Service Plays Monday 11/09/09

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Evan Altemus

Steelers/Broncos UNDER 40.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Denver’s offense showed it’s weaknesses last week against an over-rated Baltimore defense. Now they have to face one of the best defenses in the NFL. Bronco’s quarterback Kyle Orton simply isn’t able to stretch the field and put fear into opposing secondaries. Head coach Josh McDaniels has been able to shield his flaws, but he wasn’t able to do that last week against the Ravens. I look for him to struggle mightily against Pittsburgh’s defense. The Steelers are down three players tonight on defense, but I still think they will be able to shut down Denver’s offense. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh doesn’t have a big play offense. They prefer to run the ball and use smaller passes to generated offense. In fact, several games their offense has sputtered for most of the 1st half, until they decide to finally open things up with the clock winding down. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger loves to hold onto the ball and wait for receivers to get open. However, that approach won’t work very well against a Broncos defense that has been very good at sacking the quarterback this year. Denver’s defense has also played better at home with the emotion of the crowd. Defensive coordinator Mike Nolan is great at developing strategies to shut down opposing offenses, and their defense has been dominant in the 2nd half. Look for this game to be a low scoring slugfest.

3 UNIT SELECTION UNDER.
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Tony George

DENVER BRONCOS +2.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Pittsburgh is missing 3 starters on defense. Denver is coming off a loss and are wanting to atone for a bad defensive effort against the Ravens. Denver is 4-0 ATS their last 4 as a home dog, and the Steelers are 0-5 ATS as a road fav their last 5 games. I like Denver at home, and in general Monday Night Home dogs, especially those who are 6-1 on the year and have beaten Dallas in here. The Steelers OL is weak at best and the Denver DL is capable of a strong pass rush and the Bronco secondary is solid and picked up Ty L:aw this week as a backup. Denver has allowed only 11 ppg at home this year! The Steelers were outplayed and out stated against the Vikes who blew that game on penalties and turnovers….not sold on Pitt yet.

Play 1 Unit on Denver.
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Rob Homyak

PITTSBURGH STEELERS -2.5

[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Steelers have won 22 of their last 30 Monday Night games and Denver has gone 15-19 on Monday Nights during that time. The Steelers 47-27-3 ATS (55-22 SU) their last 77 Week 5 through Week 9 games. 4-0 SU the last 4 times they were coming off a bye.

The Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and the road team has covered four of five in this series. Since he took over as head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers, Mike Tomlin has coached his team 4 times on Monday night. He is 4-0.

Denver is just 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 at home and 7-20 ATS in its last 27 after a non-cover.

Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

3 Units on PITTSBURGH.
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Steven Budin

Steven Budin-CEO
Monday's Play
NEW YORK CREW

25 DIME RELEASE

Pittsburgh



Note: With this line being a steady 3 on Pittsburgh everywhere I look, I would absolutely buy down to -2 1/2. And if you're saddled with -3 1/2 - even after shopping for the best price - go ahead and buy down the half-point to -3 on the Steelers.

Paid & confirmed.
GL!
 

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Chris Jordan
Monday's winner ...


300♦ PITTSBURGH STEELERS - Alright, first of all, to all those who have other handicappers telling you to buy a half-point on this game, the line has been 2-1/2 since kickoff of the Cowboys-Eagles game, so I am not going to bother spending more juice ... we know the line we're looking for. Now, if your book goes back to -3, by all means ... get it back down to 2-1/2.

And here's why ...

I want you to take a look at the Broncos' 6-1 season for a moment:

They opened with a LCUKY win against Cincinnati and followed that with a pasting of the lowly Browns (heck, UNLV could challenge the Browns). Then it was a win over another hapless team, the Raiders, before Denver pulled out hard-fought wins over Dallas and New England. There was an impressive win at San Diego, I'll give them that, and then it was a bye week.

That bye week might have cost this team.

All the momentum went out the window with that bye week, while it gave Baltimore time to study and later exploit Denver's imperfections. But it revealed something else.

Go back to the list of wins by the Broncos ... the lucky win against a Cincy team that has beaten the Ravens twice and the Steelers once. Toss in the loss to the Ravens, and do you notice that Denver has had trouble scoring against physical-like AFC North teams?

This is too noticeable a problem to overlook, and with the Steelers having their bye week to prepare for Denver - not to mention dissect the game film from last week's Ravens destruction of this Broncos team - I have to believe the defending champs are treating tonight as a must-win situation on national television, and before hosting the Bengals next week.

The Steelers are simply too physical up front, and I don't trust the trio of Orton, Moreno and Buckhalter against the No. 1 rushing defense. I realize the Broncos have the No. 1 overall stop unit, but that didn't mean squat against the Ravens last week. Besides, Pittsburgh is bringing the fifth-best overall offense in the league, led by quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, whose 294.6 yards per game rank fourth in the league heading into tonight.

Sorry Denver fans, but you're looking at a second-straight loss before getting back to your winning ways next week in Washington. Lay the road chalk tonight.




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Marc Lawrence

DENVER BRONCOS +3

We recommend a 3-unit play on Denver.[/SIZE][/FONT]



Monday, November 9​
DENVER​
over Pittsburgh by 3

We felt like traitors last week when we ordered up the Ravens against our
Rocky Mountain money train. The feeling was that the week of rest would
prove to be a momentum breaker for Denver and it was. The same can be said
for the Steelers tonight. A 1-2 start was erased with a four-game win streak,
only to have the Bye Week barge in. It’s bad enough that defending Super
Bowl champions are just 7-18 ATS as road favorites when taking on a .727 or
greater foe. It’s even worse when that same opponent is off a loss (0-4 ATS).
Mike Tomlin chips in with a​
1-9 ATS mark on the road off a win when taking
on an opponent of a loss. If that’s not enough, the Steelers are
1-8 ATS against
.700 or greater AFC competition. Denver’s
11-4 SU and 12-3 ATS mark against

rested AFC opposition clinches it. Yes, we’re turncoats but at least we admit it.
 
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Diceituponline - Hammer's Picks 11/9

Hammer's NHL Picks (11/9)
10 Dimes: Los Angeles +130



Other NFL Picks (week 9)
Monday Night - 15 Dimes: Pitt/Denver Over 40
 
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Ice picks: Monday’s best NHL bets

Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks (-145, 5.5)

If you haven’t heard of Anze Kopitar, then you don’t know about the NHL’s fastest growing star. The Los Angeles Kings’ center has 27 points in 17 games this season, including two goals in the club’s 5-2 win over the Pens on Thursday.

The Kings have surrounded the Slovenian with quality wingers and the results are paying off. Kopitar plays with scrappy left winger Ryan Smyth and talented right winger Justin Williams.

“We’re looking for that line to be an elite line in the game,” LA coach Terry Murray told the Canadian Press. “When you have that kind of expectation on you (from) a coaching staff, then there is a need to respond, and I’m seeing a more consistent effort that shows (Kopitar) wants to be that player.”

It’s not just No. 1 line that’s winning games for the Kings. They’ve got great secondary scoring from Dustin Brown, Alexander Frolov, Jarret Stoll and smooth skating defenseman Drew Doughty.

The Blackhawks boast just as much talent but they’re missing a few key bodies. They’re still waiting for Marian Hossa to play his first game in a Chicago jersey and Jonathan Toews hasn’t played since getting his bell rung last month.

Pick: Kings
 
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Pick ‘n’ roll: Monday’s best NBA bets

Utah Jazz at New York Knicks (+4, 210)

The Jazz were a jubilant bunch following their win over the Spurs Thursday night. Utah dominated San Antonio from start to finish and forward Carlos Boozer even talked about how the win could lead to others down the road.

Point guard Deron Williams was a little bit more sceptic.

“We’ll see how we bounce back,” he told the Salt Lake Tribune. “We can’t just get hung up on this one and overlook Sacramento.”

Deron should open a psychic hot line because his fear became a reality Saturday night. The Jazz lost at home to the Kevin Martin-less Kings.

Utah led by as much as 15 points but got outscored 66-38 in the second and third quarters.

That shouldn’t make Jazz backers overly excited facing a New York team that can score in bunches. The Knicks haven’t scored over 100 points in each of their last three games so there should be some good value on the over.

Pick: Over

Toronto Raptors at San Antonio Spurs (-6.5, 202)

They may be nicknamed after a dinosaur, but the Toronto Raptors are toothless on the defensive end of the court. Toronto is allowing 108.2 points per game and looked clueless defending the Mavs on Saturday.

Dallas shot 62.4 percent from the field and 50 percent from 3-point land in the 129-101 beatdown.

“They went past us, and they shot over us,” Toronto coach Jay Triano told the Globe and Mail. “They had more movement and energy and had confidence in their shooting. Our energy level was low.”

The truth is this is a team made up of players not interested in working hard defensively and that’s not going to change.

San Antonio is trying to get comfortable with its new players, but that’s going to be more difficult with point guard Tony Parker watching from the bench. The Spurs’ leading scorer sprained his ankle against the Blazers and is expected to miss about a week’s worth of action.

Parker is the engine that makes San Antonio’s offense go. The Spurs will have a tough time keeping up offensively with Toronto.

Pick: Raptors
 
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Lenny Del Genio

Phoenix vs. Philadelphia
Play: Philadelphia PK

Philadelphia is our 15* NBA Situational Play of the Week.
 
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