Service Plays Monday 7/28/08

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** EZ WINNERS MLB ***

3 STAR: OAKLAND (-$116) over Kansas City
(Action)
(Risking $348 to win $300)
9:05PM Central Time

2 STAR: (921) DETROIT (-$115) over Cleveland
(Listing Rogers only)
(Risking $230 to win $200)
6:05PM Central Time

1 STAR: (920) TORONTO (-$112) over Tampa Bay
(Listing Burnett only)
(Risking $112 to win $100)
6:05PM Central Time

1 STAR: (907) CHICAGO (+$158) over Milwaukee
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $158)
7:05PM Central Time
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">FRANK ROSENTHAL

901 ROCKIE OVER 9.5 SB
905 NYM-110 SB
UNDER 9 SB+
909 REDS+135 SB
912 PADRES-110 SB
UNDER 8 SB+
920 JAYS-110 SB
UNDER 7.5 SB+
925 CWS+105 SB

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Mr East

Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics - Monday July 28, 2008 10:05 pm
Pick: 4 units MONEYLINE: Oakland Athletics -121

Jack greinke spent a lot of time in the bullpen last season, and became a fulltime starter again this season. It payed dividends for the Royals early as Greinke owned a 2.18 ERA through May 18th. As the innings have mounted, so has his ERA, as Greinke has pitched to a 5.70 ERA since, and even worse late over 7 in his last 3 starts. While the Royals were 7-2 in his first 9 starts, they are just 4-9 in his last 13. Dallas Braden pitched 5 innings allowing just 1 run in his 1st start of the season last time out. The A's offense has picked it up of late and we like them at home vs a struggling Greinke.
 

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are you really brandon lovell:grandmais

Haha, you guys never fail to make me laugh. All it takes is one play free, and I am getting the look. If only it worked like that at a bar.

BTW my Freeplay tonight, is on the Orioles +160. A lot of value there.

:toast::toast:
 

rza

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Lang

MONDAY

10 Dime Marlins
10 Dime Rockies
10 Dime White Sox
 

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Lvsa Full Monday Card 7/28/08

Las Vegas Sports Advisors


MLB 7/28/2008 ALL 5* PLAYS

Boston/D. Matsuzaka -154
Play of the Day

Detroit/P. Byrd -105

NY Yankees/M. Mussina -162

St. Louis/B. Looper -108
FREE PICK

Arizona/M. Owings +104
 

MY HEART IS A HOME AND FEAR DONT LIVE HERE
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Haha, you guys never fail to make me laugh. All it takes is one play free, and I am getting the look. If only it worked like that at a bar.

BTW my Freeplay tonight, is on the Orioles +160. A lot of value there.

:toast::toast:

what site are you on. you do the blank check plays right? how strong is a 10 star play:grandmais
 
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WINNERS EDGE - 7/28/08

Pittsburg Pirates Even , 2 units

Cubs / Astros over 7.5 , 2 units

Houston Astos - 145 , 1 unit

NY Yankees RL + 125 , 1 unit
 

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Players of America


Yesterday's Results (2-0, +40 units)

NYY vs. BOS
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
The Play: Boston Red Sox -155.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)
Result: Win


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LAA vs. BAL
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
The Play: Under 10.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Result: Win





Today's Selections

BAL vs. NYY
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
The Play: New York Yankees -150.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Ba-da-bing! A routine 2-0 night with ease last night as the BoSox put it to the Yanks all night long in a convincing 3* victory and the Angels and Orioles kept things low scoring to cash in our 1* under selection. As for Monday, Vegas has thrown a lot of fishy lines our way along with a ton of "coin flip" type games. We've got a few to key in on for the night...

Our first event takes place in New York tonight on a team we bet against last night for a big winner. The Yankees head back home to host the visiting Orioles. We gave credit where credit was due last night with this whole New York joyride, and now is the perfect time to capitalize on them at a decent price. After a big loss, these guys are going to bounce back knowing they have got to keep winning games to even think about playing in October. The O's on the other handed just handed a convincing loss to the division leading Angels and are flying sort of high for the time being.

Mr. Mike Mussina is the scheduled starter for New York Monday night. Mike comes in with some very solid figures at 13-6 overall with a WHIP of 1.21 and an ERA of 3.25. In his last three appearances, Mussina has racked up a 2-0 record going 20 strong innings and boasting an ERA of less than 1.35. A-Rod seemed healthy and ready go to last night despite putting on a poor offensive performance. New York is looking to even up the season series with Baltimore tonight at 5-5 and it's the perfect spot for it. The last time Mussina faced this Orioles squad he got a little ruffed up in a 12-2 loss, so redemption is the key word here. Anyone who follows sports knows how solid the Yankees have been playing as of late, and they need to continue to do so and put the hype out of their head and start thinking about their post season chances. In their last three games, the Yankee's bullpen has an averaged ERA of 1.90 and a WHIP 1.10. At 8-2 in their last 11, the Yankees are looking solid all around. We knew it was going to be a dog fight sweeping the rival Red Sox and that is exactly why we took advantage of the situation yesterday. Looking to do the same Monday.

For Baltimore, the right hander Jeremy Guthrie is starting on the dirt. The kid comes in with a sub par 6-8 record on the year with an ERA rising towards 4.00. Jeremy is 1-1 his last three starts and has only been averaging about 5-6 innings per contest. That means the O's bullpen is getting busy early...not a thing you want to do against the Yankees. These guys are the hottest team in baseball and mental mistakes and lack of concentration is sure to bite you in the behind this time of year. Baltimore is relatively healthy all the way around with the exception of stud third baseman Melvin Mora. Mora is listed as questionable Monday as he is dealing with a knee injury. Second baseman Alex Cintron joins Mora on the DL with a strained left hamstring. Guthrie faced the Yanks on May 28 and was handed the loss in a 4-2 struggle at Camden Yards.

Returning home to keep the train rolling for New York is vital. These guys know where they stand and they know what they have to do. Choke ups like this one aren't in the forte of an organization like this and that is why their going to get things done. With the line dropping in NY backer's favor, we're biting on this one and laying some more chalk. 10 units for a 1* wager on the Yankees as they take care of Baltimore Monday.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
- The Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.

New York 8, Baltimore 4


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CIN vs. HOU
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs. Houston Astros
The Play: Cincinnati Reds +130.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Our next release is set to take place in Houston as the visiting Cincinnati Reds come off a day of rest to visit the Astros. Houston comes into this game 8 games shy of the .500 mark while the Reds 6 games under.

This is going to be a nice little ball game on Monday, one to watch. The Reds rotation swings back to the young right hander Johnny Cueto tonight. Cueto is better than his record shows at 7-9. As a matter of fact, both of these pitchers on Monday are better than their records show. We're looking for Johnny to come in with a head of steam Monday. The kid is a competitor and out there making a name for himself regardless of his record. These two have only met twice this season and Cueto happen to get one of the Reds two losses against the Astros. The Reds aren't getting swept by these guys all season long. They are young and have some firepower. These guys might not be in the hunt for anything this season, but they play together and they play hard...about all you can ask for in late July.

The infamous Roy Oswalt is going to be throwing the balls and strikes for Houston and he too comes in at just 7-9 on the year. His ERA is similar to Cueto's near 4.50. Both have similar statistics all the way around. Here is the thing....Roy is coming off the DL tonight and making his first appearance since his hip injury on July 19. Some may think this is a good game to come off, we don't. When pitchers come off the disabled list they do one of two things...they throw a flat out gem or they get shelled like a peanut. Well, Roy hasn't shined like a gem all season long so we're going with the second option.

Both of these teams have capable offenses, the Reds a bit more. This is going to be a well played ball game on Monday night but the Reds are looking for a win after dropping a few straight. We like the price and the set up for Cin-City here and that's why were laying 10 units for a 1* bet on Dusty Baker and company.

TREND OF THE GAME:
- The Astro's are 2-8 in Oswalt's last 10 starts on grass.

Cincinnati 6, Houston 3


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LAA vs. BOS
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
The Play: Under 9.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: Our last one of the night is a star-studded match up between the Angels and the Red Sox at Fenway Park. Anaheim comes in losing their last outing to Baltimore while the Red Sox are coming off a big time victory over the foe's from New York.

This looks like a sucker line from those guys in Nevada tonight, but we think we're all over it. Two very solid pitchers come to battle tonight. Jered Weaver is starting for the Angels and Dice-K for the Red Sox. Weaver has kept games under the total this year 12 times already and Matsuzaka 10. Daisuke comes in with a remarkable ERA of 2.63 but facing the bats of this Anaheim team will be no simple task. Both bullpens ERA are solid all year long and both teams have some hard hitting lumber, but something has to give. This is looking to be a very low scoring, defensive battle more than an all out shootout like most might be thinking. The total between these two teams is split down the middle on the year, three overs and three unders so there is no worthy trend setting or anything like that. Anaheim loves playing a low scoring, defensive battle with any team and Boston can counter that type of game play.

With the above being said, this line seems a bit too high for these two tonight. Boston's bats lit up last night but won't stay that hot tonight. The Angels look to get back on track and we think they do so in a low scoring affair at Fenway Monday night. 1* rating for 10 units on the UNDER in Boston at 7:05PM EST.

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The UNDER is 26-11-2 in the Angel's last 39 road games.
- The UNDER is 23-9-3 in the Red Sox last 35 Monday games.

Anaheim 3, Boston 2
 

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Robert Ferringo

Plenty to like, but not much to love today. Treading lightly to open the week, but we're going to open it up a little bit once we get a feel for where some matchups are heading.

2-Unit Play. Take #916 Boston (-160) over Los Angeles Angels (7 p.m., Monday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take #924 Texas (-105) over Seattle (8 p.m., Monday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take #905 New York Mets (-115) over Florida (7 p.m., Monday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take #914 Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5, +110) over San Francisco (10 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. #910 Take Houston (-135) over Cincinnati (8 p.m., Monday, July 28)

I have leans on Toronto (-105), Oakland (-120), Arizona (+105), Milwaukee (-165), Pittsburgh (+110) and Minnesota (-110). I have some really good systems on the Toronto, Pittsburgh, and Milwaukee series, but I don't want to expose ourselves that much no Monday.
 

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left colSpan=2>Handicapper: John Ryan</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left width="85%">LAA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT</TD><TD>Premium Play</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left>Pick: Money Line: 148 LAA Angels Play Title: Anaheim</TD><TD align=left></TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD colSpan=8>[SIZE=-2]Click Here to View Pick Analysis[/SIZE]
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Anaheim – Best road team in baseball comes to beantown, where the situation is quite precarious indeed. Many is not happy and despite their win last night against the Yankees they have severe chemistry problems on this team. For example, Manny ran right through a sop sign issued by the 3B coach – was fortunate enough to score – and HC Fraconia did not even issue a statement to him regarding that lack of discipline when entering the dug out. Instead he received a high five. That is just not a good thing to have on any team at any level. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 77-59 making 46.6 units since 2002. Play against all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% and is also a hot starting pitcher sporting an ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts. Boston is 0-8 (-8.8 Units) against the money line versus AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season. Take Anaheim.
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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#ffffff><TD align=left colSpan=2>Handicapper: John Ryan</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#ffffff><TD align=left width="85%">Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT</TD><TD>Premium Play</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#ffffff><TD align=left>Pick: Money Line: 108 Cleveland Indians Play Title: Cleveland</TD><TD align=left></TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#ffffff><TD colSpan=8>[SIZE=-2]Click Here to View Pick Analysis[/SIZE]
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Cleveland. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 96-53 making 45.2 units since 2002 for 65%. Play on AL home teams that are below average hitting teams hitting <=.265 and are now facing a decent starting pitcher sporting an ERA=4.20 to 4.70 in the second half of the season. Here is a second system that has gone 36-23 making 23.3 units since 2002 with the average play a +128.5 DOG. Play against AL road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season and has a good defensive catcher allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season. Cleveland may not have a winning record, but it is certainly not because of their fielding performance. Note that Detroit is just 10-20 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus excellent fielding teams averaging <=0.5 errors/game this season. Cleveland in a highly profitable role noting that they are 21-11 making 12.5 units in profits over the past 3 seasons when installed as a home dog of +100 to +125. Take the Indians.

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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left colSpan=2>Handicapper: John Ryan</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left width="85%">Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT</TD><TD>Premium Play</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left>Pick: Money Line: 103 Pittsburgh Pirates Play Title: Pirates</TD><TD align=left></TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD colSpan=8>[SIZE=-2]Click Here to View Pick Analysis[/SIZE]
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Pittsburgh Pirates. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 70-21 for 77% making 47.9 units since 1997. Play against NL road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities and is now facing an opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season. Here is a second system that has gone 58-31 for 65% making 28.4 units since 1997. Play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher with poor control allowing more than 2.75 BB's/start and is cold sporting an ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts. Colorado is in a terrible role to continue their winning ways noting that they are 1-15 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season. Jason Hirsh will make his MLN debut tonight, but based on published reports is he truly ready for this assignment or does it reflect the desperate condition fo the Rockies and their starting rotation. I thin the latter, and I fully expect Hirsh to get hit around. Hirsh, who suffered a rotator cuff strain during Spring Training, pitched seven innings and gave up five runs in his last Triple-A start. Most alarming is that he has been working on command and arm strength. I am not in the least concerned that the pirates have not determined who their closer will be – it won’t be necessary based on the AiS projections. Take the Pirates.
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Rocketman


Cincinnati @ Houston 8:05 PM EST
Play On: 1* Houston -135 (Cueto/Oswalt) Listed

Cincinnati is scoring only 4.1 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Cueto is 2-6 with a 5.48 ERA on the road this season and 0-1 with a 6.50 ERA his last 3 starts. Oswalt has a 2.57 ERA his last 3 starts. Cueto is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA overall vs Houston since 1997. Oswalt is an amazing 18-1 with a 2.55 ERA overall vs Cincinnati since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Houston tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
 
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Kelso

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">best bets club

5 cubs under
4 white sox
3 tigers


high rollers club

10 unit - angels
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