Service Plays Monday 10/27/08

[ymmit2nd]

Marc Lawrence

Triple-Dime Bet

IND +4 vs TEN

A crucial game for the 3-3 Colts takes place in Tennessee Monday Night when they take on the undefeated 6-0 Titans in a key NFC South Division showdown. From a technical aspect, according to our database, Indianapolis head coach Tony Dungy is 14-1 SU and ATS in his NFL head coaching career in games off a SU favorite loss when his team's win-loss percentage is .500 or less, including 10-0 as a dog or favorite of less than 4 points. On the flip side, Tennessee head coach Jeff Fisher is 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS as a home favorite in games off a win of more than 10 points versus a division opponent that is not winless on the season. Top that off with the fact that NFL teams who start the season 6-0 SU and ATS are 0-5 ATS in Game Seven when favored by less than 10 points and we'll look for the Colts to spring the upset here tonight.

 

[ymmit2nd]

Mikey Sports

Indianapolis @ Tennessee 8:35 PM EST
Play On: Indianapolis (+) pts

 

[CaliDreaming]

Ben Burns #1 NHL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH!
I'm playing on OTTAWA

Doc's Sports NHL Monday Winner
3 Unit Play. #56 Take Over 5 in Anaheim @ Columbus

 

[rgdolfan540]

Brandon Lang

MONDAY

20 Dime Titans (-4)

I heard a crazy trend Lang had on the radio.

Undefeated teams coming off a bye are like 16-1 ats.

 

[chase88]

JEFFERSONSPORTS 5-0 yesterday

NOW HIT 25 of last 30 NFL PLAYS (83%)
Hit 44-23-1 last 68 football plays (66%)

HAS SMALL PLAY ON
TITANS UNDER 41--side and NHL later today

NHL 5-4
CFL 4-1

en fuego

 

[LLXC13]

Kelso

50 Unit MNF........Under

Saw this posted on another forum but Kelso's website says he has a side play? Not sure...

 

[BigNauty]

Free pick from I/C

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans - Monday October 27, 2008 8:35 pm
Pick: 3 units TOTAL: Under 40.5 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapper: John Ryan
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans (NFL) - 8:35 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 4/-104 Indianapolis Colts Play Title: Colts
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Indianapolis – AiS shows an 87% probability that Indianapolis will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and has a 75% probability of winning the game. There is no advantage in playing the money line and with 15* amount already on the line there is NO reason to add additional risk to this play. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 26-6 making 19.4 units since 1997 for 81%. Play on road teams in weeks 5 through 9 that are off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite. Here is a second system that has gone 72-38 ATS for 66% since 1997. Play against favorites with a good defense allowing 4.8 or less yards/play and after outgaining opposition by 100 or more total yards in their previous game. Indianapolis is just 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points since 1992; 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992; 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Colts are also in a series of strong roles noting they are 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons; is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus excellent teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992. Dungy is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus excellent teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. The Colts largest problem is the lack of balance on offense. There is only one team that has a greater differential between passing and running plays and that would be the worst team in the NFL – the Detroit Tigers. The Colts running game ranks last in the league, but there are matchup advantages that the Colts can exploit tonight. The offense has it’s second QB back in the lineup and he is the Center Richard Saturday. He is the guy responsible for calling and organizing the blocking assignments that Manning adds at the LOS. He is also the guy that can change blocking assignments literally when the play clock is running out and the defense shows any form of zone blitz scheme. Let’s not forget that the Colts offense ranks 2nd in the NFL in red zone efficiency scoring TD at a 71% rate of the 17 trips into the red zone. The Titans rarely blitz, however and are vulnerable on the defensive perimeter. Titans corners Harper and Finnegan have had strong success to date, but they have yet to face two of the best WR in the league in Harrison and Wayne. Simply said, if Manning has even an extra second to make reads he will shred this defense – like he did against Baltimore. Take the Colts.<!-- / message -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Monday, October 27th, 8:20 ET

Phillies ace Cole Hamels has been unconscious during his team's run to the World Series as he looks to become the first postseason pitcher to start and win five games in a single playoffs. However, he's been very good all season and, in fact, has only yielded more than two earned runs in a single outing ONCE since 8/1. The Rays struggle vs. lefties (4.1 runs/game) and are 36-18 to the Under vs. southpaws this season. Scott Kazmir is a quality arm that can keep the Philly bats in check.

Play on: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Vegas Steam Line

Monday: Take MINNESOTA -145 over Chicago

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tom Freese

Boston at Edmonton (9:05pm)
Boston is 6-1 vs. a team that allowed 5 or more goals in their last game and they are 5-2 after scoring 5 or more goals in their last game. The Bruins are 5-2 their last 7 road games vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60%. Edmonton is 0-8 vs. the Northeast Division and they are 0-6 their last 6 games vs. the Bruins. PLAY ON BOSTON

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy The Moose
Game: Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres Oct 27 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Buffalo Sabres
Reason: Talk about two teams going in opposite directions. The Sabres have yet to lose in regulation time this year at 6-0-2. The Sens are just 2-5-1 on the year with 7 of those 8 game son home ice. Sabres allowing just 1.6 goals/game on the year. Things will not be getting better for the Senators tonight. Play on Buffalo -.

 

[IAM4UK]

Frank patron

10000 unit lock

indianapolis colts +4

 

[ProPel]

John Fina
Football for October 27, 2008

NFL - 4 units on Tennessee Titans -3.5 (-110)

***

-Note, when Fina, and Brandon Lang take the same game, it = a Loss.

 

[SportsFunatic]

Matty O'Shea | MLB RunLine Triple-Dime Bet
960 PHI -1.5 (+120) SportBet vs 959 TAM

 

[SportsFunatic]

Greg Shaker | NFL Double-Dime Bet
Indianapolis +4

 

[oddsonsports]

someone asked for Al Demarco:

Free video play is on the Over MNF

and he has this:

6th Monday Night Play of the Year



Oddsmaker Error Game of the Year



15 Dime Release



Indianapolis-Tennessee



Either Indianpolis wins outright,

or Tennessee rolls by double digits



4-1 on Monday Nights - 59 Dimes Profit



Winner # 1: Eagles cover at Dallas



Winner # 2: Chargers beat New York



Winner # 3: Vikings upset New Orleans



Winner # 4: Patriots beat Broncos



9-2-1 NFL Run - 131.5 Dimes Profit

 

[Karol58]

Let me confirm Kelso's picks. It is 50 units on Titans -4 and 3 units on the under. I will post the write up off his site.

2008 PERSONAL BEST CLUB

Monday, October 27, 2008
Monday Night Power Play50 UnitsTitans (-4) over Colts
8:30 PM -- LP Field
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.


Monday, October 27, 2008
Best Bets Club3 UnitsColts/Titans UNDER 40 Points
8:30 PM -- LP Field
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.


This is paid and confirmed by the website.

 

[LLXC13]

akmens 10* phillies

 

[LLXC13]

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 6-1-0 for +530.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 6-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA ATS Plays 47-45-5/-720.00 Units (Special 150 Units 3-3, Top 100 Units 39-42-4, Reg 50 Units 5-0)
NCAA Money Lines 15-20/-101.25 Units (Regular 50 Units 9-10, Light 25 Units 6-10)
NFL Regular Season ATS Plays 30-26-0 for -90.00 Units (Special 150 Units 2-1, Top 100 Units 28-25)
NFL Regular Season Money Line Plays 17-20/-25.00 Units (Regular 50 Units 11-11, Light 25 Units 6-9)

Dominic Brando Sports NFL Monday Night Football High Volume Report:
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #226 TENNESSEE TITANS -3/-125 over Indianapolis Colts