jeff benton
Jeff Benton
Monday's Action
20 Dime NFL release on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS minus the points at Arizona. The Niners are laying around 1 ½ points both here in Vegas and offshore, with the line as high as minus-2 in a couple of plaoces and as low as minus-1. I doubt Arizona will attract much money in this contest, meaning the pointspread only figuees to go up from here, so wager accordingly.
49ERS
Here’s how bad things are in Arizona: The Cardinals are a home underdog tonight to a team that’s got an identical 3-7 record, is coming off a 21-0 home loss and is winless in four road games (1-3 ATS), including giving Carolina its only victory of the season.
So why side with San Francisco tonight? Because at least the Niners have shown some signs of life lately. Yes, they got spanked by Tampa Bay last Sunday, producing just a 189 yards of total offense with supposed elusive QB Troy Smith getting sacked six times. However, prior to that ugly effort, San Francisco had won two in a row and three of four, with the offense putting up a respectable 23, 24 and 20 points in three straight outings.
On the flip side, it’s been all downhill for Arizona, which has lost five straight games (1-4 ATS), including blowout losses to the Seahawks twice (22-10 and 36-18) and Chiefs (31-13 last week). Since a 17-13 season-opening win over rookie Sam Bradford and the Rams, the Cardinals’ defense has been nonexistent, yielding at least 27 points six times in nine games. For the season, Arizona is allowing 29.2 points and 396.8 yards per game, including 29.2 points and 404.8 yards per game at home and 31.3 points and 449.7 yards per game the last three weeks.
Compare those defensive stats to San Francisco, which is yielding 21.9 points and 328.2 yards per game on the season, including 19 points and 343 yards over the last three contests.
The 49ers swept the season series from the Cardinals last year (and that was when Kurt Warner was under center for Arizona), and San Francisco has cashed in three straight meetings overall four straight in the desert. In fact, the visitor is on an 8-1 ATS romp in this rivalry, including
Jeff Benton
Monday's Action
20 Dime NFL release on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS minus the points at Arizona. The Niners are laying around 1 ½ points both here in Vegas and offshore, with the line as high as minus-2 in a couple of plaoces and as low as minus-1. I doubt Arizona will attract much money in this contest, meaning the pointspread only figuees to go up from here, so wager accordingly.
49ERS
Here’s how bad things are in Arizona: The Cardinals are a home underdog tonight to a team that’s got an identical 3-7 record, is coming off a 21-0 home loss and is winless in four road games (1-3 ATS), including giving Carolina its only victory of the season.
So why side with San Francisco tonight? Because at least the Niners have shown some signs of life lately. Yes, they got spanked by Tampa Bay last Sunday, producing just a 189 yards of total offense with supposed elusive QB Troy Smith getting sacked six times. However, prior to that ugly effort, San Francisco had won two in a row and three of four, with the offense putting up a respectable 23, 24 and 20 points in three straight outings.
On the flip side, it’s been all downhill for Arizona, which has lost five straight games (1-4 ATS), including blowout losses to the Seahawks twice (22-10 and 36-18) and Chiefs (31-13 last week). Since a 17-13 season-opening win over rookie Sam Bradford and the Rams, the Cardinals’ defense has been nonexistent, yielding at least 27 points six times in nine games. For the season, Arizona is allowing 29.2 points and 396.8 yards per game, including 29.2 points and 404.8 yards per game at home and 31.3 points and 449.7 yards per game the last three weeks.
Compare those defensive stats to San Francisco, which is yielding 21.9 points and 328.2 yards per game on the season, including 19 points and 343 yards over the last three contests.
The 49ers swept the season series from the Cardinals last year (and that was when Kurt Warner was under center for Arizona), and San Francisco has cashed in three straight meetings overall four straight in the desert. In fact, the visitor is on an 8-1 ATS romp in this rivalry, including
INDIAN COWBOY
GAME OF THE MONTH
5 UNIT* MIAMI HEAT -11.5
He's on the Miami Heat -11.5, yes he's on a favorite believe it or not. Confirmed. Write-up:
Indeed, we are on a heavy favorite today. We rarely take heavy favorites, but I ran across an article in the Miami Herald that talked about how the Heat had a players only meeting after the loss to the Mavericks on the road. This Heat team is obviously talented but struggling at or around a .500 near mark which is driving these players crazy. Their lack of bench is certainly a part of this but getting Dampeer will help their cause a bit. This team also is starting Carlos Arroyo which is smart as well to get more of a flow in their offensive framework. I'm not saying the Heat have it figured out. I am saying though that for one game, they respond well to this player's only meeting and win this game by a wide margin. I think its worth for us to take a shot on this team to have a blowout win as the Wizards came within one point of the Orlando Magic and likely has a let down here. Remember, the Heat won 27 over Phoenix at home and the Wizards can lose big on the road such as losing to the Hawks by 20 or to the Celtics by 31. I just don't see the Heat letting up today and I can see them winning this contest by a wide margin.
GAME OF THE MONTH
5 UNIT* MIAMI HEAT -11.5
He's on the Miami Heat -11.5, yes he's on a favorite believe it or not. Confirmed. Write-up:
Indeed, we are on a heavy favorite today. We rarely take heavy favorites, but I ran across an article in the Miami Herald that talked about how the Heat had a players only meeting after the loss to the Mavericks on the road. This Heat team is obviously talented but struggling at or around a .500 near mark which is driving these players crazy. Their lack of bench is certainly a part of this but getting Dampeer will help their cause a bit. This team also is starting Carlos Arroyo which is smart as well to get more of a flow in their offensive framework. I'm not saying the Heat have it figured out. I am saying though that for one game, they respond well to this player's only meeting and win this game by a wide margin. I think its worth for us to take a shot on this team to have a blowout win as the Wizards came within one point of the Orlando Magic and likely has a let down here. Remember, the Heat won 27 over Phoenix at home and the Wizards can lose big on the road such as losing to the Hawks by 20 or to the Celtics by 31. I just don't see the Heat letting up today and I can see them winning this contest by a wide margin.
Accuscore NBA
SIDES
****
503 New Orleans Hornets
504 Oklahoma City Thunder
Past Week: Point Spreads: 27-16, 62.8%, +940 -- WEST CONF GAME PS: 10-4, 71.4%, +560 --
Hot Pick New Orleans Hornets+3.5
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Oklahoma City Thunder -3
501 Washington Wizards
502 Miami Heat
Past Week: Point Spreads: 27-16, 62.8%, +940 -- EAST CONF GAME PS: 12-6, 66.7%, +540 -- SE DIV GAME PS: 3-0, 100%, +300 -- PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 2.0 to 4.0: 15-5, 75%, +950 --
Hot Pick Miami Heat-12
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Miami Heat -14
***
505 Houston Rockets
506 Dallas Mavericks
Past Week: Point Spreads: 27-16, 62.8%, +940 -- WEST CONF GAME PS: 10-4, 71.4%, +560 --
Hot Pick Dallas Mavericks-8.5
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Dallas Mavericks -9
-
507 Milwaukee Bucks
508 Utah Jazz
NO PICK AGAINST THE SPREAD
SIMULATION AND BETTING LINE ARE THE SAME
TOTALS
****
501 Washington Wizards
502 Miami Heat
Past Week: Total Betting Line 195.5 to 200: 7-3, 70%, +370 --
Hot Pick PICK: OVER 197.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 199
***
503 New Orleans Hornets
504 Oklahoma City Thunder
Past Week: WEST CONF GAME TOTALS: 10-5, 66.7%, +450 -- Total Betting Line 195.5 to 200: 7-3, 70%, +370 --
Hot Pick UNDER 200
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 198
507 Milwaukee Bucks
508 Utah Jazz
UNDER 187.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 185
505 Houston Rockets
506 Dallas Mavericks
Past Week: WEST CONF GAME TOTALS: 10-5, 66.7%, +450 -- Total Betting Line 195.5 to 200: 7-3, 70%, +370 --
Hot Pick PICK: OVER 199
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 201
SIDES
****
503 New Orleans Hornets
504 Oklahoma City Thunder
Past Week: Point Spreads: 27-16, 62.8%, +940 -- WEST CONF GAME PS: 10-4, 71.4%, +560 --
Hot Pick New Orleans Hornets+3.5
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Oklahoma City Thunder -3
501 Washington Wizards
502 Miami Heat
Past Week: Point Spreads: 27-16, 62.8%, +940 -- EAST CONF GAME PS: 12-6, 66.7%, +540 -- SE DIV GAME PS: 3-0, 100%, +300 -- PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 2.0 to 4.0: 15-5, 75%, +950 --
Hot Pick Miami Heat-12
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Miami Heat -14
***
505 Houston Rockets
506 Dallas Mavericks
Past Week: Point Spreads: 27-16, 62.8%, +940 -- WEST CONF GAME PS: 10-4, 71.4%, +560 --
Hot Pick Dallas Mavericks-8.5
AccuScore's Point Spread Line is Dallas Mavericks -9
-
507 Milwaukee Bucks
508 Utah Jazz
NO PICK AGAINST THE SPREAD
SIMULATION AND BETTING LINE ARE THE SAME
TOTALS
****
501 Washington Wizards
502 Miami Heat
Past Week: Total Betting Line 195.5 to 200: 7-3, 70%, +370 --
Hot Pick PICK: OVER 197.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 199
***
503 New Orleans Hornets
504 Oklahoma City Thunder
Past Week: WEST CONF GAME TOTALS: 10-5, 66.7%, +450 -- Total Betting Line 195.5 to 200: 7-3, 70%, +370 --
Hot Pick UNDER 200
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 198
507 Milwaukee Bucks
508 Utah Jazz
UNDER 187.5
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 185
505 Houston Rockets
506 Dallas Mavericks
Past Week: WEST CONF GAME TOTALS: 10-5, 66.7%, +450 -- Total Betting Line 195.5 to 200: 7-3, 70%, +370 --
Hot Pick PICK: OVER 199
AccuScore's Over-Under Line is 201
