NCAAB
Write-Up
Saturday, January 15
Louisville won seven of last nine games vs Marquette, winning four of last five played here, with wins by 47-7-20-4 points; Cardinals lost by 21 at Marquette LY. Marquette is 3-0 as an underdog- they're 3-1 in Big East, losing by 8 at Pitt. Big East home favorites of less than 8 points are 8-4 vs spread. Favorite is 3-0 in Louisville's Big East games.
Syracuse won four of last five games vs Cincinnati, last two by 24-17 points; Bearcats lost last two visits by 1-24 points. Dogs covered five of last seven series games. UC played #337 schedule- their only loss was at Villanova by 11 (+5), only game they've been dog this year. Syracuse is 4-0 in Big East, beating Providence by 7, Notre Dame by 12 at home.
Temple won seven of last eight games vs Duquesne, winning last four by average score of 78-70; Owls won two of last three visits here, winning by 6-5 points. Temple won nine of last 10 games, losing at Villanova by 4. Duquesne won its last five games, since double OT loss to George mason. Road team is 6-2 in A-14 games if spread is less than 6 points.
Texas A&M won its last six games vs Missouri, with four of six by 8+ points; Tigers lost last three visits here, by 28-16-10 points. Mizzou is 1-1 in true road games, winning by 3 at Oregon (led by 20 at half) losing by 13 at Colorado. Aggies won last 12 games, allowing 49.5 in winning first two league tilts, by 18-23. Big 12 home teams are 4-7 vs spread.
Villanova beat Maryland 95-86 LY; Wildcats won last 10 games, are 4-0 vs spread in league games, but 4-5 out of conference. ACC road dogs of more than 4 points are 7-10 vs spread. Big East home favorites of from 6-10 points are 3-10 vs spread. Maryland is 3-1 as an underdog, losing to Pitt by 9, BC by 4, Illinois by 4, Temple by 3.
Michigan State won by 3 at Northwestern Jan 3, its 14th win in last 15 games vs Wildcats, who lost five of last six visits here, losing by 10-29-21-15-9 points; Spartans blocked 12 shots, held Wildcats to 32% from floor in first meeting. Northwestern made 24-48 from arc in winning last two games, scoring 91.5 ppg. Big 11 HFs of more than 8 points are 5-2.
Colorado is 11-1 after 2-3 start, winning first two Big 12 games by 13-8 points- they're 3-2 as a favorite. Oklahoma State is 2-2 on road, losing by 21 at Gonzaga, 23 at Texas A&M- they won six of last eight games vs Colorado, winning last three by average score of 77-65; Cowboys won two of last three visits here, winning by 18-21 points, losing by 12.
Wisconsin lost 69-61 at Illinois 13 days ago, its fourth loss in last six series games; Badgers were just 10-35 from arc in that game, while Illini shot 56% from floor. Illinois scored 64 or less points in three of its four losses- they're 3-2 in last five visits here- they last swept the Badgers six years ago. Badgers won first two Big 11 home games, by 8-16 points.
Hofstra won/covered all five CAA games, scoring 74+ points in all five games; Old Dominion lost three of last five road games; Drexel held them to 25 points in second half of 62-57 loss Thursday. Home side won six of last seven Old Dominion-Hofstra games; ODU lost last three visits here by 12-2-9 points. Hofstra had one extra day to prepare for this.
Central Florida is 14-1, losing last game by 7 at Houston (trailed by 15 at half); home side won four of the last five UCF-Southern Miss games. Knight slost two of last three visits here, losing by 8-10 points. USM is 2-1 in C-USA, beating Houston by 12 in only home game. Home side is 7-3 vs number in C-USA games if the spread is 8 or less points.
18-0 San Diego State allowed 54.7 ppg in winning first three conference games; they've already won six true road games. Home side won last four San Diego State-New Mexico games; Aztecs lost last two visits here, by 26-2 points, but they beat Lobos 73-69 in MVC tourney last March. Lobos split their last six games, but only one of then was at home.
Stanford is 3-1 in Pac-10, allowing 54.7 ppg in last three games; they're 2-0 in Pac-10 home games, winning by 14-2 points. Washington State is 2-3 in Pac-10, with home side covering all five games. Home team is 4-2 vs spread in Pac-10 games where spread is less than four. Washington State lost its last five visits to Palo Alto, by 10-3-7-11-2 points.
Long Beach State is 5-0 in Big West, 1-2 as home favorite, winning home games by 14-8-4 points. Pacific is 2-2, scoring just 49 ppg in last three games- they're 12-5 in last 17 games vs Long Beach, winning three of last four, but losing by 7 to 49ers in LY’s Big West tourney, after beating them twice during the season; Tigers are 5-2 in last seven visits here.
Conference trends
ACC-- Home favorites of 6 or less points are 4-1-1 vs spread; if they're giving more than 7 points, they're 2-4.
Atlantic 14-- Home favorites of less than 8 points are 0-4. Home dogs are 1-3 against the spread.
Big 11-- Home underdogs are 6-4. Home favorites of more than 8 points are 5-2 against the spread.
Big 12-- Home teams 4-7 vs spread (2-3 favorites/2-4 underdogs)
Big East-- Home favorites of less than 8 points are 8-4.
Big Sky-- Home underdogs are 5-2.
Big West-- Home favorites are 4-11, home underdogs 1-3.
CAA-- Home favorites of 9+ points are 5-3.
C-USA-- Underdogs are 9-4; 4-1 at home, 5-3 on road.
Horizon-- Home favorites of 6+ points are 10-3 vs spread.
Ivy-- No trends yet.
MAAC-- Single digit underdogs are 12-4-1, 7-2 at home. Double digit favorites are 9-1, 7-1 at home.
MAC-- Road teams are 8-4 against the spread.
MVC-- Home underdogs are 3-6. Home favorites of 12+ points: 1-4.
MWC-- Home favorites of less than six points are 3-1.
OVC-- Home favorites are 6-14; double digit home faves are 1-5.
Pac-10-- Home underdogs are 5-3-1 vs spread.
SEC-- Underdogs are 9-2 against spread, 6-1 on road, 3-1 at home.
SoCon-- Home dogs of 6 or less points: 1-7. Home faves of 9+: 6-3.
Summit-- Home favorites are 4-11.
Sun Belt-- Home teams are 7-3 if spread is less than 5 points.
WAC-- Home faves of 4 or less points: 4-1; more than 4 points: 2-7.
WCC-- Home faves of less than 7 points: 4-1-1; more than 7: 2-4.
