Service Plays Monday 12/28/09

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Mr A

Monday, December 28th, 2009 8:30 PM EST.
Minnesota Vikings (11-3) at Chicago Bears (5-9)
Soldier Field - Chicago, Illinois
The Vikings have played horrible in its last two road games and don’t play well on the grass. Don’t be surprised to see an upset tonight in the Windy City. Chicago is 5-1 ATS in the last six clashes versus Minnesota at Soldier Field. Take the points.

Oddsmakers: Minnesota as a -8 point road favorite with the total listed at 41½ 'over'.
Chicago Bears +8


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Monday, December 28th, 2009 5:00 PM EST.
Advocare Independence Bowl
Texas A&M Aggies (6-6) vs. Georgia Bulldogs (7-5)
Independence Stadium - Shreveport, LouiSIAna
Both Georgia and Texas A&M defenses have struggled, but Texas A&M defense is the worse. The Aggies gave up 431 yards per game and 32.7 points per game. Go with the Bulldogs in a shootout.

Oddsmakers: Georgia as a -6½ point favorite with the total listed at 66½ 'over'.
Georgia Bulldogs -6½

7:30 PM EST. Oklahoma City (15-14) at NJ Nets (2-28) Oklahoma City Thunder -5½
10:00 PM EST. Philadelphia (7-22) at Portland (20-12) Portland Trail Blazers -6
 
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GINA

Monday, December 28th, 8:30 p.m. est.
Minnesota Vikings (11-3) at Chicago Bears (5-9)
Soldier Field - Chicago, Illinois
Go with the Vikings to trounce the Bears. Chicago has been a dreadful football team this season and their poor defense won’ stop Brett Favre and crew. The Bears are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.


Minnesota Vikings -8 Match-up

Monday, December 28th, 2009 10:00 p.m. est.
Denver Nuggets (20-11) at Sacramento Kings (13-16)

The Nuggets have dropped five straight on the road and are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Go with the Kings at home versus the struggling Nuggets. Sacramento has won and covered their last four games as an underdog.

Sacramento Kings +2
 

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Doc NBA 12-28-09


3-Unit Play #702 Take Charlotte -4 ½ Over Milwaukee (7 p.m. EST, Monday)


2-Unit Play #706 Take Memphis -5 ½ Over Washington (8 p.m. EST, Monday)

3-Unit Play #707 Take LA Lakers/Phoenix UNDER 215 (9 p.m. EST, Monday)

*NOTE: This was a 4-Unit play at 217 1/2 but we lowered the value due to some late line movement right before posting.
 
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Viking/Bears OVER 41

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "over":

The Vikings are sitting at 11-3, already have clinched the NFC North and have a very good chance to grab the second-seed and a first-round bye in the playoffs.

As the Brad Childress-Brett Favre saga continues off-field, I look for Favre and company to play with a concerted effort on the field tonight.

The Vikings will get their third opportunity in a four-week span to prove they can do anything positive in a prime-time appearance.

Running back Adrian Peterson has gone a career-high five games without a 100-yard rushing performance and one reason is because the run blocking hasn't been consistent enough of late.

Peterson and his linemen should get another chance to pound the ball in this game, going against a Bears run defense that is 25th in the NFL and has given up 128.5 yards per game.

It's interesting to note that the Vikes played to an "over" on Monday Night already this season (Week 4 30-23 win over Green Bay). Minnesota has also seen the total go "over" the posted number in three of four games this season when the total is between 35 1/2 and 42 points.

On the other side of the field: The Vikings' domination was nearly complete in the 36-10 blowout on Nov. 29. They had one-sided advantages in total yards, 537-169; time of possession, 40:55-19:05; first downs, 31-8; and offensive plays, 83-38.

It got worse as the game progressed. In the second half, the Bears were outgained 225-2. That's not the kind of humiliation the Bears want to revisit with everyone watching; look for this team to play with "revenge" on its mind.

Bad news for Chicago's defense; it will be without the team's leading sacker, DLE Adewale Ogunleye (fractured fibula).

Bottom line: The Bears are a poor team, no doubt, but for them this game will seem like a playoff with the possibility to make the Vikings' life completely miserable entering their regular-season finale.

These teams have a history of playing to some high-scoring affairs as the total has gone "over" the posted number in four of their last six games overall; when taking the rest of these factors into consideration, the sharp money in this one is on the OVER!

*10* OVER.
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Tony George

GEORGIA -7

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]AM has scored 32 ppg against 5 bowl opponents this year. While the Aggie offense is led by stud QB Johnson, their defense is a MAJOR issue here and they were blownout by good opponents all year and although they played Texas tough, as they always do, Georgia can trade pucnhes and move the ball at will against a defense ranked 104th in points allowed. Georgia 10 points better. Bulldogs 8-3 ATS last 11 Bowl Games.

Play 1 Unit on Georgia.
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Ron Raymond

76ers/Blazers OVER 190.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]When ANY NBA Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - During the month of December - Last 3 years - Coming off a 1 game home stand - Coming off 2 overs; The OVER is 15-6-0 for the Home Fave (POR) in this role. Take the Over.[/FONT]
 

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Marc Lawrence

CHICAGO BEARS +7

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]We recommend a 3-unit play on Chicago.[/FONT]
 

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Greg Shaker

Vikings/Bears OVER 41

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]I have been watching this total line drop and perhaps it will drop more but with the Key number of 41 I am going to go ahead and jump on this one. A lot of weather buffs have decided that it is just too cold for these offenses to function properly and it is going to be a cold nite in the Windy City. It is also going to be Windy! But is that going to help the Under or the Over? The Bears QB is just not working out for this team and he has become a Turnover Machine. The Bears running game is not working and so Cutler is going to have to put the ball in the air tonight and with perfect conditions he has been horrible. What will happen tonight? I suspect more turnovers. That is going to lead to some short fields for the visitors. We don't have to worry about a number of things when it comes to the Vikings. Favre will not be rested for one as the Vikes are still looking for homefield advantage during these coming playoffs. We don't have to worry about whether knows he how to play in Cold Weather because he has up there in Green Bay. We don't have to worry about whether Minn will be motivated to win tonight. We don't have to wonder whether they can move the Ball verses the Bears. We do have a history of high scoring affairs between these two teams and we also have a history of Bret Favre playing some of his best games on Monday Nite. I do think that Minnesota will have their way tonight here in Chicago and the Bears are going to have to try to catch up. That is going to give us what we want. Take the OVER.[/FONT]
 

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Rocketman

ATLANTA THRASHERS +165

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Play On - Road underdogs against the money line (ATLANTA) - off a close loss by 1 goal to a division rival, in December games (29-15 over the last 5 seasons.) Thrashers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Thrashers are 10-4 in their last 14 Monday games. Thrashers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in New Jersey. Road team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. We'll play Atlanta for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.[/FONT]
 

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Andre Gomes

DENVER NUGGETS -1.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Despite having a terrible spot, I like the Nuggets to get done the job tonight against the Kings, as basically we only really need them to win this contest outright. I understand that this will be their 3rd game in just 4 days and a back to back home-road game isn’t easy for any team. Plus, Chauncey Billups won’t play tonight and the last results of the Nuggets are showing that he is the key maker of this team. However for this contest I’m expecting Carmelo Anthony to explode and to carry his team down the stretch.

On their last game against the Mavericks, Carmelo was well defended and suffered constant double teams from the Mavs, while he also battled foul trouble the whole game. He ended up playing just 31 minutes and he lost his rhythm, as he shot only 5-19 from the field! For tonight, the Kings don’t have any defender capable of shut down Carmelo and I wouldn’t be surprised if he puts 40 points in the boxscore.

Besides that, their bench was dreadful. Chris Andersen, Anthony Carter and J.R. Smith combined to shot 7-for-24 (29.2 percent) for 20 points, while the bench from Dallas shot 18-for-35 for 49 points, so I also expect the Nuggets' second unit to play better tonight.

For the Kings rookie PG Tyreke Evans is doubtful for tonight and he is the catalyst of this team. I dare to say that Evans is what Billups represents for the Nuggets. The Kings have lost their last 2 games in overtime against the Lakers and the Cavs and Evans played 44 and 46 minutes in those games, while scoring 18 and 28 points. The Kings aren’t a good defensive team and in my opinion their approach regarding this game will be to outscore the Nuggets on a run and gun tempo game. However, with the Nuggets fired up, I don’t think that the Kings have the “army” to compete against the Nuggets in such kind of game and so, I’m taking Denver in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 709 Denver Nuggets (-1.5)
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Lenny Del Genio

Vikings/Bears OVER 41

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Both of these NFC North rivals have gone Under in each of their last six games. Time to take advantage of a low total and go the other way. Under HC Brad Childress, the Vikings are 11-3 Over off a road loss. They scored 36 points when they thrashed the Bears in Week 12. Defensively, Minnesota has not been solid on the road. Their last four away games have seen them allow 27, 26, 30 and 26 points respectively. While this season has been an unmitigated disaster in Chicago, the Bears do average 5 PPG more than their season average when playing at Soldier Field. Over Minnesota/Chicago is our 25* MNF Total of the Year.[/FONT]
 

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