Service Plays Friday 5/2/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
San Diego Padres -155 over Arizona Diamondbacks
(System Record: 19-0, won last 6 games)
Overall Record: 19-12

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Baltimore Orioles -105 over Minnesota
Oakland Athletics +115 over Boston
Philadelphia Phillies -111 over Washington Nats


Hockey
New York Rangers +135 over Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers + Pittsburgh Penguins OVER 5
Minnesota Wild + Chicago Blackhawks UNDER 5


Basketball
Houston Rockets +3.5 over Portland
Brooklyn Nets + Toronto Raptors OVER 191
Houston Rockets + Portland Trail Blazers OVER 213

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | OAKLAND at BOSTON
Play On – Road teams (OAKLAND) off a win of 6 runs or more over a division rival, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts
100-74 since 1997. ( 57.5% | 47.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | NY METS at COLORADO
NY METS are 41-35 (+27.8 Units) against the money line in Road games as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: NY METS (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.3)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Friday, May 2

All five Toronto-Brooklyn games were decided by 8 or less points, with three of last four going over total. DeRozan scored 30-30-24-23 points in last four games, but is just 32-88 from floor in series. Toronto was +9 in turnovers last two games; they're -16 (75-59) in series. Brooklyn lost seven of last ten games; they rallied back from 26 down in Game 5, fell point short. Underdogs are 4-0-1 vs spread so far in this series.

Dallas lost 12 of last 14 games vs Spurs, but they've covered all five in this series and last six games overall, covering last two games by half a point each. Underdogs covered last eight Dallas games. Three of last four series games went over total; over is 25-18 in Maverick home games this season, 24-19 in SA road games. Spurs covered once in their last seven games as a favorite. Four of five series games were decided by 6 or less.

Three of five Rocket-Blazer games went OT; Aldridge scored 29+ in all three Portland wins, was held to 23-9 in losses. Portland won 11 of last 15 games. Underdogs covered four of five series tilts; 11 of last 12 series games also went over, helped by OTs. Harden is 41-118 from floor this series, not good for Rockets. Portland is 19-24 vs spread at home, 2-5 in last seven games as the favorite. Over is 24-18 in Rocket road games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Friday, May 2

Rangers won Game 7 at home Wednesday, Penguins haven't played since Monday. Rangers split four games with Pitt this year, after Penguins won eight of previous nine games in series. All four meetings this year went over total. Rangers lost five of last six visits here- they won every other game in Philly series; NY is 27-17 on road, losing last two games at Philly in last round. Pittsburgh is 31-13 at home this year; five of their six games with Columbus ended in a 4-3 final score- six of their last eight games went over total.

Minnesota won Game 7 in OT Denver Wednesday, Chicago last played Sunday, winning last four games with St Louis after losing Games 1-2 in OT. Wild was 3-2 vs Chicago this season, splitting pair here- they've lost seven of last nine visits here, losing in five games to Hawks in LY's playoffs. Over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Minnesota is 21-24 on road, has to be little tired after playing OT game in altitude Wednesday. Chicago is 32-12 at home this year, winning all three home games in St Louis series.

 

[cracy]

StatSystemsSports.net
Inside the Paint- Thursday

NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
NBA Investigates Threats To Wizards: The Washington Wizards received terrorist threats on Twitter during their first-round playoff series from a person whom the National Basketball Association investigated. Wizards center Marcin Gortat said the individual apparently did not take kindly to Washington ousting the Chicago Bulls. The tweets came after the Wizards' Game #2 win in Chicago.

"He was saying there was a bomb on the plane and stuff, that my country's going to get bombed and all my family's going to die, just stuff like that. Just everyday stuff," said Gortat, who is from Poland. The NBA does not comment on security issues, but Gortat said, "Some people already visited him." The Wizards, who dispatched the Bulls in five games, face the winner of the Indiana-Atlanta series in the second round.

Betting Notes - Friday
•All five Toronto-Brooklyn games were decided by 8 or less points, with three of last four going over total. DeRozan scored 30-30-24-23 points in last four games, but is just 32-88 from floor in series. Toronto was +9 in turnovers last two games; they're -16 (75-59) in series. Brooklyn lost seven of last ten games; they rallied back from 26 down in Game #5, fell point short. Underdogs are 4-0-1 versus spread so far in this series.

•Dallas lost 12 of last 14 games versus Spurs, but they've covered all five in this series and last six contests overall, covering last two games by half a point each. Underdogs covered last eight Dallas games. Three of last four series games went over total; over is 25-18 in Maverick home games this season, 24-19 in SA road games. Spurs covered once in their last seven games as a favorite. Four of five series games were decided by 6 or less.

•Three of five Rocket-Blazer games went overtime; Aldridge scored 29+ in all three Portland wins, was held to 23-9 in losses. Portland won 11 of last 15 games. Underdogs covered four of five series tilts; 11 of last 12 series games also went over, helped by OTs. Harden is 41-118 from floor this series, not good for Rockets. Portland is 19-24 versus spread at home, 2-5 in last seven games as the favorite. Over is 24-18 in Rocket road games.

Hoop Trends - Friday
•DALLAS is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was DALLAS 105.9, OPPONENT 100.7.

•HOUSTON is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 117.2, OPPONENT 110.2.

•HOUSTON is 45-23 against the 1rst half line (+19.7 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was HOUSTON 56.0, OPPONENT 51.2.

•HOUSTON is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 55.5, OPPONENT 52.5.

•TERRY STOTTS is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) versus teams who are called for 2+ less fouls/game than their opponents - 2nd half of the season as the coach of PORTLAND.
The average score was STOTTS 110.3, OPPONENT 111.5.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 versus the money line (BROOKLYN) - poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%).
(33-3 since 1996.) (91.7%, +27.9 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -171.7
The average score in these games was: Team 102.5, Opponent 94.6 (Average point differential = +7.9)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1, +7.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2, +7.6 units).
___________________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

NBA | TORONTO at BROOKLYN
Play Over – Any team after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game
394-264 since 1997. ( 59.9% | 103.6 units )
25-14 this year. ( 64.1% | 9.6 units )

NBA | TORONTO at BROOKLYN
Play Against – Home teams vs. the money line (BROOKLYN) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a loss against a division rival
168-115 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.4% | 63.4 units )
31-20 this year. ( 60.8% | 9.7 units )

NBA | HOUSTON at PORTLAND
Play Over – All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, on Friday nights
128-71 since 1997. ( 64.3% | 49.9 units )
16-5 this year. ( 76.2% | 10.5 units )

 

[pjoyce5893]

Cleveland Insider (22-13-2 +20.45 L10D)

NBA
5* Portland Trailblazers -3.5 over the Houston Rockets
5* Portland Trailblazers ML -180 over the Houston Rockets
5* San Antonio Spurs ML -160 over the Dallas Mavericks

NHL
5* Pittsburgh Penguins -150 over the NY Rangers

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 2nd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#901 ST LOUIS @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (5-1, 1.20 ERA, WHIP: 0.778) - Wainwright has been brilliant in six starts, holding opponents scoreless in four of them while allowing only 24 hits in 45 innings overall. The 32-year-old gave up a season-high four runs in seven innings to beat Chicago on April 12 and boasts a scoreless streak of 25 innings. Junior Lake is 3-for-9 with a homer against Wainwright, who is 9-6 lifetime against the Cubs – 6-0 with a 3.72 ERA at Wrigley Field in Chicago.

--KEY STAT: WAINWRIGHT is 9-0 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WAINWRIGHT 6.1, OPPONENT 2.9.

--WAINWRIGHT is 18-3 (+12.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WAINWRIGHT 5.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

•Cubs LH Travis Wood (1-3, 3.52 ERA, WHIP: 1.337) - Wood had given up three earned runs or fewer in his first four starts before being charged with five over 5 2/3 innings in his last outing against Milwaukee. The 27-year-old has struck out 31 and walked only seven in 30 2/3 innings while getting only five runs of support in his three losses combined. Yadier Molina (11-for-27, three homers) has hit well against Wood, who is 3-5 in 11 starts with a 5.16 ERA versus St. Louis.

--KEY STAT: WOOD is 13-30 (-18.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 3.5, OPPONENT 3.9.

--WOOD is 24-44 (-21.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOOD 3.8, OPPONENT 3.9.

#903 WASHINGTON @ #904 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
•Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (2-2, 4.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.412) - Strasburg is coming off back-to-back strong starts in which he has allowed a total of two runs in 13 innings with a 20-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The 25-year-old has been much better at home (2.25 ERA, .245 opponents' average) than on the road (9.00, .325). In six career starts against Philadelphia, Strasburg is 2-1 with a 2.65 ERA, including his only career complete game - a 6-0 win last Aug. 11.

--KEY STAT: STRASBURG is 12-0 OVER (+12.4 Units) after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was STRASBURG 6.4, OPPONENT 5.4.

•Phillies LH Cliff Lee (3-2, 3.29 ERA, WHIP: 1.366) - Lee only struck out two batters in six innings against Arizona on Saturday and surrendered five runs - three earned - en route to a no-decision. In his previous two outings, Lee struck out 23 against only one walk while allowing one run over 17 frames. The former Cy Young Award winner is 6-4 with a 2.87 ERA against the Nationals, including 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts in 2013.

--KEY STAT: LEE is 6-14 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 2.8, OPPONENT 4.1.

--LEE is 38-18 (+19.1 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 5.7, OPPONENT 3.6.

#905 MILWAUKEE @ #906 CINCINNATI - 7:10 PM
•Brewers RH Wily Peralta (3-1, 2.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.137) - Peralta suffered his first defeat on Sunday against the Cubs despite a solid line of three runs and eight hits allowed in seven innings. Opponents are batting .242 against Peralta, but those numbers dip with runners on base (.196) and with runners in scoring position (.154). The 25-year-old Dominican pitched a three-hit shutout against the Reds last July 9 for his only career win against them.

--KEY STAT: PERALTA is 17-6 UNDER (+9.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.7, OPPONENT 3.7.

•Reds RH Mike Leake (2-2, 3.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.020) - Leake has worked into the seventh inning in all five of his starts and has yet to allow more than four runs in a game. He was basically right on those numbers against Atlanta his last time out, yielding four runs in seven frames - including three homers. Leake, who has allowed six home runs in 35 1/3 innings, has also struggled with the long ball against the Brewers in his career, surrendering seven homers in 31 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: LEAKE is 30-10 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEAKE 5.0, OPPONENT 3.7.

#907 LA DODGERS @ #908 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Dodgers RH Josh Beckett (0-0, 2.45 ERA, WHIP: 0.909) - Beckett continues to improve from a rough first outing of the season, giving up two earned runs on seven hits in 18 innings in his past three starts. He held the Rockies to two runs on four hits in eight innings April 25 but walked away with his fourth consecutive no-decision. Beckett, the winning pitcher for the Marlins in the clinching Game 6 of the 2003 World Series, is 0-1 with a 5.14 ERA in one career outing against his former team.

--KEY STAT: BECKETT is 0-7 (-8.0 Units) against the money line versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BECKETT 2.7, OPPONENT 4.9.

•Marlins RH Tom Koehler (2-2, 2.97 ERA, WHIP: 1.220) - Koehler allowed a season-high four earned runs in five innings in his last start Sunday, losing to the Mets. He struck out eight in his previous start against Atlanta, getting a no-decision in allowing two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings. Koehler is 0-1 in one career appearance against the Dodgers, allowing two runs on seven hits in five innings.

#909 SAN FRANCISCO @ #910 ATLANTA - 7:35 PM
•Giants RH Tim Lincecum (1-1, 5.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.636) - Lincecum gave up nine hits but only two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings against Cleveland on Saturday, his third consecutive solid start after giving up 11 earned runs on 15 hits in 10 innings across his first two outings. Opponents are hitting .333 off Lincecum, who struck out a season-low three in his last start. Lincecum split two decisions against the Braves last season with a 1.38 ERA and is 7-6 lifetime against Atlanta.

--KEY STAT: LINCECUM is 14-4 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 5.5, OPPONENT 3.5.

--LINCECUM is 16-5 OVER (+10.8 Units) in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 6.2, OPPONENT 5.4.

--LINCECUM is 12-4 OVER (+8.4 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LINCECUM 5.0, OPPONENT 4.2.

•Braves LH Mike Minor (2013: 13-9, 3.21 ERA, WHIP: N/A) - Minor made five appearances during a minor-league rehab assignment, posting a 4.43 ERA with 19 strikeouts and four walks in 22 1/3 innings. He made 32 starts last season, finishing ninth in the NL in WHIP (1.090) for the second year in a row. Minor held opponents to a .232 batting average last season but wore down in the season’s final weeks, losing four of his last five starts.

--KEY STAT: MINOR is 15-6 OVER (+9.3 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MINOR 5.2, OPPONENT 3.2.

#911 NY METS @ #912 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Mets RH Zach Wheeler (1-2, 3.99 ERA, WHIP: 1.432) - Wheeler received a no-decision against Miami in his last start despite striking out 10 in six innings. He gave up one run and four hits while reaching double digits in strikeouts for the second time in 22 career starts. Wheeler never has faced the Rockies, with Drew Stubbs (1-for-2) being the only current Colorado player who previously has batted against him.

•Rockies LH Jorge De La Rosa (2-3, 5.23 ERA, WHIP: 1.323) - De La Rosa has won back-to-back starts while giving up two runs and nine hits in 12 innings. He was sharp against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday, when he allowed one run and four hits in seven frames. De La Rosa is 4-1 with a 4.55 ERA in 10 career appearances (four starts) against the Mets.

--KEY STAT: DE LA ROSA is 8-0 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 6.8, OPPONENT 3.4.

--DE LA ROSA is 28-11 (+16.5 Units) against the money line versus terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 5.1, OPPONENT 4.0.

--DE LA ROSA is 33-10 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.4.

--DE LA ROSA is 30-12 OVER (+17.3 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DE LA ROSA 7.9, OPPONENT 5.4.

#913 ARIZONA @ #914 SAN DIEGO - 10:10 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Bronson Arroyo (1-2, 7.77 ERA, WHIP: 1.809) - Arroyo allowed 14 runs and 18 hits in back-to-back starts before turning in a strong performance against Philadelphia last Saturday, when he yielded two runs over 6 1/3 innings. Nick Hundley is 5-for-10 with a homer against Arroyo, who is 7-7 with a 3.99 ERA in 16 career starts against San Diego. The 37-year-old, who signed a two-year, $23.5 million free-agent contract with Arizona during spring training, has gone 3-2 with a 2.13 ERA in six starts at Petco Park.

--KEY STAT: ARROYO is 6-14 (-10.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARROYO 3.7, OPPONENT 5.2.

--ARROYO is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARROYO 4.9, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 0*)

•Padres RH Andrew Cashner (2-3, 2.68 ERA, WHIP: 1.141) - Cashner has struggled in his last two starts after allowing a total of three earned runs in his first three outings covering 22 1/3 innings. Paul Goldschmidt is 3-for-6 with a home run against the 27-year-old, who is 3-0 with a 3.81 ERA in nine career games (five starts) against the Diamondbacks. Cashner has been especially strong at Petco Park, where he’s 10-6 with a 2.23 ERA in 38 career games (16 starts), including 2-0 with an 0.81 ERA in two starts this season.
________________________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PAUL LEINER

100* Raptors +5
100* Dodgers -135
50* Pirates -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JEFF CLEMENT

8* NY Mets +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball33

USA: MLB
Cincinnati Reds - Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers +1


USA: MLB
Miami Marlins - Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers


USA: MLB
Los Angeles Angels - Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers +1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ART ARONSON

10* Blockbuster – Toronto Raptors -5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

MARLINS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE FACTSMAN

Friday MLB Video Pick

OVER 8 - Tampa Bay vs NY Yankees

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Guaranteed Sports picks

Indians
Diamondbacks
Cardinals
Braves
Raptors
Spurs
Rockets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Goodfella

Friday Night MLB Team Total

OAKLAND A's OVER 4.5 RUNS (-105 @BOL)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday's MLB betting cheat sheet: Over value in pitching duel

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Friday's MLB betting action:

Rocky Mountain High

A late New York Mets rally allowed the Colorado Rockies to remain one of the strongest Over plays in the National League. New York scored four times in the final two innings of a 7-4 loss in Colorado, improving the Rockies to 19-9-2 O/U.

Dueling Aces

The low total of the day (6.5) belongs to the matchup between Washington's Stephen Strasburg and Philadelphia's Cliff Lee. But Under bettors beware: Strasburg is 5-1 O/U in his first six starts on the season, while Lee is 3-2-1 O/U.

Road Rules

Road favorites have come through in a big way so far in 2014, going 71-53 against the moneyline. There are three road faves on Friday's schedule: St. Louis (-165) visiting the Chicago Cubs, the Los Angeles Dodgers (-128) in Miami, and Seattle (-184) playing in Houston.

Pitching Notes

* San Francisco hurler Tim Lincecum has provided plenty of value away from AT&T Park of late, leading the Giants to a 5-1 mark in his last six appearances as a road underdog. Lincecum and the Giants are +135 for Friday's game in Atlanta.

* Pittsburgh Pirates right-hander Gerrit Cole was the hottest Over play in the majors for a stretch, but that trend may be shifting. Cole, who has gone Under in back-to-back starts following seven straight Over, will face Brandon Morrow and the Toronto Blue Jays (+132, 7.5) in Friday's series opener.

Hitting Notes

* Braves outfielder B.J. Upton homered in Thursday's 5-4 loss to Miami, marking the first time the Braves have lost a game in which Upton goes deep. Yet, while Atlanta dropped to 9-1 overall in games featuring an Upton homer, its streak of Overs in such situations remained intact at 10-0 O/U.

* Mets third baseman David Wright is just 4-for-35 over his last nine games, during which New York has gone 2-5-2 O/U.

Total Streaks

Miami Marlins (4-1-1 O/U): The Marlins closed out an impressive sweep of the visiting Braves Thursday, racking up 23 runs in three games against one of the most impressive pitching rotations in baseball.

Prop of the Day

The Chicago White Sox are installed as a +100 underdog to be the last team to score a run in Friday's game against the host Cleveland Indians. The White Sox lead the majors with 67 runs scored from the seventh inning on.

Injury Watch

* Cincinnati Reds speedster Billy Hamilton is expected to miss a couple of days with sprained knuckles. Hamilton is among the league leaders with 11 stolen bases. The Reds are 7-2 and 3-6 O/U in games in which he swipes at least one bag.

Weather Watch

* It could be a high-scoring day at Wrigley Field between the Cubs and the Cardinals. The wind is expected to blow out to center field at 11 mph. Teams averaged better than 13 runs per game last season when the wind was blowing in that direction.

* The Boston Red Sox and visiting Oakland Athletics may also see a bump in scoring. With the wind expected to blow out to right field at 9 mph, teams combined to average 10.38 runs in 20 games in 2013 when the wind blew out in that direction.

Umpire Stat of the Day

The home team is 6-0 in umpire Jerry Layne's last six games behind home plate. Layne will work the balls and strikes for Cincinnati's series opener against visiting Milwaukee.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 9:20 a.m. ET Friday.

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
FRIDAY, MAY 2nd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#915 TAMPA BAY @ #916 NY YANKEES - 7:05 PM
•Rays LH David Price (3-2, 4.75 ERA, WHIP: 1.176) - Price has given up six earned runs in two of his last three starts while tossing a complete game in the middle outing. He hasn’t walked more than one batter in any of his six starts and has 47 strikeouts against five free passes in 41 2/3 innings. Price is 9-5 with a 3.90 ERA in 22 career appearances (21 starts) against the Yankees.

•Yankees LH Vidal Nuno (0-0, 6.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.752) - Nuno scattered three hits over five scoreless innings against Tampa Bay on April 20 but wasn’t involved in the decision. He gave up three runs and five hits in 4 1/3 frames versus the Los Angeles Angels in his last outing and again received a no-decision. Nuno is 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two career starts against the Rays.

#917 CHI WHITE SOX @ #918 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•White Sox LH John Danks (2-1, 3.48 ERA, WHIP: 1.419) - Danks reeled off four consecutive quality starts to open the season before yielding four runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 4-0 loss to Tampa Bay on Saturday. The 29-year-old Austin, Texas, native has struggled with his command, walking 17 while striking out 18 in 31 innings. Danks is 5-9 with a 5.04 ERA in 19 starts against the Indians but defeated them 7-3 on April 10, allowing three runs and six hits, and has struggled against Ryan Raburn (13-for-37, three home runs, nine RBIs).

--KEY STAT: DANKS is 1-10 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 2.8, OPPONENT 5.1.

--DANKS is 2-13 (-12.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.0, OPPONENT 5.5.

--DANKS is 31-14 UNDER (+15.4 Units) in road games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DANKS 3.5, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Indians RH Danny Salazar (0-3, 6.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.657) - Salazar allowed one run and five hits while striking out eight in seven innings and didn't receive a decision in Cleveland's 4-1 loss at San Francisco on Sunday. The 24-year-old Dominican Republic native lowered his ERA by 1.81 after struggling in three straight starts, allowing five runs in each turn and not getting out of the fifth inning in any of them. Salazar is 1-1 with a 4.97 ERA and 27 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings against Chicago, and has been dominated by Alexei Ramirez (6-for-7, home run).

#919 OAKLAND @ #920 BOSTON - 7:10 PM
•Athletics RH Dan Straily (1-1, 5.14 ERA, WHIP: 1.214) - Straily is slowing coming around and posted a quality start by holding the Houston Astros to three runs on four hits while striking out seven in 6 1/3 innings on Saturday. The 25-year-old has surrendered at least one home run in each of his five starts and a total of seven in 28 innings. Straily is making his first ever appearance against Boston.

•Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (1-2, 6.66 ERA, WHIP: 1.754) - Buchholz finally got his first win on Saturday at Toronto, allowing three runs on six hits in a season-high seven innings. The Texas native issued a season-high three walks in that start but limited the damage by inducing 11 groundouts. Buchholz has not had a lot of success against Oakland in his career and owns a 2-2 record with a 7.90 ERA and .342 batting average against in six starts.

--KEY STAT: BUCHHOLZ is 9-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 5.5, OPPONENT 2.6.

--BUCHHOLZ is 27-12 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUCHHOLZ 5.2, OPPONENT 3.7.

#921 DETROIT @ #922 KANSAS CITY - 8:10 PM
•Tigers RH Rick Porcello (3-1, 3.96 ERA, WHIP: 1.120) - Porcello has alternated good and mediocre starts this season and both less-than-stellar ones have come away from home, including his last outing at Minnesota on April 25 when he allowed four runs in five innings. The 25-year-old sinkerballer has made 15 career starts against Kansas City, logging a 6-3 record with a 4.55 ERA and .288 batting average against. Porcello must be wary of Eric Hosmer and Alex Gordon, who are batting .357 and .355, respectively, with two homers each against him.

--KEY STAT: PORCELLO is 37-20 OVER (+15.9 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.5, OPPONENT 4.3.

•Royals RH James Shields (3-2, 2.03 ERA, WHIP: 0.950) - Shields went 0-2 in his first three starts, including a no-decision at Detroit on Opening Day when he surrendered three runs on five hits in 6 1/3 innings. He has been sensational in winning his last three turns - all on the road - by allowing a combined four earned runs and 13 hits while striking out 27 over 21 innings. Shields is 6-3 with a 4.13 ERA lifetime against Detroit and has been tormented by Miguel Cabrera, who is 18-for-43 with two homers and seven RBIs against him.

--KEY STAT: SHIELDS is 34-14 (+15.2 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

--SHIELDS is 21-8 UNDER (+12.3 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SHIELDS 4.1, OPPONENT 2.7.

#923 BALTIMORE @ #924 MINNESOTA - 8:10 PM
•Orioles RH Ubaldo Jimenez (0-4, 6.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.829) - Jimenez made small strides in his previous start April 25 against Kansas City, allowing four runs and six hits in six innings, but he remains without a quality start and entered Thursday with the highest WHIP (1.829) among qualified starters in the American League. The 30-year-old allowed just three runs in 12 2/3 innings in two starts versus Minnesota last year. He is 3-1 with a 2.63 ERA in four career starts at Target Field.

--KEY STAT: JIMENEZ is 12-25 (-15.1 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was JIMENEZ 3.8, OPPONENT 4.8.

•Twins RH Ricky Nolasco (2-2, 6.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.753) - Second to Jimenez in the WHIP category in the American League is Nolasco, who has given up 43 hits in 29 2/3 innings. Opponents have recorded at least 10 hits in three of Nolasco's five starts, including April 24 at Tampa Bay, which got to him for six runs and 10 hits in six innings. Nolasco's lone home start was far and away the best outing of his year, as he yielded a run in eight frames versus Kansas City on April 12.

--KEY STAT: NOLASCO is 12-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLASCO 5.3, OPPONENT 3.5.

#925 SEATTLE @ #926 HOUSTON - 8:10 PM
•Mariners RH Felix Hernandez (3-1, 2.40 ERA, WHIP: 0.895) - Hernandez is 2-2 with a 2.16 ERA in four career starts against Houston. He won his first three outings of the season but has since gone 0-1 with two no-decisions. Hernandez has only allowed 30 hits in 41 1/3 innings and has struck out 47 against just seven walks.

--KEY STAT: HERNANDEZ is 16-24 (-16.4 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.6, OPPONENT 4.1.

--HERNANDEZ is 13-22 (-15.2 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HERNANDEZ 3.3, OPPONENT 4.2.

•Astros RH Brad Peacock (0-2, 5.95 ERA, WHIP: 1.980) - Peacock is making his third consecutive start after opening the season in the bullpen. He received a no-decision against Oakland in his last turn, when he gave up five runs (three earned) and five hits in five innings. Peacock is 2-2 with a 7.20 ERA in four career starts against Seattle.

#927 TEXAS @ #928 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM
•Rangers RH Colby Lewis (1-1, 4.60 ERA, WHIP: 1.469) - Lewis hasn’t been flashy but he’s been remarkably consistent in the three starts since returning from a 21-month absence due to elbow and hip surgeries. He has lasted between five and 5 1/3 innings in each outing and hasn’t allowed more than a run in any of those frames. He has been tough to score on during his recent appearances in Anaheim, owning a 1-2 mark with a 2.03 ERA in his last four starts there.

•Angels LH Hector Santiago (0-4, 4.44 ERA, WHIP: 1.443) - Santiago went winless in April with his new club and failed to get through six innings in all but one of his five starts. He has made four appearances against Texas in his career, including two starts, and owns a 1.98 ERA in those games. Prince Fielder seems to have Santiago’s number more than the other Rangers, collecting five hits in 12 career at-bats.

--KEY STAT: SANTIAGO is 0-7 (-8.4 Units) against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTIAGO 3.7, OPPONENT 8.3.

--SANTIAGO is 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTIAGO 3.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

#929 TORONTO @ #930 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM
•Blue Jays RH Brandon Morrow (1-2, 6.04 ERA, WHIP: 1.567) - Morrow did not allow a hit in his last outing, but he'd rather bury the memory of a disastrous stint in which he walked a career-high eight batters and yielded four runs in only 2 2/3 innings of a loss at Boston. He has gone past five innings in only one of his five starts, when he fanned a season-high nine in six innings against Houston on April 9 - his only victory. Morrow has issued 14 walks and struck out 11 in a combined 11 1/3 innings over his past three outings.

--KEY STAT: MORROW is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MORROW 6.3, OPPONENT 5.6.

--MORROW is 13-2 OVER (+11.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MORROW 5.6, OPPONENT 5.5.

•Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (2-2, 3.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.265) - Like Morrow, Cole is winless in his last three turns despite back-to-back strong starts in which he has permitted only two runs in 15 frames, including a 1-0 loss to St. Louis last time out. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2011 draft has pitched at least six innings in 13 consecutive regular-season starts dating to Aug. 16, 2013. Cole endured some struggles at home during last year's rookie campaign, but he has yielded only five runs in his last four starts at PNC Park.
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[jdsabre]

EZWINNERS

3* Rockets +4
3* Rockets +162

2* Giants +128
2* Rockies -140
2* Tigers +126
2* Rangers +120

 

[jdsabre]

River City Sharps

2 Units Brewers / Reds Over 7.5