Service Plays MLK Monday 1/18/10

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NHL DUNKEL


Tampa Bay at Carolina
The Lightning look to take advantage of a Carolina team that is 2-5 in its last 7 home games. Tampa Bay is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 18

Game 51-52: Ottawa at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.851; Boston 11.759
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 53-54: New Jersey at NY Islanders
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.053; NY Islanders 12.185
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+120); Over

Game 55-56: Buffalo at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.303; Phoenix 12.591
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-115); Over

Game 57-58: Tampa Bay at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.563; Carolina 10.517
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Over

Game 59-60: St. Louis at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.152; Columbus 11.834
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+110); Under

Game 61-62: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 12.232; Florida 13.266
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 63-64: Toronto at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.398; Nashville 11.796
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-180); Under

Game 65-66: Minnesota at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.409; Dallas 10.886
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105);

Game 67-68: Edmonton at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.869; Colorado 11.899
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-200); Over

Game 69-70: Calgary at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.705; San Jose 11.632
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-200); Under
 
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NHL WRITE-UP

Monday, January 18

Hot Teams
-- Senators won last two games, 2-0/4-2.
-- Islanders won five of their last six games.
-- Sabres won seven of last nine games (last three went OT). Phoenix won last two games, scoring ten goals.
-- Blues won last four games, allowing five goals.
-- Panthers won three of their last four games.
-- Predators won four in row, seven of last nine games.
-- Sharks won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Bruins lost four of their last five games.
-- Devils lost last two games, 4-3/3-1.
-- Hurricanes lost five of their last seven home games. Lightning lost three of their last four games.
-- Blue Jackets lost last three games, outscored 13-6.
-- Thrashers are 1-6 in game following their last seven wins.
-- Maple Leafs lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Stars lost six of their last eight games. Minnesota lost its last four road games, outscored 15-7.
-- Colorado lost three of last four home games. Edmonton lost its last seven games, outscored 27-15.
-- Flames lost four in row, six of last seven games.

Totals
-- Under is 12-5 in last seventeen Boston games.
-- Three of last four New Jersey games stayed under the total; three of last four Islander games went over.
-- Three of last four Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last 14 Carolina-Tampa Bay games.
-- Four of last five Columbus games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Nashville games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in last twelve Dallas home games.
-- Four of last five Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-1-2 in last dozen Calgary games.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Flames won six of last seven times they played night before.

Series Records
-- Bruins won four in row, 11 of last 12 games against Ottawa.
-- Devils won seven of last nine games against the Islanders.
-- Sabres won their last three games against Phoenix.
-- Carolina won nine of last ten games against Tampa Bay.
-- Blues won six of last eight games against Columbus.
-- Florida won 10 of its last 15 games against the Thrashers.
-- Predators won two of last three games against Toronto.
-- Wild lost their last eight visits to Dallas.
-- Oilers won their last four visits to Colorado.
-- Flames won three of last four games against San Jose.
 
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Brandon Lang

NOTE:
Just like I should have bought the 1/2 point with Troy versus Central Michigan in the GMAC bowl, so should I have money-lined the Jets yesterday.

Oh well, it was still nice to see the Jets when the turnover battle and win the game outright just like I said they would.

I said in my analysis, you can't give the # 1 defense in the NFL 7 points against a team that has trouble stopping the run like the Chargers had all season.

Now it's a whole new ball game next Sunday with the Vikings-Saints and Jets-Colts.

Early line has Saints -4 and the Colts -7.

Glad I have 6 days before stepping to the plate with either 100 dime winner # 3 in a row, or 75 dime winner # 5 in a row.

Time to get to work and considering all that is on the line, it will be a fun week of work breaking down these two games looking to push the playoff run to 7-3 with a 2-0 sweep.

However, it's about basketball now and trust me, nobody knows better than I do how important it is for me to win this week. To show people my basketball opinion is there.

No better time to do just that than right now. Simple as that.

Now watch me bang home this 25 dime winner, make it another winning week, albeit a small one and keep this great run in 2010 going.

25 DIME - LOS ANGELES LAKERS - One thing about the Lakers, they love statement games.

And tonight facing the team they met in last years NBA finals, this is as good statement game as you can ask for.

You throw in a team lacking confidence and playing their 8th road game out of 11 in the new year and this could get ugly.

Let me start with the Lakers, who since their two sluggish home wins on the 29th over Golden State and new years day over Sacramento, this team at home has been lethal.

A 35 point win over the Mavs, followed by a 9 point win over the Rockets, then an 18 point win over the Buck,s ending with a 40 point win over the Clippers last game out.

All systems go with the Lakers tonight as they will send the struggling Magic on their way to yet another road loss.

Orlando starts off the new year with a nice win on the road over Minnesota. They follow that up with back to back road losses to the Bulls and the Pacers.

After 3 days off to regroup, they fall at home to the Raptors and with 2 days to rally his team and get them to refocus, they lose at the gun toting Wizards by 7.

Ok, finally they show up at home to beat the Hawks and then start their road trip with a nice win over the Kings but again, they can't handle success.

They roll into Denver, and get drilled by 18 and here is where my problem with this Magic team starts.

With 2 days to get his team turned around, to get their attention, to sit them down and put his foot down and say the inconsistent play stops here and we need to start playing like we care, what do the Magic do?

They go into Portland and face the Blazers without leading scorer Brandon Roy and get torched 102-87 in a game they were never in.

Where most coaches are able to get their teams attention with 2 or 3 days after a loss, I feel deep down Stan Van Gundy's act with this Magic team is wearing thin, just as his act wore thin with the Miami Heat.

For a reference, see Shaq's take on Van Gundy as a coach.

I dare say it, but I really believe good old Stan has lost his team and the nail in the coffin might be tonight.

You have 3 days after a road loss to the Bulls to rally your team and you lose by 7 to the 14-26 Pacers.

You have 2 days after a home loss to the Raptors to rally your team and lose to the 13-26 Wizards by 7.

You have 2 days after your road loss to the Nuggets to rally your team and lose to the Roy-less Blazers by 15.

Now you have 3 days at the Ritz Carlton in Marina Del Rey and the Hollywood scene to rally your team for the red hot Lakers
tonight.

This may sound crazy but maybe in a warped way the Magic are trying to get Van Gundy fired with their poor play because with as much talent as they have, is there any other explanation?

I mean, it's either that or they really do miss Hedo Turkoglu and I'm sorry but I just can't buy into that.

Either way, the struggling Magic are going down and down big to LA tonight.

25 dime - LAKERS

FREE SELECTION - KANSAS STATE WILDCATS
 
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J morrison

Version 1
(C) Sacramento Kings

(B) Dallas Mavericks

(A) New Jersey Nets
(A) Chicago Bulls
(A) Portland Trail Blazers
 
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ALL COMPS!!!!!

Big Al McMordie
* New Orleans Hornets,

Bobby Maxwell
4* Dallas Mavericks, +5

Brett Atkins
3* New Orleans Hornets,

Bryan Leonard
* Golden State Warriors,

Chris Jordan
3* Boston Celtics, -5

Chuck O'Brien
4* Kansas State Wildcats,

Dominic Fazzini
3* Los Angeles Lakers, -6

EZ Winners
* Charlotte Bobcats, -6

Jack Jones
* Houston Rockets, -6

James Patrick Sports
* Notre Dame Fighting Irish,

Jay McNeil
2* Kansas State Wildcats,

Jeff Alexander
1* Golden State Warriors, +2

Jim Feist
* Charlotte Bobcats, Under

Jimmy Moore
* Saint Louis Blues, +110

Joel Tyson
3* Oklahoma City Thunder,

Johnny Banks
* Atlanta Hawks, -6

Karl Garrett
2* New Orleans Hornets,

Larry Ness
* Texas Longhorns, +2

LT Profits
* Oklahoma City Thunder, +5.5

Marc Lawrence (Preferred Picks)
* Minnesota Timberwolves,

Nick Parsons
* Colorado Avalanche, -200

Rob Vinciletti
* Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, -1.5

Stan Lisowski
* Houston Rockets,

Stephen Nover
5* Memphis Grizzlies,

Tom Freese
* Siena Saints,

Tony Mathews
* Milwaukee Bucks, +6.5

Vegas Experts
* Chicago Bulls, Over
 
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Insider Angles

The Texas Longhorns and Kansas State Wildcats are both averaging over 80 points per game this year, but their defenses oftentimes get overlooked, and we feel this posted total is inflated because of it.

Texas is averaging 87.2 points per game, but they are only allowing 64.5 points per contest on a suffocating 36.9 percent shooting. In fact, according to the Pomeroy ratings, the Longhorns rank third in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency, allowing only .843 points per possession. They are amazingly allowing a 39.9 percent success rate on two point attempts, ranking eighth in the land.

As for the Wildcats, they are averaging 83.1 points but allowing just 68.2 points per game overall, and they have been much stingier defensively here in Manhattan. They are surrendering 61.3 points per contest on 37.0 percent shooting in this building. Kansas State also forces turnovers on 24.6 percent of opponents' possessions, ranking 24in the country in that category.

Also, these teams have done a good job of containing each other in recent meetings. Two of their last three head-to-head meetings produced just 119 and 139 points respectively, with both going easily Under. The third meeting produced 166 points, but that came in overtime in a game that was at 148 points at the end of regulation, which again would have been safely below this bloated total.

Look for these underrated defenses to step up again here, and at the very least keep this game in the mid-150s.

CBB Free Pick: Texas, Kansas State Under 160.5 (-110
 
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DON BEST STEAM

8:18:26am 2010-01-18 710 Houston Under 198
8:06:35am 2010-01-18 720 Memphis Under 225½
8:05:49am 2010-01-18 708 Atlanta Under 195½
 

Anti-Square
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sportsbetsnow

NBA

1 unit Sacramento +6.5
 

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Malinsky

4- Portland +1
4- Charlotte Under U-197
4- St Joseph -8
 
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DON BEST STEAM

8:51:21am 2010-01-18 712 Minnesota Over 205
8:50:43am 2010-01-18 718 Golden State Under 218½
8:49:13am 2010-01-18 733 Canisius +8½
8:37:51am 2010-01-18 722 Boston Over 195
8:18:26am 2010-01-18 710 Houston Under 198
8:06:35am 2010-01-18 720 Memphis Under 225½
8:05:49am 2010-01-18 708 Atlanta Under 195½
 
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Erin Rynning

NBA Playmaker: Oklahoma City +6 (707)

NBA Atlanta Under 194.5 -110 (708)

NBA Golden State Under 219.5 -110 (718)
 

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