Service Plays Monday 08/24/09

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65% L30D

MLB
1 unit - Tampa/Toronto UNDER 7.5

NFL
1 unit - Jets +3
 
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C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Oakland/Seattle under the total
1000 Units LA Angles Over Detroit
1000 Units Tampa Bay/Toronto over the total
 
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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take NY Jets (+3) over Baltimore (NFL Power Play)

Baltimore
• 0-4 SU & ATS in pre-season coming off an UNDER the total
• 0-3 SU & ATS in pre-season home games when the total is between 32.5 and 35
• 2-5 SU & ATS in pre-season when playing as a favorite
 
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We Cover Spreads

1* Jets +3

One of our favorite preseason handicapping angles happens to be teams with position battles, and particularly Quarterback battles. With Mark Sanchez getting the start in this game and following him will be the other candidate Kellen Clemens. Ryan would like to name a starter after this game by Wednesday; so this is a huge game for both QB's. Sanchez edged Clemens in week one but training camp both we're pretty even so this a pivotal game for the two. So we can expect 100% from both guys in this game.

Ryan said this will be a physical game with a regular season feel to it and will be more uptempo than your normal preseason game. We can expect the Jets to not back down to his former team in this game He said this is an attitude game because Baltimore is a physical football team. That is the style of play he wants his team to take after and that’s why he believes his team is going to come out and play physical on Monday Night.

Rex Ryan said he wants go after the Ravens QB's as much as possible, after Flacco is done we will see former Ohio State QB Troy Smith who passed under 50% last week and John Beck who is nothing more than a 3rd string NFL QB at best after being a 2nd round bust for the Dolphins. So once Flacco is done the Jets should have some success against Smith and Beck. That's where this game should start to take a turn in the Jets favor. They may find themselves trailing at halftime but the second half things should turn around. Not too many coaches in the NFL know Flacco and Smith better then Ryan himself and he will sure have his defense prepared eventhough he said he's done no game planning; Rex is probably down playing that question. Also Regardless of all the media spotlight on Ryans quotes this week verbally sparring with the Ravens,he and Harbaugh remain close friends and we don't see Jim running the score up in the first half of a preseason game against his buddy Rex in his first visit back to Baltimore.

Something good for the Jets Quarterbacks is that defensively the Ravens are very similar to what they have been practicing against the past few weeks; since the Ravens are running the same system that Rex ran their last year with minor "tweaks". The Jets had only 2 starting offensive linemen last week and now get a boost with Center Nick Mangold back but still will be without LG and RT Alan Faneca and Damian Woody.

The Ravens starters will play most of the first half with veterans like Ed Reed, Ray Lewis, and Trevor Price being on a snap count. We're not sure how sserious Harbaugh takes these preseason games, last year he won his first game against New England and the team went on to lose their final three preseason games both straight up and against the spread.

This game means a lot more to one of the best "players coach" in the league with Rex Ryan; and we are sure to see his team motivated to play on Monday Night against their coaches old organization. The Jets will be hungry to get their first win in the Ryan era Monday Night.
 

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RF

1-Unit Play. Take #968 Seattle (-110) over Oakland (10 p.m., Monday, Aug. 24)

1-Unit Play. Take #956 Colorado (-165) over San Francisco (8 p.m., Monday, Aug. 24)

Today's Totals
0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 San Francisco at Colorado (8 p.m., Monday, Aug. 24)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 10.0 Chicago White Sox at Boston (7 p.m., Monday, Aug. 24)



That's it for today.
 
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Unlocked Sports


1) Cleveland Indians vs Kansas City Royals

Pick: Cleveland (3 units)

We were able to play the Indians as a +101 underdog late last night but at this point they are considered to be the favorite on most books. Either way, we are very confident in Cleveland coming up with the win tonight. Although the Indians are out of the playoff hunt, they have been playing well since late July winning 18 of their last 30 contests and winning 4 of their last 5 series on the road. The impressive part of this statistic is that each of their last 5 road series were against teams with winning home records. Jeremy Sowers (4-9, 4.82) will square off against Gil Meche (4-9, 4.73). Meche has struggled as of late with an ERA of 9.22 in his last 3. K.C. is 1-7 in his last 8 home starts and 6-24 in their last 30 home games. The Indians are clearly the better team and should win at least 2 out of 3 in this series, getting their first win tonight.

Lay 3 units on the Indians.


2) Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals

Pick: OVER 8.5 (3 units)

This match will without a doubt be a high scoring affair. We were able to get the total at 8.5 late last night but it is currently at 9 at most books. Either way, we doubt that the ½ point will make a difference. Milwaukee sends Yovani Gallardo (11-10, 3.56) to the mound. Gallardo has struggled on the road as of late with an ERA of 5.74 in his past 5 road starts. He will face Colin Balester (1-3, 6.75). The 23 year old rookie has struggled immensely as of late with an ERA of 10.97 in his last 3 contests. OVER is 8-0-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Lay 3 units on the OVER.
 
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RUSS LARIBEE

Tigers at Angels

Pick: Tigers +116

It looked like Justin Verlander was going to repeat his '08 debacle, when he struggled the entire season, after 4 starts in '09 his ERA was at 9. He has been brilliant since, and has made 22 starts allowing 1 run or less in half of them, and 3 runs or less in 18 of the 22. Jerod Weaver was sailing along with a 2.08 ERA in mid June, but the wheels have fallen off since. Weaver has pitched to a 6.18 ERA in his last 12 starts, and the Angels have been outhitting his mistakes. Tigers are now 40-17 in Verlander's last 57 starts on 4 days rest, and I'll back Detroit in this one.
 

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Doc's Sports

4-Unit Play Take #966 Los Angeles Angels -120 over Detroit Tigers (10:05p.m.)
 

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Allen Eastman

2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Philadelphia at New York Mets

2-Unit Play. Take Oakland (+105) over Seattle
 
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Wunderdog:

Game: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Colorado -170 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 2.9)

The Colorado Rockies have put together one of the longest and quietest positive runs in baseball this season. For what has amounted to a half-season of games, (their last 70 played), the Rockies have been the top team in baseball with a 48-22 mark! The Giants have surprised as well, behind their two ace pitchers in Lincecum and Cain, and a home record that is 39-20. That has kept them in the race all season, but the difference between this team is home and away. At home, they are stellar, winning 66.1% of their games. On the road, they are lacking, finding the win column in just 43.1% of their games. That differential is huge - 23% on the negative side. Barry Zito has not paid the kind of dividends for the Giants they had hoped for since coming over as a free agent from the A's. This season he has a 5.13 ERA against winning teams when pitching on the road. The Giants are just 32-65 on the road in their last 97 against a team with a winning record. The Rockies are torching lefthand pitching at home as they are 10-1 in their last 11. The Giants are just 1-4 in their last five played here, so the Rockies get the call.
Game: San Francisco at Colorado (8:45 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Colorado -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)

The Colorado Rockies aren't just winning with a 48-22 mark in their last 70 games, they are winning big. In the last 18 times the Rockies have won, they have won by two runs or more and they are now 22-4 in their last 26 wins by a margin of two or more! They have been great against lefthand pitching, where they are 10-1 in their last 11 at home. In their last seven, the Rockies have scored 10+ runs in four of them. The winning total has been 81-38 in the 11 games, or 7.4-3.4, a winning margin of four runs per game! I will back the Rockies on the runline here.
 

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cobrawins

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</TD></TR><TR><TD>San Francisco 67-57 at Colorado, 70-54

The Giants and Rockies are the top two teams in the the National League wild card race and complete the 4th gm. of their series today Coors Field where the Giants� left-hander Barry Zito (8-11, 4.26 ERA) will battle the Rockies right-hander Jason Marquis (14-8, 3.58).

<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p>Zito has a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts and in his last game he shut out the Reds this past Wednesday allowing only two hits over six innings for a no-decision in the Giants� 1-0 win. The negative point here is, that two of those games were against the mets and reds, two light hitting teams. Zito is also just 4-7 with a 4.52 ERA in 13 road outings this season.<o:p></o:p>

Marquis of the Rockies is on runs of 12--5 overall and 5--2 at home. He is 5-1 against the N.L. West. and a good 3.86 ERA at Coors Field.

The Rockes are 10--2 this year as a home fav. at -150-175 price range while the Giants are 4-8 in the same range as a road dog. A bit higher price range than we like, but the Rockies are worth the chance to extend their lead in the West.

Take the Rockies - 168 as a 3* Gold Selection


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</TD></TR><TR done26="477"><TD done26="477">BALTIMORE (51-73) AT MINNESOTA (61-63)
Great value here with Balt. who still appears to playing hard and going against the Twins, who are returing home after a sweep of the lackluster Royals and may be a bit over confident.
Balt. sends R.H. C. Tillman 1-1, 4.80 ERA and 1.43 WHIP to the mound to face the Twins R.H. S. Baker at a 4.62 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP, a definite edge to Baker, but the last 3 starts reflect a more even pitcher's duel, Tillman 1.29 ERA - WHIP 3.72 and Baker 1.18ERA - WHIP 4.82. We believe this a slight edge to Baltimore in this match up and our choice tonight. Twins are only 2-7 in their last 9 home games and Balt. is 5-5 as a rd. dog of +175 and up. The Orioles' bullpen has allowed just two earned runs in the past 17 1/3 innings.
Cobra Wins says: take Balt.+195 for a 1* Silver Play and consider the R/L of +1.5 at -120 as an additional bet.


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Thank you, wilheim
 

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COVERS EXPERTS
NESS VEGAS INSIDER
NICK PARSONS
BEN BURNs
3-0 TORONTO VS TAMPA

If anyone has it please post if not I will purchase it after work about 6pm Est
Pretty sure it is Toronto..Halladay has lost his last two against Tampa i I am not mistaken

GOOD LUCK
 

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