Randall the Handle
Duke +15½ over N.C. STATE
Duke Football isn’t exactly synonymous with success but getting 15½-points to a mediocre team like North Carolina State will always get my attention. The numbers for Duke the past five seasons are downright horrifying but this year’s team already has two wins but more importantly can actually score some points. Quarterback Thaddeus Lewis has played in every game with the Blue Devils since 2006 and has a legitimate shot of playing in the NFL. Lewis has a 7-2 touchdown to interception ratio and last week against #5 Virginia Tech, Lewis passed for 359 yards and almost led Duke to a stunning upset of the Hokies. An elite college quarterback like Lewis can do wonders for a team like Duke and this season the offense is clicking like never before. Through five games, Duke is averaging 28.4 points a game and leads the ACC in passing yards, a remarkable achievement for a team that won a combined five games from 2006 to 2008. North Carolina State meanwhile is 3-2 with their big win coming over Pittsburgh in Week 4. North Carolina State coach Tom O’Brien was hired from Boston College and after two seasons has an 11-14 coaching record and does not have a top 25 recruiting class to his credit. O’Brien inherited arguably the best quarterback in the ACC in Russell Wilson and frankly that’s why his record isn’t worse. Wilson will lead the Wolfpack to points against Duke but it’s the North Carolina State defense that ultimately will allow Duke to stay in the game. North Carolina State saw a passing offense for the first time last week and allowed Wake Forest’s Riley Skinner to throw for 360 yards and three touchdowns. Wake Forest is a good comparison to the Duke offense because Duke has almost no running game and will throw the ball regardless of the score. North Carolina State has better overall talent but after last week’s game Duke has shown it can hang with anybody in the ACC. North Carolina State certainly isn’t a team you can feel comfortable with laying better than two touchdowns, as its coaching is subpar and their defense struggles stopping the pass. Take the points and a Duke team that absolutely believes they can win this game. Play: #315 Duke +15½ (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
Ohio -3.5 over AKRON
Akron’s season was thrown a major wrench when the school dismissed third year starter Chris Jacquemain for the entire season. For MAC schools like Akron, stability at the quarterback position is so important and switching mid-season almost always has disastrous results. Matt Rodgers, Jacquemain’s replacement, has been dreadful so far, throwing for a measly 292 yards and four interceptions in two losses to Indiana and Central Michigan. Rodgers had never played a snap before these games and it’s safe to say he is totally unprepared to be a starter at the Division 1 level. Ohio isn’t a team with extraordinary talent but didn’t embarrass themselves against BCS opponents Tennessee and Connecticut earlier in the season. Ohio is led by former Nebraska coach Frank Solich, who has taken Ohio to a bowl game and is 17-16 in conference play since 2005. After employing the dreaded two-quarterback system for the first two weeks of the season, Senior Theo Scott won the job and has performed decently since. But this play really isn’t about Ohio. It’s about catching a team in disarray in Akron that will struggle mightily to win another game this season. This is a team that is dead last in the MAC in passing yards, can’t run the ball and gives up 30 points a game. Coach JD Brookhart was asked about the team’s morale and answered: “The psyche of the team is fine.” I call hogwash on that front and the fact he has any confidence in Quarterback Rodgers. It won’t be long before bettors will have to lay close to two touchdowns to bet against this team. Cash in now before the oddsmakers realize how bad a football team Akron really is. Play: #361 Ohio -3.5 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
Soccer
World Cup Qualifier
USA +2.10 over HONDURAS
The USA can clinch a place in next year’s World Cup with a road victory in Honduras, which should be a tight match. Honduras will also be looking to claim all three points but are in tough against a very good American side which boasts a mix of MLS stars and players currently playing in Europe. The US will most likely start the match taking a cautious approach as they will expect Honduras to come out strong in front of their supporters, however, the Americans are a very good counter attacking side and will do that in this match to claim a narrow victory. Sure the Americans will be without star striker Clint Dempsey but they have plenty of cover in his absence, as this American side is deep. Look for USA to clinch a place in next year’s World Cup with a solid road victory over Honduras at a very generous price to boot. Play: USA +2.10 (Risking 2 units).
World Cup Qualifier
England +1.55 over UKRAINE
England has long qualified for the 2010 World Cup but that has not stopped them from playing their best squad, as will be the case here in Ukraine. Head Coach Fabio Capello will play his strongest team, as England attempts to go perfect in the qualifying round. They currently stand at eight wins and zero losses. England is firing on all cylinders and quite frankly is just too good a side for a desperate Ukraine to cope with. Ukraine needs this win if they have any hope of qualifying, as they currently sit in third place two points behind second place Croatia. Being desperate doesn’t translate to automatic wins especially when playing a powerhouse like England. England, who missed out competing in the European Championship a few year’s ago, are out to put the rest of the world on notice that they are once again a force to be reckoned with and one of the early favorites heading into next year’s World Cup in South Africa. Play: England +1.55 (Risking 2 units)