Service Plays Monday 12/07/09

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DCI
Season: 143-100 (.588)

New Jersey vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Atlanta vs. TORONTO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Philadelphia vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PITTSBURGH 4, Carolina 2
Washington vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
FLORIDA 4, Edmonton 3
ST. LOUIS 4, Colorado 3
PHOENIX 3, Minnesota 2
Calgary vs. LOS ANGELES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 
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DCI
Season
Straight Up: 206-74 (.736)
ATS: 167-126 (.570)

Denver 106, PHILADELPHIA 100
Portland 104, NEW YORK 100
OKLAHOMA CITY 113, Golden State 107
UTAH 100, San Antonio 95
 
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DCI
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
Siena 73, IONA 63
Southern Conference
College of Charleston 76, UNC GREENSBORO 69
WOFFORD 79, Appalachian State 70
Non-Conference
ARKANSAS 76, Delaware State 60
Army 67, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 56
AUBURN 74, Virginia 67
BRADLEY 71, Western Carolina 62
Marshall 67, BINGHAMTON 65
Michigan State 76, THE CITADEL 58
PROVIDENCE 89, Brown 68
SETON HALL 87, Massachusetts 71
SMU 80, Texas State 75
TEXAS 84, Long Beach State 60
TEXAS A&M 84, North Texas 68
UT SAN ANTONIO 79, Texas-Pan American 59
Vermont 70, YALE 62
 
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DUNKEL
Colorado at St. Louis

The Avalanche look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 3-8 in its last 11 home games. Colorado is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 7
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: New Jersey at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.608; Buffalo 11.495
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+125); Under

Game 53-54: Atlanta at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.717; Toronto 11.274
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Under

Game 55-56: Washington at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.337; Tampa Bay 12.492
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+125); Over

Game 57-58: Carolina at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.960; Pittsburgh 11.848
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 59-60: Philadelphia at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.848; Montreal 11.205
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-110); Over

Game 61-62: Edmonton at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.859; Florida 11.415
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+115); Over

Game 63-64: Colorado at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.226; St. Louis 11.978
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Under

Game 65-66: Minnesota at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.990; Phoenix 12.129
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-135); Under

Game 67-68: Calgary at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 12.662; Los Angeles 12.791
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-110); Under
 
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DUNKEL
Golden State at Oklahoma City

The Warriors look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games as an underdog. Golden State is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by only 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+7). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 7
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Denver at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.241; Philadelphia 116.293
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4; 212
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 703-704: Portland at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 119.362; New York 112.960
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 6 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 4; 203
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-4); Over

Game 705-706: Golden State at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 114.156; Oklahoma City 117.880
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 229
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 222
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+7); Over

Game 707-708: San Antonio at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 122.279; Utah 120.046
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2); Under
 
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Craig Davis Monday's Lineup

30 Dime --- Ravens-Packers OVER

Forget the side (though I favor the Packers) folks, the best play on the board tonight is the total... and I like it over. Public perception is that we have two of the best defenses in the league facing off on cold night at Lambeau, and 43 points is simply too high. I disagree. I think we have two very dynamic offenses who have "big play" potential every time they are on offense, and it won't matter how good the opposing defense seems to be.

Yes, I agree, defense wins championships, but this isn't a championship game. And if you paid any attention to Monday night games this year, you've seen a ton of high scoring affairs. Aside from a few games here and there, Monday night scores have averaged in the neighborhood of 47 points per game... which puts us over the total by at least a field goal tonight.

Green Bay has Aaron Rodgers, Donald Driver, Greg Jennings, James Jones, Jermichael Finley and a few others at coach McCarthy's disposal... and those guys have averaged 27 PPG over their last three and 27 PPG for the season, so it's not like they've just recently started scoring points. They can score at any spot on the field, they can score with their defense and they clearly know how to change turnovers into points, whether the defense scores themselves or sets the offense up in good field position.

Baltimore can score in bunches as well, and since they've been kinda quietly offensively lately, you gotta believe the general public is thinking UNDER all the way. But a look at this offense from earlier in the season sees a team that scored 30 or more points in five of their first seven games, including games with San Diego, Minnesota and Denver.

The OVER is 8-2 in Baltimore's last 10 Monday games and 8-2 in their last 10 as a dog. In Green Bay's last 19 home games, the OVER has hit 13 times and it's hit 18 of the last 25 Packers' games when they are listed as the favorite. Sure, there's a small chance the defenses will come to play, but I believe both teams are desperate for a win and will try to light a fire under the offenses' butts on each and every possession. This one could be OVER the number by halftime, so you can understand why I like the over in tonight's contest. Final score is somewhere around 27-24, which puts us easily over the total tonight.
 

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sportsbetsnow 36-20 L30D

NFL

2 units Ravens +3.5

NBA

2 units Trailblazers -4
 
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Rated Picks

CBB 12/07 Siena at Iona pick: Siena pts: -4.5 5 units
CBB 12/07 Western Carolina at Bradley pick: Western Carolina pts: +7.5 2 units

NFL 12/07 Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers pick: Baltimore Ravens pts: +3.5 2 units

NHL 12/07 Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning pick: Washington Capitals pts: -140 2 units
NHL 12/07 Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers pick: Florida Panthers pts: -110 2 units

NBA 12/07 San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz pick: Utah Jazz pts: -1.5 2 units
 
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National Sports Service

4* Green Bay -3.5 over Baltimore (NFL)

3* Portland -4 over N.Y. Knicks (NBA)

3* Auburn -4 over Virginia (NCAAB)
 
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Doc's

4 Unit Play. #716 Take Auburn over Virginia (8 pm CSS)

3-Unit Play #703 Take Portland/New York OVER (7:30 p.m. EST, Monday)
 
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Randall the Handle

Atlanta –1.05 over TORONTO Pinnacle
Proving the adage that there's no better deodorant that winning, the Leafs have erased most of the negative feelings of their brutal start over the past few games and seem to have a new energy about them. However, a few wins doesn’t mean the Leafs are devoid of problems and there’s a couple worth pointing out here. First, and this always comes up when discussing the Leafs, there’s the goaltending, where Joey Macdonald, Vesa Toskala or Jonas Gustavsson has not shown any consistency whatsoever. All three can’t be trusted. Secondly, the Leafs home record is the worst in the NHL. Toronto has just two home wins in 13 games. The problem here for the Leafs in relation to the aforementioned is that the Thrashers have been wickedly good on the road with nine wins in 12 games. Furthermore, Atlanta has one of the most potent attacks in the game and those two things combined make this a very challenging assignment for the Maple Leafs. Play: Atlanta –1.05 (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).

Minnesota +1.25 over PHOENIX Pinnacle
Two hot teams go at it here. The Wild have reeled off five in a row while the Coyotes have won four straight. The difference is that the Wild are taking back a tag and they’re scoring at an eye-opening rate. In fact, Minnesota has scored five goals in each of the past three games and in four of its past five games. They’ve badly outplayed some decent teams and included in their current run is two straight wins over the then red-hot Predators. They scored five times in both those wins over that stingy defense in Nashville. Bottom line is you just can’t ignore a price on the Wild when you consider what they’ve accomplished recently. They’re definitely feeling it right now. Play: Minnesota +1.25 (Risking 2 units).


NFL
GREEN BAY –3½ over Baltimore Pinnacle
This game will most definitely have an impact on the playoff race, as both teams are in a position to make it and both will decide its on fate based on the last five games. What’s interesting here is that the Pack last played on Thanksgiving Thursday and thus, they’ve had an extra four days off. So, let’s have a look at the teams that played on Thanksgiving Thursday and had the extra time off. In the first Thanksgiving game the Packers went into Detroit. Yesterday, the Lions covered in Cincinnati. The second game featured Oakland playing in Dallas and the Raiders won outright as a 14½-point pooch. Dallas lost in New York but the Giants also played on Thanksgiving, in Denver, so that one is a wash. As for the Broncos, well they torched the Chiefs in what might’ve been the most lopsided game of the day. Thus, all teams that played with the extra rest this late in the year all showed up yesterday with great results. Also consider that the Ravens played last Sunday night in a prime time match-up against its biggest rival, the Steelers, and won in OT. That was a huge and emotional win and that makes this assignment even more difficult. Man for man, these two are pretty damn close but the Packers are at home, they’re much more rested and they’ll feature the best QB on the field here. Oh, by the way, the Ravens once feared defense is no longer feared at all. Play: Green Bay –3½ (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).
 
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John Morrison's pick(s) for December 7 2009

Green Bay -3.5 This game is against Baltimore at 8:41 PM ET

Golden State +7 This game is against Oklahoma City 8:00 PM ET

Virginia +4.5 This game is against Auburn at 8:00 PM ET
 
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Wunderdog Horse Selections:

FAIR GROUNDS Race #2 at 1:55 PM Eastern

Top pick: #8 (PRETTY DRINK) - Colt won easily as the favorite last out and was claimed by Tom Amoss for $15,000. New barn is great off the claim (29%) and turns him around quickly raising him slightly for his first start vs. winers. The top pick.​
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2nd pick: #7 (Dynamic Time) - Speedy gelding drops into a claimer after showing some speed last out in an allowance in his first start in two months. Looks set for a top try.​
3rd pick: #6 (Woodrow Call) - Hails from the always dangerous barn of "Bret" Calhoun. Gelding has been freshened-up for the past 75 days after facing some tough "open" competition in his last pair. Drops into a claimer for the first time and moves back in with fellow "Cajun" breds.​
4th pick: #5 (Justintime) - Sharp maiden win over at Delta Downs almost a month ago and that win continued his improving performance line. Good barn (Sam Breaux)and gelding can contend today.​
 
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DAVID BANKS

MONDAY DECEMBER 7 2009

NFL
8:30 Green Bay Packers -Pts
Over

NBA
7:30 Portland Trailblazers -Pts
9:00 Utah Jazz -Pts

NCAABB
9:00 Texas -Pts
 
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R. Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take #725 Siena (-4.5) over Iona (7:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 7)


1-Unit Play. Take #713 North Texas (+13) over Texas A&M (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 7)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #717 Long Beach State (+21.5) over Texas (9 p.m., Monday, Dec. 7)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #713 North Texas (+18) over Texas A&M (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 7) AND Take #727 Western Carolina (+12.5) over Bradley (8 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #727 Western Carolina (+12.5) over Bradley (8 p.m.) AND Take #711 Brown (+24.5) over Providence (7 p.m.)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #713 North Texas (+18) over Texas A&M (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 7) AND Take #725 Siena (+0.5) over Iona (7:30 p.m., Monday, Dec. 7)
 
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Brandon Lang Monday selections......

25 DIME - BALTIMORE RAVENS - (If line is 3 you buy the 12 and get 3 1/2) - I am going to war with the Ravens tonight.



When the Green Bay Packers have been asked to step up and play against the best of the best in the NFL, they have failed miserably.



In their 4 games versus winning teams this year they lost to the Bengals, the Vikings twice and beat the Cowboys, who after their latest implosion at New York, you can throw that win out the window.



The bottom line is the Packers haven't beaten anybody, and I am talking about all year long.



This is a Ravens team playing for their life. Playing for their season and getting more than a field goal in what I feel will be at worst a field goal game is the only way to go in this game.



You get to this point in the season and strength of your schedule means a ton and the Ravens have clearly played a much tougher schedule and that my friends will be the difference.



The Packers have one major problem and it's a problem they have had all year long and it's sacks allowed, 44 and counting which leads the NFL.



Now against a blitzing team like the Ravens against a QB who holds the ball two long it all adds up to a recipe for disaster.



I backed the Packers against the Vikings and lost on Monday night. I backed the Packers at home at Lambeau against the Vikings and lost. They have failed miserably against quality opponents this year.



Anytime you can get this Ravens team +3 or better, you have to take it because it hasn't happened often, and when it does they normally get the money.



They were +3 at Minnesota this year and lost by 2 in a game they should have won but their old kicker couldn't convert from inside 40 yards for the win.



The bottom line is if you look at the Ravens 5 losses this year, you will see just what quality football they have played.



Lost by 6 at New England, 3 at home to Cincinnati, 2 at Minnesota, 10 at Cincinnati and 2 at home to Indy.



This is a very hard football team to blow out let alone cover against and asking the Packers to cover a 3 1/2 number based on their easy schedule not only the last few weeks but for the year is asking too much.



I will go to war with the better team, from the stronger conference, catching more than a field goal, playing for their season.



FREE SELECTION - SETON HALL (see daily video for analysis)
 

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