John Chang
Bookie Assassin
NBA
Houston Rockets/MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES under 206, 10 dimes
New York Knicks +6.5 over NEW ORLEANS HORNETS, 10 dimes
Chicago Bulls +5.5 over BOSTON CELTICS, 10 dimes
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -12 over Minnesota Timberwolves, 10 dimes
NCAA Basketball
Kansas State Wildcats -2.5 over Washington State Cougars, 10 dimes
NCAA Football
Northern Illinois Huskies -17.5 over Miami (Ohio) Redhawks, 10 dimes
Bookie Assassin
NBA
Houston Rockets/MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES under 206, 10 dimes
New York Knicks +6.5 over NEW ORLEANS HORNETS, 10 dimes
Chicago Bulls +5.5 over BOSTON CELTICS, 10 dimes
SAN ANTONIO SPURS -12 over Minnesota Timberwolves, 10 dimes
NCAA Basketball
Kansas State Wildcats -2.5 over Washington State Cougars, 10 dimes
NCAA Football
Northern Illinois Huskies -17.5 over Miami (Ohio) Redhawks, 10 dimes
Statsystems nba report 12/3
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/3
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ACCOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Toronto won five of last six games, covering all six. Thunder won six of its last seven road games.
-- Bobcats lost four of their last five games.
-- Hawks won last four games (3-1 vs spread). 76ers won last couple of games, covered five of last six.
-- Orlando won its last five games (2-1-2 vs spread).
-- Celtics won last five games, but are just 1-7 vs spread in last eight at home. Bulls covered six of last seven as a road underdog.
-- Knicks won seven of their last eight games, covered eight of nine.
-- Grizzlies won their last four home games (3-1 vs spread).
-- Spurs won 14 of last 16 games, covered four of last five at home.
-- Nuggets won last five games, covering three of last four. Clippers are 4-1 vs spread in last five games.
-- Pacers covered six of their last eight games.
-- Mavericks won their last seven games (6-1 vs spread). Jazz also won their last seven games (6-0-1 vs spread).
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Portland lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread). Washington lost last four games, with three losses by 11+ points.
-- Nets lost their last six road games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Pistons lost five of last six games (0-2-1 vs spread last three).
-- Hornets covered two of their last nine games.
-- Rockets lost last four road games, by 17-10-10-10 points.
-- Minnesota lost last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Lakers lost their last four games; they're 1-4 vs spread in last five tries as a home favorite. Sacramento lost last five games (0-3-1 vs spread in last four games).
-- Suns covered two of their seven home games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Suns are 1-3 if they played the night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Five of last six Portland games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-3 in Oklahoma City's road games.
-- Three of last four Charlotte games stayed under the total. Over is 5-2 in last seven New Jersey games.
-- Seven of last eight Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Detroit games.
-- Under is 10-1 in Chicago's last eleven games. Six of last eight Boston home games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven New Orleans games stayed under the total. Seven of last nine New Orleans games went over.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Spurs' last seven games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Denver's last seven home games.
-- Three of last four Indiana games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Laker home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Dallas games.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--NEW JERSEY @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 23-11 OVER in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. CHARLOTTE: 16-4 ATS after a combined score of 165 points or less.
-- PORTLAND @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET PORTLAND: 21-9 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. WASHINGTON: 9-27 ATS off BB overs.
--OKLAHOMA CITY @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET OKLAHOMA CITY: 47-26 ATS as a road underdog. TORONTO: 6-16 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more.
--ORLANDO @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET ORLANDO: 30-14 ATS in road games after allowing 80 points or less. DETROIT: 3-13 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more.
--PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA, 7:30 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 4-14 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games. ATLANTA: 40-21 ATS off BB games as a favorite.
--NEW YORK @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET NEW YORK: 9-1 ATS as a road underdog. NEW ORLEANS: 19-7 ATS after scoring 110 points or more in BB games.
--HOUSTON @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET HOUSTON: 17-30 ATS off a win. MEMPHIS: 102-72 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games.
--CHICAGO @ BOSTON, 8:00 PM ET CHICAGO: 16-5 ATS in road games after 2 or more BB unders. BOSTON: 1-10 ATS in home games after 3 or more BB wins.
--MINNESOTA @ SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET MINNESOTA: 14-26 ATS after 4 or more BB losses. SAN ANTONIO: 32-18 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite.
--INDIANA @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET INDIANA: 21-10 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. PHOENIX: 40-27 ATS as a favorite.
--LA CLIPPERS @ DENVER, 9:00 PM ET LA CLIPPERS: 62-83 ATS as an underdog. DENVER: 10-22 ATS after a win by 10 points or more.
--SACRAMENTO @ LA LAKERS, 10:30 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 4-12 ATS in all games. LA LAKERS: 0-3 ATS off a road loss.
--DALLAS @ UTAH, 10:30 PM ET DALLAS: 25-12 OVER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points. UTAH: 15-5 ATS against Southwest division opponents.
____________________________________
Stan 'RED~HOT' Roll in NBA Action Continues to Sizzle! Following his Huge Top *5-Star winner (Memphis/Atlanta Over 98, 1rst Half) Tuesday, 'The Man dished out another "Super Situational Selection' (Phoenix/Golden State Under 228) that was back by an Incredible Winning Angle since 1996 Thursday!
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. 24-2 since 1996, (92.3%, +21.8 units). Extending Stan's season record on the NBA hardwood to 18-3, (85.7%) with his last twenty-one top rated selections.
--Result: Jason Richardson scored 25 points and Grant Hill added 24 to lead the Phoenix Suns past the Golden State Warriors, 107-101, in a battle of struggling Pacific Division clubs. Steve Nash complemented 16 assists with 13 points, while Channing Frye chipped in 10 points and 10 rebounds in the win, just the third for the Suns in the last eight games.
_________________________________________________
*** NEW JERSEY @ CHARLOTTE (-7.5, O/U 184) ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
Without Devin Harris the New Jersey Nets managed to come away with something of a moral victory. Their victories in Charlotte are frequently real. Likely to play without their starting point guard again, the Nets seek to continue their road success against the struggling Bobcats on Friday night. Harris is slated to miss his second consecutive game due to a knee sprain suffered when teammate Kris Humphries fell on him during the third quarter of Tuesday’s 111-100 loss to New York. His absence leaves the Nets without their second-leading scorer (17.7 points per game) and their assist leader (6.6).
Jordan Farmar filled in admirably in his first start of the season Wednesday, scoring 28 points and dishing out nine assists. New Jersey took Western Conference contender Oklahoma City to triple overtime before falling 123-120. Despite losing for the fourth time in five games, Farmar and the Nets came away feeling they’re headed in the right direction. “You don’t ever want to lose, but you’ve got to continue to move on and grow up from the experience,” Farmar told the team’s official website. “I think we can do that. If we can do that, this will turn into a positive. “We’re a ball bounce away from getting some of these wins, so we’ve got to keep fighting.”
Farmar, averaging 9.6 points and 4.6 assists, will likely run the point again. However, he struggled in an 85-83 home loss to the Bobcats (6-12) on Nov. 3, making 1 of 6 shots and finishing with five points. New Jersey has won seven of its last 11 visits to Charlotte, including the most recent - 103-94 on Feb. 16. If the Nets are to earn another victory there and snap their overall six-game road losing streak, Brook Lopez will likely be key. The center had 28 points and 11 rebounds Wednesday following a season-high 36-point performance against the Knicks. He leads the Nets with 19.7 points per game and is second behind Humphries (8.7) with 6.4 rebounds.
The Bobcats have won three of four at home after dropping their first four games of the season in Charlotte. They’re trying to avoid a third straight loss overall, though, after falling 89-73 at New Orleans on Wednesday. They scored four points over the final 9:04, and Coach Larry Brown isn’t seeing improvement. “It’s the same old, same old,” Brown said. “We didn’t match their intensity. They made every play and we didn’t.”
Having Stephen Jackson back could help. Jackson is returning from a one-game suspension for verbally abusing an official and failing to leave the court in a timely manner following his ejection from Saturday’s 104-101 loss at Milwaukee. Jackson leads the Bobcats with 18.1 points per game, but hit just 2 of 12 shots for 12 points against the Nets last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 8; O/U 188.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -6.77
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 48-29 ATS (+15.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.8, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 37-61 ATS (-29.9 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 89.5, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW JERSEY is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.7, OPPONENT 103.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 39-21 OVER (+15.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 95.6, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 16-2 OVER (+12.7 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 98.6, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 64-42 against the 1rst half line (+18.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.1, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 62-40 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.8, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 76-47 UNDER (+24.3 Units) the 1rst half total against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 45.7, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 64-40 UNDER (+20.0 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.4, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NEW JERSEY) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record.
(35-10 since 1996.) (77.8%, +24 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 185
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 97.3 (Total points scored = 194.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (60% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (NEW JERSEY) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(34-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +7.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (75-41).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams (NEW JERSEY) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog.
(37-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (45-4 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 9
The average score in these games was: Team 108.3, Opponent 94.7 (Average point differential = +13.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (38.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-68).
__________________________________
*** PORTLAND (-3.5, O/U 194) @ WASHINGTON ***
---------------------------------------------------------------
The way Portland has struggled, not even a matchup with the lowly Washington Wizards will guarantee the Trail Blazers’ season-high skid will come to an end. Trying to avoid their sixth straight loss, the Trail Blazers look to hand the Wizards their fifth consecutive defeat Friday night. Though Portland showed some life during a 99-95 loss at Boston on Wednesday, the Blazers have averaged 88.4 points on 40.4-percent shooting over the last five games. Portland has not lost six straight since dropping the final eight of the 2005-06 season.
“We’ve got to play ball,” swingman Wesley Matthews told the Trail Blazers’ official website. “We’ve got to fight back.” Portland earned a bit of a moral victory by outscoring Boston 23-20 in the fourth quarter after totaling 29 in the final periods of their previous two games at Philadelphia and New Jersey. “We need to build off of this,” Blazers coach Nate McMillan said. “I really like the fact that we kept fighting and gave ourselves a chance to win this game.” Portland, however, could have trouble building on its latest effort.
The Blazers have already lost to the Nets and 76ers - teams with a combined 11 wins - heading into the finale of this four-game swing, and averaged 93.8 points while losing four of six on the road to the Wizards. The presence of Matthews could help Portland reverse its fortunes in Washington. The second-year pro scored 23 points Wednesday, and has averaged 24.7 on 26-of-43 shooting the last three games. Teammate LaMarcus Aldridge has averaged 20.4 points in the last seven games overall, and 19.4 with 9.6 rebounds in seven career contests versus Washington.
Even with star rookie John Wall back after missing two games with a bruised right knee, the Wizards allowed their most points of the season in a 127-108 loss at Toronto on Wednesday. “Just an embarrassing effort,” coach Flip Saunders said. “It’s just very disappointing.” Washington’s opponents have averaged 112.8 points and shoot 48.9 percent while handing the Wizards five losses in six games. “It’s disappointing,” guard Kirk Hinrich said. “We’re very frustrated right now with our inability to go out there and perform and put forth a winning effort.”
Wall finished with 19 points, but foot and knee problems have kept the No. 1 overall pick sidelined in six of the last nine games. After averaging 25.0 points in his previous three games, Gilbert Arenas totaled seven on 1-of-10 shooting against the Raptors. Arenas has averaged 23.2 points in his last six games against the Blazers but has not faced them since March 2007. Though the Wizards are 0-9 on the road, they are 5-3 at home and have won three of four at the Verizon Center.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 2; O/U 192.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -3.37
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.8, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.9, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.2, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.0, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 79-43 UNDER (+31.6 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.3, OPPONENT 96.7 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 29-12 against the 1rst half line (+15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 50.3, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 28-13 against the 1rst half line (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.8, OPPONENT 44.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 59-30 UNDER (+26.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.5, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 75-44 UNDER (+26.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.7, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 46.3 (Total first half points scored = 94.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (58-38).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (PORTLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(46-17 since 1996.) (73%, +27.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.3, Opponent 44.6 (Average first half point differential = +6.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-10).
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/3
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ACCOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
• HOT TEAMS
-----------------
-- Toronto won five of last six games, covering all six. Thunder won six of its last seven road games.
-- Bobcats lost four of their last five games.
-- Hawks won last four games (3-1 vs spread). 76ers won last couple of games, covered five of last six.
-- Orlando won its last five games (2-1-2 vs spread).
-- Celtics won last five games, but are just 1-7 vs spread in last eight at home. Bulls covered six of last seven as a road underdog.
-- Knicks won seven of their last eight games, covered eight of nine.
-- Grizzlies won their last four home games (3-1 vs spread).
-- Spurs won 14 of last 16 games, covered four of last five at home.
-- Nuggets won last five games, covering three of last four. Clippers are 4-1 vs spread in last five games.
-- Pacers covered six of their last eight games.
-- Mavericks won their last seven games (6-1 vs spread). Jazz also won their last seven games (6-0-1 vs spread).
• COLD TEAMS
-------------------
-- Portland lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread). Washington lost last four games, with three losses by 11+ points.
-- Nets lost their last six road games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Pistons lost five of last six games (0-2-1 vs spread last three).
-- Hornets covered two of their last nine games.
-- Rockets lost last four road games, by 17-10-10-10 points.
-- Minnesota lost last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Lakers lost their last four games; they're 1-4 vs spread in last five tries as a home favorite. Sacramento lost last five games (0-3-1 vs spread in last four games).
-- Suns covered two of their seven home games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
----------------------
-- Suns are 1-3 if they played the night before.
• TOTALS
------------
-- Five of last six Portland games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-3 in Oklahoma City's road games.
-- Three of last four Charlotte games stayed under the total. Over is 5-2 in last seven New Jersey games.
-- Seven of last eight Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Detroit games.
-- Under is 10-1 in Chicago's last eleven games. Six of last eight Boston home games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven New Orleans games stayed under the total. Seven of last nine New Orleans games went over.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Spurs' last seven games.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Denver's last seven home games.
-- Three of last four Indiana games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Laker home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Dallas games.
• QUICK HITS
-----------------
--NEW JERSEY @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 23-11 OVER in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. CHARLOTTE: 16-4 ATS after a combined score of 165 points or less.
-- PORTLAND @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET PORTLAND: 21-9 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. WASHINGTON: 9-27 ATS off BB overs.
--OKLAHOMA CITY @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET OKLAHOMA CITY: 47-26 ATS as a road underdog. TORONTO: 6-16 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more.
--ORLANDO @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET ORLANDO: 30-14 ATS in road games after allowing 80 points or less. DETROIT: 3-13 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more.
--PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA, 7:30 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 4-14 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games. ATLANTA: 40-21 ATS off BB games as a favorite.
--NEW YORK @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET NEW YORK: 9-1 ATS as a road underdog. NEW ORLEANS: 19-7 ATS after scoring 110 points or more in BB games.
--HOUSTON @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET HOUSTON: 17-30 ATS off a win. MEMPHIS: 102-72 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games.
--CHICAGO @ BOSTON, 8:00 PM ET CHICAGO: 16-5 ATS in road games after 2 or more BB unders. BOSTON: 1-10 ATS in home games after 3 or more BB wins.
--MINNESOTA @ SAN ANTONIO, 8:30 PM ET MINNESOTA: 14-26 ATS after 4 or more BB losses. SAN ANTONIO: 32-18 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite.
--INDIANA @ PHOENIX, 9:00 PM ET INDIANA: 21-10 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. PHOENIX: 40-27 ATS as a favorite.
--LA CLIPPERS @ DENVER, 9:00 PM ET LA CLIPPERS: 62-83 ATS as an underdog. DENVER: 10-22 ATS after a win by 10 points or more.
--SACRAMENTO @ LA LAKERS, 10:30 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 4-12 ATS in all games. LA LAKERS: 0-3 ATS off a road loss.
--DALLAS @ UTAH, 10:30 PM ET DALLAS: 25-12 OVER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points. UTAH: 15-5 ATS against Southwest division opponents.
____________________________________
Stan 'RED~HOT' Roll in NBA Action Continues to Sizzle! Following his Huge Top *5-Star winner (Memphis/Atlanta Over 98, 1rst Half) Tuesday, 'The Man dished out another "Super Situational Selection' (Phoenix/Golden State Under 228) that was back by an Incredible Winning Angle since 1996 Thursday!
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games. 24-2 since 1996, (92.3%, +21.8 units). Extending Stan's season record on the NBA hardwood to 18-3, (85.7%) with his last twenty-one top rated selections.
--Result: Jason Richardson scored 25 points and Grant Hill added 24 to lead the Phoenix Suns past the Golden State Warriors, 107-101, in a battle of struggling Pacific Division clubs. Steve Nash complemented 16 assists with 13 points, while Channing Frye chipped in 10 points and 10 rebounds in the win, just the third for the Suns in the last eight games.
_________________________________________________
*** NEW JERSEY @ CHARLOTTE (-7.5, O/U 184) ***
--------------------------------------------------------------
Without Devin Harris the New Jersey Nets managed to come away with something of a moral victory. Their victories in Charlotte are frequently real. Likely to play without their starting point guard again, the Nets seek to continue their road success against the struggling Bobcats on Friday night. Harris is slated to miss his second consecutive game due to a knee sprain suffered when teammate Kris Humphries fell on him during the third quarter of Tuesday’s 111-100 loss to New York. His absence leaves the Nets without their second-leading scorer (17.7 points per game) and their assist leader (6.6).
Jordan Farmar filled in admirably in his first start of the season Wednesday, scoring 28 points and dishing out nine assists. New Jersey took Western Conference contender Oklahoma City to triple overtime before falling 123-120. Despite losing for the fourth time in five games, Farmar and the Nets came away feeling they’re headed in the right direction. “You don’t ever want to lose, but you’ve got to continue to move on and grow up from the experience,” Farmar told the team’s official website. “I think we can do that. If we can do that, this will turn into a positive. “We’re a ball bounce away from getting some of these wins, so we’ve got to keep fighting.”
Farmar, averaging 9.6 points and 4.6 assists, will likely run the point again. However, he struggled in an 85-83 home loss to the Bobcats (6-12) on Nov. 3, making 1 of 6 shots and finishing with five points. New Jersey has won seven of its last 11 visits to Charlotte, including the most recent - 103-94 on Feb. 16. If the Nets are to earn another victory there and snap their overall six-game road losing streak, Brook Lopez will likely be key. The center had 28 points and 11 rebounds Wednesday following a season-high 36-point performance against the Knicks. He leads the Nets with 19.7 points per game and is second behind Humphries (8.7) with 6.4 rebounds.
The Bobcats have won three of four at home after dropping their first four games of the season in Charlotte. They’re trying to avoid a third straight loss overall, though, after falling 89-73 at New Orleans on Wednesday. They scored four points over the final 9:04, and Coach Larry Brown isn’t seeing improvement. “It’s the same old, same old,” Brown said. “We didn’t match their intensity. They made every play and we didn’t.”
Having Stephen Jackson back could help. Jackson is returning from a one-game suspension for verbally abusing an official and failing to leave the court in a timely manner following his ejection from Saturday’s 104-101 loss at Milwaukee. Jackson leads the Bobcats with 18.1 points per game, but hit just 2 of 12 shots for 12 points against the Nets last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 8; O/U 188.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -7.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -6.77
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 48-29 ATS (+15.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.8, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 37-61 ATS (-29.9 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 76 or less shots/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 89.5, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW JERSEY is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.7, OPPONENT 103.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 39-21 OVER (+15.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 95.6, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 16-2 OVER (+12.7 Units) in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 98.6, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 64-42 against the 1rst half line (+18.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.1, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 62-40 against the 1rst half line (+17.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.8, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW JERSEY is 76-47 UNDER (+24.3 Units) the 1rst half total against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 45.7, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 64-40 UNDER (+20.0 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.4, OPPONENT 46.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (NEW JERSEY) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record.
(35-10 since 1996.) (77.8%, +24 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 185
The average score in these games was: Team 97.3, Opponent 97.3 (Total points scored = 194.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (60% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (NEW JERSEY) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(34-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +7.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (75-41).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams (NEW JERSEY) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog.
(37-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (45-4 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 9
The average score in these games was: Team 108.3, Opponent 94.7 (Average point differential = +13.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (38.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-7).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-68).
__________________________________
*** PORTLAND (-3.5, O/U 194) @ WASHINGTON ***
---------------------------------------------------------------
The way Portland has struggled, not even a matchup with the lowly Washington Wizards will guarantee the Trail Blazers’ season-high skid will come to an end. Trying to avoid their sixth straight loss, the Trail Blazers look to hand the Wizards their fifth consecutive defeat Friday night. Though Portland showed some life during a 99-95 loss at Boston on Wednesday, the Blazers have averaged 88.4 points on 40.4-percent shooting over the last five games. Portland has not lost six straight since dropping the final eight of the 2005-06 season.
“We’ve got to play ball,” swingman Wesley Matthews told the Trail Blazers’ official website. “We’ve got to fight back.” Portland earned a bit of a moral victory by outscoring Boston 23-20 in the fourth quarter after totaling 29 in the final periods of their previous two games at Philadelphia and New Jersey. “We need to build off of this,” Blazers coach Nate McMillan said. “I really like the fact that we kept fighting and gave ourselves a chance to win this game.” Portland, however, could have trouble building on its latest effort.
The Blazers have already lost to the Nets and 76ers - teams with a combined 11 wins - heading into the finale of this four-game swing, and averaged 93.8 points while losing four of six on the road to the Wizards. The presence of Matthews could help Portland reverse its fortunes in Washington. The second-year pro scored 23 points Wednesday, and has averaged 24.7 on 26-of-43 shooting the last three games. Teammate LaMarcus Aldridge has averaged 20.4 points in the last seven games overall, and 19.4 with 9.6 rebounds in seven career contests versus Washington.
Even with star rookie John Wall back after missing two games with a bruised right knee, the Wizards allowed their most points of the season in a 127-108 loss at Toronto on Wednesday. “Just an embarrassing effort,” coach Flip Saunders said. “It’s just very disappointing.” Washington’s opponents have averaged 112.8 points and shoot 48.9 percent while handing the Wizards five losses in six games. “It’s disappointing,” guard Kirk Hinrich said. “We’re very frustrated right now with our inability to go out there and perform and put forth a winning effort.”
Wall finished with 19 points, but foot and knee problems have kept the No. 1 overall pick sidelined in six of the last nine games. After averaging 25.0 points in his previous three games, Gilbert Arenas totaled seven on 1-of-10 shooting against the Raptors. Arenas has averaged 23.2 points in his last six games against the Blazers but has not faced them since March 2007. Though the Wizards are 0-9 on the road, they are 5-3 at home and have won three of four at the Verizon Center.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 2; O/U 192.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -3.37
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 98.8, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.9, OPPONENT 100.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.2, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.0, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 79-43 UNDER (+31.6 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.3, OPPONENT 96.7 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 29-12 against the 1rst half line (+15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 50.3, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 28-13 against the 1rst half line (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 49.8, OPPONENT 44.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 59-30 UNDER (+26.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.5, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PORTLAND is 75-44 UNDER (+26.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.7, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 46.3 (Total first half points scored = 94.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (58-38).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (PORTLAND) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(46-17 since 1996.) (73%, +27.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.3, Opponent 44.6 (Average first half point differential = +6.7)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-10).
