Service Plays Monday 10/27/08

[LLXC13]

NFL Football
Bob Balfe

Colts/Titans Over 40.5
This is pretty much a must win for Indy, but without Joseph Addai it will be hard to balance out their offense. Lucky for the Colts that they have Payton Manning and Tennessee is hurting up front on their defensive line. The Titans have a huge size advantage on offense and will be going against a banged up secondary of the Colts. Look for a lot of points from Tennessee. Payton Manning will need to work his Monday Night magic and get his team in the endzone. If there is ever a guy to count on it would be him. Look for both teams to score a lot of points. Take the over.

College Football
No plays today.

Major League Baseball
Phillies -1.5 runs over Rays +115
Hamels/Kazmir

 

[LLXC13]

Alex Smart

Colts +4

 

[LLXC13]

Mike Rose

Phillies

 

[LLXC13]

LT Profits

Blue Jackets

 

[LLXC13]

Northcoast Marquee
Colts over 40

 

[HottyToddy76]

Steven Budin-CEO

MONDAY'S PICK
25 DIME



TENNESSEE TITANS

 

[LLXC13]

Roots plays today...

Chairman- Colts
Millionaire- Phils/Rays Over

 

[LLXC13]

TheProSource

Tenn -3.5

 

[LLXC13]

PPW

Power Play of the Day:

Titans -3 (-130 buy full point)

 

[LLXC13]

Drew Gordon
100000 dime play
Indianapolis

 

[LLXC13]

Kanesline
(POD)

10/27/08

NFL
Monday Night Football

Take the over in the Colts vs Titans game. +40

System Picks

Baseball

10/27/08 MLB Philadelphia Phillies
moneyline -172

0/27/08 Tampa Bay Rays/Philadelphia
Phillies UNDER 7.5

Football

10/27/08 NFL Spreads

10/27/08 Tennessee Titans -4

10/27/08 NFL Totals

10/27/08 Indianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans
OVER 40

10/27/08 NFL Moneylines

10/27/08 Tennessee Titans moneyline -191

 

[LLXC13]

Jim Feist

Monday Night Football Game of the Year, $29!!
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(225) IND Colts
(226) TEN Titans
Take " (226) TEN Titans "
Home field and defense are going to be huge match-up edges this game for the Titans. Indianapolis (3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) has looked shaky in a lot of areas. They were fortunate to start the season 2-2, as they probably should have been 0-4. The offense hasn't been consistent and the run defense is still small and suspect. That will be the Tennessee game plan here, as the Titans will run right at ‘em and go ball control. Colts RBs Joseph Addai and Mike Hart are still out, so the onus is on the passing game to carry the offense, but they looked out of sync again Sunday in a 34-14 loss at Green Bay. Manning had no TDs, 2 picks, while the run defense allowed 105 yards to RB Ryan Grant. The Colts are 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS on the road and this is their second straight road game. The Tennessee Titans (6-0 SU/ATS) are on an amazing run for coach Jeff Fisher, one of the best in the business. This defense is ferocious, ranked 3rd in the NFL, while the running game is fourth behind RB LenDale White and rookie Chris Johnson. They have a talented young ‘D’ with linebacker Keith Bulluck, DT Albert Haynesworth and bring back defensive end Jevon Kearse. The Titans sacked David Garrard seven times in the opener and allowed 189 total yards! They will run right at a small and soft Colts run defense ranked 28th, allowing 153 yards per game. Tennessee is also 18-4 when scoring at least 20 points since 2006 and Indy has given up over 23 in 3 of the last 4 games. The Titans are also 4-0 ATS the last four meetings with the Colts. Play the Titans!

 

[oddsonsports]

won my premium NFL play yesterday on the San Diego/New Orleans Over. Here are my hockey selections for tonight:

I am off of a 3-3 day on Saturday on my NHL Selections for a profit of 3.5 units. Here are my selections for this evening's card:

56 Columbus +1.14 (3 Unit Play)-Columbus has been struggling a little bit to put pucks in the net as they have only two goals in back to back losses to the NY Rangers and Minnesota and they will be without starting goaltender Pacal LeClaire for this game tonight as he sprained his ankle in the last start. They are taking on a Anaheim team that has righted their ship on this road trip by going 3-0 and will look to complete a perfect trip with a win tonight but that may be easier said than done here. The Ducks allowed 47 shots to the Canadiens on Saturday and Giguere had to basically stand on his head to save that game for Anaheim and although look ahead games may not occur that often you have to wonder if the Ducks bring their "A" game tonight as they have the Red Wings in Anaheim on Wednesday. I think Columbus will rally behind Norrena in net this evening and avenge three one goal losses to the Ducks that they suffered last year with a big win tonight.

54 NY Islanders +1.63 (3 Unit Play)-The Islanders are finishing off a three game homestand and have dropped the first two games and will likely be without starting goaltender Rick Dipietro as he left last game with an undisclosed injury. The Islanders have already fallen well behind the league leading Rangers and need to win tonight to get some confidence going here early in the season. Although the Islanders lost their last game to Carolina they put 60 shots on net and that tells me that they are still trying. The Rangers have gotten off to a great start but only went 3-5 against the Islanders last year and getting a big price on the home underdog Islanders was worth it for me today.

51 Ottawa/Buffalo Over 6 +1.24 (3 Unit Play)-These teams met eight times last year and in the last five meetings the total was set at 6 1/2 so an adjustment has been made already this season. The Sabres have been receiving outstanding goaltending from Ryan Miller so far this year but Goaliepost.com is reporting that Patrick Lalime will get the start for the Sabres tonight. The Sabres have a couple of defenseman injured for tonight's contest and I think we will see some goals here tonight. Ottawa has dropped four straight contests and should be fired up to break that losing streak here tonight. Look for goals aplenty tonight and this game goes Over the posted total.

Those are my Monday NHL Selections and I will be back on Tuesday with more winning selections. Best of luck to everyone tonight and enjoy the games.

Oscarxena Sports

 

[oddsonsports]

3Daily Winners

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Minnesota Wild (NHL)
Play: Money Line: -162 Minnesota Wild

Minnesota is off to hot 5-1 start and has owned Chicago at home. The Wild is 11-3 versus the Blackhawks on home ice, including 9 of last 10. Chicago has lost their first three games on the road to start the season and doesn't figure to get well here. The Hawks don't like Monday's evidently, winning three times in last 21 tries. Minnesota goes wild over Chicago

 

[oddsonsports]

Handicapper: John Ryan
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans (NFL) - 8:35 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 4/-104 Indianapolis Colts Play Title: Colts
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Indianapolis – AiS shows an 87% probability that Indianapolis will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and has a 75% probability of winning the game. There is no advantage in playing the money line and with 15* amount already on the line there is NO reason to add additional risk to this play. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 26-6 making 19.4 units since 1997 for 81%. Play on road teams in weeks 5 through 9 that are off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite. Here is a second system that has gone 72-38 ATS for 66% since 1997. Play against favorites with a good defense allowing 4.8 or less yards/play and after outgaining opposition by 100 or more total yards in their previous game. Indianapolis is just 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points since 1992; 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992; 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Colts are also in a series of strong roles noting they are 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons; is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus excellent teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992. Dungy is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus excellent teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. The Colts largest problem is the lack of balance on offense. There is only one team that has a greater differential between passing and running plays and that would be the worst team in the NFL – the Detroit Tigers. The Colts running game ranks last in the league, but there are matchup advantages that the Colts can exploit tonight. The offense has it’s second QB back in the lineup and he is the Center Richard Saturday. He is the guy responsible for calling and organizing the blocking assignments that Manning adds at the LOS. He is also the guy that can change blocking assignments literally when the play clock is running out and the defense shows any form of zone blitz scheme. Let’s not forget that the Colts offense ranks 2nd in the NFL in red zone efficiency scoring TD at a 71% rate of the 17 trips into the red zone. The Titans rarely blitz, however and are vulnerable on the defensive perimeter. Titans corners Harper and Finnegan have had strong success to date, but they have yet to face two of the best WR in the league in Harrison and Wayne. Simply said, if Manning has even an extra second to make reads he will shred this defense – like he did against Baltimore. Take the Colts.

 

[oddsonsports]

Indian Cowboy

Colts/Titans Under 40.5 (POD)

Note that 53% of the public is on the home team here in the Titans here and the line has jumped up from the opening. What a year for Peyton Manning and the Colts huh? He has thrown 8 touchdowns and 7 interceptions this year which is uncharacteristic for him. The Colts remember lost to the Titans last year 16-10 at home. That was a huge game for the Titans as they won on the road at Indy. That was actually a revenge game as the Colts actually won 22-20 on the road at Tennessee before that. You want to know what is amazing about these Titans? It's the fact that this team has a quarterback in Collins who has thrown under 900 yards for the year, has thrown for just 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and yet this team still finds itself 6-0. Heck, this team has quietly done it with fabulous defense and opportunistic offensive success. I would love to take the Titans here, but keep in mind the Colts come off an ugly 20 point beating at the hands of the Packers on the road. They are therefore on a bounce-back. The Titans of course have covered all 6 games this year. They come off an impressive 34-10 win at KC. But, the question begs, do you really want to go against the Colts on a big bounce-back? Plus, the Colts have revenge from last year's latest loss at their dome to the Titans. Remember, the Titans last two home games as well and of course, it is MNF so the crowd will be gonig nuts. The Titans won their last two games by scores of 30-17 over the Vikings and 31-12 over Houston. This begs the question of the total since the side seems unappealing. The public by a 2:1 margni favor the over here and yet the line seems unwilling to go up. In fact, it has gone down. In fact, you ready for this? The last 6 times these two teams have played the total has gone under. Thus, that will be my play for today. It is also my POD for today and a purchase play. The under is 4-0 for the Colts after allowing 30 points or more in their previous game as their defense rebounds well and the under is 6-0 the last six times these two teams have hooked up as the research indiciates.
__________________

 

[oddsonsports]

Larry Ness

Prime Time Delight

Colts

 

[oddsonsports]

ATSLOCKS.COM

Colts @ Titans Under 41 (10 Unit Play)

****Not to be confused with ATS Lock Club****

 

[oddsonsports]

Rocco Spacamuro
100* Tennessee

 

[oddsonsports]

Akmens

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Hockey total tonight is Rangers Under