STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, JUNE 16TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
***** Monday, 6/16/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Week #11's MLB Roundup
-- New York Mets right-handed pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka left his start Sunday afternoon against the San Diego Padres after just one inning with what the team described as a "severe upset stomach." Matsuzaka walked two of the first three batters he faced. Leadoff hitter Will Venable walked but was erased on a double play. Then, Matsuzaka was visited at the mound by manager Terry Collins and a trainer.
After a brief consultation, Matsuzaka remained in the game, but pitchers immediately began throwing in the Mets' bullpen. He retired Padres third baseman Chase Headley on a grounder to first base to end the inning but walked very slowly off the mound. Of the nine Mets on the field, he was the seventh to reach the dugout. Right-handed pitcher Carlos Torres, who relieved Matsuzaka to start the second and threw a season-high four innings as New York pieced together a 3-1 win over the San Diego Padres at Citi Field.
-- Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Andrew McCutchen, the reigning National League MVP, has joined the outfield leaders in the latest balloting update for the 85th All-Star Game, to be played on Tuesday, July 15 at Target Field in Minnesota. McCutchen, bidding for his fourth All-Star selection and first fan-elected start, has received 1,727,534 votes to rank second among NL outfielders. He is joined by outfield leader Yasiel Puig (1,942,701) of the Los Angeles Dodgers and Giancarlo Stanton (1,659,430) of the Miami Marlins.
-- Mets center fielder Curtis Granderson returned to the lineup against the Padres after missing three straight starts due to a left calf injury. Granderson served as a pinch hitter Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers and Saturday against the Padres. He did not play Friday. Granderson hit a leadoff homer off Padres right-hander Ian Kennedy. Granderson had two hits and two walks in the game.
-- The Houston Astros signed right-handed reliever Jose Veras to a minor league contract. Veras, the Astros' former closer, started this season with the Chicago Cubs. Astros second baseman Jose Altuve (right hand contusion) hit before the game but was absent from the starting lineup for a third consecutive game. Altuve pinch-hit with one out in the ninth inning and grounded into a fielder's choice.
-- San Francisco Giants center fielder Angel Pagan was scratched an hour prior to first pitch due to lower back stiffness. Gregor Blanco moved to center field and batted leadoff, and Tyler Colvin played left and hit sixth. Giants right-hander Santiago Casilla (strained right hamstring) made his second rehab appearance for Class A San Jose on Saturday night, tossing two hitless innings and allowing one walk.
-- New York Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter was honored in a pregame ceremony before playing his final career regular-season game against the Oakland Athletics. Oakland hitting coach Chili Davis and Melvin presented Jeter with a check for $10,002 to his foundation from the team, as well as an assortment of parting gifts, including a three-liter bottle of Cabernet Sauvignon from the Napa Valley.
-- Seattle Mariners catcher John Buck made his first career appearance at first base when he replaced first baseman Logan Morrison after an incident in the dugout. Morrison cut a gash over his left eye when the bat he slammed against a dugout wall cracked and bounced off his eyebrow. Mariners manager Lloyd McClendon said the team still has no timetable for calling up right-hander Taijuan Walker, who threw six innings of no-hit ball before giving up his only hit allowed in a 6 2/3-inning performance at Triple-A on Friday night. Walker struggled with shoulder problems throughout the spring and early part of the season but appears to be getting closer to a clean bill of health.
-- Boston Red Sox shortstop Stephen Drew returned to the lineup after missing six games with a sore oblique. Drew made his fifth start and had two hits and a stolen base. Red Sox third baseman Xander Bogaerts was out with flu-like symptoms, with utility man Brock Holt coming back into the infield to play third. Bogaerts was able to pinch run late. Holt had two more hits and is hitting .340.
-- St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Carlos Martinez will make his first start of the season Monday night against the New York Mets. Martinez is starting in place of right-hander Adam Wainwright (elbow), who is skipping this turn through the rotation for rest purposes. The Cardinals purchased the contract of left-hander Nick Greenwood from Triple-A Memphis to give them a fresh arm in the bullpen due to Martinez's spot start. To make room for Greenwood, outfielder Randal Grichuk was optioned to Memphis.
-- The Detroit Tigers purchased the contract of left-hander Blaine Hardy from Triple-A Toledo and optioned right-hander Corey Knebel back to the Mud Hens. Hardy started six games and relieved in 14 for Toledo, going 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA. He will pitch out of the bullpen for the Tigers.
-- The Miami Marlins recalled right-hander Sam Dyson from Triple-A New Orleans, where he was 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA.
-- The Pittsburgh Pirates demoted second baseman Michael Martinez to the minors to make roster move for right-hander Vance Worley.
-- The San Diego Padres placed right-hander Nick Vincent on the 15-day disabled list, retroactive to June 12, with right shoulder fatigue and purchased the contract of right-hander Blaine Boyer from Triple-A El Paso. Vincent is 0-2 with a 5.67 ERA in 30 relief appearances.
-- Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins went 1-for-4 after he passed Hall of Famer Mike Schmidt for the club's all-time hit record with his 2,235th.
-- Minnesota Twins third baseman Trevor Plouffe was placed on the 15-day disabled list with an oblique injury. The club called up infielder Pedro Florimon from Triple-A Rochester to take Plouffe's spot on the 25-man roster.
-- Oakland Athletics right fielder Josh Reddick (hyperextended right knee) will likely begin a rehabilitation assignment Tuesday with Triple-A Sacramento, A's manager Bob Melvin said before the game.
-- Milwaukee Brewers right-hander Wily Peralta rejoined the team after dealing with an undisclosed family matter in his native Dominican Republic. Peralta will start the opener of a four-game series at Arizona on Monday.
-- Kansas City Royals third baseman Danny Valencia, on the 15-day disabled list with a sprained muscle in his left hand, took batting practice again and is nearing an injury-rehab assignment.
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Betting Notes - Monday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Hamels is 1-0, 0.79 in his last three starts, Teheran is 4-1, 2.78 in his last five.
-- Hammel is 1-1, 1.89 in his last three starts.
-- Peralta is 2-0, 3.97 in his last couple starts.
-- Ryu is 4-1, 3.73 in his last five starts. Matzek won his first MLB start, allowing two runs in seven IP.
-- Vargas is 2-0, 2.25 in his last four starts.
-- Chen is 2-0, 1.45 in his last three starts.
-- Pomeranz is 4-2, 2.35 in seven starts this year.
-- Ross is 3-2, 3.25 in his last seven starts.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Koehler is 1-2, 7.25 in his last four starts.
-- Mets are 1-5 in DeGrom's starts (0-1, 5.29 in last three). Martinez is making second MLB start, first this year; he allowed four runs in 4.2 IP in his only start, at home against the Dodgers. He is 0-3, 4.67 so far this season, pitching 34.2 innings in 30 appearances.
-- McCarthy is 0-3, 6.94 in his last four starts.
-- Weaver is 1-2, 6.23 in his last three starts. Bauer is 0-2, 5.32 in his last four.
-- Verlander is 1-4, 8.53 in his last five starts.
-- Correia is 2-4, 5.12 in his last seven starts. De La Rosa is 0-2, 6.35 in his last two starts.
-- Odorizzi is 0-3, 5.74 in his last three starts.
-- Lewis is 0-1, 8.04 in his last three starts.
-- Young is 0-2, 6.30 in his last couple starts.
•Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Atlanta home games.
-- Four of last five Cub games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Met games stayed under total.
-- Over is 14-4-1 in last nineteen Milwaukee games.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Colorado games.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Detroit home games.
-- Eight of last nine games at Fenway Park stayed under.
-- Six of last nine Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Oakland games.
-- Eight of last eleven San Diego games stayed under.
•Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won six of their last seven games.
-- Rockies won their last five games.
-- Brewers won four of its last five road games.
-- Royals won their last seven games. Detroit won three of its last four games.
-- Indians won their last nine home games.
-- Rays won three of its last four games. Baltimore won four of its last five road games.
-- Athletics won five of their last six home games. Texas won three of last four games.
•Cold Teams
-- Philly lost seven of its last eight road games. Atlanta lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last twelve road games. Miami lost six of its last nine home games.
-- Mets lost nine of last 12 games, including last six on road.
-- Diamondbacks lost four of its last five games.
-- Dodgers are 4-6 in their last ten home games.
-- Angels lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Red Sox lost nine of their last thirteen games. Minnesota is 8-14 in its last 22.
-- Mariners lost its last five games. San Diego lost ten of their last thirteen.
Diamond Trends - Monday
•LA DODGERS are 13-23 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in home games versus a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 3.4, OPPONENT 4.7.
•MINNESOTA is 19-7 OVER (+12.0 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 4.8, OPPONENT 5.1.
•CLEVELAND is 4-18 (-21.9 Units) against the run line versus an American League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.2, OPPONENT 6.4.
•JUSTIN VERLANDER is 9-21 (-26.3 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VERLANDER 4.0, OPPONENT 5.0.
•JULIO TEHERAN is 21-7 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEHERAN 3.5, OPPONENT 3.2.
•BRANDON MCCARTHY is 2-12 (-13.0 Units) against the run line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MCCARTHY 2.9, OPPONENT 4.9.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season - National League.
(113-38 since 1997.) (74.8%, +54.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -154.4
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 3.2 (Average run differential = +1.9)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +1.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6, +10.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (51-16, +26.6 units).
•Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (National League) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(64-14 since 1997.) (82.1%, +41.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (36-42)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -163
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 36 (46.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1, +3.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-7, +15.1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (45-12, +25.5 units).
•Play Over - All teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) - American League, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing.
(33-10 since 1997.) (76.7%, +22.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-104.5
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 5.5 (Total runs scored = 10.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 25 (62.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1, -1.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-6, -0.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8, +13.6 units).
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MONDAY, JUNE 16TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________
***** Monday, 6/16/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________
Week #11's MLB Roundup
-- New York Mets right-handed pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka left his start Sunday afternoon against the San Diego Padres after just one inning with what the team described as a "severe upset stomach." Matsuzaka walked two of the first three batters he faced. Leadoff hitter Will Venable walked but was erased on a double play. Then, Matsuzaka was visited at the mound by manager Terry Collins and a trainer.
After a brief consultation, Matsuzaka remained in the game, but pitchers immediately began throwing in the Mets' bullpen. He retired Padres third baseman Chase Headley on a grounder to first base to end the inning but walked very slowly off the mound. Of the nine Mets on the field, he was the seventh to reach the dugout. Right-handed pitcher Carlos Torres, who relieved Matsuzaka to start the second and threw a season-high four innings as New York pieced together a 3-1 win over the San Diego Padres at Citi Field.
-- Pittsburgh Pirates outfielder Andrew McCutchen, the reigning National League MVP, has joined the outfield leaders in the latest balloting update for the 85th All-Star Game, to be played on Tuesday, July 15 at Target Field in Minnesota. McCutchen, bidding for his fourth All-Star selection and first fan-elected start, has received 1,727,534 votes to rank second among NL outfielders. He is joined by outfield leader Yasiel Puig (1,942,701) of the Los Angeles Dodgers and Giancarlo Stanton (1,659,430) of the Miami Marlins.
-- Mets center fielder Curtis Granderson returned to the lineup against the Padres after missing three straight starts due to a left calf injury. Granderson served as a pinch hitter Thursday against the Milwaukee Brewers and Saturday against the Padres. He did not play Friday. Granderson hit a leadoff homer off Padres right-hander Ian Kennedy. Granderson had two hits and two walks in the game.
-- The Houston Astros signed right-handed reliever Jose Veras to a minor league contract. Veras, the Astros' former closer, started this season with the Chicago Cubs. Astros second baseman Jose Altuve (right hand contusion) hit before the game but was absent from the starting lineup for a third consecutive game. Altuve pinch-hit with one out in the ninth inning and grounded into a fielder's choice.
-- San Francisco Giants center fielder Angel Pagan was scratched an hour prior to first pitch due to lower back stiffness. Gregor Blanco moved to center field and batted leadoff, and Tyler Colvin played left and hit sixth. Giants right-hander Santiago Casilla (strained right hamstring) made his second rehab appearance for Class A San Jose on Saturday night, tossing two hitless innings and allowing one walk.
-- New York Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter was honored in a pregame ceremony before playing his final career regular-season game against the Oakland Athletics. Oakland hitting coach Chili Davis and Melvin presented Jeter with a check for $10,002 to his foundation from the team, as well as an assortment of parting gifts, including a three-liter bottle of Cabernet Sauvignon from the Napa Valley.
-- Seattle Mariners catcher John Buck made his first career appearance at first base when he replaced first baseman Logan Morrison after an incident in the dugout. Morrison cut a gash over his left eye when the bat he slammed against a dugout wall cracked and bounced off his eyebrow. Mariners manager Lloyd McClendon said the team still has no timetable for calling up right-hander Taijuan Walker, who threw six innings of no-hit ball before giving up his only hit allowed in a 6 2/3-inning performance at Triple-A on Friday night. Walker struggled with shoulder problems throughout the spring and early part of the season but appears to be getting closer to a clean bill of health.
-- Boston Red Sox shortstop Stephen Drew returned to the lineup after missing six games with a sore oblique. Drew made his fifth start and had two hits and a stolen base. Red Sox third baseman Xander Bogaerts was out with flu-like symptoms, with utility man Brock Holt coming back into the infield to play third. Bogaerts was able to pinch run late. Holt had two more hits and is hitting .340.
-- St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Carlos Martinez will make his first start of the season Monday night against the New York Mets. Martinez is starting in place of right-hander Adam Wainwright (elbow), who is skipping this turn through the rotation for rest purposes. The Cardinals purchased the contract of left-hander Nick Greenwood from Triple-A Memphis to give them a fresh arm in the bullpen due to Martinez's spot start. To make room for Greenwood, outfielder Randal Grichuk was optioned to Memphis.
-- The Detroit Tigers purchased the contract of left-hander Blaine Hardy from Triple-A Toledo and optioned right-hander Corey Knebel back to the Mud Hens. Hardy started six games and relieved in 14 for Toledo, going 3-2 with a 2.68 ERA. He will pitch out of the bullpen for the Tigers.
-- The Miami Marlins recalled right-hander Sam Dyson from Triple-A New Orleans, where he was 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA.
-- The Pittsburgh Pirates demoted second baseman Michael Martinez to the minors to make roster move for right-hander Vance Worley.
-- The San Diego Padres placed right-hander Nick Vincent on the 15-day disabled list, retroactive to June 12, with right shoulder fatigue and purchased the contract of right-hander Blaine Boyer from Triple-A El Paso. Vincent is 0-2 with a 5.67 ERA in 30 relief appearances.
-- Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins went 1-for-4 after he passed Hall of Famer Mike Schmidt for the club's all-time hit record with his 2,235th.
-- Minnesota Twins third baseman Trevor Plouffe was placed on the 15-day disabled list with an oblique injury. The club called up infielder Pedro Florimon from Triple-A Rochester to take Plouffe's spot on the 25-man roster.
-- Oakland Athletics right fielder Josh Reddick (hyperextended right knee) will likely begin a rehabilitation assignment Tuesday with Triple-A Sacramento, A's manager Bob Melvin said before the game.
-- Milwaukee Brewers right-hander Wily Peralta rejoined the team after dealing with an undisclosed family matter in his native Dominican Republic. Peralta will start the opener of a four-game series at Arizona on Monday.
-- Kansas City Royals third baseman Danny Valencia, on the 15-day disabled list with a sprained muscle in his left hand, took batting practice again and is nearing an injury-rehab assignment.
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Betting Notes - Monday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Hamels is 1-0, 0.79 in his last three starts, Teheran is 4-1, 2.78 in his last five.
-- Hammel is 1-1, 1.89 in his last three starts.
-- Peralta is 2-0, 3.97 in his last couple starts.
-- Ryu is 4-1, 3.73 in his last five starts. Matzek won his first MLB start, allowing two runs in seven IP.
-- Vargas is 2-0, 2.25 in his last four starts.
-- Chen is 2-0, 1.45 in his last three starts.
-- Pomeranz is 4-2, 2.35 in seven starts this year.
-- Ross is 3-2, 3.25 in his last seven starts.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Koehler is 1-2, 7.25 in his last four starts.
-- Mets are 1-5 in DeGrom's starts (0-1, 5.29 in last three). Martinez is making second MLB start, first this year; he allowed four runs in 4.2 IP in his only start, at home against the Dodgers. He is 0-3, 4.67 so far this season, pitching 34.2 innings in 30 appearances.
-- McCarthy is 0-3, 6.94 in his last four starts.
-- Weaver is 1-2, 6.23 in his last three starts. Bauer is 0-2, 5.32 in his last four.
-- Verlander is 1-4, 8.53 in his last five starts.
-- Correia is 2-4, 5.12 in his last seven starts. De La Rosa is 0-2, 6.35 in his last two starts.
-- Odorizzi is 0-3, 5.74 in his last three starts.
-- Lewis is 0-1, 8.04 in his last three starts.
-- Young is 0-2, 6.30 in his last couple starts.
•Totals
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Atlanta home games.
-- Four of last five Cub games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Met games stayed under total.
-- Over is 14-4-1 in last nineteen Milwaukee games.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Colorado games.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Detroit home games.
-- Eight of last nine games at Fenway Park stayed under.
-- Six of last nine Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Oakland games.
-- Eight of last eleven San Diego games stayed under.
•Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won six of their last seven games.
-- Rockies won their last five games.
-- Brewers won four of its last five road games.
-- Royals won their last seven games. Detroit won three of its last four games.
-- Indians won their last nine home games.
-- Rays won three of its last four games. Baltimore won four of its last five road games.
-- Athletics won five of their last six home games. Texas won three of last four games.
•Cold Teams
-- Philly lost seven of its last eight road games. Atlanta lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last twelve road games. Miami lost six of its last nine home games.
-- Mets lost nine of last 12 games, including last six on road.
-- Diamondbacks lost four of its last five games.
-- Dodgers are 4-6 in their last ten home games.
-- Angels lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Red Sox lost nine of their last thirteen games. Minnesota is 8-14 in its last 22.
-- Mariners lost its last five games. San Diego lost ten of their last thirteen.
Diamond Trends - Monday
•LA DODGERS are 13-23 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in home games versus a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 3.4, OPPONENT 4.7.
•MINNESOTA is 19-7 OVER (+12.0 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 4.8, OPPONENT 5.1.
•CLEVELAND is 4-18 (-21.9 Units) against the run line versus an American League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.2, OPPONENT 6.4.
•JUSTIN VERLANDER is 9-21 (-26.3 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VERLANDER 4.0, OPPONENT 5.0.
•JULIO TEHERAN is 21-7 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEHERAN 3.5, OPPONENT 3.2.
•BRANDON MCCARTHY is 2-12 (-13.0 Units) against the run line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MCCARTHY 2.9, OPPONENT 4.9.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season - National League.
(113-38 since 1997.) (74.8%, +54.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -154.4
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 3.2 (Average run differential = +1.9)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +1.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6, +10.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (51-16, +26.6 units).
•Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (PHILADELPHIA) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (National League) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(64-14 since 1997.) (82.1%, +41.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (36-42)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -163
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 36 (46.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1, +3.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-7, +15.1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (45-12, +25.5 units).
•Play Over - All teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (KANSAS CITY) - terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) - American League, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing.
(33-10 since 1997.) (76.7%, +22.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-104.5
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 5.5 (Total runs scored = 10.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 25 (62.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1, -1.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-6, -0.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8, +13.6 units).
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