jeff benton friday
1-0 yesterday..PLUS 20 dimer on the celtics..overall, 36-41-3 MINUS 15 dimers since i started posting.
Friday's Winner 20 DIME: TORONTO BLUE JAYS
NOTE: List Brett Cecil as Toronto's starting pitcher. If Cecil does NOT start, this play is VOID!
Blue Jays
Toronto lefty Brett Cecil is the real deal. In four starts since being called up from Triple-A Las Vegas, Cecil has surrendered just nine runs, 19 hits and seven walks in 26 innings (3.12 ERA, 1.00 WHIP), and over his last three starts he’s posted a 2.33 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP.
The fact Cecil comes from the left side is huge, because the Rangers have struggled to hit southpaws all season long. Texas is batting just .236 overall against lefties, including a lowly .211 on the road. And going back to last season, the Rangers have lost 45 of 64 road games when facing a left-handed starter.
Speaking of starting pitching, Rich Harden gets the ball for Texas, and while he’s been very good himself this season, he’s had no success against Toronto. And when I say no success, I mean he faced the Jays five times when he was with Oakland from 2003-2008, and the A’s won just one of those five games. And then back in the first week of this season, he lasted only 3 2/3 innings against Toronto, giving up three runs on three hits and a whopping five walks, with the Blue Jays prevailing 7-4 (Toronto took two of three in that series in Texas).
And check out what Harden has done in two career starts in the dome in Canada: 9 1/3 innings, 11 runs, 12 hits and eight walks, losing 13-5 and 4-2.
Finally, the Blue Jays come into this contest having won 16 of 21 as a favorite, 12 of 15 as a home favorite, 12 of 15 against teams with a winning record and eight of 11 versus right-handed starters. They’re also 7-3 against Texas in the last 10 meetings north of the border.
Look for Cecil to dominate the punchless Rangers offense, while Toronto – which has scored at least five runs in nine of its last 15 games – will eventually get to Harden (who has pitched more than six innings just once all year) and then an inconsistent Rangers bullpen. Lay the cheap price.