handzelek sat 9/26
Saturday, September 26, 2009 Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Minnesota U vs. NorthWestern (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/-115 Minnesota U Play Title: Our Mighty Big Ten Wizardry
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The Golden Gophers showed a lot of class in hanging with powerful California last week (tied in the 4th Qtr.) before some costly INT's. On the other hand, the Wildcats gave up an alarmingly high dose of yardage to Syracuse yielding 471. Remaining in the minds of Minnesota is last season's loss to the Wildcats. They hovered @ 7-1 before that game and went into a downward spiral shortly thereafter. Revenge is in order here. The Golden Gophers were very respectable on the Big Ten road last year. I look for QB Weber to keep his composure this week as he should have easier pickings with 2 cornerbacks & a linebacker hurt for Northwestern. This series has been dominated by the road team ATS as 13 of the last 14 has been covered by the visitor. The dog has also dominated covering 5 of 7. We say to buy the point to + 3 1/2 and take the Minnesota Golden Gophers for $200.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Fresno State vs. Cincinnati U (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 16.5/100 Fresno State Play Title: Live Saturday Barking Loud Dog!
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This is a scheduling advantage for Fresno State as they played home last Friday night posting 34 on Boise and won't play again til' October 10th @ Hawaii. Cincinnati is coming back from the West Coast trip to Oregon State. The Bulldogs made the last trip to Big East land a happy one when they beat Rutgers 24-7. One thing that has Fresno State buzzing is their ground attack averaging 270 yards a game. That tells us ball control and clock management gets us under the number here. With only 1 defensive starter returning for the Bearcats, it's time for the dog to sneak up and bite them in the end ATS. Cincy QB Tony Pike may be talented enough to get the SU win, but we'll be on the Fresno State Bulldogs who should let it all hang out with 2 weeks off following this one. Buy the point to + 17 1/2 for the line value and take Pat Hill's crew for $200.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -135 Georgia Tech Play Title: NC-Ga Tech Showdown
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North Carolina has a 3-0 record coming in & should continue their assault on their opponents in this ACC matchup, right? Not so fast! Are Citadel, Connecticut & East Carolina amongst the best teams in college football? Last season saw the Tar Heels knock off the Ramblin' Wreck 28-7 but 3 series started in Tech territory for a big advantage. GT Coach Johnson knows his team put up 423 yards versus NC last season but unfortunately self-destructed. I'm sure his troops will be more opportunistic on the other end this time around @ Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta. The good news hard facts state that Georgia Tech was a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS off a loss last season. These games were @ home like this week and the average scoring was in GT's favor 36-19. Paul Johnson has his team ready after a loss and revenge is in definite order here. Other numbers we cannot ignore are Tech's PERFECT 7-0 mark ATS at home before back-to-back road games & a convincing 9-3 ATS off a double-digit conference road loss. Take the Yellow Jackets outright for $200.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Marshall vs. Memphis (NCAAF) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -3/-105 Memphis Play Title: Weak Roadie
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Memphis got their first win last week versus UT-Martin 41-14 and is blistering with confidence against a Marshall squad who invade Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. The former Maryland Terrapin QB Tyler Bass looked sharp in his first start (4 TD passes, 21-27 for 293 yards) after taking over for Arkelon Hall. Marshall is more like the Blundering Herd in this situation going 1-6 ATS as a road underdog of less than a touchdown. Head Coach Mark Snyder has not has success in competitive games (-7 to +7) versus the spread going just 5-12. Marshall is also 2-5 ATS on the road off a SU dog win. The Thundering Herd hasn'e held opponents down on the orad the last 27 going 3-24 SU when travelling. Their ATS record during this stretch is laso miserable @ 6-19-2. The home team has won all 4 SU in this series so we're seeing the weak roadie Marshall biting the dust here. Take the Memphis Tigers but buy to - 2 1/2 for $200.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Rutgers vs. Maryland (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -2.5/100 Rutgers Play Title: Weak Sister Going Nowhere Play
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Sometimes doom and gloom follows a team and it's real tough to get the monkey off their back. Maryland is one of those teams. They go up against a much better defense than they saw from the Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee State last week. This is a Maryland team that needed OT to beat Div. I-AA James Madison in Week 2. Giving up an average of over 200 yards raises the red flag even @ Byrd Stadium in College Park. Losing 116 career starts across the front lines suggests that the Terrapins' struggles will continue until some experience re-surfaces. Even though the Terps have been a pesky home dog in the past, they haven't put out a product like this in quite some time. One more thing you must realize. Revenge is BIG on Rutgers & their Coach Greg Schiano's mind. It was visiting Maryland who upset them in 2007 knocking them from the unbeaten ranks. Our Weak Sister Going Nowhere is to play against Ralph Friedgen's Terps and lay the -2 1/2 with the Scarlet Knights for $200.
Saturday, September 26, 2009 Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Minnesota U vs. NorthWestern (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 2.5/-115 Minnesota U Play Title: Our Mighty Big Ten Wizardry
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Golden Gophers showed a lot of class in hanging with powerful California last week (tied in the 4th Qtr.) before some costly INT's. On the other hand, the Wildcats gave up an alarmingly high dose of yardage to Syracuse yielding 471. Remaining in the minds of Minnesota is last season's loss to the Wildcats. They hovered @ 7-1 before that game and went into a downward spiral shortly thereafter. Revenge is in order here. The Golden Gophers were very respectable on the Big Ten road last year. I look for QB Weber to keep his composure this week as he should have easier pickings with 2 cornerbacks & a linebacker hurt for Northwestern. This series has been dominated by the road team ATS as 13 of the last 14 has been covered by the visitor. The dog has also dominated covering 5 of 7. We say to buy the point to + 3 1/2 and take the Minnesota Golden Gophers for $200.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Fresno State vs. Cincinnati U (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: 16.5/100 Fresno State Play Title: Live Saturday Barking Loud Dog!
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
This is a scheduling advantage for Fresno State as they played home last Friday night posting 34 on Boise and won't play again til' October 10th @ Hawaii. Cincinnati is coming back from the West Coast trip to Oregon State. The Bulldogs made the last trip to Big East land a happy one when they beat Rutgers 24-7. One thing that has Fresno State buzzing is their ground attack averaging 270 yards a game. That tells us ball control and clock management gets us under the number here. With only 1 defensive starter returning for the Bearcats, it's time for the dog to sneak up and bite them in the end ATS. Cincy QB Tony Pike may be talented enough to get the SU win, but we'll be on the Fresno State Bulldogs who should let it all hang out with 2 weeks off following this one. Buy the point to + 17 1/2 for the line value and take Pat Hill's crew for $200.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek North Carolina vs. Georgia Tech (NCAAF) - 12:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Money Line: -135 Georgia Tech Play Title: NC-Ga Tech Showdown
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
North Carolina has a 3-0 record coming in & should continue their assault on their opponents in this ACC matchup, right? Not so fast! Are Citadel, Connecticut & East Carolina amongst the best teams in college football? Last season saw the Tar Heels knock off the Ramblin' Wreck 28-7 but 3 series started in Tech territory for a big advantage. GT Coach Johnson knows his team put up 423 yards versus NC last season but unfortunately self-destructed. I'm sure his troops will be more opportunistic on the other end this time around @ Bobby Dodd Stadium in Atlanta. The good news hard facts state that Georgia Tech was a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS off a loss last season. These games were @ home like this week and the average scoring was in GT's favor 36-19. Paul Johnson has his team ready after a loss and revenge is in definite order here. Other numbers we cannot ignore are Tech's PERFECT 7-0 mark ATS at home before back-to-back road games & a convincing 9-3 ATS off a double-digit conference road loss. Take the Yellow Jackets outright for $200.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Marshall vs. Memphis (NCAAF) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -3/-105 Memphis Play Title: Weak Roadie
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Memphis got their first win last week versus UT-Martin 41-14 and is blistering with confidence against a Marshall squad who invade Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium. The former Maryland Terrapin QB Tyler Bass looked sharp in his first start (4 TD passes, 21-27 for 293 yards) after taking over for Arkelon Hall. Marshall is more like the Blundering Herd in this situation going 1-6 ATS as a road underdog of less than a touchdown. Head Coach Mark Snyder has not has success in competitive games (-7 to +7) versus the spread going just 5-12. Marshall is also 2-5 ATS on the road off a SU dog win. The Thundering Herd hasn'e held opponents down on the orad the last 27 going 3-24 SU when travelling. Their ATS record during this stretch is laso miserable @ 6-19-2. The home team has won all 4 SU in this series so we're seeing the weak roadie Marshall biting the dust here. Take the Memphis Tigers but buy to - 2 1/2 for $200.
Handicapper: Mike Handzelek Rutgers vs. Maryland (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EDT Premium Pick Pick: Point Spread: -2.5/100 Rutgers Play Title: Weak Sister Going Nowhere Play
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Sometimes doom and gloom follows a team and it's real tough to get the monkey off their back. Maryland is one of those teams. They go up against a much better defense than they saw from the Blue Raiders of Middle Tennessee State last week. This is a Maryland team that needed OT to beat Div. I-AA James Madison in Week 2. Giving up an average of over 200 yards raises the red flag even @ Byrd Stadium in College Park. Losing 116 career starts across the front lines suggests that the Terrapins' struggles will continue until some experience re-surfaces. Even though the Terps have been a pesky home dog in the past, they haven't put out a product like this in quite some time. One more thing you must realize. Revenge is BIG on Rutgers & their Coach Greg Schiano's mind. It was visiting Maryland who upset them in 2007 knocking them from the unbeaten ranks. Our Weak Sister Going Nowhere is to play against Ralph Friedgen's Terps and lay the -2 1/2 with the Scarlet Knights for $200.
Strike Point Sports
Saturday's College Football Plays
3-Unit Play. #360 Take Georiga Tech -2.5 over North Carolina (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)
3-Unit Play. #309 Take Minnesota +1.5 over Northwestern (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)
3-Unit Play. #399 Take Toledo -2 over FIU (9/26 Saturday - 7 p.m. EST)
8-Unit Play. Game of the Year. #388 Take Oregon State -2.5 over Arizona (9/26 Saturday - 7:35 p.m. EST)
3-Unit Play. #367 Take Washington +7.5 over Stanford (9/26 Saturday - 9 p.m. EST)
3-Unit Play. #382 Take Houston -1.5 over Texas Tech (9/26 Saturday - 9:15 p.m. EST)
2-Unit Play. Take North Carolina/Georgia Tech 'Under' 47 (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)
2-Unit Play. Take Miami/Virginia Tech 'Under' 47.5 (9/26 Saturday - 3:30 p.m. EST)
2-Unit Play. Take Western Kentucky/Navy 'Under' 50.5 (9/26 Saturday - 3:30 p.m. EST)
We have a new totals system that we're trying out. These are our first trio of selections and ones that we think will start out a nice profit for us to go along with our normal side plays. We think a sweep of these two isn't out of the question, but two of three would be a nice start as well.
Saturday's College Football Plays
3-Unit Play. #360 Take Georiga Tech -2.5 over North Carolina (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)
3-Unit Play. #309 Take Minnesota +1.5 over Northwestern (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)
3-Unit Play. #399 Take Toledo -2 over FIU (9/26 Saturday - 7 p.m. EST)
8-Unit Play. Game of the Year. #388 Take Oregon State -2.5 over Arizona (9/26 Saturday - 7:35 p.m. EST)
3-Unit Play. #367 Take Washington +7.5 over Stanford (9/26 Saturday - 9 p.m. EST)
3-Unit Play. #382 Take Houston -1.5 over Texas Tech (9/26 Saturday - 9:15 p.m. EST)
2-Unit Play. Take North Carolina/Georgia Tech 'Under' 47 (9/26 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)
2-Unit Play. Take Miami/Virginia Tech 'Under' 47.5 (9/26 Saturday - 3:30 p.m. EST)
2-Unit Play. Take Western Kentucky/Navy 'Under' 50.5 (9/26 Saturday - 3:30 p.m. EST)
We have a new totals system that we're trying out. These are our first trio of selections and ones that we think will start out a nice profit for us to go along with our normal side plays. We think a sweep of these two isn't out of the question, but two of three would be a nice start as well.
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BlacK Widow
3* on Southern Miss +14
Southern Miss is one of the better teams in the country that nobody knows about. Kansas is about to find that out Saturday. The Golden Eagles (3-0) are sixth in the FBS in run defense, allowing 51.7 yards per game. They have held their opponents to fewer than 100 yards rushing in their last eight games, all victories. Southern Miss limited Virginia to 78 yards on the ground Saturday in a 37-34 win. The Golden Eagles are tied with Mississippi for the nation's second-longest win streak behind Florida (13). "We feel like our kids understand what we expect and they have higher expectations for themselves now," coach Larry Fedora said. "We're excited about where we're going." Golden Eagles sophomore quarterback Austin Davis has not thrown an interception in his last 128 passes. Not turning the ball over will be huge in this big road game that will put Southern Miss on the map if they win. The Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Southern Miss and the points.
3* on Southern Miss +14
Southern Miss is one of the better teams in the country that nobody knows about. Kansas is about to find that out Saturday. The Golden Eagles (3-0) are sixth in the FBS in run defense, allowing 51.7 yards per game. They have held their opponents to fewer than 100 yards rushing in their last eight games, all victories. Southern Miss limited Virginia to 78 yards on the ground Saturday in a 37-34 win. The Golden Eagles are tied with Mississippi for the nation's second-longest win streak behind Florida (13). "We feel like our kids understand what we expect and they have higher expectations for themselves now," coach Larry Fedora said. "We're excited about where we're going." Golden Eagles sophomore quarterback Austin Davis has not thrown an interception in his last 128 passes. Not turning the ball over will be huge in this big road game that will put Southern Miss on the map if they win. The Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Take Southern Miss and the points.
Doc Sports
“The Magnificent 7” Saturday, September 26th, 2009
6 Unit Play. #67 Take California -5 ½ over Oregon (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Game of the Week. Cal 35, Oregon 14.
5 Unit Play. #89 Take Iowa +9 ½ over Penn State (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Top Big 10 Play. Penn State 24, Iowa 23.
5 Unit Play. #65 Take Illinois +14 over Ohio State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Underdog Play. Ohio State 27, Illinois 24.
4 Unit Play. #40 Take Over 48 in Minnesota @ Northwestern (Saturday 12 pm Big Ten Network) Top Totals Play. Northwestern 31, Minnesota 30.
4 Unit Play. #7 Take Wake Forest +1 ½ over Boston College (Saturday 2 pm ESPN Gameplan) Wake Forest 24, Boston College 10.
4 Unit Play. #30 Take Kentucky +21 ½ over Florida (Saturday 6 pm ESPN 2) Florida 34, Kentucky 24.
4 Unit Play. #45 Take Michigan State +3 over Wisconsin (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) Michigan State 31, Wisconsin 20.
Strong opinion plays:
#76 Take Clemson -2 ½ over TCU
#91 Take Notre Dame -7 over Purdue
#102 Take Stanford -7 ½ over Washington
“The Magnificent 7” Saturday, September 26th, 2009
6 Unit Play. #67 Take California -5 ½ over Oregon (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Game of the Week. Cal 35, Oregon 14.
5 Unit Play. #89 Take Iowa +9 ½ over Penn State (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Top Big 10 Play. Penn State 24, Iowa 23.
5 Unit Play. #65 Take Illinois +14 over Ohio State (Saturday 3:30 pm ABC) Top Underdog Play. Ohio State 27, Illinois 24.
4 Unit Play. #40 Take Over 48 in Minnesota @ Northwestern (Saturday 12 pm Big Ten Network) Top Totals Play. Northwestern 31, Minnesota 30.
4 Unit Play. #7 Take Wake Forest +1 ½ over Boston College (Saturday 2 pm ESPN Gameplan) Wake Forest 24, Boston College 10.
4 Unit Play. #30 Take Kentucky +21 ½ over Florida (Saturday 6 pm ESPN 2) Florida 34, Kentucky 24.
4 Unit Play. #45 Take Michigan State +3 over Wisconsin (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) Michigan State 31, Wisconsin 20.
Strong opinion plays:
#76 Take Clemson -2 ½ over TCU
#91 Take Notre Dame -7 over Purdue
#102 Take Stanford -7 ½ over Washington
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