Service Plays Monday 08/24/09

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Street Rosenthal

*200 New York Jets +3

Sanchez will open as the Jets QB against the Ravens tonight. Clemens is still battling for the starting position as well. Expect to see more of Sanchez and Clemens with the starting job effectively on the line Monday night. The Jets also got a strong performance from third-stringer Erik Ainge in their loss to the Rams. Ainge was 10-of-17 for 148 yards with a TD. Sanchez came into the 23-20 loss with 28 seconds left in the first quarter, and threw a 48-yard pass to David Clowney on his opening play. He completed three of four passes for 88 yards in one series. Clemens, entering his fourth season, was 4 of 4 for 24 yards. This is a strong QB battle with an impressive 3rd stringer for a QB. The Ravens won easily in their first outing and have acquired a number of injuries.

The majority of the wagers coming in on this game are for the Ravens, 68% of them. The line has remained flat, however the juice tell us a diferent story. The books are asking for money on the Ravens tonight. We will fade the public and take the side of vegas in this one. Place your wager on the Jets and feel comfortable with it.

Good Luck!!
 

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The boys

THE BOYS ....:shoot3::shoot3:

NFL ...UNDERDOG............. GAME OF THE NIGHT
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JETS + 3
 
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GoodFellas


Detroit Tigers +117 (1*) (Bookmaker)

Angels 1st game back home after LONG two week road trip, which included 11 games & playing on the other side of the country......NO day off for them and this is always a difficult spot for teams that the Angels are in tonight.....Throw in a rested Verlander and the REVERSE Line move, and I really like this play for tonight. I am certain, this play WILL NOT be a popular one, but I am more than alright with that....

NFLX Two Team 7 Pt. Teasser: -120 (1*) (Bookmaker or 5dimes)

NY Jets +10 to NY Jets/Ravens OVER 25.5 (3-1-1 on NFLX Teasers this Year)
 

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Thank you, wilheim

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this isnt confirmed or anything but just reading al demarco's description.."Run Line play, where I'm turning a big favorite into a slight underdog because of my willingness to lay the - 1 1/2 runs. "...it has to be the twins right? thats the only big favorite on the board that turns into a slight underdog with the 1.5 runs...anyone else agree?
 

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Al DeMarco

Monday's Play
5 Dime - Colorado (Marquis) - 1 1/2 Runs over San Francisco(Zito)



The Chicago Cubs practically gave away Jason Marquis during the offseason. Tonight the righthander takes the mound at Coors Field seeking to become the National League's first 15-game winner as the Rockies attempt to open a four-game lead over visiting San Francisco in the wild-card race.



Marquis, who has won his last two outings to improve to 14-8 on the season with a 3.58 ERA, has a 2.30 earned run average in eight career starts versus San Francisco. He's also pitched well at home this season with a 3.86 ERA in 11 outings, and the Rockies have won 16 of his 24 starts overall.



Colorado is coming off consecutive comeback wins against the Giants, following Saturday's 14-11 triumph by rallying for two runs in the seventh for a 4-2 triumph on Sunday against San Francisco ace Tim Lincecum. The Rockies have won six of their last seven games with the lone loss coming in Friday's series opener and they're 16 games over .500 on the season, including 10 games over the break-even mark at home where they've won 25 of their last 35 games. By comparison, following back-to-back losses at Coors, the Giants are now 28-37 on the highway.



San Francisco sends Barry Zito to the mound and although he's pitched well most of the season, the lefthander has been continually victimized by a lack of offensive support as the Giants have averaged a league-low 2.9 runs in his starts. Zito carries a 4.52 road ERA into this start, a number that is not surprising considering he's allowed 102 baserunners in 73.2 highway innings. And tonight, Zito faces a Colorado club that is 13-7 at home versus southpaws, winning 10 of its last 11 against lefties.



With San Francisco losing three of its last four, and the Giants repeatedly failing to support Zito at the plate, it's worth the investment laying the 1 1/2 runs with Colorado to make Marquis and the Rockies a slight home dog.
 
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OC Dooley: Bonus Play

2 UNIT” NATIONAL-TV LATE NIGHT BASEBALL (Tigers +115 at Angels in a 10:05 eastern start broadcast on ESPN2-----------Verlander versus Weaver): This is one of those rare situations where the home team is actually in a more negative scheduling situation as opposed to the visitor. Yesterday the Angels wrapped up a lengthy road swing in the eastern time zone (Toronto) and were forced to travel cross country with no rest. On the other hand Detroit has been out on the west coast all weekend as they were facing the A’s in Oakland and did not have to travel all that far to Anaheim. I will admit that the Tigers have had problems on the road (25-38) all year long and just lost a series against a last place team, but they are bolstered this evening with their ACE pitcher on the mound. Justin Verlander is on pace to finish the season with 250 STRIKEOUTS and has led all of baseball in that category for most of this campaign. What I like most about Verlander (13 wins) is that he is an effective “innings eater” who normally gives the bullpen a break. It is hard to believe Verlander has lost 2 of the past 3 outings when considering his excellent ERA (2.70) spanning the most recent eight trips to the mound. It is obvious that he has received very little run support from his offense, but that may change tonight as Angel starter Jered Weaver has had major problems (7.08 ERA) when facing the Tigers lineup. When considering that the Halos currently lead the majors in batting average and runs scored, it is imperative that Detroit gets a solid pitching effort and that should be delivered this evening by their #1 arm. Odds are that the Tigers will have problems tomorrow when John Lackey aims for victory #100 in an Angels uniform. On the mound tomorrow for Detroit is the recently acquired veteran Jarrod Washburn whose ERA in Motown (6.04) has been a disaster. Not only do the Tigers have their ace on the mound tonight, they have played very competitive against the two top teams from the American League West including an outstanding 7-2 mark against second-place Texas. Going into tonight the Tigers are batting .500 for the season (3-3) against the Angels and can now take the lead in the series. Jim Leyland’s troops are catching the Angels at the right time as the top team from the AL West has actually lost 3 of the past 4 outings. Yesterday the Halos offense pounded out 13 hits but stranded 11 runners on base in a defeat. I am aware that Jered Weaver has been lights out in front of the home fans this season with an 8-1 record, but he also has been inconsistent of late. Even though the Detroit offense statistically is near the bottom of the junior circuit, the pitching staff has been effective enough to keep the team #1 in the American League Central divisional chase. Entering yesterday the various starting pitchers on the Detroit staff had posted a positive 3-1 record along with an excellent ERA (2.90) in the past nine outings which makes them a dangerous underdog this evening. My database research indicates that in the past five years small underdogs like Detroit of 150-or-less have actually WON at a 56% clip (131-104) with a hot starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.110 or better in his last 10 appearances. In the past week the high-octane Angels offense has averaged a full run LESS than their normal season mark and the batters overall have compiled just a .259 batting average. When the Angels are not scoring runs in droves, they have been a beatable team due to the fact that both the starting rotation and bullpen have been shaky
 
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Jim Feist

5* AL Game of the Week

MLB (957) TAMPA BAY RAYS at (958) TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Take: (958) TORONTO BLUE JAYS (5* AL Game of the Week)

Reason: Tampa Bay in desperate need of wins so the Rays can keep pace with Boston for the AL Wild Card. The Rays have some heavy hitters as they are second in the AL in runs/game (5.20) and third in home runs (159). The Jays are pretty much done for the season as they are double digits back in the Wild Card race and eight games below .500. The Jays do get their Ace on the mound today in Roy Halladay. Hallady is the one bright spot this season for Toronto with a 13-6 record and 2.78 ERA. Halladay also has a lifetime 12-9 record and 3.51 ERA against the Rays. Jeff Neimann will start for the Rays and he's also having a fine season with a 11-5 mark and 3.71 ERA. Despite their bad season, the Jays with their Ace on the hill at this price is just too much to pass on. Take the Jays as your AL Game of the Week.
 
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Bryan Leonard

Extreme Value Release

Tampa Bay at Toronto

Cheap price for possibly the best starter in baseball and we get him pitching at home. Halladay is off a bad start in which he allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings to the Red Sox. But the big man has a habit of bouncing back after a poor performance. This year he has allowed four earned runs or more just six times. In the games following those performances he permitted just 9 earned runs in 38 innings of work covering five starts. The Blue Jays won 4 of those 5 games. Halladay has produced seven straight quality starts against Tampa Bay and he owns a 2.89 ERA overall pitching in Toronto this season. The Rays counter with Jeff Niemann who has been a pleasant surprise this season. If you remember back to the beginning of the year he was considered the odd man out with David Price on the rise. Niemann has just 20% of his road starts being quality ones. Most of his damage has been done at home. In his last three starts away from home he permitted 13 earned runs in just 19.1 innings of work. The last time he faced the Jays Toronto pounded out 5 earned runs in 6.2 innings of work. The host in this series has won 7 of the last 10 meetings and we expect another home grown victory.
PLAY TORONTO
 

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