Hondo
Hondo knocked a hefty chunk off his debt last night when he wielded the broom with the Rays and Nats to reduce the nasty numeral to 775 kranepools.
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will switch back to the Mets -- 10 units on Niese to make nice and do more pruning on the deficit. Also, Price seems right so His Aitch ness will throw another 10 at the Rays.-$
Tonight, Mr. Aitch will switch back to the Mets -- 10 units on Niese to make nice and do more pruning on the deficit. Also, Price seems right so His Aitch ness will throw another 10 at the Rays.-$
DAVID MALINSKY
4* PITTSBURGH +1.5 -125 over PHILADELPHIA
Our rule of thumb is an automatic one for settings like this – we will not back a team of Pittsburgh’s class to win a game outright when the closer is not fresh, and with Octavio Dotel having pitched each of the last two games, that is an issue. Octel only needed 22 pitches to finish those games, which could have him available anyway here, but we will choose the Run Line as the path, since it fits most of the base logic anyway – we will force a limited Philadelphia lineup to get a margin. The Phillies are just 14-25 as -1.5 on the road this season (we count the Toronto series as home games), and most of those games came with much more on the field than they can send out tonight.
It is naturally a signifcant difference when Chase Utley and Placido Polanco are sidelined, which has shown in the last two games, but there will be an additional dropoff tonight, with Brian Schneider likely to miss with a hyperextended left thumb. That would force either Dane Sardinha or Paul Hoover into the lineup, leaving a group that should not frighten anyone. And with Ross Ohlendorf having overcome those early control problems (six W’s over 23 IP of his last four starts, at at least a 1.40 ratio of ground ball outs to fly outs in each of those games), and actually sporting a 7-4 as +1.5 over his 11 starts, something that the 0-6/4.90 of the pitching forms will completely miss, we have a good fit.
So why are the Phillies in such a range despite their issues? The appearance of great current form by Jamie Moyer. But while we truly admire what the geriatric left-hander has been able to do this season, they are now setting up unrealistic price points in terms of going forward. That 4.30 ERA is a nice shaving off of LY’s 4.94, but a great deal of that comes from baseball geometry – his BABIP sits at .231, and of the 131 pitchers that have worked at least 60 IP, no lone has a lower rate. That count could easily increase by 50-60 points over the course of the summer, and that makes this the ideal time to begin stepping in against him.
4* PITTSBURGH +1.5 -125 over PHILADELPHIA
Our rule of thumb is an automatic one for settings like this – we will not back a team of Pittsburgh’s class to win a game outright when the closer is not fresh, and with Octavio Dotel having pitched each of the last two games, that is an issue. Octel only needed 22 pitches to finish those games, which could have him available anyway here, but we will choose the Run Line as the path, since it fits most of the base logic anyway – we will force a limited Philadelphia lineup to get a margin. The Phillies are just 14-25 as -1.5 on the road this season (we count the Toronto series as home games), and most of those games came with much more on the field than they can send out tonight.
It is naturally a signifcant difference when Chase Utley and Placido Polanco are sidelined, which has shown in the last two games, but there will be an additional dropoff tonight, with Brian Schneider likely to miss with a hyperextended left thumb. That would force either Dane Sardinha or Paul Hoover into the lineup, leaving a group that should not frighten anyone. And with Ross Ohlendorf having overcome those early control problems (six W’s over 23 IP of his last four starts, at at least a 1.40 ratio of ground ball outs to fly outs in each of those games), and actually sporting a 7-4 as +1.5 over his 11 starts, something that the 0-6/4.90 of the pitching forms will completely miss, we have a good fit.
So why are the Phillies in such a range despite their issues? The appearance of great current form by Jamie Moyer. But while we truly admire what the geriatric left-hander has been able to do this season, they are now setting up unrealistic price points in terms of going forward. That 4.30 ERA is a nice shaving off of LY’s 4.94, but a great deal of that comes from baseball geometry – his BABIP sits at .231, and of the 131 pitchers that have worked at least 60 IP, no lone has a lower rate. That count could easily increase by 50-60 points over the course of the summer, and that makes this the ideal time to begin stepping in against him.
"World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems"
Today's Selections
MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)
Series in Progress!
Selection#1 (Game#2) Chicago Cubs -130 2:20 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#4) Washington +105 7:05 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection#3 (Game#2) Toronto +140 1:05 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection#4 (Game#2) Philadelphia -150 7:05 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection #5 (Game#3) San Francisco -125 8:10 PM
Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE
Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.
Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.
Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
Today's Selections
MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)
Series in Progress!
Selection#1 (Game#2) Chicago Cubs -130 2:20 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#4) Washington +105 7:05 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection#3 (Game#2) Toronto +140 1:05 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection#4 (Game#2) Philadelphia -150 7:05 PM
Series in Progress!
Selection #5 (Game#3) San Francisco -125 8:10 PM
Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE
Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.
Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.
Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
Pro Tipster
Date Country League Event Our pick
02.07.2010 International World Cup Netherlands - Brazil Netherlands +1
02.07.2010 International World Cup Uruguay - Ghana Uruguay 0,-0.5
SAM picks
International - World Cup - 17:00
NETHERLANDS - BRAZIL take Over 2 goals
Bet365 odds: 1,65
Best odds: 1,73 Canbet
Date Country League Event Our pick
02.07.2010 International World Cup Netherlands - Brazil Netherlands +1
02.07.2010 International World Cup Uruguay - Ghana Uruguay 0,-0.5
SAM picks
International - World Cup - 17:00
NETHERLANDS - BRAZIL take Over 2 goals
Bet365 odds: 1,65
Best odds: 1,73 Canbet
Battagliaspicks - FREE Action
BELMONT Bonus Play for Friday
5th (3:08)
Brian's Pick's 5-8-3
Lorraine In Spain has a consistent stalking style that fits this race quite nicely. Turing back in distance could turn the tables today.
Churchill
9th (10:18)
Battagliaspicks 5-2-1
#5 Ice Mist- Todays best bet, was switched to the turf and won last out by 5 at 11-1 while never seriously being challenged. We love the move up to allowance comapany and will double up on this one.
Monmouth
10th (5:23)
Battagliaspicks 1-6-7
#1 Easy Ashley- has been running well against much better at GP, CD and Hollywood. She is today's best bet
BELMONT Bonus Play for Friday
5th (3:08)
Brian's Pick's 5-8-3
Lorraine In Spain has a consistent stalking style that fits this race quite nicely. Turing back in distance could turn the tables today.
Churchill
9th (10:18)
Battagliaspicks 5-2-1
#5 Ice Mist- Todays best bet, was switched to the turf and won last out by 5 at 11-1 while never seriously being challenged. We love the move up to allowance comapany and will double up on this one.
Monmouth
10th (5:23)
Battagliaspicks 1-6-7
#1 Easy Ashley- has been running well against much better at GP, CD and Hollywood. She is today's best bet
Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #921 Oakland (-115) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
2-Unit Play. Take #912 St. Louis (-1.5, +105) over Milwaukee (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #924 Boston (-1.5, -115) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Detroit (-155) over Seattle (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
Today's Totals
4-Unit Play. Take Over 8.5 Milwaukee at St. Louis (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
3-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 San Francisco at Colorado (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
2-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 8.0 Tampa Bay at Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 10.5 Baltimore at Boston (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
2-Unit Play. Take #921 Oakland (-115) over Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
2-Unit Play. Take #912 St. Louis (-1.5, +105) over Milwaukee (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #924 Boston (-1.5, -115) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Detroit (-155) over Seattle (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
Today's Totals
4-Unit Play. Take Over 8.5 Milwaukee at St. Louis (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
3-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 San Francisco at Colorado (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
2-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 8.0 Tampa Bay at Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, July 2)
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 10.5 Baltimore at Boston (7 p.m., Friday, July 2)
VEGAS EXPERTS
TIP OF THE DAY
Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers
Friday, July 2nd, 8:10 ET
The Rangers and White Sox meet at Friday night when Colby Lewis matches serves with Freddy Garcia at the Ballpark in Arlington. Lewis takes the mound looking to avenge a 4-3 loss he suffered in Chicago against Garcia and the Pale Hose a month ago knowing he is 3-1 in his last four team starts with five walks and 28 strikeouts in those games. With Garcia just 3-7 in his last 10 games in this series, look for the Rangers to improve to 5-2 all-time at home behind Lewis here this evening. We recommend a play on Texas.
Play on: Texas Rangers
TIP OF THE DAY
Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers
Friday, July 2nd, 8:10 ET
The Rangers and White Sox meet at Friday night when Colby Lewis matches serves with Freddy Garcia at the Ballpark in Arlington. Lewis takes the mound looking to avenge a 4-3 loss he suffered in Chicago against Garcia and the Pale Hose a month ago knowing he is 3-1 in his last four team starts with five walks and 28 strikeouts in those games. With Garcia just 3-7 in his last 10 games in this series, look for the Rangers to improve to 5-2 all-time at home behind Lewis here this evening. We recommend a play on Texas.
Play on: Texas Rangers
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Friday MLB Betting Bonus Play: Tampa Bay at Minnesota
Tampa Bay (Price) -115 at Minnesota (Baker)
Recommendation: Tampa Bay
The Twins pulled off a series victory in their crucial AL Central showdown against the Tigers earlier this week, but their wins against quality foes have been few and far between of late. The Twins are four games under .500 against the AL East, at that includes series against both the Orioles and Blue Jays. Minnesota is a solid bet against weaker foes, but this is not a team that I’m comfortable supporting when they step up in class. Tampa Bay snapped out of a 5-12 funk with a big win at Fenway Park on Wednesday, as their slumping offense broke through with a nine run outburst. Last night, the Rays showed even more resiliency, rallying late to earn a 5-4 extra inning win over Minnesota. Manager Joe Maddon summed it up: “We’re keeping our head above water. We’re not going away.
Friday MLB Betting Bonus Play: Tampa Bay at Minnesota
Tampa Bay (Price) -115 at Minnesota (Baker)
Recommendation: Tampa Bay
The Twins pulled off a series victory in their crucial AL Central showdown against the Tigers earlier this week, but their wins against quality foes have been few and far between of late. The Twins are four games under .500 against the AL East, at that includes series against both the Orioles and Blue Jays. Minnesota is a solid bet against weaker foes, but this is not a team that I’m comfortable supporting when they step up in class. Tampa Bay snapped out of a 5-12 funk with a big win at Fenway Park on Wednesday, as their slumping offense broke through with a nine run outburst. Last night, the Rays showed even more resiliency, rallying late to earn a 5-4 extra inning win over Minnesota. Manager Joe Maddon summed it up: “We’re keeping our head above water. We’re not going away.
