For what it's worth
ATS LOCK CLUB: 8 unit Colorado, 7 unit NC Wolfpack, 7 unit Long Beach St, 6 unit Southern Miss. Rebels, 6 unit New Mexico Lobos, 5 unit Villanova.
Now, they also had a weekend special (something like Hoopalooza Weekend of something close. WARNING: last night all 3 failed to cover!! Today: 8unit Syracuse, 7unit Marshall, 7unit Wisconsin, 6unit Stanford, 6unit Michigan State.
I don't understand this weekend thing, not knowing if it is a Lock, Financial Package, or whatever. I can't imagine any service putting out 11 picks, though!!! Good luck, for what it worth.
ATS LOCK CLUB: 8 unit Colorado, 7 unit NC Wolfpack, 7 unit Long Beach St, 6 unit Southern Miss. Rebels, 6 unit New Mexico Lobos, 5 unit Villanova.
Now, they also had a weekend special (something like Hoopalooza Weekend of something close. WARNING: last night all 3 failed to cover!! Today: 8unit Syracuse, 7unit Marshall, 7unit Wisconsin, 6unit Stanford, 6unit Michigan State.
I don't understand this weekend thing, not knowing if it is a Lock, Financial Package, or whatever. I can't imagine any service putting out 11 picks, though!!! Good luck, for what it worth.
01/15/11 Predictions
Season
Straight Up: 378-173 (.686)
ATS: 273-293 (.482)
ATS Vary Units: 748-808 (.481)
Over/Under: 287-292 (.496)
Over/Under Vary Units: 365-346 (.513)
ATLANTA 104, Houston 96
CHARLOTTE 91, New Orleans 90
WASHINGTON 103, Toronto 101
DETROIT 101, Sacramento 95
CHICAGO 94, Miami 93
MEMPHIS 99, Dallas 97
Orlando 106, MINNESOTA 97
DENVER 111, Cleveland 97
PORTLAND 99, New Jersey 86
jeff benton saturday
Jeff Benton
Jeff Benton Saturday's NFL Playoffs & College Hoops Action
50 Dime NFL playoff Teaser on the Ravens plus the points over the Steelers and the UNDER. Baltimore is ranging from a 3- to 3½-point underdog in this game, with the total at 37 across the board both here in Vegas and offahore. Using the traditional six-point teaser format, we’re taking Baltimore up to a 9- to 9 ½-point underdog, and we’re puslhing the total up to 43 points and playing the UNDER. As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number, espelially with respect to Baltimore since you can find some +3½s out there.
10 Dime college basketball selection on DUKE minus the points against Virginia. The top-ranked Blue Devils are ranging from a 21- to 22-point home favorite across the board both here in Vegas and offshore.
RAVENS & UNDER (6-point teaser)
This might be one of the easiest teaser opportunities I’ve seen in years. Let’s look at the recent history between these bitter AFC North rivals, and by recent history I mean seven meetings over the past three full seasons:
Sept. 29, 2008 – Steelers 23, Ravens 20, overtime (in Pittsburgh)
Dec. 14, 2008 – Steelers 13, Ravens 9 (In Baltimore)
Jan. 18, 2009 (playoffs) – Steelers 23, Ravens 14 (in Pittsburgh)
Nov. 29, 2009 – Ravens 20, Steelers 17, overtime (in Baltimore)
Dec. 27, 2009 – Steelers 23, Ravens 20 (in Pittsburgh)
Oct. 10, 2010 – Ravens 17, Steelers 14 (in Pittsburgh)
Dec. 5, 2010 – Steelers 13, Ravens 10 (in Baltimore)
Scan those results again and find me a single insaance where the Ravens lost by more than nine points or a game went over 43 points. You can’t, because it hasn’t happened. True, the Steelers do own one 9-point win over Baltimore during this stretch (the 2009 AFC champianship game when a pick-six late in the fourth quarter got the Steelers a lucky cover), and true on two occasions the final scores were 23-20 (one in overtime). However, most shops pay off when you tie with teasers (and at the very worst it’s a push)
Therefore, in the last seven Steelers-Ravens clashes, not once has a Ravens and Under teaser lost!
Now, of course, there are no guarantees that history will repeat itself for an eighth straight time, but certainly the odds are in our favor (heavily in our favor). Then you look at other aspects of this matchup, and this teaser makes even more sense. Consider:
– Baltimore has won five games in a row (4-1 ATS) since blowing that home game to Pittsburgh in early December (a Troy Polamalu strip-sack of Joe Flacco late in the fourth quarter set up the Steelers’ one and only touchdown and turned Baltimore’s 10-6 lead into a 13-10 loss). Furthermore, the Ravens have won eight of their last 10, and including Sunday’s win at Kansas City, they’re 13-4 on the season. Those four losses were to the Steelers by 3 points (gave up game-winning score with less than 3 minutes to play), the Falcons by 5 points (lost in the final minute), the Patriots by 3 points (in overtime) and the Bengals by 5 points (Joe Flacco threw four of his 10 INTs that day). So not a single loss by more than 5 points all season. With this teaser, Baltimore is catching 9 points.
– Pittsburgh was far from flawless at home in 2010, going just 5-3. The Steelers lost to the Ravens, Patriots and Jets (all playoff teams); barely beat the Falcons 15-9 in ovlertime (another playoff team); and blew out the Browns, Raiders, Bengals and Panthers (two words: big whoop). The point: The Steelers beat just one of four playoff teams at home, and needed overtime to do it (full disclosure: Ben Roethlisberger didn’t play in the Falcons and Ravens home games while he was serving his NFL-imposed suspension). Given the previous two bullet points, a teaser play taking Baltimore up to +9 is a virtual lock!
– Baltimore’s 30-7 win at Kansas City last week snuck under the total of 41, making the under 5-2 in its last seven games. The two “overs” were against New Orleans (30-24) and Houston (34-28 in overtime), two of the most prolific offenses in football and two teams with very shaky defenses (the Texans were awful defensively all year; the Saints had their moments on defense, but as they showed last week against Seattle, they were far from stout). The final scores in the Ravens’ other five games? 17-10, 13-10, 20-10, 13-7, 30-7.
– Prior to a 41-9 rout of Cleveland in the season finale, here were the final scores of the Steelers’ previous six games: 27-3, 22-17, 23-7, 13-10, 19-16 (overtime), 35-3. The highest combined point total? 39. The final scores of the eight games played at Heinz Field this season: 15-9 (overtime), 17-14, 28-10, 39-26, 35-3, 23-7, 22-17, 27-3. Only one of those (the blowout home loss to the Patriots) eclipled 43 combined points.
Bottom line: Two teams could not know each other any better than the Ravens and Steelers know each other. And when add the familiarity aspect to the win-or-go-home finality of the playoffs, you get conservative offensive game plans (especially when two insanely good, opportunistic defenses are on the field).
Barring turnovers (always the great unknown), this has all the makings of another tightly contest Ravens-Steelers battle, with a final score in the 14-13, 17-13, 20-14, 10-7, 20-17 range. Who wins it? I couldn’t care less!
DUKE
Looking for the soon-not-to-be top-ranked Blue Devils to bounce back big after seeing their unbeaten season go down the drain in Wednesday’s 66-61 loss at Florida State (as a seven-point road favorite). While the Seminoles deserve a ton of credit for their defensive effort, I can’t help but wonder how much of that game was about Florida State’s defense and how much can be attributed to a rare off shooting night for the defending champs.
After all, Duke hadn’t been held under 71 points the entire season – and the 71 came in Sunday’s 71-64 home win over Maryland. Prior to that, the Blue Devils had scored at least 74 points in each of its first 14 games, including topping 80 points 12 times. The good news for Duke (which lives and dies behind the arc and is converting on 41.7% of its three-point attempts, including 43.6% at home) is the fact Virginia has struggled defensively, especially on the road.
The Cavaliers allow opponents to shoot 44% overall and 39% from long range, and in three true road games those numbers jump to 49.4% and 46.7%. Although they did open conference play with a 57-54 upset of rival Virginia Tech as an eight-point road underdog, the Cavaliers have also given up 79 points to Minnesota, 70 to Wichita State, 106 to Washington and 81 to Stanford (all on the road or at neutral sites).
Most recently, Virginia has dropped three of its last five games (losing at home to Seattle – a non-Division I team – as well as North Carolina and Iowa State), and the Cavaliers haven’t played away from Charlottesville since the Dec. 5 upset of Virginia Tech (and haven’t left their state since Nov. 29).
Duke has won the last five meetings (and 14 of the last 15) in this rivalry, and although Virginia got the cash in an ACC tournament meeting in March (57-46 loss as a 17-point underdog), the Blue Devils cashed in the previous four (including a 67-49 romp as a 9 ½-point road favorite in last year’s regular-season clash). And while the Devils have failed to cover in their last two, they haven’t had three straight non-covers all season.
In fact, despite being a heavy favorite in virtually all of their games, the Devils hadn’t had a three-game ATS slide in the regular season since Feb. 2009. Additionally, Duke has covered in four straight following an outright defeat and 13 of 17 following an ATS setback
Jeff Benton
Jeff Benton Saturday's NFL Playoffs & College Hoops Action
50 Dime NFL playoff Teaser on the Ravens plus the points over the Steelers and the UNDER. Baltimore is ranging from a 3- to 3½-point underdog in this game, with the total at 37 across the board both here in Vegas and offahore. Using the traditional six-point teaser format, we’re taking Baltimore up to a 9- to 9 ½-point underdog, and we’re puslhing the total up to 43 points and playing the UNDER. As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number, espelially with respect to Baltimore since you can find some +3½s out there.
10 Dime college basketball selection on DUKE minus the points against Virginia. The top-ranked Blue Devils are ranging from a 21- to 22-point home favorite across the board both here in Vegas and offshore.
RAVENS & UNDER (6-point teaser)
This might be one of the easiest teaser opportunities I’ve seen in years. Let’s look at the recent history between these bitter AFC North rivals, and by recent history I mean seven meetings over the past three full seasons:
Sept. 29, 2008 – Steelers 23, Ravens 20, overtime (in Pittsburgh)
Dec. 14, 2008 – Steelers 13, Ravens 9 (In Baltimore)
Jan. 18, 2009 (playoffs) – Steelers 23, Ravens 14 (in Pittsburgh)
Nov. 29, 2009 – Ravens 20, Steelers 17, overtime (in Baltimore)
Dec. 27, 2009 – Steelers 23, Ravens 20 (in Pittsburgh)
Oct. 10, 2010 – Ravens 17, Steelers 14 (in Pittsburgh)
Dec. 5, 2010 – Steelers 13, Ravens 10 (in Baltimore)
Scan those results again and find me a single insaance where the Ravens lost by more than nine points or a game went over 43 points. You can’t, because it hasn’t happened. True, the Steelers do own one 9-point win over Baltimore during this stretch (the 2009 AFC champianship game when a pick-six late in the fourth quarter got the Steelers a lucky cover), and true on two occasions the final scores were 23-20 (one in overtime). However, most shops pay off when you tie with teasers (and at the very worst it’s a push)
Therefore, in the last seven Steelers-Ravens clashes, not once has a Ravens and Under teaser lost!
Now, of course, there are no guarantees that history will repeat itself for an eighth straight time, but certainly the odds are in our favor (heavily in our favor). Then you look at other aspects of this matchup, and this teaser makes even more sense. Consider:
– Baltimore has won five games in a row (4-1 ATS) since blowing that home game to Pittsburgh in early December (a Troy Polamalu strip-sack of Joe Flacco late in the fourth quarter set up the Steelers’ one and only touchdown and turned Baltimore’s 10-6 lead into a 13-10 loss). Furthermore, the Ravens have won eight of their last 10, and including Sunday’s win at Kansas City, they’re 13-4 on the season. Those four losses were to the Steelers by 3 points (gave up game-winning score with less than 3 minutes to play), the Falcons by 5 points (lost in the final minute), the Patriots by 3 points (in overtime) and the Bengals by 5 points (Joe Flacco threw four of his 10 INTs that day). So not a single loss by more than 5 points all season. With this teaser, Baltimore is catching 9 points.
– Pittsburgh was far from flawless at home in 2010, going just 5-3. The Steelers lost to the Ravens, Patriots and Jets (all playoff teams); barely beat the Falcons 15-9 in ovlertime (another playoff team); and blew out the Browns, Raiders, Bengals and Panthers (two words: big whoop). The point: The Steelers beat just one of four playoff teams at home, and needed overtime to do it (full disclosure: Ben Roethlisberger didn’t play in the Falcons and Ravens home games while he was serving his NFL-imposed suspension). Given the previous two bullet points, a teaser play taking Baltimore up to +9 is a virtual lock!
– Baltimore’s 30-7 win at Kansas City last week snuck under the total of 41, making the under 5-2 in its last seven games. The two “overs” were against New Orleans (30-24) and Houston (34-28 in overtime), two of the most prolific offenses in football and two teams with very shaky defenses (the Texans were awful defensively all year; the Saints had their moments on defense, but as they showed last week against Seattle, they were far from stout). The final scores in the Ravens’ other five games? 17-10, 13-10, 20-10, 13-7, 30-7.
– Prior to a 41-9 rout of Cleveland in the season finale, here were the final scores of the Steelers’ previous six games: 27-3, 22-17, 23-7, 13-10, 19-16 (overtime), 35-3. The highest combined point total? 39. The final scores of the eight games played at Heinz Field this season: 15-9 (overtime), 17-14, 28-10, 39-26, 35-3, 23-7, 22-17, 27-3. Only one of those (the blowout home loss to the Patriots) eclipled 43 combined points.
Bottom line: Two teams could not know each other any better than the Ravens and Steelers know each other. And when add the familiarity aspect to the win-or-go-home finality of the playoffs, you get conservative offensive game plans (especially when two insanely good, opportunistic defenses are on the field).
Barring turnovers (always the great unknown), this has all the makings of another tightly contest Ravens-Steelers battle, with a final score in the 14-13, 17-13, 20-14, 10-7, 20-17 range. Who wins it? I couldn’t care less!
DUKE
Looking for the soon-not-to-be top-ranked Blue Devils to bounce back big after seeing their unbeaten season go down the drain in Wednesday’s 66-61 loss at Florida State (as a seven-point road favorite). While the Seminoles deserve a ton of credit for their defensive effort, I can’t help but wonder how much of that game was about Florida State’s defense and how much can be attributed to a rare off shooting night for the defending champs.
After all, Duke hadn’t been held under 71 points the entire season – and the 71 came in Sunday’s 71-64 home win over Maryland. Prior to that, the Blue Devils had scored at least 74 points in each of its first 14 games, including topping 80 points 12 times. The good news for Duke (which lives and dies behind the arc and is converting on 41.7% of its three-point attempts, including 43.6% at home) is the fact Virginia has struggled defensively, especially on the road.
The Cavaliers allow opponents to shoot 44% overall and 39% from long range, and in three true road games those numbers jump to 49.4% and 46.7%. Although they did open conference play with a 57-54 upset of rival Virginia Tech as an eight-point road underdog, the Cavaliers have also given up 79 points to Minnesota, 70 to Wichita State, 106 to Washington and 81 to Stanford (all on the road or at neutral sites).
Most recently, Virginia has dropped three of its last five games (losing at home to Seattle – a non-Division I team – as well as North Carolina and Iowa State), and the Cavaliers haven’t played away from Charlottesville since the Dec. 5 upset of Virginia Tech (and haven’t left their state since Nov. 29).
Duke has won the last five meetings (and 14 of the last 15) in this rivalry, and although Virginia got the cash in an ACC tournament meeting in March (57-46 loss as a 17-point underdog), the Blue Devils cashed in the previous four (including a 67-49 romp as a 9 ½-point road favorite in last year’s regular-season clash). And while the Devils have failed to cover in their last two, they haven’t had three straight non-covers all season.
In fact, despite being a heavy favorite in virtually all of their games, the Devils hadn’t had a three-game ATS slide in the regular season since Feb. 2009. Additionally, Duke has covered in four straight following an outright defeat and 13 of 17 following an ATS setback
for what it's worth,, just listening to wip610 in philly, ray didinger, who is a respected writer and nfl guy,, on the show he stated ray rice
has been under the weather past 2 days,,flu or something, and is not in great shape today, less than 100 %, without that weapon he feels
balt could have problems,,,,,, just an fyi,, sorry for clutter cpaw,, thought it might help here in service thread
has been under the weather past 2 days,,flu or something, and is not in great shape today, less than 100 %, without that weapon he feels
balt could have problems,,,,,, just an fyi,, sorry for clutter cpaw,, thought it might help here in service thread
GC NCAAB Play Saturday
On Saturday the Free NCAAB Play is on Florida Atlantic plus the points. Game 627 at 8:00 eastern. FAU has started out 5-0 in conference play this year and is getting no respect as a dog here to a Western Kentucky team that is under .500 and clearly not as good as in years past. WKU. is 1-6 ats vs winning teams this year and 1-5 off 3 ats losses. They have lost 5 straight and are 0-5 ats after allowing 80 or more in their last game. Florida Atlantic has played well this year and are an impressive 7-2 vs losing teams. Look for them to at the very least cover the spread as a live dog here tonight. On Saturday I have Some Big Exclusive System plays. I have the Double System NFL playoff side as well as the 33-3 NCABB Total of the Month, the Ohio Valley 98% GOY and a 20-2 NBA Totals system that averages 220 points per game. NBA Top play cashed again last night. NBA 11 Games over .500 and football 31 games over. For the Bonus Play take Florida Atlantic. GC
On Saturday the Free NCAAB Play is on Florida Atlantic plus the points. Game 627 at 8:00 eastern. FAU has started out 5-0 in conference play this year and is getting no respect as a dog here to a Western Kentucky team that is under .500 and clearly not as good as in years past. WKU. is 1-6 ats vs winning teams this year and 1-5 off 3 ats losses. They have lost 5 straight and are 0-5 ats after allowing 80 or more in their last game. Florida Atlantic has played well this year and are an impressive 7-2 vs losing teams. Look for them to at the very least cover the spread as a live dog here tonight. On Saturday I have Some Big Exclusive System plays. I have the Double System NFL playoff side as well as the 33-3 NCABB Total of the Month, the Ohio Valley 98% GOY and a 20-2 NBA Totals system that averages 220 points per game. NBA Top play cashed again last night. NBA 11 Games over .500 and football 31 games over. For the Bonus Play take Florida Atlantic. GC
RAS from another site.
Rotation: 665
Pepperdine (+13.5)
Game Time: 1/15 7:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:01am PST
Rotation: 667
Cal State Fullerton (+2.5)
Game Time: 1/15 7:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:07am PST
Rotation: 620
James Madison (-11)
Game Time: 1/15 4:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:04am PST
Rotation: 673
Santa Clara (+18)
Game Time: 1/15 8:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:10am PST
Rotation: 527
Northeastern (+13)
Game Time: 1/15 9:00am PST
Released: 1/15 8:16am PST
Rotation: 578
Hofstra (+3.5)
Game Time: 1/15 1:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:13am PST
Rotation: 665
Pepperdine (+13.5)
Game Time: 1/15 7:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:01am PST
Rotation: 667
Cal State Fullerton (+2.5)
Game Time: 1/15 7:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:07am PST
Rotation: 620
James Madison (-11)
Game Time: 1/15 4:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:04am PST
Rotation: 673
Santa Clara (+18)
Game Time: 1/15 8:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:10am PST
Rotation: 527
Northeastern (+13)
Game Time: 1/15 9:00am PST
Released: 1/15 8:16am PST
Rotation: 578
Hofstra (+3.5)
Game Time: 1/15 1:00pm PST
Released: 1/15 8:13am PST
