Service Plays Monday 1/5/09

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TONY STOFFO

Ohio St. vs. Texas
Pick: OVER 51

After watching the Big 12 teams play in this years bowl season it becomes apparent that this league plays no defense at all. One example being look what an average Mississippi offense did against Texas Tech gaining 515 total yards. So let's jump all over this total and make a strong recommendation on the Over for tonight as both teams light up the scoreboard here.

Texas is 6-0 Over in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Texas is 10-1 Over after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

Tressel is 19-9 Over in road games in the second half of the season as the coach of Ohio State.

Tressel is 12-3 Over in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of Ohio State.
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indiancowboy

4 Unit Play. #503. Take the Sacramento Kings +4 over the New Jersey Nets (Monday @ 7:30pm est).

4 NBA POD Winners in a Row. Going for #5 in a Row Today. (1 POD per day).
9 of 12 NBA Winners.
Perfect NBA in January: 3-0.
CBB: 5* Big 10 GOM Winner on Penn State +9 over Wisconsin.

Congrats on the back to back winning weeks in the NBA as we have now won 9 of 12 days in the Association. Let's keep it rolling. Sacramento has been good to me this year and they play the Nets on the road today. The only thing is the Nets have to bounce-back at some point as they come off another loss to the Heat who continue to have their number - just like the Nets continue to have the Hawks' number. With Kevin Martin back though this Kings team is far more dynamic and they have covered back to back games consequently. But, they failed to win either of those games. Remember the Detroit game when the Kings went on the road, well it was a revenge game with KM back and we cashed that as our GOM. I expect as well as other odds makers for the Kings to win this game outright. After all, why else do you believe the line is so low besides over 75% of the public are on NJ here. The line continues to drop here as well. Seems too easy right? Just like the Cavs -9 was too easy but we took the Wizards who won outright at home. Just like the Bulls -6.5 was too easy over the Timberwolves at home but we took the Twolves +6.5 who won outright on the road. The line keeps dropping and as it should, I expect the Kings to finally pick up a SU win on the road here in their East coast swing as they look to cover their 3rd straight on this trip.






4 Unit Play. Take Loyola Maryland +12.5 over Niagara. We are Greyhound fans today. I follow the Metro Atlantic, the Big 10 and Big East Basketball very closely. In fact, pretty much, these are the only three conferences that I focus on during the regular season before March Madness. After all, if you can keep up with these roughly 30+ teams that should lead to a profitable season in the end. Once again, the Big 10, Big East and Metro Atlantic Basketball. As per this game, look, Loyola Maryland already played this Niagara team earlier this year and lost by 16 points at home. Thus, they have revenge today going against this very good Niagara team on the roads. Remember, this is conference play now so each game is important and each team will show up. Although Canisius basketball is no beast, Loyola had a great game against them roughly winning by 20 on the road. Without a doubt, they will show up for this game. Now, Niagara had lost to Chattanooga but took their frustration out against Manhattan on the road covering the 12 point spread so they don't have that pent up anger anymore. Loyola is the same team that lost by 2 points on the road to NC State and actually has covered 3 of their last 4. Let's go with our principle of conference revenge as Loyola is gaining confidence on the road and will look to make this game competitive against one of the leaders of the Metro. Loyola played a very tough non-conference schedule including Duke, Davidson, NC State, Boston College and Vermont and by no means are intimidated. Let's roll with the Greyhounds here to get it done on the road as they likely lose by 6-9 points today.





(Released Last Week in advance): 3 Unit Play. Take Under 53 between Ohio State @ Texas (January 5th @ 8pm est). Let's face it, if Ohio State has any chance on this game it is if this game goes under. Regardless of what the fireworks many expect, these two teams are defensive teams at heart. After all, it features a team in Ohio State that is ranked 8th in defense overall and 7th in points allowed. This Buckeye offense is not great whatsoever as they struggled against mediocre teams to even put up points. Now, the exception was against Northwestern but by no means is that team known for its defense. Remember, when the Buckeyes play competitive teams, games go under. Take a look at the USC contest where they put up just 3 points as the game dipped under and Penn State game where they put up no more than 6 points. I think Texas has a great shot at covering today because remember, back in 2006, Ohio State rolled in and defeated this team 24-7. Regardless of how the side plays out, this contest sports two defensive teams. Texas is ranked 9th nationally on defense and 5th nationally in points allowed. So, you have two top 10 defenses. And, it is far easier to play defense in the early goings of a pressure packed game than offense. Look for Texas to do well today but I just hate laying this many points. Rather, let's roll with the under with two top ten rated defenses as we look for the game to dip under the posted total. The under is 4-1 when the Buckeyes are underdogs of late and the under is 7-3 when the Longhorns come off a 20 point win or more.
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JEFFERSONSPORTS
NCAA FB
OHIO ST UNDER 52
NCAA HOOPS
NIAGARA -13
MANHATTAN UNDER 135.5
JAMES MADISON-4.5
NBA
MILWAUKEE UNDER 192--(tor no calderon, should slow pace)
 

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Scott Ferral is on fire in all sports, down a little yesterday in CBB.

BEST BETS IN ( )

FERRALL HOT AS EVER PICKING NCAA HOOP WINNERS ATS

GEORGETOWN (straight up) over Notre Dame (3)

MISSISSIPPI STATE -7 to Western Kentucky (2)

COLORADO (PK) over SMU (7)

TEMPLE -7 to Kent (1)

MIAMI -22 to FAU (4)

UTAH STATE -12 to Idaho (5)

VALPO +7 from Wisconsin Milwaukee (6)

from a friend of the forum thanks for SHARING
 
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from a stan sharp backer :

JUST WANTED TO INFORM THE FORUM THAT WE WILL BE PROVIDING / HAVE STAN SHARPS PLAYS FOR THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE & THEY WILL BE POSTED ASAP AFTER THE SELECTION IS RELEASED.
 

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from a stan sharp backer :

JUST WANTED TO INFORM THE FORUM THAT WE WILL BE PROVIDING / HAVE STAN SHARPS PLAYS FOR THE IMMEDIATE FUTURE & THEY WILL BE POSTED ASAP AFTER THE SELECTION IS RELEASED.

thanks for the headsup cpaw.
 

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Dr Bob
3 Star Selection
JAMES MADISON (-4) over Drexel
05-Jan-09 04:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take James Madison in a 3-Star Best Bet at -4 points or less and for 2-Stars from -4 ½ to -6 points.
3-Stars at -4 or less, 2-Stars up to -6.

2 Star Selection
NC Wilmington (+24 ½) over VCU
05-Jan-09 06:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take NC Wilmington in a 2-Star Best Bet at +23 points or more.
2-Stars at +23 or more.
 
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