Service Plays Monday 7/28/08

[IAM4UK]

Players of America


Yesterday's Results (2-0, +40 units)

NYY vs. BOS
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
The Play: Boston Red Sox -155.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)
Result: Win


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LAA vs. BAL
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
The Play: Under 10.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Result: Win





Today's Selections

BAL vs. NYY
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
The Play: New York Yankees -150.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Ba-da-bing! A routine 2-0 night with ease last night as the BoSox put it to the Yanks all night long in a convincing 3* victory and the Angels and Orioles kept things low scoring to cash in our 1* under selection. As for Monday, Vegas has thrown a lot of fishy lines our way along with a ton of "coin flip" type games. We've got a few to key in on for the night...

Our first event takes place in New York tonight on a team we bet against last night for a big winner. The Yankees head back home to host the visiting Orioles. We gave credit where credit was due last night with this whole New York joyride, and now is the perfect time to capitalize on them at a decent price. After a big loss, these guys are going to bounce back knowing they have got to keep winning games to even think about playing in October. The O's on the other handed just handed a convincing loss to the division leading Angels and are flying sort of high for the time being.

Mr. Mike Mussina is the scheduled starter for New York Monday night. Mike comes in with some very solid figures at 13-6 overall with a WHIP of 1.21 and an ERA of 3.25. In his last three appearances, Mussina has racked up a 2-0 record going 20 strong innings and boasting an ERA of less than 1.35. A-Rod seemed healthy and ready go to last night despite putting on a poor offensive performance. New York is looking to even up the season series with Baltimore tonight at 5-5 and it's the perfect spot for it. The last time Mussina faced this Orioles squad he got a little ruffed up in a 12-2 loss, so redemption is the key word here. Anyone who follows sports knows how solid the Yankees have been playing as of late, and they need to continue to do so and put the hype out of their head and start thinking about their post season chances. In their last three games, the Yankee's bullpen has an averaged ERA of 1.90 and a WHIP 1.10. At 8-2 in their last 11, the Yankees are looking solid all around. We knew it was going to be a dog fight sweeping the rival Red Sox and that is exactly why we took advantage of the situation yesterday. Looking to do the same Monday.

For Baltimore, the right hander Jeremy Guthrie is starting on the dirt. The kid comes in with a sub par 6-8 record on the year with an ERA rising towards 4.00. Jeremy is 1-1 his last three starts and has only been averaging about 5-6 innings per contest. That means the O's bullpen is getting busy early...not a thing you want to do against the Yankees. These guys are the hottest team in baseball and mental mistakes and lack of concentration is sure to bite you in the behind this time of year. Baltimore is relatively healthy all the way around with the exception of stud third baseman Melvin Mora. Mora is listed as questionable Monday as he is dealing with a knee injury. Second baseman Alex Cintron joins Mora on the DL with a strained left hamstring. Guthrie faced the Yanks on May 28 and was handed the loss in a 4-2 struggle at Camden Yards.

Returning home to keep the train rolling for New York is vital. These guys know where they stand and they know what they have to do. Choke ups like this one aren't in the forte of an organization like this and that is why their going to get things done. With the line dropping in NY backer's favor, we're biting on this one and laying some more chalk. 10 units for a 1* wager on the Yankees as they take care of Baltimore Monday.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
- The Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.

New York 8, Baltimore 4


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CIN vs. HOU
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros
The Play: Cincinnati Reds +130.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Our next release is set to take place in Houston as the visiting Cincinnati Reds come off a day of rest to visit the Astros. Houston comes into this game 8 games shy of the .500 mark while the Reds 6 games under.

This is going to be a nice little ball game on Monday, one to watch. The Reds rotation swings back to the young right hander Johnny Cueto tonight. Cueto is better than his record shows at 7-9. As a matter of fact, both of these pitchers on Monday are better than their records show. We're looking for Johnny to come in with a head of steam Monday. The kid is a competitor and out there making a name for himself regardless of his record. These two have only met twice this season and Cueto happen to get one of the Reds two losses against the Astros. The Reds aren't getting swept by these guys all season long. They are young and have some firepower. These guys might not be in the hunt for anything this season, but they play together and they play hard...about all you can ask for in late July.

The infamous Roy Oswalt is going to be throwing the balls and strikes for Houston and he too comes in at just 7-9 on the year. His ERA is similar to Cueto's near 4.50. Both have similar statistics all the way around. Here is the thing....Roy is coming off the DL tonight and making his first appearance since his hip injury on July 19. Some may think this is a good game to come off, we don't. When pitchers come off the disabled list they do one of two things...they throw a flat out gem or they get shelled like a peanut. Well, Roy hasn't shined like a gem all season long so we're going with the second option.

Both of these teams have capable offenses, the Reds a bit more. This is going to be a well played ball game on Monday night but the Reds are looking for a win after dropping a few straight. We like the price and the set up for Cin-City here and that's why were laying 10 units for a 1* bet on Dusty Baker and company.

TREND OF THE GAME:
- The Astro's are 2-8 in Oswalt's last 10 starts on grass.

Cincinnati 6, Houston 3


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LAA vs. BOS
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
The Play: Under 9.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Our last one of the night is a star-studded match up between the Angels and the Red Sox at Fenway Park. Anaheim comes in losing their last outing to Baltimore while the Red Sox are coming off a big time victory over the foe's from New York.

This looks like a sucker line from those guys in Nevada tonight, but we think we're all over it. Two very solid pitchers come to battle tonight. Jered Weaver is starting for the Angels and Dice-K for the Red Sox. Weaver has kept games under the total this year 12 times already and Matsuzaka 10. Daisuke comes in with a remarkable ERA of 2.63 but facing the bats of this Anaheim team will be no simple task. Both bullpens ERA are solid all year long and both teams have some hard hitting lumber, but something has to give. This is looking to be a very low scoring, defensive battle more than an all out shootout like most might be thinking. The total between these two teams is split down the middle on the year, three overs and three unders so there is no worthy trend setting or anything like that. Anaheim loves playing a low scoring, defensive battle with any team and Boston can counter that type of game play.

With the above being said, this line seems a bit too high for these two tonight. Boston's bats lit up last night but won't stay that hot tonight. The Angels look to get back on track and we think they do so in a low scoring affair at Fenway Monday night. 1* rating for 10 units on the UNDER in Boston at 7:05PM EST.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The UNDER is 26-11-2 in the Angel's last 39 road games.
- The UNDER is 23-9-3 in the Red Sox last 35 Monday games.

Anaheim 3, Boston 2

Did I read that right? The Reds had a day off for rest yesterday. Yeah they took the day off, but got crushed by Colorado 11-0. I guess in a sense they did have the day off. No mention of Roy's complete dominace of the Reds over his career, like 19-1 I think.

 

[cris_19]

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008


TOP RATED BASEBALL PLAY OF THE DAY
LA Dodgers w/Kuroda -185 10:10 EST

 

[cris_19]

William Kidd Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008

QUADRUPLE DIME BASEBALL CRUSHER
NY YANKEES with Mussina -158 7:05 EST

 

[psandman311]

hey pirates or im4uk, one of you guys email me. thanks

 

[cris_19]

Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008

10,000* BASEBALL GAME OF THE YEAR
NY YANKEES with Mussina -156 7:05 EST

 

[cris_19]

Insiders Sports Network Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008

INSIDERS NETWORK NL GAME OF THE MONTH
Houston w/Oswalt -135 8:05 EST

 

[cris_19]

Jimmy Thompson Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008

Baltimore/New York over 8.5 at 7:05 est

 

[ytowngambler]

Will have Ness in about 20 min

 

[$4nothing]

Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008

10,000* BASEBALL GAME OF THE YEAR
NY YANKEES with Mussina -156 7:05 EST

Hold the phone! A 21-1 run ? Do the math. ? ? ?

 

[mtomto]

Hold the phone! A 21-1 run ? Do the math. ? ? ?

No kidding. What a crock. I doubt people actually read this stuff, they just glance and get impressed with some BS record. Buyer beware.

 

[IAM4UK]

Hold the phone! A 21-1 run ? Do the math. ? ? ?

I think we had this discussion last week he posted. He was like 21 and negative 1. Raised some eyebrows. Not sure how you get a negative loss

 

[B.S.S.]

I think we had this discussion last week he posted. He was like 21 and negative 1. Raised some eyebrows. Not sure how you get a negative loss

rocco was on fire at the end of last season

 

[mtomto]

SO maybe he's a good capper that just cant count !!!

:missingte

 

[$4nothing]

I think we had this discussion last week he posted. He was like 21 and negative 1. Raised some eyebrows. Not sure how you get a negative loss

Thanx. Guess he's 2nd guessing our intelligence. bol

 

[IAM4UK]

rocco was on fire at the end of last season

Sorry explain the figure within his post.

 

[ytowngambler]

Larry Ness

Las Vegas Insider

Houston Astros.

 

[IAM4UK]

This is from the ywn website for rocco:



Choose the handicapper, sport and date range to view how our handicappers have performed.
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dosen't he claim 52-28? He is not keeping track with the LOSERS?

 

[B.S.S.]

Sorry explain the figure within his post.

i'm not seeing it.
73-52 = 21
28-27 =1
i remember his run last year.

 

[ytowngambler]

Larry Ness' 15* Pitching Mismatch GOW

Boston Red Sox

 

[rocky2]

IndianCowboy Comp

Texas/Seattle Under 10

Research

Hernandez faces Feldman here, Hernandez has pitched 6 of 7 quality starts, he had a 3 era at home against Boston and picked up a nd but his team still lost, he is 0-2 in 3 starts against the Rangers this year who have ended up winning all 3 of those games, Feldman is 1-0 with a 4.01 at home he pitched brilliantly against the white sox on the road, against Seatlte he did pitch a 1.29 era start but his team ended up losing 3-4 at home to Silva, if anything a lean on the under here given Seattle's weak offense and Fernandez looking to finally beat Texas this year so of course he still has his incentive to pitch well here, just surprising a bit that over 72% are betting against Seattle here in favor of Texas at home, but Texas has been money of late and especially at home, they do come off a loss to Oakland, a little surprised at the 9.5 line as well.

Write-up

It's never too good playing with fire with Texas at home in an under, but it makes sense here, Fernandez tries to avoid having his lose for the 4th time here against Texas, the majority of the public favors Texas here at 70%+ favor which likely means seattle should be competitive and hell could even win this game, but more importantly, Seattle's offense has been lax as usualy this season and Feldman has his revenge too, I'll take my chances here as the under is 13-3-2 when Seattle hits the road to face a winning team, the under is 12-3-1 for Hernandez overall and the under is 5-1 when Feldman starts with a total that is set such as this - heck (the under is also 7-1 in Feldman's last 8 starts as well).