DAVE COKIN
MLB
Matchup: Washington at N.Y. Mets
Listed pitchers must go: (R) ATILANO, L vs. (R) MAINE, J
Play: N.Y. Mets (ML -147)
There's no way to consider Mets righty John Maine as reliable for any lengthy stretch of time. But we've seen several short bursts of excellence from Maine and the idea is to back him when he's hot and stay on him till he goes cold. I see Maine having a very good shot at putting together a third straight solid outing tonight as he faces Washington. Maine has sturdy career numbers against this team, and the Mets have been playing very well at home. Their loss to the Giants on Sunday snapped a nine-game home winning streak. I also like the hosts to knock around Nationals rookie Atilano, who is not a particularly well regarded prospect. After two good performances, Atilano was raked in his last start and my guess is that he won't be with the big club much longer, likely lasting only until the call to Strasburg gets made. This is a big number for me, but I like the spot and I'll play the Mets to win tonight.
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Matchup: Philadelphia at Colorado
Listed pitchers must go: (R) KENDRICK, K vs. (L) SMITH, G
Play: Philadelphia (ML +101)
The Phillies are not as daunting offensively against lefties, but I don't see Greg Smith being dominant against this lineup. Smith's splits are not all that much stronger against lefty hitters, and his recurring control issues could figure here against a patient Philly lineup. The Rockies are a bit shorthanded for this contest. Carlos Gonzalez is away from the team due to a death in his family, and shortstop Troy Tulowitzki's status is in doubt with his knee banged up. Kyle Kendrick has been working hard trying to add a splitter to his repertoire and he seems to be getting the hang of it to some extent. Colorado is very tough at home, but with perhaps two of the Rockies best offensive performers missing this game, I can't see them as even small chalk against the two-time defending NL Champs. I'll side with the visiting Phillies to get the money tonight.
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DAVE COKIN
NBA
Matchup: L.A. Lakers at Utah
Play: L.A. Lakers (ML +130)
I had the Suns on the money line Sunday in the NBA, and my thinking is precisely the same for tonight's Game Four clash between the Lakers and Jazz. I don't see the spread coming into play in this contest. If the Lakers relax and the Jazz come out firing, Utah will probably get an easy win. But more likely, the Lakers are going to want to make sure they don't have to go back to LA for another game, thus getting them almost the same amount of rest as the Suns are going to enjoy after polishing off San Antonio. It's also notable that the Lakers simply have this team's number, and after losing a real heartbreaker on Saturday night, this is not a good spot for the Jazz. It's a game I expect the Lakers to win, and I'm therefore going to go for the better odds by backing them on the money line.