Service Plays Monday 11/02/09

[Mr.Maxx]

4 Unit Play. Take Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+144) over the NY Yankees (Monday @ 8pm est). It is now or never for the Phillies. Usually we take totals in baseball, but today is a bit different. We have the opportunity to really ratchet up some profit today on the Fightin Phils with their ace on the mound. Cliff Lee has dominated these Yankees and other teams in the post season thus far and I loved the attitude he gaved the Yanks as he caught the shallow pop up that came back to the pitcher the other day. Even Charlie Emanuel chuckled at it. The Phils at the end of the day realize that it is one game at a time. If Lee can roll on today, they will have a dog fight on their hands in Game 6. And, certainly, they can send Lee back to the mound once again for Game seven. Heck, Lee will probably be fine pitching on two to three days rest for Game six for all that he is concerned and Manuel could send Pedro out there for Game seven. Either way you look at it, this is a must win for the Phillies and I believe Lee will show up in a big way. Besides, what fun is this series, if it does not at least go until Game 6? Lee has pitched a total of seventeen postseason innings thus far and has given up 0 runs, and has given up just two runs over his last 33 innings. Burnett can be a different pitcher on the road such as his six run performance in six innings at Anaheim in the prior series. I look for Lee, the crowd, the Phillies hitters all to be on their mark today as the Phillies look to stave off elimination and at least take this series to six games. The Yanks are 0-4 in their last four contests as Underdogs, the Phillies are 10-2 as favorites of late and the Phillies are 4-0 when Lee starts with such a total that has been set.

Good luck,
IC

 

[glcsports]

Special K

***** NFL VALUE PACK *****

208 20* SUPER K-BOMB - Baltimore Ravens

213 20* SUPER K - Minnesota Vikings

215 15* San Francisco 49ers

221 20* SUPER K - Seattle Seahawks

233 15* Atlanta Falcons

2009-11-01 13:05:00

 

[Pound]

Thank you for requesting our NBA Best Bet for tonights game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the L.A. Clippers. We have selected the Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5 as our NBA Best Bet for Monday November 2nd. We also have a Best Bet for the Monday Night Showdown between the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints. Our Best Bet for the MNF matchup is on the New Orleans Saints -12. Good Luck and watch for us on twitter.com/insideodds for any Late Steam Best Bets.

Best Bets
NBA Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5
NFL New Orleans Saints -12

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordans pick for today..

Chris Jordan Monday's winner ...
200♦ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - Analysis due back by 4 p.m. eastern

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

David Banks

Monday November 2, 2009

PREMIUM MEMBERS SELECTIONS

NFL
8:30 Saints -Pts
Over

MLB
7:55 Yankees

NBA
9:00 Houston Rockets
10:00 Sacramento Kings

 

[brewerfan003]

black widow:


6* 2 00 9 MNF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Falcons/Saints OVE R 54(-103 at 5dimes) *Got this on Wednesday 10/28/09

With the Saints scoring 45 or more points in 4 of their 6 games this season, taking the OVER on Monday night is really the only move. That's especially the case considering they face an explosive Falcons' offense and a suspect Atlanta defense. The Falcons were exposed last week, giving up 37 points and 414 yards of total offense to the Cowboys. They did manage to put up 21 points, which they have scored 21 or more in 4 of 6 games this season. The Saints are giving up 30.5 points/game in their last 2 games, which means Atlanta should be able to put up plenty of points Monday to help out with the OVER. Now back to this ridiculous New Orleans' offense. The Saints are scoring 39.7 points/game this season and putting up 427 yards of total offense/game. They cannot be tamed right now and Atlanta does not have the defense that is going to slow them down. Last year, the Saints won 29-25 at home vs. Atlanta and the Falcons won 34-20 at home vs. New Orleans as both meetings saw 54 combined points exactly. It's clear that both teams are improved offensively this season, which means they should have no problem combining to score more than 54 points Monday. The Saints are 11-3 OVER (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. New Orleans is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The Saints are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in home games after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. Get ready for some offensive fireworks Monday night ladies and gentlemen. We are predicting this one will have gone OVER by the end of the 3rd quarter. Take the OVER 54 points here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ATS Consultants - newsletter

LA Clippers over Minnesota 104-85
The T-Wolves have to play the previous night, which is not a good sign for a bad team. Watch out for the Clippers this year. Adding Blake Griffin in the draft will help turn this franchise around. A slimer & motivated Baron Davis also helps.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Duke's Sports

New Orleans (-12) for 1.5 Units

This line spiked sharply from its opening (NO -9) but we still see some value with the Saints. New Orleans is not just a pass happy team; they have a potent run game (156 ypg) that opens up play action for Brees who is having a phenomenal year. The Falcons' secondary has been yielding and should run into more problems keeping their defense off the field that is because the Falcons' run game has not been as dynamic as anticipated. RB Turner can't get untracked to fuel the passing game for QB Ryan and we may continue to see that scenario unfold tonight. The Saints' defense has thrived under DC Greg Williams holding foes to an average of 94 ypg rushing (83 ypg at home). The Saints play the favorite role well at 18-5 , covered 7 of their last 8 at home, and covered 6 straight as home chalk. New Orleans controls a 7-3 ATS edge in this series, including 4-1 ATS at home. Atlanta has succumbed in the prime time MNF slot: vs their division at 1-8 ATS and just 1-12 ATS vs above .500 teams. Saints the call.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Redsheet

NEW ORLEANS 41 - Atlanta 24

(8:35 Monday - ESPN) -- Line opened at NewOrleans minus 8½, and is
still minus 8½. Is there really any other way to go? The Saints own one of the most explosive
offenses in the history of the NFL, riding that unit to a perfect 6-0 record, both SU & ATS.
But who have they played? Try a 48-22 win at Philadelphia, and a 48-27 rout of the Giants,
whose previously near-invincible road persona was somewhat shattered (34 1st half pts). A
wk ago, Brees was a terrible 1/3, but nonetheless, a 46-34 win, after trailing 24-3. Falcons
have lost to just the Pats & Cowboys, but that gives us value here.
RATING: NEW ORLEANS 88

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Plays

ATLANTA
NEW ORLEANS

Both teams combined for a 9-1 ATS mark before LW. ATL was caught by a rested DAL defense who
held him to under 200 yds for the 2nd week in a row. NO rebounded from 14 pts down at the half to
pull ahead for the SU and ATS win in the 4Q to remain undefeated. NO has expended a lot of energy
the L2W and is likely to be without DT Sedric Ellis (MCL) here. While NO is 7-1 ATS as a HF they are
3-9 ATS at home vs the NFC South.
NO PLAY: SAINTS 38 FALCONS 24

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Reporter


*NEW ORLEANS over ATLANTA by 14
NEW ORLEANS 41-27

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

YANKEE CAPPER

New Orleans Saints -12

Memphis/Sacramento Over 203
Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5

Philadelphia Flyers -180

Yankees/Phillies Under 8.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Randall the Handle

Tampa Bay +1.70 over PHILADELPHIA

Win, lose or draw, this is without doubt one of the biggest overlays of the year thus far. The Flyers have not looked good at all recently and even in its 6-1 win over the reeling Canes they ran into a very shaky goaltender and did not outplay Carolina at all. In fact, they were outshot 40-28. Previously, they lost two straight and a close look reveals just three wins in its last eight games. Those wins came against the aforementioned Canes, the Panthers and an OT win against the Bruins. Thus, Philly has just one good win (Boston) over its last eight games. The Bolts are dangerous as hell and they’re the most undervalued team in the league right now because of its slow start. They’ve yet to win on the road but that is not going to last much longer because they’re too good a team. In fact, if you exclude OT, the Lightning have lost just thee times in regulation in 12 games and they’re just getting better. I also like the fact that they’re on the road, as they’ve played four straight at home and extended home stands are seldom good. This is a sweet, sweet tag on a team on the rise against a team on the decline. Big overlay Play: Tampa Bay +1.70 (Risking 2 units).


NY ISLANDERS -½ +1.38 over Edmonton

The Oilers are a mentally and physically fragile team right now and after another road loss, its fourth in five games, this is not a good spot to snap out of it. For one, they’re not scoring goals at all and in fact, have been shutout in three of its last four games. Furthermore, they’ve been hit hard by the flu bug and whether some of them are over it or not, it still takes a big physical toll on the body and you can double that when travelling. Meanwhile, the Islanders have a ton of momentum and can’t wait to get back on the ice. They’ve won three in a row and it’s not like they’ve beaten some weak teams. They crushed the Sabres 5-0, the beat the Caps in Washington 4-3 and they beat the Rangers 3-1. That trio is three of the top four teams in the Eastern Conference and now the Islanders will take a big step down in class when facing the Oilers. The Islanders outscored those three by a combined 12-4. When a young, talented and enthusiastic team gets on a roll they’re extremely dangerous and frankly, they couldn’t have handpicked a riper team to beat right now to extend its winning streak to four. Play: NY Islanders -½ +1.38 (Risking 2 units).

 

[goldencontender]

NBA double angle play +MNF info GC-

On Monday night the double angle play is on the Sacramento Kings. Game 508 at 10:00 eastern. The Kings are 23-2 at home vs the Grizzlies. Ironically they lost the last home game they played against them last year. Tonight the Kings catch Memphis in a tough spot. Memphis comes in unrested for this one off a tough game in the the thin air of Denver. When Memphis plays on the road with no rest and scored 90 or more they are 0-11. The Kings are solid at home when the line maker puts the total in this range. They are 13-2 ats at home from 200 to 205. Take the Kings to crown the Grizzlies tonight. Those looking for something to pound on Monday night I have a 100% cutting edge system that dates to 1989. Those with me last week cashed with the over in the Philly at Washington game as we moved to 6-2 on all Monday night football releases, this year.I also have a rare 25-5 NBA system play tonight. Jump on these big bombs and see the systems for yourself in the writeup. Also I will be in studio at 8:05 eastern doing the weekly radio show at 88.9 wsia.fm. I will have a nice Bonus Play up on this weekends card. For the double angle play take the Kings in the NBA. BOL GC

 

[SportsFunatic]

EW Sports Picks

Twitter freebie

1* new orleans to over teaser (-3 / O48)

this guy is money on twitter freebies.

 

[slicks_one]

Spartan
1* New Orleans -12

 

[cork999]

Al DeMarco
Monday's Play 15 Dime - New Orleans Saints

Many times you will hear the phrase "go against the public on Monday nights." Talk about pure, unsubstantiated rubbish. The public is NOT always wrong, and in this strange season where double-digit favorites have been a betting bonanza, and simply picking the straight-up winner of a game has produced over 80% pointspread winners on the year, laying points with the hottest team in the NFL can be understood.

To use a boxing analogy, New Orleans was on the ropes last Sunday at Miami, clearly softened up for the antipated knockout by the Dolphins, who jumped on them early and enjoyed a double-digit halftime lead. But in a game that might define this club, and give it the confidence it needs no matter what situation it faces from this point forward, the Saints stunned Miami with 30 second-half points to win and cover in a 46-34 victory.

New Orleans has covered 18 of its last 23, going 7-1 ATS in its last eight outings as a home favorite. While Drew Brees has garnered most of the attention for the team's success this season, the true key on offensive has been a ground game that entered the weekend ranked second in the NFL with a per game average of 154 yards. Powered by Mike Bell and Pierre Thomas, the ground attack should have continued success against a soft Atlanta defense allowing opposing ball carriers to average 4.6 yards per carry.

A strong rushing attack allows Brees the luxury of picking his spots to go on an aerial attack, and tonight he'll be facing an Atlanta stop unit that entered the weekend ranked 25th in the league at stopping the pass. Quarterbacks are completing 60% of their passes against the Falcons, who have been unable to generate much of a pass rush on the season with just 12 sacks through six games. Last Sunday, Tony Romo of the Cowboys lit Atlanta's secondary up with a 21-for-29 effort worth 311 yards and 3 TDs.

This is the Saints third "step-up" game of the season. In their first, they flattened the then-undefeated Jets, amidst all the "Rex Ryan is a genius" talk, 24-10 at home. Two weeks later, they hosted the 5-0 Giants and dominated them far more than the 48-27 final score would indicate. Now, coming off one of the biggest comeback wins in franchise history, they have the momentum and national forum to show the league they're for real with a rout of the visiting Falcons, who have lost two straight on the road by identical 16-point margins at New England and Dallas.



<CENTER>IMPORTANT NOTE:</CENTER>

This is NOT a play on the 1st Half of this game; rather it is simply my 1st Half of the SEASON Blowout of the Year selection - thus the title. Do not be confused. Do NOT play New Orleans in the 1st half of the game; play the Saints minus the points for the entire game.




BOUGHT,PAID AND COMFIRMED--------GL GUYS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Malinsky

World Series Special - Yankees/Phillies #5

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (Lee)-150 over New York Yankees (Burnett)

3* PHILADELPHIA over NY YANKEES

The Phillies, to go back to Dylan Thomas, will not go gently into that good night. This is a poised and veteran team that brings a lot of character to the table, and there will not be a sense of defeat after the last two games on this field got away. That gives us a prime opportunity to play the spectacular form of Cliff Lee, and go into A. J. Burnett on three day’s rest, something that the latter has only one four times in his career, and not once this season. Lee’s post-season work has been nothing short of brilliant. He has allowed just two earned runs on 20 hits over 33.1 innings (an 0.54 allowance), with 30 strikeouts vs. only three walks. From this mound he has allowed one run in 17 innings, with 15 Ks and no walks, and the only thing that kept him from working shutouts each time was an 11-0 lead over Los Angeles that left little reasons for him to take the mound for the 9th inning. His stuff was as good in the dominating Game #1 win at Yankee Stadium as anything that we have seen this season, with 10 strikeouts, no walks and only six hits allowed, and given the way that the Yankees were not able to adjust to him over the course of the evening, getting a second look is not necessarily an asset. There were a lot of confused swings on Wednesday, and we expect more of the same here. Meanwhile Burnett also threw well in winning Game #2, but in getting stretched out to 108 pitches, the lack of proper down-time between starts becomes a factor. He only worked to an 8-6/4.83 tune on the road this season, and in the lone playoff outing from a foreign mound was clubbed for six runs in as many innings against the Angels. His game is much different than Lee’s, which makes a quick second look a plus for the Phillies ? in three outings this season in which he had to face the same team twice in a span of 11 days or less he worked to a 6.75 tune. Even if he can bring anything near his top game to the table he is unlikely to be able to bridge this one to Mariano Rivera, and that brings the New York set-up corps into play, a clear weakness even in building this 3-1 series lead.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ATS

4 unit over 55

 

[marksdolphins]

EW Sports Picks

Twitter freebie

1* new orleans to over teaser (-3 / O48)

this guy is money on twitter freebies.

EWSPORTS(betonepicks)
3*(nba)Bobcats/Nets Under 176.5
------------------
(NBA 2009)
W/L/P: 9/2/0
Win:Loss: 81.82%
Total Units: +18.40
(3-1)NFL Run!
(6-2)Run! Hot-Tickets
------------------------------
W/L/P: 31/20/0(2009 CFB)
Win:Loss: 60.78%
Total Units: +30.30
----------------
EW-SPORTS has no Bonus Play today:think2: