Service Plays Monday 12/07/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAB DUNKEL


Massachusetts at Seton Hall
The Minutemen look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games as an underdog of 13 points or more. Massachusetts is the pick (+16) according to Dunkel, which has Massachusetts favored by only 12. Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+16). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 7

Game 709-710: Massachusetts at Seton Hall
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 54.170; Seton Hall 66.406
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 12
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 16
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+16)

Game 711-712: Brown at Providence
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 47.128; Providence 62.384
Dunkel Line: Providence by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Providence by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brown (+15 1/2)

Game 713-714: North Texas at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 56.445; Texas A&M 66.884
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+12 1/2)

Game 715-716: Virginia at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 60.252; Auburn 66.015
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 6
Vegas Line: Auburn by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-4 1/2)

Game 717-718: Long Beach State at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 57.969; Texas 77.541
Dunkel Line: Texas by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 22
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+22)

Game 719-720: Michigan State at The Citadel
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 70.996; The Citadel 56.947
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 14
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 16
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+16)

Game 721-722: College of Charleston at NC Greensboro
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 53.695; NC Greensboro 46.651
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3)

Game 723-724: Appalachian State at Wofford
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 49.658; Wofford 58.832
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 9
Vegas Line: Wofford by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-7 1/2)

Game 725-726: Siena at Iona
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 63.445; Iona 56.415
Dunkel Line: Siena by 7
Vegas Line: Siena by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-4 1/2)

Game 727-728: Western Carolina at Bradley
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 53.769; Bradley 63.797
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 10
Vegas Line: Bradley by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (-7 1/2)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Insider Angles

The Oklahoma City Thunder have come a long way since last season, and we are looking for them to win by double-digits Monday night when they host the Golden State Warriors.

The Thunder have a winning record at 10-9 this season after having one of the worst records in the NBA last year, and the biggest difference has been the improvement of the defense, which is allowing only 95.4 points per game this season after having one of the worst defenses in the league in 2008-09, when they allowed 103.1 points per contest.

Granted, the Thunder lost by 18 points here at home to the Boston Celtics Friday, but the Celtics have done that to every team this year and Oklahoma City is simply not yet ready for that level of competition. However, they are back in their own element here facing the Warriors, and the fact that Golden State plays no defense should make it easier for the Thunder to build a nice lead here and allow there defense to put this game away.

The Warriors are just 2-8 on the road, where they are allowing a disgusting 116.6 points per game. A weaker Oklahoma City team still managed to beat the Warriors 107-100 the last time Golden State visited here, and we see no reason why the Thunder cannot add a couple of points to that winning margin in this spot, given their improved defense.

That would translate to around a 10-point victory, good enough to cover this spread at home.

NBA Pick: Thunder -7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PowerPlayWins

AUBURN (-4) over VIRGINIA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G

6* W ido w W iseg uy Ravens/Packers M ond ay Night A T S "B LOO D B AT H" on G ree n B ay -3(-112 at 5dimes)

Despite injuries, the Packers are showing a lot of heart and finding ways to win games. Most folks would look at this game and think that Baltimore has the better defense, while the Packers have the better offense, but that's simply not the case. Get this, the Packers own the #2-Ranked defense in the league, giving up just 281.5 yards/game. Baltimore owns the #10-ranked defense at 308.9 yards/game. Advantage Packers. Green Bay also flaunts the #6-Ranked offense in the league at 382.0 yards/game. Looking down we find Baltimore as the #13-Ranked offense at 353.4 yards/game. That's certainly and improvement from year's past, but the defense is getting older and is no longer the same stop unit they once were. Baltimore needed overtime to beat a Steelers' team playing without Ben Roethlisberger at home last week. Green Bay has had 10 days' rest to get ready for the Ravens having not played since their 34-12 win over Detroit on Thanksgiving, which is also a big factor favoring the Packers. The Ravens have allowed 242 passing yards/game on the road this season and now they are up against Aaron Rodgers, who is averaging 263 passing yards/game this year. The Ravens allow 7.1 passing yards/attempt away from home, while the Packers average 7.5 passing yards/attempt overall. That's where the advantage really lies in this game, with the Packers' passing game against the Ravens' poor pass defense. Green Bay is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season in the second half of the season since 1992. They are winning by an average of 10.2 points/game in this spot and covering the spread 92% of the time. Take the Packers and lay the points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog

Game: Calgary at Los Angeles Kings (10:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles Kings -110 (moneyline)
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The Kings have just a shootout loss to the Blues to show on the bad side of their last four games, taking the other three. The Flames have come up big on the road with just two defeats all season, but that won't last forever. One of the losses occurred two games ago and the offense has suddenly had difficulties, posting just three goals in the last two games. It may be signs of fatigue as this will be the sixth straight on the road for the Flames. Unique situation here as the Flames are 0-4 in their last four vs. an opponent who allowed five or more goals in their last game, while the Kings have rebounded nicely off of allowing five or more goals in their last game, following up by going 7-1. I like this spot for the Kings and will back them in this one.
​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Booooj

20 units on Green Bay -3.5

 

[goldencontender]

Monday night college hoops play GC

On Monday night the college play is on College of Charleston. Game 721 at 7;00 eastern. COC IS 10-4 in the series and 24-8 vs losing teams. When installed as a road favorite from -3.5 to -6 they are 8-1 straight up and ats. UNC Greensboro has not fared well as a home dog in this range losing 8 of 9 times and failing to cover in 4 of the last 5 in that role. COC is off a nice win vs Davidson ad should get the job done tonight as a small favorite. in Late phone action I have a solid cutting edge Monday night football system that has cashed every time 100% since 1989 and a big college hoops blowout play. Those with me On Saturday and Sunday enjoyed another fine weekend as we smashed the books for a 6th straight week. Jump on tonight and start your week on the right side..Ill be in studio for the sports talk radio show at 8:00 eastern on 88.9 wsia.fm Take College of Charleston as the college play BOL GC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS
10*
Over Pack/Ravens

 

[brady1983]

Whoever bought Budin has tnights play free from the wknd debacle.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mti sports
4* gst/ok city over
from the nc line

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS HOT SHEET
Packers-3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gina's NBA Predictions

Monday, December 7th, 2009 9:00 p.m. est.
San Antonio Spurs (9-8) at Utah Jazz (11-8)
The Jazz have won and covered the spread in six of the last eight meetings versus the Spurs in Salt Lake City. Go with Utah at EnergySolutions Arena tonight to bounce back from an ugly lost to the sorry Timberwolves in Minnesota on Saturday. The home team in this series has won 12 of the last 14 meetings.
Utah Jazz -2

 

[JVu81]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

GREEN BAY PACKERS -3.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the home side:

Baltimore is coming off a 20-17 overtime win over Pittsburgh last Sunday, but has alternated wins and losses over their last five games.

I'm not reading too much into Baltimore's victory last week and believe it will struggle on the road in this hostile environment.

Keep in mind the Ravens are 2-4 SU their last six on the road and 2-4 ATS their last six vs. the Packers.

On the other side of the field: Green Bay (7-4) currently holds one of the wild-card spots in the NFC and looks for a fourth straight victory after a 34-12 Thanksgiving Day rout of Detroit.

Aaron Rodgers was 28 of 39 for 348 yards with a career-high-tying three TD's, Donald Driver caught seven passes for 142 yards with a TD and cornerback Charles Woodson had a sack, a forced fumble, a fumble recovery and two INT's - one returned for a TD; I believe this team is finally hitting its stride and will continue to build momentum.

Under coordinator Dom Capers’ 3-4 system, Green Bay allows an NFL-low 281.5 yards per game and has nine takeaways during the three-game winning streak.

Keep in mind Green Bay always plays tough at home; 5-2 SU its last seven overall and 5-2 SU its last seven at Lambeau.

Bottom line: Green Bay is 2-1 all-time versus the Ravens and won the last meeting 48-3 at Baltimore on Dec. 19, 2005; look for GREEN BAY to improve to 4-2 ATS in home games this season and for Baltimore to fall to a horrible 2-6 ATS this season when playing against a team with a winning record!

*10* PACKERS.[/FONT]

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MR A

Time Game Selections
7:00 PM Denver (15-5) at Philadelphia (5-15) Denver Nuggets -6½
7:30 PM Portland (13-8) at NY Knicks (6-15) Portland Trail Blazers -3½

 

[JVu81]

Marc Lawrence

GREEN BAY PACKERS -3

 

[JVu81]

Ron Raymond

Spurs/Jazz OVER 194

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]When UTAH team played as a Home team - Last 2 years - After a division game - Coming off a Road loss; the OVER is 7-3-0 for the L2Y in this role.

My ATS Calculator numbers has this total landing on 196.96.

Take the OVER.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Andre Gomes

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS +7

 

[JVu81]

Dwayne Bryant

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER -6.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Thunder is a very solid young team. They're coming off an 18-point home loss to Boston, so motivation should be high tonight. They lost ATS by 14 in that one, which brings up a solid situation for this team. There have been three times this season where OKC has lost ATS by double digits. They won and covered the next game all three times. This young, talented team knows how to bounce back and they will do it again tonight. OKC is also 3-1 SU & ATS as a home favorite this season.

If we look at Golden State's road statistics compared to OKC's home stats, then we see several edges for OKC. But the ones that really stand out for me are: 1) Golden State allows 51.3% shooting and 116.6 points per game on the road; and 2) OKC has a home rebounding margin of +3.2 boards per game, while Golden State owns a road rebounding margin of -8.1 boards per game.

The Thunder plays much better defense and should own the boards in this contest. And considering the fact that "defense" is not in Golden State's vocabulary, I expect the Thunder to bounce back tonight with a 12 to 15-point win. Lay the points with Oklahoma City.[/FONT]

 

[JVu81]

Evan Altemus

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER -7

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Oklahoma City is coming off of an embarrassing home loss to Boston, in a game that the played horribly. As a result, the Thunder will bring a strong effort in this game to make up for that performance. Golden State is still very banged up, and they have the worst defense in the league. That defense is absolutely abysmal on the road as well. Golden State’s head coach Don Nelson will also be absent for their road trip due to medical reasons. The Thunder have shown the ability to blowout weaker teams at home. They have recent blowout wins over Milwaukee, Philadelphia, and Washington. The Thunder are able to dominate these weaker teams but tend to struggle against better competition. The Warriors are coming off three straight games against quality opponents, so it is unlikely that they’ll get up for this game. Look for Oklahoma City to win this game by margin.

3 UNIT SELECTION THUNDER.[/FONT]

 

[Anthonyd4]

John Ryan 15*

Over pack/Ravens