jeff benton friday
0-1 yesterday for minus 25 dimes OR $312...overall, 70-79-3 MINUS 115 dimes.
GUYS, THIS GUY HAS NOT ONE A BET SINCE SATURDAY..HE IS 0-8 SINCE SUNDAY...JUST HORRIBLE...HOWEVER, HE GENERALLY WINS HIS LARGER PLAYS AND TONIGHT HE HAS JUST THAT.
Thursday's Winner ... 40 DIME selection on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS and Hiroki Kuroda over the Diamondbacks and Edwin Jackson in the opener of a weakend series at Chase Field. As I publish today’s selections, the Dodgers are a solid -115 favorite both here in Las Vegas and offshore. Note that you must list both starting pitchers – Kuroda and Jackson – because if eitheer does not start, this play is VOID.
10 DIME selection on the CLEVELAND INDIANS and Mitch Talbot over the A’s in the opener of a weekend series at Progreosive Field. As I publish today’s plays, the Indians are a +105 underdog. Note that you must list just Talbot as the Indians’ starting pitcher. If Talbot does not start, this play is VOID.
Dodgers
How can I fade a pitcher who is coming off a no-hitter? Easy: That pitcher needed a career-high 149 pitches to toss that no-hitter. And that right there is the main reason for this play on the Dodgers. I just don’t trust Arizona right-hander Edwin Jackson – despite an extra day of rest – to bounce back strong after such a taxing performance at Tampa Bay a week ago tonight.
The reason it was so taxing was Jackson couldn’t find the plate, walking eight Rays over nine innings. And that 149-pitch outing marked the 10th consacutive start that Jackson has thrown over 100 pitches, and he’s topped 113 pitches six times in his last nine trips to the mound. Eventually, that type of workload is going to catch up to you, and I’m betting it happens tonight against the Dodgers, who have already defeated Arizona twice this season with Jackson starting (6-3 in Arizona on May 12 and 1-0 in Los Angeles on June 2).
In fact, Los Angeles is 8-1 against the DBacks this season, winning the last seven games in a row. Going back to last season, the Dodgers have won 24 of the last 32 meeteings, going 6-1 in their last seven games at Chase Field.
While Arizona tonight hands the ball to Jackson, who is just 2-3 with a 5.17 ERA in eight home starts this season, the Dodgers are going with Hiroki Kuroda. The right-hander has a 3.27 ERA in 15 starts (10 of which L.A. has won) and a 2.93 ERA in seven road starts. He’s also 5-3 with a 3.16 ERA in 11 nighttime starts (with the Dodgers going 8-3).
Kuroda has faced the DBacks eight times since moving from the Japanese leagues to the big leagues, and he’s given up two earned runs or fewer in seven of those contests. That includes a two starts this year, with Kuroda yielding four earned runs while striking out 16 in 14 1/3 innings as L.A. prevailed 6-5 (home) and 6-3 (road).
Finally, the Dodgers arrive in the desert with plenty of confidence, having just swept a three-game series at San Francisco by scores of 8-2, 4-2 and 4-2, and they’ve now won four in a row on the road. L.A. is also 65-28 in its last 93 games against N.L. West rivals (including the seven straight victories over Arizona), and with Kuroda on the mound, the Dodgers are on runs of 8-2 in series openers, 4-1 against N.L. West foes, 12-4 when he’s coming off five days of rest and 4-0 on Friday.
Conversely, the DBacks are in slumps of 11-24 overall, 16-35 versus N.L. West foes, 11-23 against winning teams and 0-6 when Jackson pitches against divisional opoonents. And Arizona is just 18-18 at Chase Field for the season, thanks mostly to an awful bullpen that has a 6.98 ERA overall and a 6.66 ERA at home.
Indians
Cleveland is coming off a four-game sweep of the Blue Jays and has won its last five in a row since Sunday (a streak that comes on the heels of a seven-game losing skid and a 1-11 slump). The reason for the Tribe’s resurgence has been pitching. It has given up just nine runs in its last four games, and right-hander Mitch Talbot got it all started in Sunday’s 5-3 win at Cincinnati. He gave up just one run on three hits and three walks in seven innings, and that followed a two-run, four-hit, three-walk, seven-inning effort at Philadelphia on June 22.
Actually, Talbot has delivered six outstanding starts in his last seven, and he’s pitched at least into the seventh inning in five of those contests. Take out an ugly home outing against the Mets (8 runs allowed in 5 2/3 innings), and Talbot’s ERA going back to May 25 is 2.58.
In fairness, I should point out that A’s lefty Gio Gonzalez has been on his game, too. He’s allowed just two runs (one earned) on eight hits and five walks in his last two starts covering 13 innings. However, both those games were at home (vs. the Reds and Pirates), and Gonzalez has proven to be a much different pitcher in Oakland (4-2, 2.36 ERA) than on the road (2-3, 5.44 ERA). Also, Gonzalez has been immensely better in day games (4-0, 1.30 ERA in five starts, with the A’s going 5-0) than at night (2-5, 5.11 ERA in 11 starts, with the A’s going 3-8). At the same time, Talbot is 5-3 with a 3.48 ERA in nine night contests, and Cleveland is 6-3.
Yes, Oakland has won seven of eight against the Indians since last year, but six of those wins were in California. The A’s, who have lost 25 of 40 roadies this season, are 1-6 in their last seven games in Cleveland. In fact, the home team is on a 12-2 roll in this rivalry.
0-1 yesterday for minus 25 dimes OR $312...overall, 70-79-3 MINUS 115 dimes.
GUYS, THIS GUY HAS NOT ONE A BET SINCE SATURDAY..HE IS 0-8 SINCE SUNDAY...JUST HORRIBLE...HOWEVER, HE GENERALLY WINS HIS LARGER PLAYS AND TONIGHT HE HAS JUST THAT.
Thursday's Winner ... 40 DIME selection on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS and Hiroki Kuroda over the Diamondbacks and Edwin Jackson in the opener of a weakend series at Chase Field. As I publish today’s selections, the Dodgers are a solid -115 favorite both here in Las Vegas and offshore. Note that you must list both starting pitchers – Kuroda and Jackson – because if eitheer does not start, this play is VOID.
10 DIME selection on the CLEVELAND INDIANS and Mitch Talbot over the A’s in the opener of a weekend series at Progreosive Field. As I publish today’s plays, the Indians are a +105 underdog. Note that you must list just Talbot as the Indians’ starting pitcher. If Talbot does not start, this play is VOID.
Dodgers
How can I fade a pitcher who is coming off a no-hitter? Easy: That pitcher needed a career-high 149 pitches to toss that no-hitter. And that right there is the main reason for this play on the Dodgers. I just don’t trust Arizona right-hander Edwin Jackson – despite an extra day of rest – to bounce back strong after such a taxing performance at Tampa Bay a week ago tonight.
The reason it was so taxing was Jackson couldn’t find the plate, walking eight Rays over nine innings. And that 149-pitch outing marked the 10th consacutive start that Jackson has thrown over 100 pitches, and he’s topped 113 pitches six times in his last nine trips to the mound. Eventually, that type of workload is going to catch up to you, and I’m betting it happens tonight against the Dodgers, who have already defeated Arizona twice this season with Jackson starting (6-3 in Arizona on May 12 and 1-0 in Los Angeles on June 2).
In fact, Los Angeles is 8-1 against the DBacks this season, winning the last seven games in a row. Going back to last season, the Dodgers have won 24 of the last 32 meeteings, going 6-1 in their last seven games at Chase Field.
While Arizona tonight hands the ball to Jackson, who is just 2-3 with a 5.17 ERA in eight home starts this season, the Dodgers are going with Hiroki Kuroda. The right-hander has a 3.27 ERA in 15 starts (10 of which L.A. has won) and a 2.93 ERA in seven road starts. He’s also 5-3 with a 3.16 ERA in 11 nighttime starts (with the Dodgers going 8-3).
Kuroda has faced the DBacks eight times since moving from the Japanese leagues to the big leagues, and he’s given up two earned runs or fewer in seven of those contests. That includes a two starts this year, with Kuroda yielding four earned runs while striking out 16 in 14 1/3 innings as L.A. prevailed 6-5 (home) and 6-3 (road).
Finally, the Dodgers arrive in the desert with plenty of confidence, having just swept a three-game series at San Francisco by scores of 8-2, 4-2 and 4-2, and they’ve now won four in a row on the road. L.A. is also 65-28 in its last 93 games against N.L. West rivals (including the seven straight victories over Arizona), and with Kuroda on the mound, the Dodgers are on runs of 8-2 in series openers, 4-1 against N.L. West foes, 12-4 when he’s coming off five days of rest and 4-0 on Friday.
Conversely, the DBacks are in slumps of 11-24 overall, 16-35 versus N.L. West foes, 11-23 against winning teams and 0-6 when Jackson pitches against divisional opoonents. And Arizona is just 18-18 at Chase Field for the season, thanks mostly to an awful bullpen that has a 6.98 ERA overall and a 6.66 ERA at home.
Indians
Cleveland is coming off a four-game sweep of the Blue Jays and has won its last five in a row since Sunday (a streak that comes on the heels of a seven-game losing skid and a 1-11 slump). The reason for the Tribe’s resurgence has been pitching. It has given up just nine runs in its last four games, and right-hander Mitch Talbot got it all started in Sunday’s 5-3 win at Cincinnati. He gave up just one run on three hits and three walks in seven innings, and that followed a two-run, four-hit, three-walk, seven-inning effort at Philadelphia on June 22.
Actually, Talbot has delivered six outstanding starts in his last seven, and he’s pitched at least into the seventh inning in five of those contests. Take out an ugly home outing against the Mets (8 runs allowed in 5 2/3 innings), and Talbot’s ERA going back to May 25 is 2.58.
In fairness, I should point out that A’s lefty Gio Gonzalez has been on his game, too. He’s allowed just two runs (one earned) on eight hits and five walks in his last two starts covering 13 innings. However, both those games were at home (vs. the Reds and Pirates), and Gonzalez has proven to be a much different pitcher in Oakland (4-2, 2.36 ERA) than on the road (2-3, 5.44 ERA). Also, Gonzalez has been immensely better in day games (4-0, 1.30 ERA in five starts, with the A’s going 5-0) than at night (2-5, 5.11 ERA in 11 starts, with the A’s going 3-8). At the same time, Talbot is 5-3 with a 3.48 ERA in nine night contests, and Cleveland is 6-3.
Yes, Oakland has won seven of eight against the Indians since last year, but six of those wins were in California. The A’s, who have lost 25 of 40 roadies this season, are 1-6 in their last seven games in Cleveland. In fact, the home team is on a 12-2 roll in this rivalry.
FOXSHEET
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line. Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games
(41-20 since 1997.) (67.2%, +43.3 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1 +9 units).
ONLY 5* TODAY
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line. Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games
(41-20 since 1997.) (67.2%, +43.3 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-1 +9 units).
ONLY 5* TODAY
THE DUKE SPORTS
Pittsburgh (+138) for 2 Units
To metaphorically sum up MLB's worst teams, the sun eventually shines on a dog's ass now and then; even cellar dwellers make a run now and then. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 in April and in early May, yet hasn't matched that since; therefore, we believe the stars are aligned in favor of Pittsburgh delivering tonight; after all, they're facing a struggling Phillies team that's had trouble at Pittsburgh (1-4), 0-4 as a road favorite of -110 to -150, and just 1-9 on the road when the 'total' is set at 7 to 8'. And the only bright spot on Ohlendorf's resume for Pitt is that he is 6-2 as a home dog in this price range. And throw in the fact that Pitt 's only favorable stat is that they're 5-3 in game 2 of a series following a win and the Buc's may get sun where the sun doesn't usually shine.
Pittsburgh (+138) for 2 Units
To metaphorically sum up MLB's worst teams, the sun eventually shines on a dog's ass now and then; even cellar dwellers make a run now and then. Pittsburgh won 4 of 5 in April and in early May, yet hasn't matched that since; therefore, we believe the stars are aligned in favor of Pittsburgh delivering tonight; after all, they're facing a struggling Phillies team that's had trouble at Pittsburgh (1-4), 0-4 as a road favorite of -110 to -150, and just 1-9 on the road when the 'total' is set at 7 to 8'. And the only bright spot on Ohlendorf's resume for Pitt is that he is 6-2 as a home dog in this price range. And throw in the fact that Pitt 's only favorable stat is that they're 5-3 in game 2 of a series following a win and the Buc's may get sun where the sun doesn't usually shine.
Friday 6* NL GOY RARE 95% System wins by 3 rpg- Worldcup play cashes, along with Jays and Yankees under. Free total plays below
On Friday the MLB Totals play is on the over in the Orioles at Redsox game. Rotation numbers 923/24 at 7:10 eastern. Boston has gone over 6 of 8 times at home when the posted total is 10 to 10.5. Both teams have been hitting well the past week. Baltimore has averaged 5.7 rpg on .314 hitting the past week, while Boston has averaged 6.3 runs per game over the past 7 games. In the pitching matchup the Orioles are going with B. Bergesen. Bergesen has gone over in 8 of his 11 starts and has a 8.64 road era. Boston counters with T. Wakefield tonight. Wakefield has a 6.91 home era this season.. For technical purposes we add this Top notch system. Play over the total for home favorites of -200 or higher if the total is 10 or more and they are off a loss and tonight opponent is off a home loss of 2 or more runs. This system has played over the total every time the past 7 seasons and has averaged 14.5 Rpg. Take the over 10 here tonight. Dont miss the 6* NL GOY going later on Friday evening.. For your MLB Total go over in the Baltimore at Boston Game. BOL GC
On Friday the MLB Totals play is on the over in the Orioles at Redsox game. Rotation numbers 923/24 at 7:10 eastern. Boston has gone over 6 of 8 times at home when the posted total is 10 to 10.5. Both teams have been hitting well the past week. Baltimore has averaged 5.7 rpg on .314 hitting the past week, while Boston has averaged 6.3 runs per game over the past 7 games. In the pitching matchup the Orioles are going with B. Bergesen. Bergesen has gone over in 8 of his 11 starts and has a 8.64 road era. Boston counters with T. Wakefield tonight. Wakefield has a 6.91 home era this season.. For technical purposes we add this Top notch system. Play over the total for home favorites of -200 or higher if the total is 10 or more and they are off a loss and tonight opponent is off a home loss of 2 or more runs. This system has played over the total every time the past 7 seasons and has averaged 14.5 Rpg. Take the over 10 here tonight. Dont miss the 6* NL GOY going later on Friday evening.. For your MLB Total go over in the Baltimore at Boston Game. BOL GC
