GAMBLERS WORLD
Tip of the Day - June 25, 2010
Date: 6.25.10 at 7:05PM
Game: San Diego Padres vs. Florida Marlins
Current Line: Florida ( -120)
Over/Under: 8.5
Play On: San Diego (100)
Inside the Board Room:
The Padres will trot Clayton Richard out to the mound in this one. Lefthander Richard has a 4-4 record and a 2.93 ERA this season. Starting this game for the Marlins will be Chris Volstad. The righthander has a 4.39 ERA to go along with a 4-6 record this season. The Padres failed to complete a three-game sweep, dropping the series finale 5-3 to the Rays on Thursday. Oddsmakers listed the Padres as +156 underdogs, while that game's eight runs went as a PUSH against the posted over/under (8).
Play the Padres!
Tip of the Day - June 25, 2010
Date: 6.25.10 at 7:05PM
Game: San Diego Padres vs. Florida Marlins
Current Line: Florida ( -120)
Over/Under: 8.5
Play On: San Diego (100)
Inside the Board Room:
The Padres will trot Clayton Richard out to the mound in this one. Lefthander Richard has a 4-4 record and a 2.93 ERA this season. Starting this game for the Marlins will be Chris Volstad. The righthander has a 4.39 ERA to go along with a 4-6 record this season. The Padres failed to complete a three-game sweep, dropping the series finale 5-3 to the Rays on Thursday. Oddsmakers listed the Padres as +156 underdogs, while that game's eight runs went as a PUSH against the posted over/under (8).
Play the Padres!
STAN SHARP
MLB Money Line Fri, 06/25/10 - 7:10 PM
double-dime bet FLA (-105) Bodog vs SDP
Analysis: Stan is Betting FLORIDA today. Stan notes that although Florida is under .500 this year they are a 62.5% Play when facing a left handed starter. Florida returns home winning 3 of their last 4 expect them to continue their winning ways. TAKE FLORIDA as STAN'S MLB GAME OF THE WEEK.
MLB Money Line Fri, 06/25/10 - 7:10 PM
double-dime bet FLA (-105) Bodog vs SDP
Analysis: Stan is Betting FLORIDA today. Stan notes that although Florida is under .500 this year they are a 62.5% Play when facing a left handed starter. Florida returns home winning 3 of their last 4 expect them to continue their winning ways. TAKE FLORIDA as STAN'S MLB GAME OF THE WEEK.
WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
303 Ariz +5.5 -105 $7
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PICK 4 PLAYS
952 UNDER 8.5 SD / FL -112 5.2 UNITS
956 UNDER 9 PHIL / TOR -124 4.4 UNITS
964 UNDER 9 ARIZ / TB -122 4.1 UNITS
972 UNDER 9.5 SEA / MIL -115 5 UNITS
Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
952 FL ML -107 $12
954 CWS ML -140 $27
955 PHIL ML -218 $25
957 WASH ML -109 $16
962 CIN ML -180 $11
966 ATL ML -164 $36
968 TEX -1.5 -145 $6
970 KC ML -143 $4
972 MIL ML -154 $12
974 OAK ML -175 $20
976 LAA ML -151 $37
977 NYY ML -174 $12
980 SF ML -123 $30
WNBA
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
AFLRot# Team Spread Line Wager
952 FL ML -107 $12
954 CWS ML -140 $27
955 PHIL ML -218 $25
957 WASH ML -109 $16
962 CIN ML -180 $11
966 ATL ML -164 $36
968 TEX -1.5 -145 $6
970 KC ML -143 $4
972 MIL ML -154 $12
974 OAK ML -175 $20
976 LAA ML -151 $37
977 NYY ML -174 $12
980 SF ML -123 $30
WNBA
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
602 CON -4.5 -107 $8
608 SEA -5.5 -106 $5
608 SEA -5.5 -106 $5
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
303 Ariz +5.5 -105 $7
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PICK 4 PLAYS
952 UNDER 8.5 SD / FL -112 5.2 UNITS
956 UNDER 9 PHIL / TOR -124 4.4 UNITS
964 UNDER 9 ARIZ / TB -122 4.1 UNITS
972 UNDER 9.5 SEA / MIL -115 5 UNITS
SUPER SPORTS GROUP
Chicago v. Chicago 4:10pm
PICK: Cubs ML +135 Game
Philadelphia v. Toronto 7:05pm
PICK: UNDER 8.5 Game -105
PICK: Jays RL (+1.5) +120 Game Best bet of the day #1
Cleveland v. Cincinnati 7:10pm
PICK: Indians ML +179 Game
St Louis v. KC 8:10pm
PICK: Cards ML +135 Game Best bet of the day #2
2* 3 TEAM PARLAY
UNDER 9 Washington +105 Game
Dodgers ML +151 Game
Mariners ML +144
Chicago v. Chicago 4:10pm
PICK: Cubs ML +135 Game
Philadelphia v. Toronto 7:05pm
PICK: UNDER 8.5 Game -105
PICK: Jays RL (+1.5) +120 Game Best bet of the day #1
Cleveland v. Cincinnati 7:10pm
PICK: Indians ML +179 Game
St Louis v. KC 8:10pm
PICK: Cards ML +135 Game Best bet of the day #2
2* 3 TEAM PARLAY
UNDER 9 Washington +105 Game
Dodgers ML +151 Game
Mariners ML +144
KEITH FREDRICK
Pittsburgh at Oakland
Pick: Pittsburgh +165
Yes, Pittsburgh IS 2-10 in their last twelve games, but (and this is key) SO IS OAKLAND! As such, cannot justify a line this high, and as such the dog is the play, especially since I really liked the way Lincoln pitched in his last game. He put in a quality start (going six innings and allowing three runs) but more importantly looked much more comfortable in that start than he did in his first two starts. Good value play on the Pirates here.
Pittsburgh at Oakland
Pick: Pittsburgh +165
Yes, Pittsburgh IS 2-10 in their last twelve games, but (and this is key) SO IS OAKLAND! As such, cannot justify a line this high, and as such the dog is the play, especially since I really liked the way Lincoln pitched in his last game. He put in a quality start (going six innings and allowing three runs) but more importantly looked much more comfortable in that start than he did in his first two starts. Good value play on the Pirates here.
SCOTT RICKENBACH
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Milwaukee vs Seattle @ 8:10 ET: Bush vs Rowland-Smith – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Play OVER the total in Milwaukee as a *10* Top Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Milwaukee vs Seattle @ 8:10 ET: Bush vs Rowland-Smith – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
Play OVER the total in Milwaukee as a *10* Top Play selection.
INDIAN COWBOY
WNBA
5-Unit Play. Take #608. Take Seattle Storm -6 over Indiana Fever (Friday @ 10pm est).
The line is actually going down so if you just wait on this you can probably get -5 or -5.5 as per this selection. Does the reverse line movement concern me a bit? Yes, but I think its mainly due to Sue Bird not playing rather than a heavy amount of money coming in on Indiana. Seattle is one of the best teams in the league to consistently get revenge against teams who they had lost to in the previous season. And, they are even better at it at home. Yes, this team lost to Indiana earlier this year by a score of 65-72. Although Indiana is really turning the corner and coming on strong of late, note that Seattle is 11-2 on the year and they have done extremely well at home winning by margins of 21 against the Silver Stars, 22 against Los Angeles and 18 against the Dream. Look for Seattle to avenge their earlier loss to Indiana at home today in front of their fans on Friday night Wnba which typically is typically the game that is the most well attended. The Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games and the Fever are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when facing a team with a straight up winning record. Despite the revenge, this could be a close ballgame but I'll still ride Seattle here with the revenge at home despite being the public favorite.
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MLB
4-Unit Play. Take #958. Take Under 9 Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles (Friday @ 07:05pm est)
J.D. Martin has pitched well despite being 0-3 as he does have a 3.55era. He has helped games go under in five of his last six starts, and he comes off a great start against the Whitesox that although the Nationals fell short 0-1, he gave up just one run in six innings. Jacob Arrieta has pitched decent as a whole given his three starts this year. He comes off a rough outing against the Padres on the road giving up five runs in three innings. But, in his two previous starts he had done well against the Giants on the road holding them to one run on seven innings and holding the Yankees to three runs on six innings in his home debut. I look for the young man from Texas Christian to do well today as he bounces back at home and I also look for JD to seek his first win on the road today in Baltimore. Although this series has had its fair share of offensive fireworks, I look for both of these teams to likely play to the under today. The Under is 5-1 in Martin's last six starts and the Under is 5-2 for the Orioles when the total is set at this range. The Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings for these two teams as well.
WNBA
5-Unit Play. Take #608. Take Seattle Storm -6 over Indiana Fever (Friday @ 10pm est).
The line is actually going down so if you just wait on this you can probably get -5 or -5.5 as per this selection. Does the reverse line movement concern me a bit? Yes, but I think its mainly due to Sue Bird not playing rather than a heavy amount of money coming in on Indiana. Seattle is one of the best teams in the league to consistently get revenge against teams who they had lost to in the previous season. And, they are even better at it at home. Yes, this team lost to Indiana earlier this year by a score of 65-72. Although Indiana is really turning the corner and coming on strong of late, note that Seattle is 11-2 on the year and they have done extremely well at home winning by margins of 21 against the Silver Stars, 22 against Los Angeles and 18 against the Dream. Look for Seattle to avenge their earlier loss to Indiana at home today in front of their fans on Friday night Wnba which typically is typically the game that is the most well attended. The Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games and the Fever are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when facing a team with a straight up winning record. Despite the revenge, this could be a close ballgame but I'll still ride Seattle here with the revenge at home despite being the public favorite.
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MLB
4-Unit Play. Take #958. Take Under 9 Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles (Friday @ 07:05pm est)
J.D. Martin has pitched well despite being 0-3 as he does have a 3.55era. He has helped games go under in five of his last six starts, and he comes off a great start against the Whitesox that although the Nationals fell short 0-1, he gave up just one run in six innings. Jacob Arrieta has pitched decent as a whole given his three starts this year. He comes off a rough outing against the Padres on the road giving up five runs in three innings. But, in his two previous starts he had done well against the Giants on the road holding them to one run on seven innings and holding the Yankees to three runs on six innings in his home debut. I look for the young man from Texas Christian to do well today as he bounces back at home and I also look for JD to seek his first win on the road today in Baltimore. Although this series has had its fair share of offensive fireworks, I look for both of these teams to likely play to the under today. The Under is 5-1 in Martin's last six starts and the Under is 5-2 for the Orioles when the total is set at this range. The Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings for these two teams as well.
DAVID MALINSKY
4* SAN FRANCISCO/BOSTON OVER 8
We are not supposed to be seeing an “8” in many Boston games right now, and certainly not in a Tim Wakefield/Jonathan Sanchez matchup with both bullpens weary. So with the wind blowing towards China Basin, we can get in play here.
The Red Sox have played 22 games in June, and only five finished with fewer than eight runs. An “8” as a Total has only appeared once, in a John Lackey/Ubaldo Jimenez hookup earlier this week that sailed Over. The 2-5/5.33 of Tim Wakefield does not bring anything special to the table, and the bullpen behind him poses major issues for Terry Francona. With Jonathan Papelbon almost assuredly out off of back-to-back nights, with a draining 32 pitches on Thursday, and Daniel Bard also off of a back-to-back (he has never worked three straight days in his career), the closer situation is cloudy, and with Scott Atchison out after 36 pitches last night, and Manny Delcarmen, Ramon Ramirez and Hideki Okajima all working two of the three games in Colorado, and all going last night, fresh set-up arms are not there either.
Jonathan Sanchez brings some market respect off of his 5-5/2.90, but this is a difficult matchup for him. Not only do the Red Sox lead the Major Leagues in runs and hits, but they are 3rd in drawing W’s, and that is his Achilles heel – a patient offense can force him deep into pitching counts, and out of his rhythm. Such challenges have been few and far between for him so far this season – of the 128 pitchers that have worked at least 60 innings, his difficulty of batters faced checks in at #126. He is coming off of a season high 27.4 PPI in his last outing, when he issued W’s to five of the 17 batters he faced at Toronto, the fourth time in the last 11 starts he has been pushed above 20.0, and we call for more of the same here. With Barry Zito and Matt Cain only lasting a combined 6.2 innings the last two days, the Giant bullpen also brings its own late-game issues, leaving the door wide open for runs throughout in this one.
4* SAN FRANCISCO/BOSTON OVER 8
We are not supposed to be seeing an “8” in many Boston games right now, and certainly not in a Tim Wakefield/Jonathan Sanchez matchup with both bullpens weary. So with the wind blowing towards China Basin, we can get in play here.
The Red Sox have played 22 games in June, and only five finished with fewer than eight runs. An “8” as a Total has only appeared once, in a John Lackey/Ubaldo Jimenez hookup earlier this week that sailed Over. The 2-5/5.33 of Tim Wakefield does not bring anything special to the table, and the bullpen behind him poses major issues for Terry Francona. With Jonathan Papelbon almost assuredly out off of back-to-back nights, with a draining 32 pitches on Thursday, and Daniel Bard also off of a back-to-back (he has never worked three straight days in his career), the closer situation is cloudy, and with Scott Atchison out after 36 pitches last night, and Manny Delcarmen, Ramon Ramirez and Hideki Okajima all working two of the three games in Colorado, and all going last night, fresh set-up arms are not there either.
Jonathan Sanchez brings some market respect off of his 5-5/2.90, but this is a difficult matchup for him. Not only do the Red Sox lead the Major Leagues in runs and hits, but they are 3rd in drawing W’s, and that is his Achilles heel – a patient offense can force him deep into pitching counts, and out of his rhythm. Such challenges have been few and far between for him so far this season – of the 128 pitchers that have worked at least 60 innings, his difficulty of batters faced checks in at #126. He is coming off of a season high 27.4 PPI in his last outing, when he issued W’s to five of the 17 batters he faced at Toronto, the fourth time in the last 11 starts he has been pushed above 20.0, and we call for more of the same here. With Barry Zito and Matt Cain only lasting a combined 6.2 innings the last two days, the Giant bullpen also brings its own late-game issues, leaving the door wide open for runs throughout in this one.
