THE SPORTS ADVISORS
MONDAY, DECEMBER 21
NFL
N.Y. Giants (7-6, 5-8 ATS) at Washington (4-9, 7-6 ATS)
The Giants find themselves in a must-win situation when they visit FedEx Field in Washington, D.C., to take on the Redskins in an NFC East showdown.
New York is currently on the outside looking in with respect to the NFC playoffs, having dropped six of its last eight games (1-7 ATS) following a 5-0 start (3-1-1 ATS) to open the season. Last week, the Giants racked up more than 500 yards of offense against the Eagles but still fell 45-38 as a one-point home underdog. New York’s defense has collapsed after being the NFL’s best during the team’s 5-0 start, allowing 32.4 ppg during their 2-6 slump, including yielding 40 points or more three times.
Washington is just 2-3 in its last five games, but came close to pulling off upsets against the Cowboys, Eagles and Saints, losing the three games by a combined seven points. On the bright side, the Redskins cashed in all five games, including last week, when they went to Oakland and grabbed a 34-13 victory as one-point road favorites, getting 222 passing yards and two touchdowns from QB Jason Campbell.
These teams opened the season against each other in the Big Apple, with the Giants getting the 23-17 victory, but Washington got a late touchdown to cover as a 6½-point underdog. New York has won three straight (2-1 ATS) and six of the last seven (5-2 ATS) against the Redskins, including a 23-7 road win last season, cashing as a 3½-point favorite. The road team has cashed in five of the last six clashes between these rivals, and the favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10.
New York comes in on ATS slides of 1-7 overall, 0-5 as a favorite and 1-5-1 following a non-cover, but it is on positive ATS streaks of 22-7 on the road, 11-4 as a road chalk and 4-0 against teams with a losing record.
In addition to cashing in five straight games, Washington is on ATS runs of 4-0 as a ‘dog, 3-0-1 in December and 3-1-1 against NFC East foes, but it is on pointspread slides of 3-9 at home and 2-5 on Monday.
The Giants have stayed below the total in seven of 10 Monday games and three of five as a road favorite, but they are on “over” streaks of 5-0 against NFC East rivals and 5-2-1 against teams with a losing record. The Redskins have stayed below the total in 10 of 13 at home and seven of nine after a straight-up win, but they are on “over” runs of 6-1 overall, 4-1 as a ‘dogs, 5-1 against winning teams and 4-1 against NFC teams. In this rivalry, the “under” is 4-1 in the last five overall, but the “over” is 6-2 in the last eight clashes in the nation’s capital.
Finally, the last six Monday Night Football contests have stayed under the total, following a 19-5-1 “over” stretch on Mondays.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
NBA
Utah (16-11, 15-12 ATS) at Orlando (20-7, 15-12 ATS)
The Jazz continue their East Coast road trip with a stop in Orlando to take on the Magic inside Amway Arena.
Utah is 2-1 (SU and ATS) on this five-game road swing, having beaten Charlotte 110-102 on Saturday as a 2½-point underdog. The Jazz score average just 96.2 points per game on the road this year, but they are shooting 51.1 percent from the floor and putting up 102.2 points a game over their last five contests overall (3-2 SU and ATS).
Orlando has won three of its last four (2-2 ATS), beating Portland 92-83 at home on Saturday night and barely cashing as an 8½-point chalk. Center Dwight Howard took just eight shots but had 12 points, 20 rebounds and four blocks to lead the Magic to their 10th home win in 12 tries this season. The Magic limit the opposition to 95.9 points a game at home on 44.3 percent shooting.
These squads collided on Dec. 10 in Utah with the Jazz rallying for a 120-111 victory, cashing as 2½-point underdogs. Orlando has still won five of the last eight (6-2 ATS) in this series, including last year’s 105-87 home win as a 5½-point favorite. The Magic are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings and 5-1 ATS in the last six clashes in Orlando.
Utah is just 7-19 ATS in its last 26 as an underdog and 8-20 ATS in its last 28 roadies against teams with winning home records, but it is on positive pointspread streaks of 9-4 overall, 5-1 against Eastern Conference teams and 20-7 on Monday. Orlando is on ATS slides of 1-5 after a spread-cover and 2-7 on Monday, but it is on ATS surges of 7-2 after a day off and 33-16-2 against Northwest Division opponents.
The Jazz are on several “over” streaks, including 15-6-1 on the road, 30-12-1 as an underdog, 24-8-1 as a road ‘dog, 4-1 on Monday and 11-4 on the road against teams with winning home records. The Magic have topped the total in five of six after a spread-cover and nine of 12 at home, but they are on “under” runs of 4-1 overall, 9-3 on Monday and 12-5 against the Western Conference. Finally, the “under” has been the play in five of the last seven head-to-head clashes between these two, though this month’s battle in Utah topped the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO
Cleveland (20-8, 13-15 ATS) at Phoenix (18-9, 16-11 ATS)
The Cavaliers look to bounce back from Sunday’s upset loss to the Mavericks when they visit the Suns inside the US Airways Center in Phoenix.
Cleveland opened a four-game West Coast road swing Sunday in Dallas, losing 102-95 as a four-point road favorite, ending a five-game winning streak while dropping to 2-6 ATS in its last eight. During its five-game winning streak, the Cavaliers had given up just 92 ppg while limiting the opposition to 41.8 percent shooting, but on Sunday the Mavericks – playing without All-Star Dirk Nowitzki – had 102 points on 47.5 percent shooting.
Phoenix has alternated wins and losses over the last six games (5-1 ATS), most recently blasting the Wizards in the desert on Saturday, rolling 121-95 as a 10½-point favorite. Amare Stoudemire had 23 points and 14 rebounds to lead the Suns with Steve Nash adding 15 points, 15 assists and seven rebounds. Phoenix averages 116.9 points a game at home while shooting 51.7 percent from the field.
The Cavaliers scored a 107-90 home win over the Suns back on Dec. 2, cashing as 7½-point favorites. Cleveland has now won and covered three straight in the series after losing six of the previous seven both SU and ATS. In last year’s meeting in Phoenix, Cleveland got a 119-111 victory in Phoenix last season, cashing as a 4½-point favorite. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 series meetings with the favorite covering the spread in 10 of the last 11 matchups.
Cleveland is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games as a road ‘dog, but otherwise it is on positive ATS runs that include 9-5 on the road, 35-15-1 on Monday and 24-11 as a road ‘dog of less than five points. Phoenix is on a plethora of ATS upticks, including 5-1 overall, 20-8-1 at home, 19-7-1 as a home favorite, 4-0 as a home chalk of less than five points, 9-3 after a day off and 10-4 against Eastern Conference.
The under is 7-3 for the Cavs in their last 10 Monday games, but otherwise it’s all “overs” for Cleveland, including 6-1 as an underdog, 6-2-1 against the Western Conference and 9-2 against teams with a winning record. For Phoenix, the under is on stretches of 12-3-2 overall, 6-1-1 after getting a day off, 6-0-1 against Eastern Conference teams and 5-2 on Monday. In this series, the “over” has been the play in eight of the last 11, with last year’s game in Phoenix soaring over the posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHOENIX