Dave Essler - CBB Dime Play
865 S. Dakota St 5.0 (-110) BetOnline vs 866 Denver
Analysis: There are plenty of 5's around, and there should be more as the day wears on. Denver isn't as god as we've been accustomed to, and South Dakota State is better than people think. Denver will play super-slow and simply shoot three-balls all night long. If they make them, they win, if not, they lose. This is of course the conference opener, and as time wears on I simply will not take many road teams. But, SDSU just played at Utah and at Northern Iowa, so this is clearly a step-down in class. SDSU is bigger and played a better schedule. They shoot three's as well, but CAN score inside (see bigger) and get to the line a fair bit, where they do shoot a shade over 70%. They don't turn the ball over and play reasonable defense, including on the perimeter. Denver plays ZERO defense so this should almost be a game of horse. Denver's bench is thin, so if they get into foul trouble it could be over earlier rather than later. I do like this a fair bit asa 1H bet, too, since teams tend to tire in the alttitude. SDSU won at St. Louis and at Utah State, so both playing on the road and winning on the road have already been done, which is what makes this a bet.
865 S. Dakota St 5.0 (-110) BetOnline vs 866 Denver
Analysis: There are plenty of 5's around, and there should be more as the day wears on. Denver isn't as god as we've been accustomed to, and South Dakota State is better than people think. Denver will play super-slow and simply shoot three-balls all night long. If they make them, they win, if not, they lose. This is of course the conference opener, and as time wears on I simply will not take many road teams. But, SDSU just played at Utah and at Northern Iowa, so this is clearly a step-down in class. SDSU is bigger and played a better schedule. They shoot three's as well, but CAN score inside (see bigger) and get to the line a fair bit, where they do shoot a shade over 70%. They don't turn the ball over and play reasonable defense, including on the perimeter. Denver plays ZERO defense so this should almost be a game of horse. Denver's bench is thin, so if they get into foul trouble it could be over earlier rather than later. I do like this a fair bit asa 1H bet, too, since teams tend to tire in the alttitude. SDSU won at St. Louis and at Utah State, so both playing on the road and winning on the road have already been done, which is what makes this a bet.
