WUNDERDOG
Game: New York Yankees at Baltimore (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baltimore +1.5 runs +110 (runline)
The Yankees missed the playoffs for the first time in more than a decade. As a result, they went out and retooled their pitching staff. The one thing that the Bombers have been guilty of over the years is getting off to a bad start. The Yankees, over the last five seasons, have never been over .500 after their first 10 games, and have a combined mark of 24-26 during this span. They have been even worse on the runline, where they are just 18-32. CC Sabathia gets the ball for the Yankees, and everyone remembers how he dominated late in the season, but forgets he started 1-4 with a 7.76 ERA in April. The Orioles will finish last this season in the AL East because their starters are just not up to speed with the rest of the division. The Orioles one exception is Jeremy Guthrie, who pitched to a 3.63 ERA last season. Sabathia and the Yankees start slow, and with just 18 wins in their last 50 early-season runline games, I'll go with Baltimore on the runline today.
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
Game: New York Yankees at Baltimore (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baltimore +1.5 runs +110 (runline)
The Yankees missed the playoffs for the first time in more than a decade. As a result, they went out and retooled their pitching staff. The one thing that the Bombers have been guilty of over the years is getting off to a bad start. The Yankees, over the last five seasons, have never been over .500 after their first 10 games, and have a combined mark of 24-26 during this span. They have been even worse on the runline, where they are just 18-32. CC Sabathia gets the ball for the Yankees, and everyone remembers how he dominated late in the season, but forgets he started 1-4 with a 7.76 ERA in April. The Orioles will finish last this season in the AL East because their starters are just not up to speed with the rest of the division. The Orioles one exception is Jeremy Guthrie, who pitched to a 3.63 ERA last season. Sabathia and the Yankees start slow, and with just 18 wins in their last 50 early-season runline games, I'll go with Baltimore on the runline today.
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->
BeatYourBookie.com
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Monday
NBA Basketball
100* Play North Carolina (-7.5) over Michigan State (NCAA)
North Carolina is 5-0 SU & ATS in all NCAA Tournament Games this season
North Carolina is 19-0 SU in non-conference games this season
North Carolina is 11-0 SU when the total posted is between 150 and 159.5
North Carolina is 14-1 SU coming off an UNDER the total
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
30* Play Montreal (-175) over Ottawa (NHL)
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Monday
NBA Basketball
100* Play North Carolina (-7.5) over Michigan State (NCAA)
North Carolina is 5-0 SU & ATS in all NCAA Tournament Games this season
North Carolina is 19-0 SU in non-conference games this season
North Carolina is 11-0 SU when the total posted is between 150 and 159.5
North Carolina is 14-1 SU coming off an UNDER the total
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
30* Play Montreal (-175) over Ottawa (NHL)
comp
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 +140 (list Webb)
I'll back Brandon Webb on Opening Day as there is, perhaps, no better pitcher in baseball getting the ball today. Additionally, the Snakes come into this season with plenty to prove after blowing their lead in the NL West to give up the division crown a season ago. They'll be hungry and that means plenty of run support for Webb so I'll play them on the run line to pick up some added value. Webb is 22-7 against the money line in his last 29 April games with the D-backs winning by an average score of 5.6 to 3.0. Take the Snakes!
Jimmy Boyd
1 Unit on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 +140 (list Webb)
I'll back Brandon Webb on Opening Day as there is, perhaps, no better pitcher in baseball getting the ball today. Additionally, the Snakes come into this season with plenty to prove after blowing their lead in the NL West to give up the division crown a season ago. They'll be hungry and that means plenty of run support for Webb so I'll play them on the run line to pick up some added value. Webb is 22-7 against the money line in his last 29 April games with the D-backs winning by an average score of 5.6 to 3.0. Take the Snakes!
4 Unit Play. Under 7.5 Runs. Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Bluejays (Monday @ 7:15pm).
8-4 (66%) Overall Last Week.
9-2 Last 11 NBA Plays (+30.2 Units).
Verlander started off the year 1-7 last year and he is one of the reasosn why the Tigers never reached their potential. Well, he is on a big bounce-back here. Remember, the Tiger was capable of big things in the year before and he has really worked hard to make the necessary changes. He gave up just 1 run during a 19 inning spring training stretch this year so it looks to be working. In 15 opening day games, Halladay is a solid 11-2 with a 1.93 ERA but note he did not faced the Tigers last year and it has been quite some time since this Tigers lineup has faced him. Last year, Halladay was 10-4 witha 2.78 ERA in Toronto. In short, you have a pitcher on a bounce-back and a pitcher that does traditionally well on opening day (and the Tigers haven't seen Halladay's stuff in quite some time). The Under is 4-1 in Verlander's last 5 road starts dating back to last year, but more importanly, with the changes in his stance that he has made and with Halladay at 6-2 to the Under as a short lay of -110 to -150, limited runs seems like a good possibility here. Let's get this long, long season off to a good start this week.
2 Unit Play. Take Under 72 for First Half Between Michigan State vs. North Carolina (Monday @ 9:15pm est). If you'd like my full thoughts on this game, check out my page. We cashed on the Super Bowl, the NIT Championship, the CBI Championship, so hopefully we can cash on the National Championship. I always look for comparisons when teams play. An example of what UNC faced similar to Michigan State is Oklahoma earlier this year when UNC won 70-62 although it was really a much bigger blow out than that. Oklahoam started off shooting extremely poor that game and then started picking it up. If this is a high paced game, the chances are limited that Michigan State has any chance of winning this game. After all, the last time these two teams played, UNC dropped nearly a 100 points on this team. Both teams are 5-0 ATS during the tournament and it is tough for me to bet against a UNC team that has looked dynamic thus far in every element and the Seniors on this squad who stayed an extra year just for this very reason, and this very game. In that same token, Michigan State is basically at home. They are the Underdog but have a great crowd behind them. Thus, what I've decided to do is to roll with the Under in the First Half. This allows us to take advantage of the intensity in the first half for Michigan State, as Izzo will likely have a different defensive plan than what he showed this team the first time around when these two teams met. The first half of the Oklahoma game totaled 55 (2nd half totaled 77). I expect UNC to be a bit off rhythm after the first half and then they will make the necessary adjustments and come back in the second half. I expect Michigan State to look to drag this game out if possible in their offensive set. The way that Michigan State wins this game is if it's a drag down, physical contest. Remember, while Michigan State has gone through the likes of Louisville and UConn (beat two #1 squads, UNC has not beat any #1 squads as the the highest seed they faced was Oklahoma who they defeated by 12 and the game went well Under. I'm not certain about the Side but I do like the Under first half as it is significant from my numbers. Let's take advantage of that Detroit crowd in the early going, Izzo's defensive adjustments that he makes from the first game, Michigan State wanting to slow this game down a bit like they did to Louisville and look to cash the First Half Under here as we hopefully close out the year with 4 of 6 Winners.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
ROBERT FERRINGO
3-Unit Play. Take #926 Los Angeles Angels (-135) over Oakland (9 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #901 New York Mets (-155) over Cincinnati (1 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #901 New York Mets (-1.5, +110) over Cincinnati (1 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.5 Cleveland at Texas (2 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #904 Arizona (-160) over Colorado (3:40 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #921 Detroit (+135) over Toronto (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #909 L.A. Dodgers (+115) over San Diego (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #924 Minnesota (-140) over Seattle (8 p.m.)
3-Unit Play. Take #926 Los Angeles Angels (-135) over Oakland (9 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #901 New York Mets (-155) over Cincinnati (1 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #901 New York Mets (-1.5, +110) over Cincinnati (1 p.m.)
2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.5 Cleveland at Texas (2 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #904 Arizona (-160) over Colorado (3:40 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #921 Detroit (+135) over Toronto (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #909 L.A. Dodgers (+115) over San Diego (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #924 Minnesota (-140) over Seattle (8 p.m.)
Last edited by a moderator:
Winning Way Sports (John Fina)
Basketball for April 6, 2009
NCAA - 5 units on Michigan State/North Carolina Over 152.5 (-110)
Baseball for April 6, 2009
MLB - 2.5 units on Los Angeles Dodgers (+120)
- Kuroda & Peavy
- Action
MLB - 2.5 units on Los Angeles/Padres Over 6.5 (-110)
- Kuroda & Peavy
- Action
MLB - 2.5 units on Minnesota Twins (-150)
- Hernandez & Liriano
- Action
Basketball for April 6, 2009
NCAA - 5 units on Michigan State/North Carolina Over 152.5 (-110)
Baseball for April 6, 2009
MLB - 2.5 units on Los Angeles Dodgers (+120)
- Kuroda & Peavy
- Action
MLB - 2.5 units on Los Angeles/Padres Over 6.5 (-110)
- Kuroda & Peavy
- Action
MLB - 2.5 units on Minnesota Twins (-150)
- Hernandez & Liriano
- Action
LETS DO IT ONCE AGAIN!!!!!
THEERODFATHER OF SPORTS IS NO.1 IN THE NATION IN THE TOURNEY AS HIS CLIENTS WIN $16,150.00 IN THE TOURNEY ALONE!!!!!!! 26-13!!!!!
TONIGHT TAKE THE TAR HEELS OF NORTH CAROLINA FOR A 15 UNIT HITT PLAY !!!!!
HITT PLAYS ARE OVER 80%!!!!!!
NORTH CAROLINA-7.5 15 UNIT HITT PLAY
GOOD LUCK
THEERODFATHER
THEERODFATHER OF SPORTS IS NO.1 IN THE NATION IN THE TOURNEY AS HIS CLIENTS WIN $16,150.00 IN THE TOURNEY ALONE!!!!!!! 26-13!!!!!
TONIGHT TAKE THE TAR HEELS OF NORTH CAROLINA FOR A 15 UNIT HITT PLAY !!!!!
HITT PLAYS ARE OVER 80%!!!!!!
NORTH CAROLINA-7.5 15 UNIT HITT PLAY
GOOD LUCK
THEERODFATHER
