DAVE MALINSKY
4* DALLAS over UTAH
Yes, we are going to land here, but first we had to let the markets do their thing and create the +4’s for us. Now it is time to go, and the next items of info will not come as any “news” at all to long-time followers.
We have written this often the past two seasons – the Mavericks bring one of the most experienced lineups in the NBA, along with outstanding size, depth and defense. Those are the ingredients to make you a true tough out on the road, but their savvy takes it a step further – they continue to do a remarkable job of winning these games, not just staying inside the number. They have been road underdogs 25 times the past two seasons, and are a remarkable 16-8-1 straight-up in regulation play in those games. And now that the likes of Chandler, Butler, Stevenson and Haywood have had a chance to fully assimilate they are a perfect 6-0 ATS as road underdogs this season, with five SU wins and the only defeat coming by just two points at New Orleans.
Want a list of some tough places to win? The Mavericks already have outright victories at San Antonio, Oklahoma City, Atlanta and Denver this season. From LY add a dozen outright wins over teams that made the playoffs, including such easy places to win as Los Angeles (Lakers, of course), Orlando and Boston. Now they come in about as fresh as a team can be for a road game, having only had home walkovers vs. Houston on Monday and Minnesota on Wednesday in which no starter even played a full 30:00 either time. They rate better than the Jazz on both our best defensive ratings (#5 vs. #10), and rebounding (#9 vs. #25), and when you can win those categories you are right in the hunt to grab another road victory.
4* DALLAS over UTAH
Yes, we are going to land here, but first we had to let the markets do their thing and create the +4’s for us. Now it is time to go, and the next items of info will not come as any “news” at all to long-time followers.
We have written this often the past two seasons – the Mavericks bring one of the most experienced lineups in the NBA, along with outstanding size, depth and defense. Those are the ingredients to make you a true tough out on the road, but their savvy takes it a step further – they continue to do a remarkable job of winning these games, not just staying inside the number. They have been road underdogs 25 times the past two seasons, and are a remarkable 16-8-1 straight-up in regulation play in those games. And now that the likes of Chandler, Butler, Stevenson and Haywood have had a chance to fully assimilate they are a perfect 6-0 ATS as road underdogs this season, with five SU wins and the only defeat coming by just two points at New Orleans.
Want a list of some tough places to win? The Mavericks already have outright victories at San Antonio, Oklahoma City, Atlanta and Denver this season. From LY add a dozen outright wins over teams that made the playoffs, including such easy places to win as Los Angeles (Lakers, of course), Orlando and Boston. Now they come in about as fresh as a team can be for a road game, having only had home walkovers vs. Houston on Monday and Minnesota on Wednesday in which no starter even played a full 30:00 either time. They rate better than the Jazz on both our best defensive ratings (#5 vs. #10), and rebounding (#9 vs. #25), and when you can win those categories you are right in the hunt to grab another road victory.
jeff benton thursday
0-3 yesterday..i can honestly say, from my perspective, the jeff benton 40 dime selection and 5 dime ML on the cavaliers last night, quite possibly is the worst selection i've ever seen. in fact, any capper who last night gave the cavaliers as their pick is an idiot, lol. common really the cavaliers ...thank god I took the HEAT.
Friday's Action
25 Dime college football release on NORTHERN ILLINOIS as a big favorite over Miami (Ohio) in the Mid-American Conaerence championship game from Detroit. The Huskies are a 17½- to 18-point favorite both here in Vegas and offsohore. This number has been climbing all week, and I don’t exeect that to stop today, so get your wager in as soon as possible.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
What’s not to like about the Huskies? Nine straight victories, including an 8-0 romp through the Mid-American Conference. They’ve gone 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games, including six straight covers as a double-digit favorite.
The results of the nine-game winning streak: 34-23 (at Big Ten member Minnesota, which was terrible this year BUT just beat Top 25 Iowa last week), 50-14, 31-17, 45-14, 33-7, 28-21, 65-30, 59-21 and 71-3. Those latter three scores closed out the regular season, the last two on the highway.
You want impressive? Last Saturday, with absolutely nothing to play for because they’d already wrapped up the MAC’s West Division, Northern Illinois went to Eastern Michigan and won 71-3 as a 25½-point favorite, outgaining the lowly Eagles 646-160!
During the winning streak, Northern Illinois has topped 30 points in all but one game (when it scored 28 in a seven-point road victory at Western Michigan) and averaged 46.2 ppg. Defensively, the Huskies held eight of nine opponents to 23 points or fewer and yielded an average of 16.8 ppg. And not only was the average margin of victory nearly 30 ppg, but six of the nine wins were by 33 points or more.
Miami (Ohio) deserves a ton of credit for putting together the biggest turnaround season in major college football this year, going from 1-11 last year to 8-4 this year, closing the season with four straight wins. However, the Redhawks is still VERY lucky to be here. They beat a deflated Temple squad last Tuesday 23-3 as a nine-point underdog (Temple’s MAC title dreams ended with a loss the previous week so it came out flat), and still needed Ohio to get upset at Kent on Saturday to claim the MAC East crown (and Ohio obliged).
If you break down Miami’s schedule, you’ll find six MAC teams that range from average (Temple, Central Michigan) to bloody awful (Akron, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Kent State and Eastern Michigan), plus a non-conference game against crappy Colorado State. Those are the Redhawks’ eight wins. The four losses? 34-13 to above-average Ohio (at home!), plus road setbacks at Cincinnati (45-3), Missouri (51-13) and Florida (34-12).
So against the four best teams they faced, the Redhawks went 0-4 SU (1-3 ATS) and lost by a combined score of 164-41, giving up at least 34 points in every game. And get this: Miami had its #1 quarterback (Zac Dysert) in each of those four losses. Well, Dysert will miss his third straight game with an injury, and his replacement (Austin Boucher) averaged less than 190 passing yards in his first two starts. And forget about Miami’s running game picking up the slack, as it averages just 96.6 rushing ypg. Northern Illinois? It averages nearly 280 rushing ypg!
Blowout city here as the hottest team in the country rolls to another 25-plus-point win and improves to 10-0-1 ATS in its last 11 games, including 6-0 ATS
0-3 yesterday..i can honestly say, from my perspective, the jeff benton 40 dime selection and 5 dime ML on the cavaliers last night, quite possibly is the worst selection i've ever seen. in fact, any capper who last night gave the cavaliers as their pick is an idiot, lol. common really the cavaliers ...thank god I took the HEAT.
Friday's Action
25 Dime college football release on NORTHERN ILLINOIS as a big favorite over Miami (Ohio) in the Mid-American Conaerence championship game from Detroit. The Huskies are a 17½- to 18-point favorite both here in Vegas and offsohore. This number has been climbing all week, and I don’t exeect that to stop today, so get your wager in as soon as possible.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
What’s not to like about the Huskies? Nine straight victories, including an 8-0 romp through the Mid-American Conference. They’ve gone 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games, including six straight covers as a double-digit favorite.
The results of the nine-game winning streak: 34-23 (at Big Ten member Minnesota, which was terrible this year BUT just beat Top 25 Iowa last week), 50-14, 31-17, 45-14, 33-7, 28-21, 65-30, 59-21 and 71-3. Those latter three scores closed out the regular season, the last two on the highway.
You want impressive? Last Saturday, with absolutely nothing to play for because they’d already wrapped up the MAC’s West Division, Northern Illinois went to Eastern Michigan and won 71-3 as a 25½-point favorite, outgaining the lowly Eagles 646-160!
During the winning streak, Northern Illinois has topped 30 points in all but one game (when it scored 28 in a seven-point road victory at Western Michigan) and averaged 46.2 ppg. Defensively, the Huskies held eight of nine opponents to 23 points or fewer and yielded an average of 16.8 ppg. And not only was the average margin of victory nearly 30 ppg, but six of the nine wins were by 33 points or more.
Miami (Ohio) deserves a ton of credit for putting together the biggest turnaround season in major college football this year, going from 1-11 last year to 8-4 this year, closing the season with four straight wins. However, the Redhawks is still VERY lucky to be here. They beat a deflated Temple squad last Tuesday 23-3 as a nine-point underdog (Temple’s MAC title dreams ended with a loss the previous week so it came out flat), and still needed Ohio to get upset at Kent on Saturday to claim the MAC East crown (and Ohio obliged).
If you break down Miami’s schedule, you’ll find six MAC teams that range from average (Temple, Central Michigan) to bloody awful (Akron, Bowling Green, Buffalo, Kent State and Eastern Michigan), plus a non-conference game against crappy Colorado State. Those are the Redhawks’ eight wins. The four losses? 34-13 to above-average Ohio (at home!), plus road setbacks at Cincinnati (45-3), Missouri (51-13) and Florida (34-12).
So against the four best teams they faced, the Redhawks went 0-4 SU (1-3 ATS) and lost by a combined score of 164-41, giving up at least 34 points in every game. And get this: Miami had its #1 quarterback (Zac Dysert) in each of those four losses. Well, Dysert will miss his third straight game with an injury, and his replacement (Austin Boucher) averaged less than 190 passing yards in his first two starts. And forget about Miami’s running game picking up the slack, as it averages just 96.6 rushing ypg. Northern Illinois? It averages nearly 280 rushing ypg!
Blowout city here as the hottest team in the country rolls to another 25-plus-point win and improves to 10-0-1 ATS in its last 11 games, including 6-0 ATS
The Duke's Sports
Northern Illinois (-17') for 1.5 Units
When a team produces a 9-0-1 ATS mark from week 3, bookmakers can zap the value from that team. The Huskies are coming off a 71-3 annihilation at E.Michigan, which was our 3.5* Best Bet, and are cast as significant favorites here with limited value against a surging Miami Ohio club. We will tread lightly with the Huskies, however, on account of their maturity, explosive offense, and rock solid defense. Sure, Miami Ohio upset a very good Temple team last week; however, leading into that game, the Owls were coming off a devastating loss to Ohio, which squashed their chances of a MAC Championship and limped into Oxford uninspired and surely played like it. We do realize that the Redhawks' defense has played great against their last 4 opponents but those teams don't present the offensive firepower N. Illinois well balance attack does. Furthermore, the N. Illinois defense has a lot of nasty in it. They play the run well and have a ball hawking secondary (16 INT). Miami's offense doesn't run the ball effectively enough to allow inexperienced QB Boucher to settle in here. Huskies the call.
Northern Illinois (-17') for 1.5 Units
When a team produces a 9-0-1 ATS mark from week 3, bookmakers can zap the value from that team. The Huskies are coming off a 71-3 annihilation at E.Michigan, which was our 3.5* Best Bet, and are cast as significant favorites here with limited value against a surging Miami Ohio club. We will tread lightly with the Huskies, however, on account of their maturity, explosive offense, and rock solid defense. Sure, Miami Ohio upset a very good Temple team last week; however, leading into that game, the Owls were coming off a devastating loss to Ohio, which squashed their chances of a MAC Championship and limped into Oxford uninspired and surely played like it. We do realize that the Redhawks' defense has played great against their last 4 opponents but those teams don't present the offensive firepower N. Illinois well balance attack does. Furthermore, the N. Illinois defense has a lot of nasty in it. They play the run well and have a ball hawking secondary (16 INT). Miami's offense doesn't run the ball effectively enough to allow inexperienced QB Boucher to settle in here. Huskies the call.
