SPORTS WAGERS
NEW ORLEANS –2 over New England Stats are misleading, there’s no doubt about that and that’s why you rarely, if ever, see me mention a specific teams’ stats. Thus, you might read about how the Patriots defense ranks right up there with the best in the league and all I can say to that is, “very big deal”. What is a big deal is whom they’ve played thus far so let’s have a look at that “top-ranked” defense. In week one they played Buffalo followed by games against the Jets, Atlanta, Baltimore, Denver, Tennessee (when Kerry Collins was at QB), Tampa Bay, Miami, Indy and the Jets again. In other words, they’ve faced one prolific or efficient offense, the Colts, and they allowed 35 points. The other teams they’ve faced are among the leagues worst in total yards gained. The Pats stats were especially skewed after playing Tampa (35-7) and Tennessee (59-0). So, if you think this defense is good, think again because they’re not good at all. They’re old, they give up big plays, not to mention a ton of yards, and they’re going to get shredded tonight. There’s not a thing Bill Belichick will be able to do about it except go for it on fourth down at his own 28 yard-line (even though that was the right move). Tom Brady and the Patriots will get their points, make no mistake about that, as the Saints defense can’t stop the marching band at times, but this one is all about the Saints at home and their wickedly potent offense that cannot be stopped by such a mediocre group. The Patriots have played in a ton of big games and a ton of prime time games over the past few years so this is nothing new for them. The Saints have not played in many big games at all over the years but this one is going to have the city, fans and stadium in an absolute frenzy and thus, anytime we can lay less than a field goal on this juggernaut of a team, at home, you can pencil me in. Furthermore, the money has been coming in on the Patriots since this line came out and not only is that surprising but it’s a giant red flag too. Play: New Orleans –2 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
NEW ORLEANS –2 over New England Stats are misleading, there’s no doubt about that and that’s why you rarely, if ever, see me mention a specific teams’ stats. Thus, you might read about how the Patriots defense ranks right up there with the best in the league and all I can say to that is, “very big deal”. What is a big deal is whom they’ve played thus far so let’s have a look at that “top-ranked” defense. In week one they played Buffalo followed by games against the Jets, Atlanta, Baltimore, Denver, Tennessee (when Kerry Collins was at QB), Tampa Bay, Miami, Indy and the Jets again. In other words, they’ve faced one prolific or efficient offense, the Colts, and they allowed 35 points. The other teams they’ve faced are among the leagues worst in total yards gained. The Pats stats were especially skewed after playing Tampa (35-7) and Tennessee (59-0). So, if you think this defense is good, think again because they’re not good at all. They’re old, they give up big plays, not to mention a ton of yards, and they’re going to get shredded tonight. There’s not a thing Bill Belichick will be able to do about it except go for it on fourth down at his own 28 yard-line (even though that was the right move). Tom Brady and the Patriots will get their points, make no mistake about that, as the Saints defense can’t stop the marching band at times, but this one is all about the Saints at home and their wickedly potent offense that cannot be stopped by such a mediocre group. The Patriots have played in a ton of big games and a ton of prime time games over the past few years so this is nothing new for them. The Saints have not played in many big games at all over the years but this one is going to have the city, fans and stadium in an absolute frenzy and thus, anytime we can lay less than a field goal on this juggernaut of a team, at home, you can pencil me in. Furthermore, the money has been coming in on the Patriots since this line came out and not only is that surprising but it’s a giant red flag too. Play: New Orleans –2 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).
ADDED PLAY
RANDALL THE HANDLE
GOLDEN STATE –2½ over Indiana
The Pacers have one win in its last six games and that includes a home-loss to the Knicks. Its last two wins have come against the Clip Joint and the 0-17 Nets. The Pacers last three losses have been by 21, 12 and 16 points respectively, to the Mav’s, Raps and Bobcats. Danny Granger, the real threat on that team is playing with a bum knee and when he’s limited so are the Pacers, big time. Meanwhile, the Warriors last six opponents have been Cleveland, Boston, Portland, Dallas, San Antonio and the Lakers, arguable the top six teams in the Association. That is an incredibly tough stretch of games, yet the Warriors still won two of the six and lost one other by six points. The Warriors will be taking a gigantic step down in class here and after playing that group of six, this one should appear in slow motion for them. Play: Golden State –2½ (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).
RANDALL THE HANDLE
GOLDEN STATE –2½ over Indiana
The Pacers have one win in its last six games and that includes a home-loss to the Knicks. Its last two wins have come against the Clip Joint and the 0-17 Nets. The Pacers last three losses have been by 21, 12 and 16 points respectively, to the Mav’s, Raps and Bobcats. Danny Granger, the real threat on that team is playing with a bum knee and when he’s limited so are the Pacers, big time. Meanwhile, the Warriors last six opponents have been Cleveland, Boston, Portland, Dallas, San Antonio and the Lakers, arguable the top six teams in the Association. That is an incredibly tough stretch of games, yet the Warriors still won two of the six and lost one other by six points. The Warriors will be taking a gigantic step down in class here and after playing that group of six, this one should appear in slow motion for them. Play: Golden State –2½ (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).
RATED PICKS
NFL 11/30 New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints pick: New England Patriots pts: +1.5 2 units
NBA 11/30 Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks pick: Milwaukee Bucks pts: -2.5 2 units
NBA 11/30 Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz pick: Utah Jazz pts: -10 2 units
NBA 11/30 Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors pick: Golden State Warriors pts: -2 5 units
CBB 11/30 Penn State at Virginia pick: Virginia pts: -5.5 2 units
CBB 11/30 Florida Int at Bowling Green pick: Bowling Green pts: -10.5 2 units
CBB 11/30 Canisius at Eastern Michigan pick: Canisius pts: +4.5 2 units
NFL 11/30 New England Patriots at New Orleans Saints pick: New England Patriots pts: +1.5 2 units
NBA 11/30 Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks pick: Milwaukee Bucks pts: -2.5 2 units
NBA 11/30 Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz pick: Utah Jazz pts: -10 2 units
NBA 11/30 Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors pick: Golden State Warriors pts: -2 5 units
CBB 11/30 Penn State at Virginia pick: Virginia pts: -5.5 2 units
CBB 11/30 Florida Int at Bowling Green pick: Bowling Green pts: -10.5 2 units
CBB 11/30 Canisius at Eastern Michigan pick: Canisius pts: +4.5 2 units
Kb hoops and Pitbull
Im done capping the NFL for the year until playoffs. Im just going to stick with hoops and College football. Pitbulls has a play for tonights Pats/Saints game and watch out for his 20 unit NBA plays as well, he is killing it. Lets have a huge night, Mondays final card is below
KB
5* Utah Jazz -9.5 **POD**
5* Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 196
5* Penn State +6
Pitbulls
College Hoops (37-31 +22.25 units)
20 units St. Marys -4.5
NBA (39-31 +115.75 units)
20 units Milwaukee Under 196 (21-10 on 20 unit NBA plays)
NFL (47-39 +51 units)
15 units Saints ML -130
Im done capping the NFL for the year until playoffs. Im just going to stick with hoops and College football. Pitbulls has a play for tonights Pats/Saints game and watch out for his 20 unit NBA plays as well, he is killing it. Lets have a huge night, Mondays final card is below
KB
5* Utah Jazz -9.5 **POD**
5* Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 196
5* Penn State +6
Pitbulls
College Hoops (37-31 +22.25 units)
20 units St. Marys -4.5
NBA (39-31 +115.75 units)
20 units Milwaukee Under 196 (21-10 on 20 unit NBA plays)
NFL (47-39 +51 units)
15 units Saints ML -130
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]These two teams have been dissected to death; their strengths and weaknesses poured over by the Nations "top minds"; for a number of different reasons I believe the Saints will remain unbeaten as they take care of the Patriots in front of the New Orleans faithful:
"They are good at everything," Patriots head coach Bill Belichick said. "They don't make many mistakes. They cause a lot of problems. They're very explosive. They can put up a lot of points in a hurry and they have. It's hard to give them any more compliments than that."
The Patriots offensive line is banged up.
New England has had its hands full with the Saints over the last few years, no matter the location; 1-6 ATS its last seven vs. New Orleans.
On the other side of the field: The Saints average 36.9 ppg; 12 different players have scored TD's.
Running backs Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell have rushed for more than 500 yards apiece, while Bush has scored five TDs and is averaging 5.0 yards per carry as a change-of-pace option.
The Saints always play tough at home; 7-3 ATS their last 10 at the Superdome.
Bottom line: If you give Brady the time to throw, he'll beat you; look for the Saints to apply immense pressure and making getting into the backfield a top priority.
Let's be honest, these teams are evenly matched in every category, but there are two overriding factors in this game that tip the scale for me:
I feel that Drew Brees and company are simply the hungrier man/team, and also believe that home field advantage and the raucous New Orleans fans can't be overlooked in this case.
New Orleans already had one statement game this season vs the the Giants (48-27/10.18.09) and absolutely crushed them and they will be up to the task one more time as Brees continues his assault on the leagues offensive stats and his mission to get the respect he feels he deserves (and rightly so); look for the SAINTS to move to 8-3 ATS this year as a favorite and for the Patriots to fall to 1-3 ATS their last four on the road!
*10* SAINTS.[/FONT]
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]These two teams have been dissected to death; their strengths and weaknesses poured over by the Nations "top minds"; for a number of different reasons I believe the Saints will remain unbeaten as they take care of the Patriots in front of the New Orleans faithful:
"They are good at everything," Patriots head coach Bill Belichick said. "They don't make many mistakes. They cause a lot of problems. They're very explosive. They can put up a lot of points in a hurry and they have. It's hard to give them any more compliments than that."
The Patriots offensive line is banged up.
New England has had its hands full with the Saints over the last few years, no matter the location; 1-6 ATS its last seven vs. New Orleans.
On the other side of the field: The Saints average 36.9 ppg; 12 different players have scored TD's.
Running backs Pierre Thomas and Mike Bell have rushed for more than 500 yards apiece, while Bush has scored five TDs and is averaging 5.0 yards per carry as a change-of-pace option.
The Saints always play tough at home; 7-3 ATS their last 10 at the Superdome.
Bottom line: If you give Brady the time to throw, he'll beat you; look for the Saints to apply immense pressure and making getting into the backfield a top priority.
Let's be honest, these teams are evenly matched in every category, but there are two overriding factors in this game that tip the scale for me:
I feel that Drew Brees and company are simply the hungrier man/team, and also believe that home field advantage and the raucous New Orleans fans can't be overlooked in this case.
New Orleans already had one statement game this season vs the the Giants (48-27/10.18.09) and absolutely crushed them and they will be up to the task one more time as Brees continues his assault on the leagues offensive stats and his mission to get the respect he feels he deserves (and rightly so); look for the SAINTS to move to 8-3 ATS this year as a favorite and for the Patriots to fall to 1-3 ATS their last four on the road!
*10* SAINTS.[/FONT]
Marc Lawrence
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +2.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The big game of the week in the NFL kicks off under the Monday night lights when undefeated New Orleans host New England in what many perceive to be a possible Super Bowl preview. It’s been our contention all month long that the Saints have been a balloon prick away from bursting. Last week Tampa wasn’t able to muster enough of a threat to expose New Orleans but a look back at the Saints’ previous four contests found them sweating bullets. In those games New Orleans trailed Miami, 24-20, at the half. They then held off Atlanta in an eight-point squeaker. In addition, they were down 11 at the half against Carolina before rallying and then withstood a pass into the end zone on the final play of the game to hold off St. Louis. Not a desired worksheet for a team looking to remain perfect while holding off Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. In case you hadn’t heard, Belichick is 8-1 ATS in his head coaching career as a dog against undefeated opponents, including 6-0 ATS away. In addition, Brady is 25-10-1 ATS in games in which has is not favored, including 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS away versus an .818 or greater opponent. In addition, the Patriots are 25-2 SU in its last 27 games against NFC opposition, including 12-0 SU and 11-0-1 ATS versus .400 or greater opposition. It all adds up to the end of New Orleans magical run. Take the points with the Pats. We recommend a 3-unit play on New England. [/FONT]
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +2.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The big game of the week in the NFL kicks off under the Monday night lights when undefeated New Orleans host New England in what many perceive to be a possible Super Bowl preview. It’s been our contention all month long that the Saints have been a balloon prick away from bursting. Last week Tampa wasn’t able to muster enough of a threat to expose New Orleans but a look back at the Saints’ previous four contests found them sweating bullets. In those games New Orleans trailed Miami, 24-20, at the half. They then held off Atlanta in an eight-point squeaker. In addition, they were down 11 at the half against Carolina before rallying and then withstood a pass into the end zone on the final play of the game to hold off St. Louis. Not a desired worksheet for a team looking to remain perfect while holding off Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. In case you hadn’t heard, Belichick is 8-1 ATS in his head coaching career as a dog against undefeated opponents, including 6-0 ATS away. In addition, Brady is 25-10-1 ATS in games in which has is not favored, including 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS away versus an .818 or greater opponent. In addition, the Patriots are 25-2 SU in its last 27 games against NFC opposition, including 12-0 SU and 11-0-1 ATS versus .400 or greater opposition. It all adds up to the end of New Orleans magical run. Take the points with the Pats. We recommend a 3-unit play on New England. [/FONT]
Ron Raymond
76ers/Mavericks UNDER 200
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]When DALLAS played as a home team - During Last 5 Years - With 3 Over or Less - Lost Last Game by 16 Points or Less - With SU Record of 2 Win 1 Lost in L3G; the UNDER is 9-3-0 for the Mavericks in this cycle the last 5 seasons. Take the Under.[/FONT]
76ers/Mavericks UNDER 200
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]When DALLAS played as a home team - During Last 5 Years - With 3 Over or Less - Lost Last Game by 16 Points or Less - With SU Record of 2 Win 1 Lost in L3G; the UNDER is 9-3-0 for the Mavericks in this cycle the last 5 seasons. Take the Under.[/FONT]
Tony George
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]All 3 losses of the Pats have been on the road. That is HUGE. The Colts beat them without a running game, and the running game is HUGE for the Saints in this game. All the talk about Brees and Brady is for the birds, it is defense and running the ball that will win it. Yes both QB will throw the hell out of it, but at days end in the red zone running the ball and screen passes favor the Saints who are world beaters at home.
Play 1 Unit on New Orleans.[/FONT]
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]All 3 losses of the Pats have been on the road. That is HUGE. The Colts beat them without a running game, and the running game is HUGE for the Saints in this game. All the talk about Brees and Brady is for the birds, it is defense and running the ball that will win it. Yes both QB will throw the hell out of it, but at days end in the red zone running the ball and screen passes favor the Saints who are world beaters at home.
Play 1 Unit on New Orleans.[/FONT]
Rob Homyak
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Play ON NEW ORLEANS against the spread in All games in non-conference games
The record is 7 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+7.00 units)
Play ON NEW ORLEANS against the spread in All games as a favorite
The record is 13 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+8.60 units)
The New Orleans Saints are 5-0 at home this season, and against 3-0 AFC opponents.
At home the Saints are averaging 36.4 scoring, and holding teams to 22.2 points scored on defense.
The New England Patriots are 1-3 while on the road this season.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 12.
Patriots are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
3 Units on New Orleans.[/FONT]
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Play ON NEW ORLEANS against the spread in All games in non-conference games
The record is 7 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+7.00 units)
Play ON NEW ORLEANS against the spread in All games as a favorite
The record is 13 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+8.60 units)
The New Orleans Saints are 5-0 at home this season, and against 3-0 AFC opponents.
At home the Saints are averaging 36.4 scoring, and holding teams to 22.2 points scored on defense.
The New England Patriots are 1-3 while on the road this season.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Patriots are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 12.
Patriots are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
3 Units on New Orleans.[/FONT]
Andre Gomes
UTAH JAZZ -10
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Memphis Grizzlies had yesterday an incredible letdown in the fourth quarter against the Clippers by being outscored 7-33 in just 12 minutes of basketball. In my opinion, that ridiculous run happened due to fatigue of their best players. Note that the Grizzlies were outscored by 40-54 in the paint and that was surprising, because they lead the league in that department averaging 51.1 points in the paint per game. They are also one of the best teams in the league in fast break points and they were outplayed as well by the Clippers in that department by 12-22. Finally they were clearly outrebounded by 30-47 with 17-6 edge for the Clippers in offensive boards. These three factors are a good measure of the effort of the teams and we can make the conclusion that the Grizzlies were dead tired at the end of the game.
They were coming from a huge win in Portland in a late night game (10:00PM) and yesterday's contest in LA was an early game (03:30 PM), so I wasn't completely surprised of such letdown. Let’s not forget that the Grizzlies have a short roster, in which they absolutely depend on just 4 players: Mayo, Gay, Randolph and Gasol! These 4 players are receiving at least 72% each of the team's total minutes and when they're tired, the Grizzlies simply can’t be competitive! I remember that yesterday Gasol and Mayo played 42 minutes, while Randolph and Gay played 40 minutes! The last time the Grizzlies had a back to back game in a tough spot, they were spanked by 79-104 in Houston!
The worst scenario for them is to play today the second game of a back to back series, especially against a team like the Jazz! We all know that the Jazz have a strong home court and they are in a pretty favorable spot, as they are in the middle of a span full of home games. In their last game, they spanked their divisional rivals Portland by 108-92 and after this contest, their next game is only next Friday, so we are dealing with a team who will be focused tonight. Last season, after a Jazz home win by double digits points and with a least one day to rest, they went 6-1 ATS in their next game at home. I expect a rested Jazz to run out of the building the tired Grizzlies for a comfortable double digits win and that’s why I’m taking the Jazz in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 506 Utah Jazz (-10)[/FONT]
UTAH JAZZ -10
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Memphis Grizzlies had yesterday an incredible letdown in the fourth quarter against the Clippers by being outscored 7-33 in just 12 minutes of basketball. In my opinion, that ridiculous run happened due to fatigue of their best players. Note that the Grizzlies were outscored by 40-54 in the paint and that was surprising, because they lead the league in that department averaging 51.1 points in the paint per game. They are also one of the best teams in the league in fast break points and they were outplayed as well by the Clippers in that department by 12-22. Finally they were clearly outrebounded by 30-47 with 17-6 edge for the Clippers in offensive boards. These three factors are a good measure of the effort of the teams and we can make the conclusion that the Grizzlies were dead tired at the end of the game.
They were coming from a huge win in Portland in a late night game (10:00PM) and yesterday's contest in LA was an early game (03:30 PM), so I wasn't completely surprised of such letdown. Let’s not forget that the Grizzlies have a short roster, in which they absolutely depend on just 4 players: Mayo, Gay, Randolph and Gasol! These 4 players are receiving at least 72% each of the team's total minutes and when they're tired, the Grizzlies simply can’t be competitive! I remember that yesterday Gasol and Mayo played 42 minutes, while Randolph and Gay played 40 minutes! The last time the Grizzlies had a back to back game in a tough spot, they were spanked by 79-104 in Houston!
The worst scenario for them is to play today the second game of a back to back series, especially against a team like the Jazz! We all know that the Jazz have a strong home court and they are in a pretty favorable spot, as they are in the middle of a span full of home games. In their last game, they spanked their divisional rivals Portland by 108-92 and after this contest, their next game is only next Friday, so we are dealing with a team who will be focused tonight. Last season, after a Jazz home win by double digits points and with a least one day to rest, they went 6-1 ATS in their next game at home. I expect a rested Jazz to run out of the building the tired Grizzlies for a comfortable double digits win and that’s why I’m taking the Jazz in here.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 506 Utah Jazz (-10)[/FONT]
Bob Balfe
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]One paper the Patriots have more talent, especially on defense. There is one single factor that leads me to pick the Saints and that is the offensive and defensive line injuries for New England. This offensive line in particular is so banged up that Brady will not have his usual time to get rid of the ball. Timing is everything in the NFL and if you do not have time or are not confident in the guys in front of you then it will hurt your overall game. The Saints have their own defensive injuries, but slowly are starting to get healthier. The fact the Saints are still undefeated and overcame so many obstacle proves they have great depth on defense. New Orleans puts pressure on the offense which is why they have so many interceptions this season. This Superdome will be as loud as it gets tonight Forget about all the superstars on both sides of the ball. The key factor in tonight‘s game will be the men in the trenches. The Saints have a huge advantage in that department. Take the Saints.[/FONT]
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]One paper the Patriots have more talent, especially on defense. There is one single factor that leads me to pick the Saints and that is the offensive and defensive line injuries for New England. This offensive line in particular is so banged up that Brady will not have his usual time to get rid of the ball. Timing is everything in the NFL and if you do not have time or are not confident in the guys in front of you then it will hurt your overall game. The Saints have their own defensive injuries, but slowly are starting to get healthier. The fact the Saints are still undefeated and overcame so many obstacle proves they have great depth on defense. New Orleans puts pressure on the offense which is why they have so many interceptions this season. This Superdome will be as loud as it gets tonight Forget about all the superstars on both sides of the ball. The key factor in tonight‘s game will be the men in the trenches. The Saints have a huge advantage in that department. Take the Saints.[/FONT]
GoodFella
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]New Orleans hosts the Patriots Monday Night in the Superdome, and the Superdome was already the LOUDEST play to playa in for opponents, but it will be at a ALL-TIME high tonight, on the noise level. The place will be rocking and beyone loud, a definite edge for the hometown Saints. N.O has more weapons including two solid running backs (Thomas and Bell) plus Reggie Bush to exploit the outside. N.O also has better defense in my opinion, and New England is NOT great at stopping the run. New England has a average run game at best, and the Saints should shut down any run game & be able to key in on the New England passing game, which is one of the best in the game. I really like the edge in running the ball here,as New Orleans ranks 5th in the leage in running the rock and averages 155 ypg and 4.8 YPC. New Orleans success in the run game, will set up play action and I look for Shockey to have a big game for the Saints tonight as well. What most people are not aware of is how good the Saints "D" has been this season. New Orleans leads the NFL in takeaways, with 29! I really like the Saints at home in this spot and definitely expect them to come away with the HOME WIN and stay undefeated tonight. Take the Saints.[/FONT]
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -1.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]New Orleans hosts the Patriots Monday Night in the Superdome, and the Superdome was already the LOUDEST play to playa in for opponents, but it will be at a ALL-TIME high tonight, on the noise level. The place will be rocking and beyone loud, a definite edge for the hometown Saints. N.O has more weapons including two solid running backs (Thomas and Bell) plus Reggie Bush to exploit the outside. N.O also has better defense in my opinion, and New England is NOT great at stopping the run. New England has a average run game at best, and the Saints should shut down any run game & be able to key in on the New England passing game, which is one of the best in the game. I really like the edge in running the ball here,as New Orleans ranks 5th in the leage in running the rock and averages 155 ypg and 4.8 YPC. New Orleans success in the run game, will set up play action and I look for Shockey to have a big game for the Saints tonight as well. What most people are not aware of is how good the Saints "D" has been this season. New Orleans leads the NFL in takeaways, with 29! I really like the Saints at home in this spot and definitely expect them to come away with the HOME WIN and stay undefeated tonight. Take the Saints.[/FONT]
Lenny Del Genio
CHICAGO BULLS +3
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Something has got to give here as both teams come in riding four-game losing streaks. For the Bulls, this is the finale of what is already to be a guaranteed losing six-game road swing and they have left their backers broke with four-straight non-covers. However, all four losses came against Western Conference powers, which is why the results were so lopsided. There are still some positive things going on with this team, including F Noah, who ranks near the top of the league in rebounding. Milwaukee got off to a hot start, but an injury to Andrew Bogut and opponents ability to defend rookie Jennings have made that a thing of the past. Chicago beat the Bucks early in the season back when Milwaukee was playing much better. The Bucks are just 3-11 ATS when seeking revenge for a loss by three or less. Chicago has to reverse a trend that has seen them go 0-9 ATS this year if they were an underdog in their previous game. Chicago is our 20* Central Division Game of the Month. [/FONT]
CHICAGO BULLS +3
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Something has got to give here as both teams come in riding four-game losing streaks. For the Bulls, this is the finale of what is already to be a guaranteed losing six-game road swing and they have left their backers broke with four-straight non-covers. However, all four losses came against Western Conference powers, which is why the results were so lopsided. There are still some positive things going on with this team, including F Noah, who ranks near the top of the league in rebounding. Milwaukee got off to a hot start, but an injury to Andrew Bogut and opponents ability to defend rookie Jennings have made that a thing of the past. Chicago beat the Bucks early in the season back when Milwaukee was playing much better. The Bucks are just 3-11 ATS when seeking revenge for a loss by three or less. Chicago has to reverse a trend that has seen them go 0-9 ATS this year if they were an underdog in their previous game. Chicago is our 20* Central Division Game of the Month. [/FONT]
