sports memo) (2-1)...
Hq report 4* (0-0)...
Hq report underdog play of week (4-3)...new mexico st
kevin o'neill (the maxx) (8-9-1)...georgia tech...n illinois
logical approach featured sel (4-6)...buffalo
logical approach sel of week (3-3)...wake forest...tulsa...air force
marc lawrence playbook 4* (4-3)...lsu
matty baiungo (the maxx) (5-6)...georgia...virginia tech
nelly's sportsline 4* (2-1)...colorado
nelly's sportsline 5* (2-0)...georgia
nelly's sportsline 6* (1-0)...
Northcoast power plays 4* (50-43-1)...fsu…duke…iowa…w michigan…nebraska…usc…n illinois…penn st…kentucky…kansas st…s carolina…louisville…ulm
northcoast power sweep dog (3-2)...missouri
northcoast power sweep early bird (3-2)...
Pointwise 1* (6-8)...iowa…penn st
sports insight marketwatch (9-11-1)...uconn...clemson...duke
sports reporter best bet (12-14-1)...utah…marshall…navy…washington…lsu
sports reporter recommended (11-8-1)...georgia tech…georgia
sports reporter super best bet (3-2)...
Statfox platinum sheet (14-14-2)...tcu…kansas…alabama…michigan st…s carolina
teddy covers (sports memo) (1-2)...fla international
the gold sheet (13-15)...iowa...arkansas...san jose st...louisiana-lafayette
the red sheet 90* (1-0)...
Tim trushel (sports memo) (2-2)...mississippi st
vegas experts the edge 3* (2-4)...n carolina...ohio st...fl atlantic
hot
confidential kick off 11* (5-1-1)...western michigan
dave fobare (the maxx) (5-1)...missouri
ed cash (sports memo) (5-1)...duke
erik scheponik (the maxx) (4-2)...duke
hq report 5* (5-1-1)...georgia
hq report ats (5-2)...new mexico
jared klein (sports memo) (3-1)...navy
marc lawrence playbook 5* (6-1)...missouri
the gold sheet extra (18-12)...georgia tech…virginia tech…s florida…arkansas…army
the red sheet 89* (9-4-1)...georgia…georgia tech
winning points best bet (10-4)...oklahoma…georgia tech
cold
hq report total recall (2-5)...nebraska/iowa st over
logical approach moneyline (3-9)...duke...wisconsin...purdue...arkansas st
marc lawrence playbook upset (1-4)...virginia
marty otto (sports memo) (0-3)...unlv
northcoast power sweep 4* (1-6)...oklahoma
pointwise 2* (1-7)...virginia
rob veno (sports memo) (1-3)...virginia
winning points preferred (11-18-1)...northwestern…mississippi st…alabama…stanford
the rest
brent crow (sports memo) (2-3)...colorado
cajun sports gator report 2* (1-2)...
Cajun sports gator report 3* (0-1)...
Confidential kick off 10* (11-10-1)...mississippi...vanderbilt...virginia
donnie black (sports memo) (2-3)...duke
erin rynning (sports memo) (2-1)...missouri
fairway jay (sports memo) (2-1)...
Hq report 4* (0-0)...
Hq report underdog play of week (4-3)...new mexico st
kevin o'neill (the maxx) (8-9-1)...georgia tech...n illinois
logical approach featured sel (4-6)...buffalo
logical approach sel of week (3-3)...wake forest...tulsa...air force
marc lawrence playbook 4* (4-3)...lsu
matty baiungo (the maxx) (5-6)...georgia...virginia tech
nelly's sportsline 4* (2-1)...colorado
nelly's sportsline 5* (2-0)...georgia
nelly's sportsline 6* (1-0)...
Northcoast power plays 4* (50-43-1)...fsu…duke…iowa…w michigan…nebraska…usc…n illinois…penn st…kentucky…kansas st…s carolina…louisville…ulm
northcoast power sweep dog (3-2)...missouri
northcoast power sweep early bird (3-2)...
Pointwise 1* (6-8)...iowa…penn st
sports insight marketwatch (9-11-1)...uconn...clemson...duke
sports reporter best bet (12-14-1)...utah…marshall…navy…washington…lsu
sports reporter recommended (11-8-1)...georgia tech…georgia
sports reporter super best bet (3-2)...
Statfox platinum sheet (14-14-2)...tcu…kansas…alabama…michigan st…s carolina
teddy covers (sports memo) (1-2)...fla international
the gold sheet (13-15)...iowa...arkansas...san jose st...louisiana-lafayette
the red sheet 90* (1-0)...
Tim trushel (sports memo) (2-2)...mississippi st
vegas experts the edge 3* (2-4)...n carolina...ohio st...fl atlantic
Mr. A
Saturday, October 18, 2008 2:00 p.m. est.
Colorado State (3-3) at (14) Utah (7-0) Utah Utes -22
The 14th-ranked Utes balance offense should have no problems against the Rams at home and remain undefeated. Utah is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings versus Colorado State.
Saturday, October 18, 2008 3:30 p.m. est.
(6) U-S-C (4-1) at Washington State (1-6) U-S-C Trojans -42½
Huge spread, but the Cougars powerless defense will be shattered by the Trojans talented offense. Expect a lopsided outcome.
Saturday, October 18, 2008 4:30 p.m. est.
Michigan (2-4) at (3) Penn State (7-0) Penn State Nittany Lions -24
Michigan has won nine straight against Penn State, but doubtful if they will make it 10. Look for Joe Paterno’s third-ranked Nittany Lions to trounce the struggling Wolverines. Michigan's offense is averaging 291.5 yards per game and 18.8 points per game, the worst in the Big Ten and their record will be more dreadful after this battle.
Saturday, October 17th, 2008 8:05 P.M. EST.
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Josh Beckett (0-0) vs. (R) James Shields (1-1)
The Red Sox have dropped ten of the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay and are 0-5 in Josh Beckett last 5 starts,1-4 in the right-hander's last 5 versus the Rays in Tampa. The Rays counter with James Shields. Tampa Bay has lost seven of Shields' last 9 starts against the Red Sox, but the right-hander has pitched solid in his two starts in the postseason and is 10-3 with a 2.66 ERA in 19 starts at Tropicana Field. Take the Rays at home in Game 6.
Tampa Bay Rays -140
Saturday, October 18, 2008 2:00 p.m. est.
Colorado State (3-3) at (14) Utah (7-0) Utah Utes -22
The 14th-ranked Utes balance offense should have no problems against the Rams at home and remain undefeated. Utah is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings versus Colorado State.
Saturday, October 18, 2008 3:30 p.m. est.
(6) U-S-C (4-1) at Washington State (1-6) U-S-C Trojans -42½
Huge spread, but the Cougars powerless defense will be shattered by the Trojans talented offense. Expect a lopsided outcome.
Saturday, October 18, 2008 4:30 p.m. est.
Michigan (2-4) at (3) Penn State (7-0) Penn State Nittany Lions -24
Michigan has won nine straight against Penn State, but doubtful if they will make it 10. Look for Joe Paterno’s third-ranked Nittany Lions to trounce the struggling Wolverines. Michigan's offense is averaging 291.5 yards per game and 18.8 points per game, the worst in the Big Ten and their record will be more dreadful after this battle.
Saturday, October 17th, 2008 8:05 P.M. EST.
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Josh Beckett (0-0) vs. (R) James Shields (1-1)
The Red Sox have dropped ten of the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay and are 0-5 in Josh Beckett last 5 starts,1-4 in the right-hander's last 5 versus the Rays in Tampa. The Rays counter with James Shields. Tampa Bay has lost seven of Shields' last 9 starts against the Red Sox, but the right-hander has pitched solid in his two starts in the postseason and is 10-3 with a 2.66 ERA in 19 starts at Tropicana Field. Take the Rays at home in Game 6.
Tampa Bay Rays -140
Gina
Saturday, October 17th, 2008 8:05 p.m. est.
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Josh Beckett (0-0) vs. (R) James Shields (1-1)
Tampa Bay leads best-of-seven series, 3-2
Go with the Rays to recover from Boston’s 8-7 win in Game 5. Tampa Bay is back in their house where they have beaten the defending World Series champion in ten of the last 12 meetings. Besides, the Red Sox have lost both of Josh Beckett starts in this postseason and four of his last 5 versus Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field.
Tampa Bay Rays -140
Saturday, October 17th, 2008 8:05 p.m. est.
Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Josh Beckett (0-0) vs. (R) James Shields (1-1)
Tampa Bay leads best-of-seven series, 3-2
Go with the Rays to recover from Boston’s 8-7 win in Game 5. Tampa Bay is back in their house where they have beaten the defending World Series champion in ten of the last 12 meetings. Besides, the Red Sox have lost both of Josh Beckett starts in this postseason and four of his last 5 versus Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field.
Tampa Bay Rays -140
Bettorsworld
5* Michigan State +3.5 over Ohio State
This week #12 Ohio State visits #20 Michigan State in what amounts to the biggest game for Michigan State in quite some time. Michigan State hasn't beaten Ohio State since 1999 but if it's going to happen, this looks to be the time and place. Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio was Jim Tressels defensive coordinator and earned a championship ring at Ohio State. These guys are familiar with each other. Both teams have a loss but it was Ohio States performance against USC which stands out. Michigan State lost a close shootout with Cal to kick off the year. It's been all up hill since. Yards per point numbers for Michigan State an excellent 12 on offense and superb 21.6 defensively. Ohio State not too shabby either with a 13 on offense and a 19 on defense. Both teams good in turnover margin with Michigan State at +10 and Ohio State +7. But Ohio State having some troubles on the offensive side of the ball. They failed to score an offensive touchdown against the worst defense in the Big 10. They rank 94th in the nation in total offense and 10th in the Big 10. Their inability to move the ball could spell trouble against a Michigan State team that has no trouble finding the end zone. Michigan State Running Back Javon Ringer is one of the best in the nation. Likely the best Ohio State has faced this. Ohio State's conservative game plans, their unwillingness to throw the ball, the coaching familiarities, the higher ranking of Ohio State, the game being one of the biggest home games for Michigan State in years, it all adds up. We like to say that when a team like Michigan State sees the door open a crack, against a team that has historically dominated them like Ohio State, they have to kick the door in, because that opportunity may not present itself for years to come. So, in a sense, it's now or never. The talent is there, it's one of the best Michigan State teams in years. We likely won't need the field goal in this one but we'll take it. Michigan State +3.5 (the play is still good at +3, we played it +3.5 and would certainly prefer the hook)
2* Iowa State +7 over Nebraska
Both of these teams desperate for a win sitting at 0-2 in the conference. Nebraska has certainly had the upper hand in this series but a look at these two teams results thus far this year shows some similarities. Both started out with wins over lesser competition and then suffered defeats when they stepped it up. Nebraska was hammered by Missouri but then came back last week and took Texas Tech to overtime which shocked quite a few people. Meanwhile, Iowa State was looking good a couple of weeks ago, up big on Kansas at the half before falling apart in the 2nd half and losing by two, followed by their worst game of the year, last week at Baylor. But Iowa State has shown some promise. In their game at Iowa, they outgained a decent Iowa team, won the time of possession battle and the first down battle but came up short on the scoreboard. They lead the Big 12 in takeaways at +17 and sit at +7 in turnover margin, which ranks among the best in the country (Nebraska is -4). Their yards per point numbers are a tad better than Nebraska's but we'd have to give the edge to the Cornhuskers as far as strength of schedule. This will be the 2nd road game in a row for Nebraska and only the 2nd road game of the year for them as they started the season with 5 straight home games. We're also counting on a hangover affect from last weeks devastating overtime loss to Texas Tech, while Iowa State figures to improve drastically off of their worst performance of the year. We think this one has the potential to be a good competitive game so we'll grab the touchdown here with the home dog. Iowa State +7
2* Vanderbilt +15 over Georgia
We're not going to argue about the overall talent levels of these two teams. Georgia gets the nod. We'll also concede that the way things looked last week, the way Georgia dominated the Vols and held them to 16 yards rushing and the way Vanderbilt looked at Miss State, it would seem as though Vandy has no chance. All of which, by the way, creates a little extra line value for us here. But there are plenty of positives to draw on here. For one, this Georgia team is pretty much the same team from a year ago. We'll, a year ago, Vandy led Georgia 17-7 before losing 20-17 on a late field goal. They had 179 rushing yards and another 131 through the year. If you're worried about the QB situation at Vandy, don't. Mackenzie Adams replaced Chris Nickson last year early in the Georgia game and threw for 125 of those 131 yards going 7 for 10 in the process. He also came off the bench in the Auburn win this year. He gives Vandy the downfield threat they need to challenge the Georgia secondary and keep them honest. Don't be surprised to see Nickson in there as well. Vandy also beat Georgia the year before last, at Georgia, 24-22. So can Vandy, with their talent, compete with Georgia? The answer is in the last two years results. Of course they can. Keep in mind the last two years were losing ones for Vandy, just like the last 25 years. So if ever they are going to compete, why not now when they are having their best season ever??? Vanderbilt is playing the type of football that keeps games close. They shorten the game. They lead the SEC in sacks. They are the least penalized team in the SEC. They are one of the better teams in the country on the turnover margin chart. Their yards per point numbers are better than Georgia's mostly due to their making the most of their opportunities inside the red zone where they rank, you guessed it, number one in the SEC. Again, it's all the basic fundamentals here that have made Vandy 5-1 and able to compete. Do all the little things right, consistently, and you have all the makings of a sound, competitive football team.........oh, and how about some added motivation. Last year when Georgia won, they celebrated by dancing on the Vandy logo at midfield. Now, revenge is great in college football. But throw in something like that to add a little juice........hey, if I was coaching Vandy, I'd make the team watch that Georgia dance routine before and after every practice this week, and then one more time on the bus ride over to the stadium Saturday morning. This game has the potential to be better than many think. Vandy +15
2* Navy +3 over Pitt
Nothing ground breaking in our approach in this one. Simply two teams we feel are even with the home team, Navy, getting a field goal in a game that could go either way and probably has a great chance to be decided by 3. These two hooked up last year in a wild 48-45 shootout which Navy won. Pitt is 4-1 with their two most impressive wins being 21-20 over Iowa and 26-21 over South Florida on the road. But there's some question marks as well. Such as losing to Bowling Green and close games against Buffalo and Syracuse. Navy also has some question marks this year but, like Pitt, have a couple of equally impressive wins. Knocking off Wake Forest and Air Force, both on the road, in their last two games tells us Navy is playing some good ball. The Turnover margin favors Navy at +6 on the year to Pitts -3. We'll take the points here in a game that figures to come down to the wire. Pitt being ranked #23 in the Nation helps our cause. Anytime an unranked team plays a ranked team, particularly at home, there's added incentive. Hey, that could be Navy at #23 next week. Navy +3
2* North Carolina -4.5 over Virginia
Shop around. We see -4 out there. The question here is, which Virginia team shows up? The team that looked like the worst in the land the first 4 games of the year, or the team that beat Maryland 31-0 and East Carolina 35-20? Look at the difference in these two teams results against a common opponent, Uconn. NC beat Uconn 38-12 while Virginia lost 45-10!! Rather than guess which Virginia team will show up, we'll take into account the entire year for both squads. When doing so, we find a much more consistent and talented football team in North Carolina than we do with Virginia. At 5-1, The Tar Heels are the number one team in the nation in turnover margin at +11 while Virginia ranks 100 out of 119 teams in that category. Great ypp numbers for NC with a 10 on offense and an 18.5 on defense for a +8.5 overall compared with Virginia's dismal 18 on offense and 14 on defense for a -4 overall. The line on this game is reasonable enough at under a touchdown while the gap in talent appears wide enough to have us laying points, which is a rare occasion. North Carolina -4.5.
2* Kentucky -7.5 over Arkansas
Speaking of laying points.......not something we like to do, but sometimes it can't be avoided. This one for very similar reasons as the above game. This game opened Kentucky -11 and we think the oddsmakers had it right. We pointed out some glaring yards per point numbers in the NC/Virginia game and we have an even wider gap in this one. Arkansas with over 19 on offense and 10 on defense rates as just about the worst in all of college football while Kentucky with a 12 on offense and 26 on defense ranks as one of the best (using that stat). It's a significant stat because it tells you how hard a team has to work to put points on the board while also showing us how effective they are defensively at keeping opponents out of the end zone. Some will bring up schedule strength here but really, it's not an issue. They both played Alabama. Kentucky was on the road and lost by 3. Arkansas was home and lost by 35. We wouldn't get too caught up in the Auburn win last week either. It was two teams with new offenses both at the same point in their progress. Some are pointing to Kentucky's lack of offense in their arguments for this one being a close game. We'll go in another direction though. We'll point to Kentucky's defense, which currently ranks as the best scoring defense in the SEC and 3rd nationally, going up against an Arkansas team still learning the new schemes. Put another way, we may not be asking Kentucky to score all that much here. We may just be asking for a touchdown and a couple of field goals. We'll take the better team with the better defense and we'll lay a number that gets more and more favorable as each day goes by. Wait on this one, it may be less than touchdown by Saturday! Oh, and if you're wondering about turnover margins here, Kentucky is +7 and 11th in the nation.......Arkansas is -8 and ranked 114 out of 119 teams. Wow.Kentucky -7.5
5* Michigan State +3.5 over Ohio State
This week #12 Ohio State visits #20 Michigan State in what amounts to the biggest game for Michigan State in quite some time. Michigan State hasn't beaten Ohio State since 1999 but if it's going to happen, this looks to be the time and place. Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio was Jim Tressels defensive coordinator and earned a championship ring at Ohio State. These guys are familiar with each other. Both teams have a loss but it was Ohio States performance against USC which stands out. Michigan State lost a close shootout with Cal to kick off the year. It's been all up hill since. Yards per point numbers for Michigan State an excellent 12 on offense and superb 21.6 defensively. Ohio State not too shabby either with a 13 on offense and a 19 on defense. Both teams good in turnover margin with Michigan State at +10 and Ohio State +7. But Ohio State having some troubles on the offensive side of the ball. They failed to score an offensive touchdown against the worst defense in the Big 10. They rank 94th in the nation in total offense and 10th in the Big 10. Their inability to move the ball could spell trouble against a Michigan State team that has no trouble finding the end zone. Michigan State Running Back Javon Ringer is one of the best in the nation. Likely the best Ohio State has faced this. Ohio State's conservative game plans, their unwillingness to throw the ball, the coaching familiarities, the higher ranking of Ohio State, the game being one of the biggest home games for Michigan State in years, it all adds up. We like to say that when a team like Michigan State sees the door open a crack, against a team that has historically dominated them like Ohio State, they have to kick the door in, because that opportunity may not present itself for years to come. So, in a sense, it's now or never. The talent is there, it's one of the best Michigan State teams in years. We likely won't need the field goal in this one but we'll take it. Michigan State +3.5 (the play is still good at +3, we played it +3.5 and would certainly prefer the hook)
2* Iowa State +7 over Nebraska
Both of these teams desperate for a win sitting at 0-2 in the conference. Nebraska has certainly had the upper hand in this series but a look at these two teams results thus far this year shows some similarities. Both started out with wins over lesser competition and then suffered defeats when they stepped it up. Nebraska was hammered by Missouri but then came back last week and took Texas Tech to overtime which shocked quite a few people. Meanwhile, Iowa State was looking good a couple of weeks ago, up big on Kansas at the half before falling apart in the 2nd half and losing by two, followed by their worst game of the year, last week at Baylor. But Iowa State has shown some promise. In their game at Iowa, they outgained a decent Iowa team, won the time of possession battle and the first down battle but came up short on the scoreboard. They lead the Big 12 in takeaways at +17 and sit at +7 in turnover margin, which ranks among the best in the country (Nebraska is -4). Their yards per point numbers are a tad better than Nebraska's but we'd have to give the edge to the Cornhuskers as far as strength of schedule. This will be the 2nd road game in a row for Nebraska and only the 2nd road game of the year for them as they started the season with 5 straight home games. We're also counting on a hangover affect from last weeks devastating overtime loss to Texas Tech, while Iowa State figures to improve drastically off of their worst performance of the year. We think this one has the potential to be a good competitive game so we'll grab the touchdown here with the home dog. Iowa State +7
2* Vanderbilt +15 over Georgia
We're not going to argue about the overall talent levels of these two teams. Georgia gets the nod. We'll also concede that the way things looked last week, the way Georgia dominated the Vols and held them to 16 yards rushing and the way Vanderbilt looked at Miss State, it would seem as though Vandy has no chance. All of which, by the way, creates a little extra line value for us here. But there are plenty of positives to draw on here. For one, this Georgia team is pretty much the same team from a year ago. We'll, a year ago, Vandy led Georgia 17-7 before losing 20-17 on a late field goal. They had 179 rushing yards and another 131 through the year. If you're worried about the QB situation at Vandy, don't. Mackenzie Adams replaced Chris Nickson last year early in the Georgia game and threw for 125 of those 131 yards going 7 for 10 in the process. He also came off the bench in the Auburn win this year. He gives Vandy the downfield threat they need to challenge the Georgia secondary and keep them honest. Don't be surprised to see Nickson in there as well. Vandy also beat Georgia the year before last, at Georgia, 24-22. So can Vandy, with their talent, compete with Georgia? The answer is in the last two years results. Of course they can. Keep in mind the last two years were losing ones for Vandy, just like the last 25 years. So if ever they are going to compete, why not now when they are having their best season ever??? Vanderbilt is playing the type of football that keeps games close. They shorten the game. They lead the SEC in sacks. They are the least penalized team in the SEC. They are one of the better teams in the country on the turnover margin chart. Their yards per point numbers are better than Georgia's mostly due to their making the most of their opportunities inside the red zone where they rank, you guessed it, number one in the SEC. Again, it's all the basic fundamentals here that have made Vandy 5-1 and able to compete. Do all the little things right, consistently, and you have all the makings of a sound, competitive football team.........oh, and how about some added motivation. Last year when Georgia won, they celebrated by dancing on the Vandy logo at midfield. Now, revenge is great in college football. But throw in something like that to add a little juice........hey, if I was coaching Vandy, I'd make the team watch that Georgia dance routine before and after every practice this week, and then one more time on the bus ride over to the stadium Saturday morning. This game has the potential to be better than many think. Vandy +15
2* Navy +3 over Pitt
Nothing ground breaking in our approach in this one. Simply two teams we feel are even with the home team, Navy, getting a field goal in a game that could go either way and probably has a great chance to be decided by 3. These two hooked up last year in a wild 48-45 shootout which Navy won. Pitt is 4-1 with their two most impressive wins being 21-20 over Iowa and 26-21 over South Florida on the road. But there's some question marks as well. Such as losing to Bowling Green and close games against Buffalo and Syracuse. Navy also has some question marks this year but, like Pitt, have a couple of equally impressive wins. Knocking off Wake Forest and Air Force, both on the road, in their last two games tells us Navy is playing some good ball. The Turnover margin favors Navy at +6 on the year to Pitts -3. We'll take the points here in a game that figures to come down to the wire. Pitt being ranked #23 in the Nation helps our cause. Anytime an unranked team plays a ranked team, particularly at home, there's added incentive. Hey, that could be Navy at #23 next week. Navy +3
2* North Carolina -4.5 over Virginia
Shop around. We see -4 out there. The question here is, which Virginia team shows up? The team that looked like the worst in the land the first 4 games of the year, or the team that beat Maryland 31-0 and East Carolina 35-20? Look at the difference in these two teams results against a common opponent, Uconn. NC beat Uconn 38-12 while Virginia lost 45-10!! Rather than guess which Virginia team will show up, we'll take into account the entire year for both squads. When doing so, we find a much more consistent and talented football team in North Carolina than we do with Virginia. At 5-1, The Tar Heels are the number one team in the nation in turnover margin at +11 while Virginia ranks 100 out of 119 teams in that category. Great ypp numbers for NC with a 10 on offense and an 18.5 on defense for a +8.5 overall compared with Virginia's dismal 18 on offense and 14 on defense for a -4 overall. The line on this game is reasonable enough at under a touchdown while the gap in talent appears wide enough to have us laying points, which is a rare occasion. North Carolina -4.5.
2* Kentucky -7.5 over Arkansas
Speaking of laying points.......not something we like to do, but sometimes it can't be avoided. This one for very similar reasons as the above game. This game opened Kentucky -11 and we think the oddsmakers had it right. We pointed out some glaring yards per point numbers in the NC/Virginia game and we have an even wider gap in this one. Arkansas with over 19 on offense and 10 on defense rates as just about the worst in all of college football while Kentucky with a 12 on offense and 26 on defense ranks as one of the best (using that stat). It's a significant stat because it tells you how hard a team has to work to put points on the board while also showing us how effective they are defensively at keeping opponents out of the end zone. Some will bring up schedule strength here but really, it's not an issue. They both played Alabama. Kentucky was on the road and lost by 3. Arkansas was home and lost by 35. We wouldn't get too caught up in the Auburn win last week either. It was two teams with new offenses both at the same point in their progress. Some are pointing to Kentucky's lack of offense in their arguments for this one being a close game. We'll go in another direction though. We'll point to Kentucky's defense, which currently ranks as the best scoring defense in the SEC and 3rd nationally, going up against an Arkansas team still learning the new schemes. Put another way, we may not be asking Kentucky to score all that much here. We may just be asking for a touchdown and a couple of field goals. We'll take the better team with the better defense and we'll lay a number that gets more and more favorable as each day goes by. Wait on this one, it may be less than touchdown by Saturday! Oh, and if you're wondering about turnover margins here, Kentucky is +7 and 11th in the nation.......Arkansas is -8 and ranked 114 out of 119 teams. Wow.Kentucky -7.5
