The real Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders has a bet on Kentucky (+4) over Pittsburgh on the gridiron.
Reasoning: Pittsburgh may be the better team with Dion Lewis running the rock but Lewis has not been nearly what he was last season and with Dave Wannstedt out the door I’ll grab some points here with a solid enough team from the big bad SEC.
Not having quarterback Brian Hartline won’t make things easy but the Wildcats have played a ton without him over the last few seasons and have had ample time to prepare with their very skilled weapons led by Randall Cobb and Derrick Locke.
UK is a team that can hang with anybody thanks to their explosive offense and more times than not are involved in wild high scoring and fun games. Joker Philips has done a nice job replacing Rich Brooks and the 6-6 record is truly not indicative of how good this team is at times, just ask Steve Spurrier and South Carolina who they beat despite trailing by three scores as well as Cam Newton and top ranked Auburn who survived in Lexington thanks to a late field goal late, 37-34.
College football bettors know that the Panthers finished 7-5 in what was an underachieving and not so good season. Lewis has got to be somewhat hurt as his production was not even half of what it should have been and Tino Sunseri is alright but nothing that really scares me. The Pitt defense can bring the heat as the numbers suggest but the Big East was very down this season so I’m really not all that sure if they are as good as it may appear.
The ‘Cats will allow some points as they always do but they also will make some their fair share of big plays and in the end to be able to get what appears to be north of a field goal in an even game is just fine with me.
The pick: Kentucky (+4)
For more information: For Matt Rivers is was 500,000* of profit yesterday as my 300,000* on LSU along with the 200,000* on the Pacers cashed the ticket and did so with conviction! I’m ready to bash that Crookie one more time today as I have both NFL games along with a pair of college hoop locks. A monster 400,000* to kick it all off from the Great Northwest in this battle between New Orleans and Seattle along with a trio of 200,000* winners: New York-Indianapolis, George Mason-Old Dominion and Richmond-LaSalle. Ride me baby, I’m feeling it, I really am! Rivers card is ready at OffshoreInsiders.com
Now to the official betting preview:
This week's football schedule includes a contest between Kentucky vs. Pittsburgh in the Compass Birmingham Bowl. Pittsburgh is -4 with a total of 52.
OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at the football betting match-up using key numbers employed by professional gamblers.
In comparing yards per rush on offense, the better numbers belong to the Kentucky Wildcats by .2.
As far as passing yards per completion on the offensive side of the ball, the upper hand is for Kentucky by .6.
According to yards per point, the more efficient offense is Kentucky by .7.
Defensively the more stingy team based on yards per rush is Pittsburgh by an impressive 1.0.
The superior defense in terms of passing yards per completion is the Pittsburgh Panthers by 2.7.
The yards per point statistic used by the best sports handicappers says the superior defense is Pitt by 3.0.
Who to bet on according to the football betting experts against the spread LSU makes it 6-3 with bowl sides in 2011 for GodsTips.
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Yards per point is determined by diving total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Kentucky 12-3 non-conference games, 2-7 as underdog.
Pittsburgh is 5-1 after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, but 1-4 in bowl games.
Over/under trends: Kentucky has gone over 6-0 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and 19-7 to teams with a winning record.
Pittsburgh under 7-2 as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.