Steve Duemig Monday 25 Dime - Texas A&M
We have already lost the value in the over for this game but definitely keep an eye out for it because if you like points this game is for you. When I sat down to watch A&M play Texas this year, I can't tell you how impressed I was with the A&M QB Jerrod Johnson. This kid is one of the smoothest players I have seen in a long time. He can run when he has to but he can throw it with the best in the nation and he takes care of the football as evidenced by his 3200+ YP and 28 TD's and only 6 int's. Johnson also has all the complimentary weapons to go along with his abilities to make A&M a very explosive offense that can trade points with anyone. The only reason they didn't win more games this year was because of their youth. Mike Sherman started a school record 1 freshmen this year and they got better as the year progressed. One thing I do like about the bowls is that teams like this get to practice up until their bowl game and they can really get better during that time. I really look for that to be the case here for A&M. Plus they are the team that is motivated here because of their youth, many have never been to a bowl game. The same can't be said for UGA. They have verbalized their displeasure with being away from home on Christmas and not wanting to be there. The have no defensive coordinator and they are minus two other defensive coaches as well after they were all fired after the season. Mark Richt, the head coach will call the defensive plays. This I can't wait to see since he has always been known as the offensive mind of the Bulldogs. They led the SEC in turnovers and they also led the SEC in giving up TD passes with their very weak secondary. If Johnson is on tonight he will light up the Georgia secondary. It's rare that I don't side with the SEC in bowl matchups but I really like this young and hungry A&M squad. A win in this game can really be a spring board toward next season.
We have already lost the value in the over for this game but definitely keep an eye out for it because if you like points this game is for you. When I sat down to watch A&M play Texas this year, I can't tell you how impressed I was with the A&M QB Jerrod Johnson. This kid is one of the smoothest players I have seen in a long time. He can run when he has to but he can throw it with the best in the nation and he takes care of the football as evidenced by his 3200+ YP and 28 TD's and only 6 int's. Johnson also has all the complimentary weapons to go along with his abilities to make A&M a very explosive offense that can trade points with anyone. The only reason they didn't win more games this year was because of their youth. Mike Sherman started a school record 1 freshmen this year and they got better as the year progressed. One thing I do like about the bowls is that teams like this get to practice up until their bowl game and they can really get better during that time. I really look for that to be the case here for A&M. Plus they are the team that is motivated here because of their youth, many have never been to a bowl game. The same can't be said for UGA. They have verbalized their displeasure with being away from home on Christmas and not wanting to be there. The have no defensive coordinator and they are minus two other defensive coaches as well after they were all fired after the season. Mark Richt, the head coach will call the defensive plays. This I can't wait to see since he has always been known as the offensive mind of the Bulldogs. They led the SEC in turnovers and they also led the SEC in giving up TD passes with their very weak secondary. If Johnson is on tonight he will light up the Georgia secondary. It's rare that I don't side with the SEC in bowl matchups but I really like this young and hungry A&M squad. A win in this game can really be a spring board toward next season.
Lenny D's 25* MNF Total of the Year (won GOY LW)
Former linesmaker Lenny Del Genio went 3-2-1 on Sunday & is 26-15-3 ATS his L44 NFL Picks Overall! He's won 4 of the L5 wks on MNF, including LW's GOY on the Giants 45-12 over the Redskins! Now, it's time for his #1 MNF Total of '09! Lenny is 4-0-2 L6 NFL Totals & clinches his 6th winning week in 7 wks w/ this 25* TOY!
Over Vikings/Bears
*10* O/U MIS-MATCH OF SEASON! **75% RUN!
Parsons went 2-1 with his NFL picks y-day and is now an unreal 14-6 (70%) with his NFL picks this month. He is on an incredible 9-3 (75%) *10* "Top Play" NFL run after nailing his *10* "BK" play on the Cowboys last night. He is on a season long 15-5 (75%) MNF run after last week's *10* "MIS-MATCH" on the Giants; *10* "Top Play" MNF Total
Over Vikings/Bears
Former linesmaker Lenny Del Genio went 3-2-1 on Sunday & is 26-15-3 ATS his L44 NFL Picks Overall! He's won 4 of the L5 wks on MNF, including LW's GOY on the Giants 45-12 over the Redskins! Now, it's time for his #1 MNF Total of '09! Lenny is 4-0-2 L6 NFL Totals & clinches his 6th winning week in 7 wks w/ this 25* TOY!
Over Vikings/Bears
*10* O/U MIS-MATCH OF SEASON! **75% RUN!
Parsons went 2-1 with his NFL picks y-day and is now an unreal 14-6 (70%) with his NFL picks this month. He is on an incredible 9-3 (75%) *10* "Top Play" NFL run after nailing his *10* "BK" play on the Cowboys last night. He is on a season long 15-5 (75%) MNF run after last week's *10* "MIS-MATCH" on the Giants; *10* "Top Play" MNF Total
Over Vikings/Bears
B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W ido w W iseg uy N F C North G AM E OF THE M ONT H on Minnesota Vikings -7(-104 at 5dimes)
After an embarrassing loss to the Panthers last week, look for Minnesota to rebound Monday night against the hapless Chicago Bears. The Bears are 1-6 S.U. & 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games, with their lone victory coming over the St. Louis Rams at home by a final of 17-9. Chicago has packed it in, and cannot get anything going offensively due to the turnover bug. Jay Cutler leads the league in interceptions thrown, and the Bears have comitted 18 turnovers in their last 6 games for an average of 3/game. Minnesota already torched the Bears 36-10 at home four weeks ago, and you can expect a similar final score Monday as they look to stay as the #2 seed in the NFC and inch closer to a first-round bye. Chicago is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season. The Bears are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Chicago has beaten the teams that they should beat, and have lost to all the teams they aren't supposed to beat. That's indicated by the fact that the Bears are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Minnesota rolls. Take the Vikings and lay the points. ***This is still a 6* Play up to -9.5 as we strongly feel the Vikings win by double-digits***
5* W iseg uy N B A Monday "T ot al" B LOWO UT on Warriors/Celtics OVER 210(-106 at 5dimes)
This is a pretty low total for a Warriors' home game. Golden State scores 112.2 points/game and allows 112.7 points/game at home this year for an average of nearly 225 points/game combined with their opponents. Boston is 28-11 OVER (+15.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996. The Celtics are 74-48 OVER (+21.2 Units) after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse since 1996. After a poor shooting night yesterday against the Clippers, look for the Celtics to put up a big number on the Warriors tonight as they get back on track against a poor defensive team. The Warriors are 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER 210 points.
5* W iseg uy C B B Game of the Day on UNC-Wilmington +12.5(-102 at 5dimes)
Though UNC-Wilmington is just 4-6 this season, they have been much more competitive than their record indicates. UNC-Wilmington has not lost any game by more than 11 points this season. Richmond is getting way too much respect from the odds makers here Monday. Richmond has picked up some big wins this season, but find themselves in a letdown spot here with Wake Forest on tap next. They will travel to Wake on the 31st of December, making this a big look-ahead spot. Richmond is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997. Richmond is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1997. Take UNC-Wilmington and the points.
4* on Norfolk State +30.5(-110 at sportsbook)
UTEP is a solid team, but the odds makers are getting out of hand here listing them as more than a 30-point favorite Monday night. Norfolk State is just 1-8 this season, but they have not lost any games by 30 or more points this year. UTEP is 7-2, but only once have they won by 30 or more points and that came against Alcorn State in a game where there was no spread listed. No matter how you put it, the fact of the matter is that this line has been inflated and we'll take advantage. Take Norfolk State and the points.
4* on Wake Forest -15.5(-110 at 5dimes)
Wake Forest will roll right past 2-8 UNC-Greensboro Monday. Greensboro is overmatched here, as they are 0-4 S.U. & 0-3 ATS at home this season, losing by 15.2 points/game. These teams have a common opponent this season, and that was East Carolina. Wake Forest beat East Carolina by 31 points on a neutral court, while UNC-Greensboro lost to ECU by 21 points at home. Greensboro has lost 4 straight games, including their last 3 games by 15 points or more to the likes of Princeton, Akron and Richmond which are three teams that aren't as good at Wake Forest. Greensboro is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. Greensboro is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons. Take Wake Forest and lay the points.
6* W ido w W iseg uy N F C North G AM E OF THE M ONT H on Minnesota Vikings -7(-104 at 5dimes)
After an embarrassing loss to the Panthers last week, look for Minnesota to rebound Monday night against the hapless Chicago Bears. The Bears are 1-6 S.U. & 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games, with their lone victory coming over the St. Louis Rams at home by a final of 17-9. Chicago has packed it in, and cannot get anything going offensively due to the turnover bug. Jay Cutler leads the league in interceptions thrown, and the Bears have comitted 18 turnovers in their last 6 games for an average of 3/game. Minnesota already torched the Bears 36-10 at home four weeks ago, and you can expect a similar final score Monday as they look to stay as the #2 seed in the NFC and inch closer to a first-round bye. Chicago is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season. The Bears are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Chicago has beaten the teams that they should beat, and have lost to all the teams they aren't supposed to beat. That's indicated by the fact that the Bears are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Minnesota rolls. Take the Vikings and lay the points. ***This is still a 6* Play up to -9.5 as we strongly feel the Vikings win by double-digits***
5* W iseg uy N B A Monday "T ot al" B LOWO UT on Warriors/Celtics OVER 210(-106 at 5dimes)
This is a pretty low total for a Warriors' home game. Golden State scores 112.2 points/game and allows 112.7 points/game at home this year for an average of nearly 225 points/game combined with their opponents. Boston is 28-11 OVER (+15.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996. The Celtics are 74-48 OVER (+21.2 Units) after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse since 1996. After a poor shooting night yesterday against the Clippers, look for the Celtics to put up a big number on the Warriors tonight as they get back on track against a poor defensive team. The Warriors are 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER 210 points.
5* W iseg uy C B B Game of the Day on UNC-Wilmington +12.5(-102 at 5dimes)
Though UNC-Wilmington is just 4-6 this season, they have been much more competitive than their record indicates. UNC-Wilmington has not lost any game by more than 11 points this season. Richmond is getting way too much respect from the odds makers here Monday. Richmond has picked up some big wins this season, but find themselves in a letdown spot here with Wake Forest on tap next. They will travel to Wake on the 31st of December, making this a big look-ahead spot. Richmond is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997. Richmond is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1997. Take UNC-Wilmington and the points.
4* on Norfolk State +30.5(-110 at sportsbook)
UTEP is a solid team, but the odds makers are getting out of hand here listing them as more than a 30-point favorite Monday night. Norfolk State is just 1-8 this season, but they have not lost any games by 30 or more points this year. UTEP is 7-2, but only once have they won by 30 or more points and that came against Alcorn State in a game where there was no spread listed. No matter how you put it, the fact of the matter is that this line has been inflated and we'll take advantage. Take Norfolk State and the points.
4* on Wake Forest -15.5(-110 at 5dimes)
Wake Forest will roll right past 2-8 UNC-Greensboro Monday. Greensboro is overmatched here, as they are 0-4 S.U. & 0-3 ATS at home this season, losing by 15.2 points/game. These teams have a common opponent this season, and that was East Carolina. Wake Forest beat East Carolina by 31 points on a neutral court, while UNC-Greensboro lost to ECU by 21 points at home. Greensboro has lost 4 straight games, including their last 3 games by 15 points or more to the likes of Princeton, Akron and Richmond which are three teams that aren't as good at Wake Forest. Greensboro is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons. Greensboro is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons. Take Wake Forest and lay the points.
