Service Plays MLK Monday 1/18/10

[whitehaze]

*Deano's Late Tip*

5* Dallas

Note: 22-14 on 5* rated plays

 

[Stu Padasso]

4* #703 PORTLAND over WASHINGTON
There is not an NBA team more ill-suited to play well on today’s matinee board than the Wizards. Not only is there the continued disarray for a 13-26 team having to deal with the loss of owner Abe Pollin, the Gilbert Arenas issues, and the fact that there is a Wednesday deadline for a proposed sale of the franchise, but they are now forced to play for the fifth time in seven days, a span which also includes a double-overtime affair at Chicago on Friday night. Not only does it mean physical fatigue, but to try to alleviate some of that they did not practice on Sunday. That means a lack of preparation that is even more important when facing a Western Conference opponent, one that they have not played since a 100-87 loss in Portland on January 24th of LY.The physical issues start at the very top, that Antawn Jamison/Caron Butler tandem that has to carry the load. In the first four games of this cycle Jamison has had to play an exhausting 186 minutes, while for Butler it has been 176. This early tipoff will bring tired legs from both (from Jamison, after Saturday’s win over Sacramento - "Oh man, I'm going to be in a coma. It's tough, but you've got to push through it."), and when they are not on top of their individual games Flip Saunders has no other viable options.Portland has shown a remarkable resiliency this season, a tribute to the kind of team chemistry and work ethic that Washington lacks. Despite playing through so many injuries the Trail Blazers enter this game on a 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS run, and in that span they won and covered the two games without Brandon Roy by a combined 36.5 ATS. Roy was only able to go for about 30 minutes in practice on Sunday and may not be a major factor here but the line adjustment more than allows for us to play in this range. They have executed with poise and precision all season on the road, with seven victories over teams that are at .500 or better and a tough O.T. loss at Atlanta. Having been off since Friday, and playing for just the third time in eight days, they bring the energy to gradually pull away in this one.

4* #706 CHARLOTTE/SACRAMENTO Under

If the season ended today Charlotte would be a playoff team, and the Bobcats are in fact only one game out from being as high as a #5 seed. It has almost all been about defense, with a solid #3 in the NBA on our best set of ratings, and correspondingly Larry Brown has them playing at the kind of pace (#27) that makes that defense a focal point most games. Against a weak opponent that they can control, it is the defense and pace that come front and center, and that is what we have today.The Kings are not good enough to take the Bobcats out of their preferred game flow, and since Kevin Martin returned it has been a flat-out disaster offensively on this road trip, managing just 86 points each at Philadelphia (#23 defensively) and Washington (#21). Not surprisingly, those games played Under the Total by a combined 42 points. Because Martin was injured so early in the season (he had not played since November 4th), there never was time for him to develop a rhythm with Tyreke Evans and the other new faces, and when they opened the campaign with three straight road games they only managed 89, 92 and 94. Now it is like starting all over again, and with a Sunday practice being skipped to try to create fresh legs for this early start, there is no reason to believe that anything special is on the way here – if they could not find their way against two of the weakest defenses in the league, they can have some truly ugly stretches against one of the best.Look for Charlotte to focus even more on a slow pace here, forcing Sacramento to make those struggling half-court sets go, and for this to turn into an ugly and plodding grinder of a game

4* #728 SAINT JOSEPH’S over TOWSON STATE

Even in a down season for the program we can count on a Phil Martelli team going hard in every game, particularly in front of the home fans. That makes this a prime spot for the Hawks to get on back on track as they step way down in class against a team that they can dominate, especially since that opponent may be bringing precious little enthusiasm to the table.Towson State is a rudderless ship, with the Tigers on their way to the 6th straight losing season under Pat Kennedy (at 4-12 they will clinch that soon). But for as little as they bring most nights this one could get very ugly – they are playing their 7th game in 17 days, having to travel after a rare conference road win at Delaware on Saturday, and they are right back in C.A.A. play at home vs. Northeastern on Wednesday night. This is the usual rag tag assortment that we have grown accustomed to seeing under Kennedy, with Calvin Lee the only Towson player to start every game, and this is exactly the kind of group that can mail in a non-conference game after getting a rare league road win.The class difference between the programs showed when Saint Joseph’s rolled by 21 on the road LY, and while the W/L records are close this time around note how deceptive that is because of the major gap in scheduling (#10 vs. #233 Sagarin and #13 vs. #226 Pomeroy). This is the kind of matchup that the SR back-court of Darrin Govens and Garrett Williamson can control (they combined for 30 points, 12 rebounds and 13 assists in LY’s win), and with those two shooting a combined 77.0 percent at the free throw line, the ball will be in the right hands to extend the margin in the latter stages.

Its sad to see when someone loses it....like the athlete that doesnt know when to retire and move on. You can only make so many excuses and find so much BS to find a reason to continue on

Sorry Dave... i have been a long time follower....the games have passed you, your " methods" have not worked for 2 years now..

R.I.P

 

[SKing24]

How have they been doing lately?

Definitely cooled off after a huge football season. Lost a little in November and a little in December (like 10 units total after winning over 200 since August). He's only up a few units this month. NBA is ON FIRE and has been all year. College is hit or miss. 3-1 one day, 1-3 the next, although the college hoops has started to become more consistent as of late.

 

[Barney44]

Celts update

Pierce looks great shooting 3 pointers in warmups and will be playing. My bruins sucked today. Hope I see one win today

 

[Pepi]

pepi, i saw your post in the chatter thread... have you really been with him for 2 years? your up around 20k just using him and JM and John Ryan and shit??? I'll send you some money for the rest of the season.......

I'll get Deano right now guys

Ya I'm up big overall. I've seen other ppl that I went in on groups with bail on him over a short period because they were down as little as 1unit or 20 or whatever. I'll tell you like I tell anyone. The expierenced players dont need to know but all you need is 53% roughly to make a livin betting on sports. Although he's known for ripping off 12 in a row or whatever he will go on a losing skid like everyone else. I like him cause he's been down to earth with me and givin me free packages and deals for being with him so long. I mean, why jump if everything is going good. The only complaint I have is sometimes their support take a couple days to respond with questions, but as far as Deano goes.... rock solid. Gives great plays with great advice and I'll tell you first hand, your going to look like king sometimes playing the other side of what your buddies are on. I love that feeling when you hit a play that everyone else is on the other side. Granted that dont happen everytime obviously but when they do, its tight! lol

Just remember to bet small and don't get greedy. Just ask some of the guys....I'm going to give you a quick example:

Last year in NHL playoffs he had a system and it lost twice when it never lost in 4 years. Mostly, if not everyone lost their bankrolls. I just bet the way I was suppose to be (Like a buisness bettor), and I actually only lost a couple units on the season.

Fantastic guy, but theres also quite a few great cappers that are simular to deano if not better. He's just a fresh face thats rock solid in the biz.

 

[GOFOR2]

Actually Phoenix is FADING in the 3rd quarter after rallying in the second. No defense, no coaching.

Tough beat on the phoenix game. But my original point was the game was FAR from being over in the 1st qtr.

 

[Pepi]

I need to lay off the weed, I blabber sometimes... lmao

 

[skydog]

I need to lay off the weed, I blabber sometimes... lmao

I'm heading outside to do the same...go Irish!! also KSU minus 1' & UNCW plus 17!!

 

[realfire]

CBB - Texas at Kansas State - 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN


Bet: #731 Texas +1.5

Late Release. No analysis.

Dwayne Bryant bought & paid

this one was free but will post all when available

 

[pappy324]

Erin Rynning

NBA Playmaker: Oklahoma City +6 (707)

NBA Atlanta Under 194.5 -110 (708)

NBA Golden State Under 219.5 -110 (718)

Good day for Rynning...anybody following him long term?

 

[Barney44]

Anyone have hammer NCAA

Play from youwinnow. Can't log on site from phone. Celts and Dallas missing easy shots. Over should hit second half at this pace. Total under base

 

[MrUnlucky]

Wholly shit, I've never seen this many choke jobs in one day with my unlucky ass on the wrong end (as usual). Chicago Bulls, Houston Rockets, Charlotte Bobcats, now Boston Celtics AND Kansas State. INCREDIBLE how many teams blew double digit leads today. Worst hops day for me in three years. Must be something to that "never bet on a holiday" axium. Touts getting slaughtered while the public won big.

Football Jesus continues his slide with two more free losers. He's 0-5 his last five yet says he had a 3-1 day in hoops...no mention of the two losers. He is taking Orlando late (opposite of Lang at least).

P.S. Obvious that tailing doesn't work. Kansas State will be a loser.

 

[MrUnlucky]

try again from the ny wise guys sac over,clippers and over,dallas,m.tenn st, and kan st

Mike, you sure don't type well, but you damn sure deliver a lot of winners. Please post rest of the week. Haven't see much of NY Wise Guys on here lately.

 

[BleedingPurple]

Does anyone know how to get Sportsbank CBB,,. These guys are awesome.. They hit very good..


If we could have

Deano for NFL
RAS and SportsBank for CBB.

we would make huge $$

Now CFB and MLB, I would have no clue..

 

[BleedingPurple]

I forgot Mister MJ for NBA ...

 

[wino]

Does anyone know how to get Sportsbank CBB,,. These guys are awesome.. They hit very good..


If we could have

Deano for NFL
RAS and SportsBank for CBB.

we would make huge $$

Now CFB and MLB, I would have no clue..

Ras cfb totals!