Service Plays Friday 7/02/10

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FIVE STAR (5*) SPORTS PICKS

3 Star LA Dodgers - 115
3 Star Houston + 149
4 Star Cleveland + 106
3 Star Minnesota + 108
 
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Vince Akins

Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins
Pick: Minnesota Twins +108

Minnesota had game one of this series in its grasp yesterday, before blowing the lead late and losing, 5-4, in extra frames. Look for them to bounce back tonight.

Bounce back is also what Minnesota starter Scott Baker will be looking to do tonight, and thankfully he’s been consistently good at it. In his last outing, he lasted just four and a third innings and 23 batters, allowing 11 hits in a loss to the Mets. The Twins are 10-0 since May 08, 2009 when Scott Baker starts after facing 25 or fewer hitters and they lost in his previous start for a net profit of $1000. Also, the Twins are 10-1 since May 08, 2009 when Scott Baker starts at home after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $810.

David Price hasn’t been able to keep up his torrid early season pace but is still pitching well recently. Strikeouts have been a strong key for Price along the way. However, the Twins have the third fewer strikeouts in the Major Leagues. The Rays are 0-3 since April 20, 2010 when David Price starts vs a team that has averaged fewer than six strikeouts per game. for a net profit of $520 when playing against.

In that series opener yesterday, left just eight on base individually in the loss. The Twins are 19-2 since July 28, 2009 after a game in which they left fewer than 10 men on base for a net profit of $1035.

SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: MINNESOTA 4, Tampa Bay 2
 
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Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Cleveland

The Indians look to build on their 9-3 record in Mitch Talbot's last 12 starts as an underdog. Cleveland is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 2
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.293; Cubs (Dempster) 14.345
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); N/A

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 13.854; Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 15.401
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Under

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.950; Washington (Atilano) 14.137
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Over

Game 907-908: Florida at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 14.016; Atlanta (Medlen) 15.485
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Florida (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Under

Game 909-910: San Francisco at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.868; Colorado (Chacin) 14.611
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Under

Game 911-912: Milwaukee at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Narveson) 14.762; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.341
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-180); Under

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.416; Arizona (Jackson) 15.630
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Under

Game 915-916: Houston at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 15.627; San Diego (Latos) 15.862
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: San Diego (-165); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-165); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 13.578; NY Yankees (Burnett) 15.173
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-155); Over

Game 919-920: Seattle at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Fister) 14.947; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.801
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-145); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.081; Cleveland (Talbot) 15.925
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); Under

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bergesen) 14.812; Boston (Wakefield) 14.601
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-240); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+200); Under

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garcia) 16.540; Texas (Lewis) 15.670
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+160); Under

Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.602; Minnesota (Baker) 15.767
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Under

Game 929-930: Kansas City at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 16.580; LA Angels (Saunders) 15.478
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+145); Under
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

Los Angeles –1½ +1.46 over ARIZONA Pinnacle

One has to figure this to be a huge letdown spot for Edwin Jackson after throwing that unlikely no-hitter against the Rays in his last start. It’s also worth noting that he threw 149 pitches in that game and even before that he was averaging 113 pitches per game. There are most certainly workload concerns surrounding Jackson for the remainder of the year and it’s also worth noting that he’ll face the Dodgers for the third time this year and that, too, is unfavorable for him. Jackson has had 4½-years of mediocrity and his second half stats have always been worse than his first half stats. The Dodgers are hearting up again with four wins in its last five with only loss over that stretch being that bizarre loss to the Yanks in which they blew a four-run lead in the ninth. Furthermore, the Dodgers have scored 42 runs over its last seven games and this park caters to their slew of line drive hitters. In fact, when the Dodgers were here back in mid-may, they swept the D-Backs and scored 26 times in the three-game set. Hiroki Kuroda is quietly establishing himself as a reliable asset. Since coming to the U.S. in 2008, Kuroda has turned in two remarkably consistent seasons, posting ERAs of 3.73 and 3.76. Are his skills as good as his surface stats? Yes. In fact, there are a number of reasons to believe Kuroda really is this good. He had elite control in both of his seasons in the majors and prior ownership of that skill in Japan. He had an increase in skills in his second season, even as MLB hitters got a longer look at him and he had good-to-great xERA and BPV marks (see explanation of BPV and PQS at the bottom of this page) in three of his last four professional seasons. Kuroda is coming off a brilliant June with a 3.47 xERA and a 104 BPV. The Dodgers laying about 11 cents is a cheap lay but chances are if they win they’ll win going away, thus the run-line wager. Play: Los Angeles –1½ +1.46 (Risking 2 units).


Winnipeg +3 over HAMILTON Pinnacle

The Blue Bombers will have their fifth head coach in seven years but at least Paul LaPolice brings with him from Saskatchewan a pedigree that promises to provide Winnipeg with some offensive prowess. Winnipeg also places a competent, when healthy, quarterback, as the Bombers were willing to take on Buck Pierce and his history of injuries. However, this being the first game and Pierce being a threat when he's right, the Blue Bombers could be a dangerous foe for any oncomers. The new regime went to work right away and rebuilt the offensive line, which is one of the beefiest in the league. The Ti-Cats are also a team on the rise and could easily contend for this division. These two closed out the pre-season with a 38-20 win by Hamilton and while we don't put a lot of merit into that one, it certainly could have influenced the price here. Canada Inns will be rocking and the Bombers have enough talent to stay close, even during the learning curve. Be sure to keep an eye on Winnipeg slotback Terence Jeffers-Harris, as combined with RB Fred Reid, we may some tricks that the Tabbies may not be prepared for. Play: Winnipeg +3 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).
 
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GREG SHAKER

MLB Total Fri, 07/02/10 - 10:05 PM

triple-dime bet 915 HOU / 916 SDP Over 6 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
MLB: Houston Astros at San Diego Padres - Over 6 (Oswalt/Latos)(Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game„ Date: 7/2/2010

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MLB Total Fri, 07/02/10 - 8:10 PM

double-dime bet 909 SFG / 910 COL Over 8 Bookmaker.com
Analysis:
MLB: San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies - Over 8 (Lincecu„m/Chacin) -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 7/2/2010
 
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SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Cincinnati v. Chicago 2:20pm
PICK: UNDER 9 Game ev

Oakland v. Cleveland 7:05pm
PICK: Indians ML +107 Game

Baltimore v. Boston 7:10pm
9* PICK: OVER 10 Game -105 best bet of the day #1

Florida v. Atlanta 7:35pm
PICK: Braves ML +107 game

Tampa Bay v. Minnesota 8:10pm
PICK: Twins ML +105 Game

LA v. Arizona 9:40pm
9* PICK: D' Backs ML +106 Game Best bet of the day #2

2* 3 TEAM PARLAY
Mariners ML +160 Game
Mets ML -110
OVER 8.5 Mets Game ev
 
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Friday MLB Totals play + big game info- GC



On Friday the Free MLB play is on the under in the Toronto at New York Yankees game. Rotation numbers 917/918 at 1;05 eastern. This game fits a nice totals system that averages just over 6 runs per game. What we want to do is play under for home favorites off a home favored win at -200 or higher, if they are taking on an opponent off a road favored loss. Toronto is struggling at the plate of late. They have averaged 2.4 rpg on .225 hitting the past week and are not even hitting the long ball of late. In divisional play they hit .230 and just .220 on the road. They have played under 2 of the 3 times the total was 10 or higher. The Yankees have gone under 6 of 7 times at home when the total is 10 to 10.5. In the pitching matchup both pitchers have struggled of late. However Burnett has a 3.46 home era and B. Cecil has a 3.11 road era.. A struggling Jays team could be just what the doctor ordered for AJ. Burnett. He has gone under in all 5 recent starts vs Toronto. Look for this one to stay under the total today. On Friday I have the 6* NL Goy. This guaranteed game is backed with a rare 95% system, 4 Power angles and a pitching advantage. MLB has been hot, as we are 20 games over .500 with no heavy favs. For the Bonus Play in day action go under the total between the Blue Jays and Yankees. BOL GC​
 
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Dunkel CFL

Today's CFL Picks

Hamilton at Winnipeg

The Bluebombers look to build on their 6-1-1 ATS record in their last 8 Friday games. Winnipeg is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has Hamilton favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+3). Here are all of today's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 2
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (7/1)

Game 405-406: Hamilton at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.955; Winnipeg 109.745
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3; 50 1/2
 
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WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING

Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
901 CIN ML +126 $10
903 PHIL ML -148 $25
905 NYM ML -117 $15
908 ATL ML +106 $26
912 STL ML -188 $22
914 ARIZ ML +106 $5
916 SD ML -157 $15
918 NYY ML -158 $30
918 NYY -1.5 +130 $12
920 DET ML -147 $14
924 BOS ML -215 $14
924 BOS -1.5 -120 $8
926 TEX ML -170 $33
928 MINN ML +103 $14
930 LAA ML -156 $26

AFL
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
352 TB -5 -107 $7
 

leave the gun . take the cannolis
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7/2 nsa

20 yanks-155
20 over10.5 boston
20 angels -165
 
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KIKI SPORTS

Friday July 2nd

1 unit NY Mets -120
2 units NY Yanks -155

WORLD CUP:
2 units Uruguary -.5 +100
1 unit Brazil OVER 2.5 +110
 

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