Jim Feist
Comp NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 27, 2014: 4:15 PM EST
(173) STANFORD VS (174) WASHINGTON
Take: (174) WASHINGTON.
Reason: Washington is 4-0 but a home dog to a run-oriented Stanford squad. The Stanford Cardinal already have one loss in the Pac-12 and can't afford another. They play their first road game of the year here. The Cardinal is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 20 points. This is the 4th straight home game for Washington and the Huskies are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games. New coach Chris Petersen has concentrated on running the ball (239.3 YPG, ranked 27th). Sophomore quarterback Cyler Miles has been steady (153 rating) in the last three games, so grab the home dog. Play (174) WASHINGTON.
Comp NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 27, 2014: 4:15 PM EST
(173) STANFORD VS (174) WASHINGTON
Take: (174) WASHINGTON.
Reason: Washington is 4-0 but a home dog to a run-oriented Stanford squad. The Stanford Cardinal already have one loss in the Pac-12 and can't afford another. They play their first road game of the year here. The Cardinal is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 20 points. This is the 4th straight home game for Washington and the Huskies are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games. New coach Chris Petersen has concentrated on running the ball (239.3 YPG, ranked 27th). Sophomore quarterback Cyler Miles has been steady (153 rating) in the last three games, so grab the home dog. Play (174) WASHINGTON.
Dave Price
Texas vs. Kansas
Bonus Play Texas Longhorns -12
The Key: Texas let one get away versus UCLA last time out and went into its bye week 1-2. That's a long time for a loss to fester, and I expect the Longhorns to do something about it here. Losing is unacceptable for Charlie Strong, and I'm confident he'll have his troops ready to go against a Kansas squad with inferior talent. Teams headed up by Strong are 12-3 ATS all-time following one or more consecutive straight up losses. In addition, his teams are 9-1 ATS following a stretch of two losses in three games. The Jayhawks defeated Central Michigan last Saturday, but they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Kansas has had no luck versus Texas, going 0-11 SU and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The average score for these contests was 43-14. The five home losses during this stretch have even carried an average score of 34-16. Lay the points.
Texas vs. Kansas
Bonus Play Texas Longhorns -12
The Key: Texas let one get away versus UCLA last time out and went into its bye week 1-2. That's a long time for a loss to fester, and I expect the Longhorns to do something about it here. Losing is unacceptable for Charlie Strong, and I'm confident he'll have his troops ready to go against a Kansas squad with inferior talent. Teams headed up by Strong are 12-3 ATS all-time following one or more consecutive straight up losses. In addition, his teams are 9-1 ATS following a stretch of two losses in three games. The Jayhawks defeated Central Michigan last Saturday, but they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Kansas has had no luck versus Texas, going 0-11 SU and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The average score for these contests was 43-14. The five home losses during this stretch have even carried an average score of 34-16. Lay the points.
Steve Merril
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Bonus Play Arkansas
Texas A&M opened as 10-point home favorites, and the initial money came in on Arkansas, driving the line down to 8.5 and 9 in some spots. Buyback has since come in on Texas A&M driving this line back up to 9.5 at most sports books.
Arkansas is remembered for last year’s miserable 3-9 season, so bettors are reluctant to back the Razorbacks. That will be true in this game against #7 Texas A&M who is known for their high-scoring offense. The Aggies have won their four games by a combined score of 221-47 this season, so the betting public will be all over the Aggies as a single digit favorite. Arkansas will have a big rushing edge in this game, and they will be able to shorten the game and keep the potent Texas A&M offense off the field keeping this game close throughout.
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
Bonus Play Arkansas
Texas A&M opened as 10-point home favorites, and the initial money came in on Arkansas, driving the line down to 8.5 and 9 in some spots. Buyback has since come in on Texas A&M driving this line back up to 9.5 at most sports books.
Arkansas is remembered for last year’s miserable 3-9 season, so bettors are reluctant to back the Razorbacks. That will be true in this game against #7 Texas A&M who is known for their high-scoring offense. The Aggies have won their four games by a combined score of 221-47 this season, so the betting public will be all over the Aggies as a single digit favorite. Arkansas will have a big rushing edge in this game, and they will be able to shorten the game and keep the potent Texas A&M offense off the field keeping this game close throughout.
Red Dog Sports
North Carolina vs. Clemson
Bonus Play North Carolina +14.5
Clemson is off an overtime loss at Florida State. They led most of the game and gave up a long touchdown pass to tie the score. The Tigers had their chances without QB Jameis Winston on the field but the kicking game let them down as well as mistakes. One key mistake was a bad snap at the one yard line that backed them up over 10 yards.
Clemson lost QB Tajh Boyd and WR Sammy Watkins from last year. They do have some talent on board.
UNC is off a 70-42 loss at ECU in non-conference action. This is the opening ACC game for the Tar Heels and they should be focused after the beating they took last week to Shane Carden and company. UNC coach Larry Fedora has taken the blame and did not throw other coaches and players under the bus.
I expect Clemson to win by 7 to 14 points so take the +14.5.
North Carolina vs. Clemson
Bonus Play North Carolina +14.5
Clemson is off an overtime loss at Florida State. They led most of the game and gave up a long touchdown pass to tie the score. The Tigers had their chances without QB Jameis Winston on the field but the kicking game let them down as well as mistakes. One key mistake was a bad snap at the one yard line that backed them up over 10 yards.
Clemson lost QB Tajh Boyd and WR Sammy Watkins from last year. They do have some talent on board.
UNC is off a 70-42 loss at ECU in non-conference action. This is the opening ACC game for the Tar Heels and they should be focused after the beating they took last week to Shane Carden and company. UNC coach Larry Fedora has taken the blame and did not throw other coaches and players under the bus.
I expect Clemson to win by 7 to 14 points so take the +14.5.
Doc's Sports
TCU vs. SMU
Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #157 Take TCU Horned Frogs over SMU Mustangs (Saturday 12 pm CBS Sports Network)
SMU is in a total freefall this season with their coach and quarterback gone and teams are pretty much just naming their score against them. SMU is 0-3 on the season and all three of those games fells over today’s posted spread. TCU has already beaten two teams badly this season and their offense should have no problem scoring points in this game. We all know that TCU has a rock solid defense and thus you can expect a 49-10 type of score in this affair. SMU is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games.
TCU vs. SMU
Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports. #157 Take TCU Horned Frogs over SMU Mustangs (Saturday 12 pm CBS Sports Network)
SMU is in a total freefall this season with their coach and quarterback gone and teams are pretty much just naming their score against them. SMU is 0-3 on the season and all three of those games fells over today’s posted spread. TCU has already beaten two teams badly this season and their offense should have no problem scoring points in this game. We all know that TCU has a rock solid defense and thus you can expect a 49-10 type of score in this affair. SMU is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games.
Jimmy Boyd
Tennessee vs. Georgia
Free Pick Georgia Bulldogs -
The only thing that kept this from being a premium play is that this is a lot of points to lay in an SEC game, but I'm confident that Georgia is capable of winning here by more than 17. The loss at South Carolina really put a damper in the Bulldogs hopes of making the 4-team playoff, but it's still a possibility if they can win the SEC. Something I believe is still very much alive.
You have to like how the Bulldogs responded to that loss to the Gamecocks as they came out an laid a number on Troy in a 66-0 beating. With an easy home game against Vanderbilt on deck and the threat of opening up conference play at 0-2, I look for Georgia to be all business in this one.
Tennessee did play a respectable game at Oklahoma in a 24-point loss that could have been a lot closer had they not thrown an interception in the endzone that was returned 100 yards for a score. However, they were clearly outmatched in terms of talent and as much respect as the Sooners are getting I believe Georgia is a better team. The Bulldogs have played two highly respected opponents in Clemson and South Carolina, which is a good indicator that their numbers are legit and that's impressive when you consider Georgia is averaging 7.7 yards/rush and giving up just 2.9 yards/carry.
Sure the Volunteers were able to keep it close last year at home against the Bulldogs in a heartbreaking 31-34 overtime loss, but Georgia was without Todd Gurley and were decimated in that game by injuries. Gurley is in my opinion the best running back in the country. If Oklahoma can average 4.3 yards/carry on the ground, Gurley and the Bulldogs are more than capable of coming close to their 7.7 average.
There's a big time system in favor of the Bulldogs based on their ability to run and Tennessee's struggles on the ground. Home favorites who are averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game against an opponent that's only averaging between 100-140 rushing yards/game are 45-19 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 70% system in favor of the Bulldogs. Take Georgia!
Tennessee vs. Georgia
Free Pick Georgia Bulldogs -
The only thing that kept this from being a premium play is that this is a lot of points to lay in an SEC game, but I'm confident that Georgia is capable of winning here by more than 17. The loss at South Carolina really put a damper in the Bulldogs hopes of making the 4-team playoff, but it's still a possibility if they can win the SEC. Something I believe is still very much alive.
You have to like how the Bulldogs responded to that loss to the Gamecocks as they came out an laid a number on Troy in a 66-0 beating. With an easy home game against Vanderbilt on deck and the threat of opening up conference play at 0-2, I look for Georgia to be all business in this one.
Tennessee did play a respectable game at Oklahoma in a 24-point loss that could have been a lot closer had they not thrown an interception in the endzone that was returned 100 yards for a score. However, they were clearly outmatched in terms of talent and as much respect as the Sooners are getting I believe Georgia is a better team. The Bulldogs have played two highly respected opponents in Clemson and South Carolina, which is a good indicator that their numbers are legit and that's impressive when you consider Georgia is averaging 7.7 yards/rush and giving up just 2.9 yards/carry.
Sure the Volunteers were able to keep it close last year at home against the Bulldogs in a heartbreaking 31-34 overtime loss, but Georgia was without Todd Gurley and were decimated in that game by injuries. Gurley is in my opinion the best running back in the country. If Oklahoma can average 4.3 yards/carry on the ground, Gurley and the Bulldogs are more than capable of coming close to their 7.7 average.
There's a big time system in favor of the Bulldogs based on their ability to run and Tennessee's struggles on the ground. Home favorites who are averaging 230 or more rushing yards/game against an opponent that's only averaging between 100-140 rushing yards/game are 45-19 ATS over the last 5 seasons. That's a 70% system in favor of the Bulldogs. Take Georgia!
Freddy Wills
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
1* Bonus Play Arkansas +10
In Arkansas comes into this game with 13 straight SEC losses but are looking for their first one in over a year. This game is actually being played in the Dallas Cowboys Stadium on neutral turf.
For Arkansas they're going to try to control the clock in run the ball with their power running game. They've ran the ball 68% of the time this season while a van is ranked 32nd in run defense they just got done allowing 240 yards to Rice who runs the ball 60% of the time. I expect Arkansas to have success running the ball as they averaged over 6 yards per carry against Arkansas last year. The difference and the reason why I don't Arkansas to cover the spread is the fact that Arkansas is not just a running team like everyone is talking about.
Quarterback Brandon Allen has been very good this year with eight touchdown passes to one interception he's completing over 60% of his passes and he's very capable of hitting targets down field. I think he's very underrated and and has a lot to prove in 2014. Many people didn't know but Allen was for all of 2013 season which led to a disappointing year for him. I'll take the points with the under rated Razorbacks going against the over hyped A&M squad.
Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
1* Bonus Play Arkansas +10
In Arkansas comes into this game with 13 straight SEC losses but are looking for their first one in over a year. This game is actually being played in the Dallas Cowboys Stadium on neutral turf.
For Arkansas they're going to try to control the clock in run the ball with their power running game. They've ran the ball 68% of the time this season while a van is ranked 32nd in run defense they just got done allowing 240 yards to Rice who runs the ball 60% of the time. I expect Arkansas to have success running the ball as they averaged over 6 yards per carry against Arkansas last year. The difference and the reason why I don't Arkansas to cover the spread is the fact that Arkansas is not just a running team like everyone is talking about.
Quarterback Brandon Allen has been very good this year with eight touchdown passes to one interception he's completing over 60% of his passes and he's very capable of hitting targets down field. I think he's very underrated and and has a lot to prove in 2014. Many people didn't know but Allen was for all of 2013 season which led to a disappointing year for him. I'll take the points with the under rated Razorbacks going against the over hyped A&M squad.
Matt Fargo
North Carolina vs. Clemson
Bonus Play North Carolina
We made a bad call with North Carolina in this spot last week but we will come back with the Tar Heels again this week based on that and other factors. They got lambasted at East Carolina as they lost 70-41 while allowing a whopping 789 yards of offense to the Pirates which were both school records in futility. How can North Carolina recover from that? By playing a team that is coming off an absolutely devastating loss that's how. Clemson had a chance to upset the Seminoles but it fumbled at the Florida St. 14-yard line with 1:36 left in regulation which killed a chance for the winning score. Instead the Tigers lost in overtime and recovery from that will be difficult. The Tar Heels will be better off to recover and surprisingly, it is due to the regular week of preparation. The Tar Heels are now 0-3 under head coach Larry Fedora in its first game after a bye week. In those performances, they gave up 68 points to Georgia Tech in 2012 and 55 to East Carolina last year before the Pirates put even bigger numbers on them this time. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss of more than 20 points. Additionally, North Carolina falls into a great situation as we play on road teams that are averaging between 4.8 to 5.6 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing between 4.2 to 4.8 yppl, after allowing 525 or more total ypg over their last two games. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1992. Look for North Carolina to recover and keep this one much closer than most are thinking. Play (171) North Carolina Tar Heels
North Carolina vs. Clemson
Bonus Play North Carolina
We made a bad call with North Carolina in this spot last week but we will come back with the Tar Heels again this week based on that and other factors. They got lambasted at East Carolina as they lost 70-41 while allowing a whopping 789 yards of offense to the Pirates which were both school records in futility. How can North Carolina recover from that? By playing a team that is coming off an absolutely devastating loss that's how. Clemson had a chance to upset the Seminoles but it fumbled at the Florida St. 14-yard line with 1:36 left in regulation which killed a chance for the winning score. Instead the Tigers lost in overtime and recovery from that will be difficult. The Tar Heels will be better off to recover and surprisingly, it is due to the regular week of preparation. The Tar Heels are now 0-3 under head coach Larry Fedora in its first game after a bye week. In those performances, they gave up 68 points to Georgia Tech in 2012 and 55 to East Carolina last year before the Pirates put even bigger numbers on them this time. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss of more than 20 points. Additionally, North Carolina falls into a great situation as we play on road teams that are averaging between 4.8 to 5.6 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing between 4.2 to 4.8 yppl, after allowing 525 or more total ypg over their last two games. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1992. Look for North Carolina to recover and keep this one much closer than most are thinking. Play (171) North Carolina Tar Heels
Tom Stryker
Temple vs. Connecticut
Bonus Play Temple
Don't think for a second that Temple has forgotten about this revenge battle. Last year, the Owls owned a 21-0 halftime advantage over the Huskies and lost outright 28-21. Matched up against a pedestrian UConn offensive attack, head coach Matt Rhule's men will be in control from start-to-finish.
A quick look at the numbers involved in this American Athletic Conference game displays Temple's huge advantage. Connecticut is having serious trouble moving the football. The Huskies are averaging only 16.0 points and 253.3 total yards per game including an average of just 64.3 yards per game on the ground. Defensively, the Owls are holding opponents to an average of 12.7 points and 296.0 yards per game (107.0 through the air). Talk about a major mismatch!
There are technical reasons to like the visitor in the AAC war too. UConn is a weak 14-27 SU and 13-22-3 ATS in its last 41 games including a woeful 2-15 SU and 4-12-1 ATS in this set tackling a foe that hits the field off a straight up win. On the flip side, Temple has been a solid investment on foreign soil posting a respectable 30-16 ATS record in its last 46 lined road games. In this role playing without rest and knocking helmets with a foe that arrives off a straight up loss, the Owls are definitely worth a hoot notching a nearly perfect 12-1 ATS record.
The Owls picked up the largest win in school history with their 59-0 whitewash of Delaware State last Saturday. With momentum on their side and revenge motivation present, Coach Rhule's troops will ring up another impressive victory. Take Temple. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Temple vs. Connecticut
Bonus Play Temple
Don't think for a second that Temple has forgotten about this revenge battle. Last year, the Owls owned a 21-0 halftime advantage over the Huskies and lost outright 28-21. Matched up against a pedestrian UConn offensive attack, head coach Matt Rhule's men will be in control from start-to-finish.
A quick look at the numbers involved in this American Athletic Conference game displays Temple's huge advantage. Connecticut is having serious trouble moving the football. The Huskies are averaging only 16.0 points and 253.3 total yards per game including an average of just 64.3 yards per game on the ground. Defensively, the Owls are holding opponents to an average of 12.7 points and 296.0 yards per game (107.0 through the air). Talk about a major mismatch!
There are technical reasons to like the visitor in the AAC war too. UConn is a weak 14-27 SU and 13-22-3 ATS in its last 41 games including a woeful 2-15 SU and 4-12-1 ATS in this set tackling a foe that hits the field off a straight up win. On the flip side, Temple has been a solid investment on foreign soil posting a respectable 30-16 ATS record in its last 46 lined road games. In this role playing without rest and knocking helmets with a foe that arrives off a straight up loss, the Owls are definitely worth a hoot notching a nearly perfect 12-1 ATS record.
The Owls picked up the largest win in school history with their 59-0 whitewash of Delaware State last Saturday. With momentum on their side and revenge motivation present, Coach Rhule's troops will ring up another impressive victory. Take Temple. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Steve Janus
North Carolina vs. Clemson
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick ---North Carolina Tar Heels +15.5---
I believe there's been a huge over reaction to North Carolina's ugly loss last week to East Carolina, creating exceptional value here on the Tar Heels as a 15.5-point underdog. There's no doubt Clemson is the better team, but the Tigers are going to find it difficult to play up to their potential after laying it all on the line last week against their hated ACC rivals Florida State.
While Clemson is in for a major letdown, we should get one of North Carolina's best efforts of the entire season after their performance last week against the Pirates. This is a talented Tar Heels team. One that many experts picked to win the ACC Coastal.
Those that think the Tigers are going to walk in here and just annihilate North Carolina, may want to take a look back to last year and what transpired the following game after Clemson played Florida State. The Tigers took on a Maryland team that was missing several key players and wound up winning by a final of just 40-27 as a 17-point favorite. That Terrapins team was in such bad shape that had these two teams played any other week I think Clemson would have won by 30-points. Keep in mind that the previous week Maryland had lost 10-34 at Wake Forest as a 4-point favorite, providing us with almost an identical scenario here with North Carolina.
One thing North Carolina has been able to do is bounce back from a loss. The Tar Heels are 7-2 ATS following defeat and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after a SU loss by more than 20 points. This is such a difficult spot for Clemson that I don't think it's out of the question that North Carolina could win this game outright.
Key System - Teams who are averaging 4.8 to 5.6 yards/play after allowing 525 or more total yards in each of their last 2 games against an opponent who is only giving up 4.2 to 4.8 yards/play are 23-4 (85%) ATS since 1992. BET NORTH CAROLINA +14.5!
North Carolina vs. Clemson
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick ---North Carolina Tar Heels +15.5---
I believe there's been a huge over reaction to North Carolina's ugly loss last week to East Carolina, creating exceptional value here on the Tar Heels as a 15.5-point underdog. There's no doubt Clemson is the better team, but the Tigers are going to find it difficult to play up to their potential after laying it all on the line last week against their hated ACC rivals Florida State.
While Clemson is in for a major letdown, we should get one of North Carolina's best efforts of the entire season after their performance last week against the Pirates. This is a talented Tar Heels team. One that many experts picked to win the ACC Coastal.
Those that think the Tigers are going to walk in here and just annihilate North Carolina, may want to take a look back to last year and what transpired the following game after Clemson played Florida State. The Tigers took on a Maryland team that was missing several key players and wound up winning by a final of just 40-27 as a 17-point favorite. That Terrapins team was in such bad shape that had these two teams played any other week I think Clemson would have won by 30-points. Keep in mind that the previous week Maryland had lost 10-34 at Wake Forest as a 4-point favorite, providing us with almost an identical scenario here with North Carolina.
One thing North Carolina has been able to do is bounce back from a loss. The Tar Heels are 7-2 ATS following defeat and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after a SU loss by more than 20 points. This is such a difficult spot for Clemson that I don't think it's out of the question that North Carolina could win this game outright.
Key System - Teams who are averaging 4.8 to 5.6 yards/play after allowing 525 or more total yards in each of their last 2 games against an opponent who is only giving up 4.2 to 4.8 yards/play are 23-4 (85%) ATS since 1992. BET NORTH CAROLINA +14.5!
Tony George
Illinois vs. Nebraska
NCAA Bonus Play Illinois +21.5
This game here is a lesson and scenario in scheduling spots. If you take the NCAA games this time of year and the lines presented to you at face value and do not look at the schedule of the team you want to play, especially a favorite of 7 or more points, then you will lose more than you win. This game here is a perfect example of that, so I will make it a Bonus Play and explain the situation.
Nebraska is clearly the better team, no doubt a Top 15 team in the nation. The Husker run game and depth at RB is 1 and 2 with Georgia’s as the best and most depth filled RB unit in college football. The Huskers are undefeated and they are playing a night game in Lincoln in front of another rabid sellout crowd. LOOK DEEPER – The Huskers are off a monster win last week against hated Miami, a game I was personally at. A record crowd in Lincoln, lots of celebration before and after the game and a physical hard fought 4 quarter battle with tons of emotion. Now 3-1 Illinois comes to town as a 20+ point dog in what should be an easy win. WAIT A MINUTE!
Nebraska has their biggest game of the season and perhaps the entire year next week at East Lansing against Michigan State! That game is likely for the division title to go play in the Big 10 title game, although Wisconsin may have something to say about that, this surely gives one team a HUGE leg up in the division title. So Huskers off a bio emotional win, and have a monster game on deck and laying 20+ to an also ran. SANDWICH GAME – DANGEROUS SPOT TO LAY A HUGE NUMBER!
Illinois has Wes Lundt at QB, and Okie State transfer that has a very good arm, and good throwing QB’s give the Huskers fits. The frosh at Miami last week was quite successful against the Huskers, and Lundt is 3 times better than him, and I do expect Illinois to score plenty through the air. Nebraska will keep it vanilla, try not to get any key players hurt and do enough to win but rest starters in prep for next week, especially all world RB Abdullah. With Illinois’s ability to put up yards in the passing game that has backdoor cover written all over it, and again, QB Lundt for Illinois is no joke and has had tons of stats in the fourth quarter this year that are impressive.
Classic Sandwich scheduling Spot – get over 3 TDS off the fall number of 21 too!
Illinois vs. Nebraska
NCAA Bonus Play Illinois +21.5
This game here is a lesson and scenario in scheduling spots. If you take the NCAA games this time of year and the lines presented to you at face value and do not look at the schedule of the team you want to play, especially a favorite of 7 or more points, then you will lose more than you win. This game here is a perfect example of that, so I will make it a Bonus Play and explain the situation.
Nebraska is clearly the better team, no doubt a Top 15 team in the nation. The Husker run game and depth at RB is 1 and 2 with Georgia’s as the best and most depth filled RB unit in college football. The Huskers are undefeated and they are playing a night game in Lincoln in front of another rabid sellout crowd. LOOK DEEPER – The Huskers are off a monster win last week against hated Miami, a game I was personally at. A record crowd in Lincoln, lots of celebration before and after the game and a physical hard fought 4 quarter battle with tons of emotion. Now 3-1 Illinois comes to town as a 20+ point dog in what should be an easy win. WAIT A MINUTE!
Nebraska has their biggest game of the season and perhaps the entire year next week at East Lansing against Michigan State! That game is likely for the division title to go play in the Big 10 title game, although Wisconsin may have something to say about that, this surely gives one team a HUGE leg up in the division title. So Huskers off a bio emotional win, and have a monster game on deck and laying 20+ to an also ran. SANDWICH GAME – DANGEROUS SPOT TO LAY A HUGE NUMBER!
Illinois has Wes Lundt at QB, and Okie State transfer that has a very good arm, and good throwing QB’s give the Huskers fits. The frosh at Miami last week was quite successful against the Huskers, and Lundt is 3 times better than him, and I do expect Illinois to score plenty through the air. Nebraska will keep it vanilla, try not to get any key players hurt and do enough to win but rest starters in prep for next week, especially all world RB Abdullah. With Illinois’s ability to put up yards in the passing game that has backdoor cover written all over it, and again, QB Lundt for Illinois is no joke and has had tons of stats in the fourth quarter this year that are impressive.
Classic Sandwich scheduling Spot – get over 3 TDS off the fall number of 21 too!
Tony Karpinski
South Florida vs. Wisconsin
Bonus Play Wisconsin
South Florida has gotten some wins against much inferior schools. Beating Western Carolina isn't going to be an acre within to playing a team like Wisconsin. They have no QB play, which only puts up 141 in the air a game. Wisconsin only has to load up the box to keep RB Marlon Mack in check for South Florida, as he is their only legit weapon. The Badgers ground game is dominant, and has shown that this season putting up almost 8/ carry. They should force some turnovers, against a team that turns it over a lot. Wisconsin is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home and i look for Wisky to roll and win by 44 here with the early kickoff on Saturday.
South Florida vs. Wisconsin
Bonus Play Wisconsin
South Florida has gotten some wins against much inferior schools. Beating Western Carolina isn't going to be an acre within to playing a team like Wisconsin. They have no QB play, which only puts up 141 in the air a game. Wisconsin only has to load up the box to keep RB Marlon Mack in check for South Florida, as he is their only legit weapon. The Badgers ground game is dominant, and has shown that this season putting up almost 8/ carry. They should force some turnovers, against a team that turns it over a lot. Wisconsin is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home and i look for Wisky to roll and win by 44 here with the early kickoff on Saturday.
Joseph D'Amico
Duke vs. Miami (Fla)
Bonus Play Duke (Game 179)
Duke has won their L12 regular season games, including a 48-30 victory last November over Miami. The Blue Devils are holding opponents to a mere 11.5 PPG while posting an average of 43.5 PPG. Miami played two quality squads and got thumped by both. Frosh QB, Brad Kaaya has 10 TD's but his 7 INT's show his immaturity. Duke's play-caller, Senior, Anthony Boone is far superior with 876 YP and a 7/1 TC/INT ratio. RB, Shaun Wilson (404 YR, 4 TD's, with a 14.4 YPC average) is a monster. This 1-2 punch will be enough to keep the Hurricane "O" on the sidelines. The 'Canes are 1-4 ATS their L5 games played at home, 1-7 ATS their L8 Conference games, and 2-10 ATS their L12 overall. The Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS their L8 road games, 7-1 ATS their L8 Conference games, and 10-2-1 ATS their L13 overall. Take Duke. Thank you.
Duke vs. Miami (Fla)
Bonus Play Duke (Game 179)
Duke has won their L12 regular season games, including a 48-30 victory last November over Miami. The Blue Devils are holding opponents to a mere 11.5 PPG while posting an average of 43.5 PPG. Miami played two quality squads and got thumped by both. Frosh QB, Brad Kaaya has 10 TD's but his 7 INT's show his immaturity. Duke's play-caller, Senior, Anthony Boone is far superior with 876 YP and a 7/1 TC/INT ratio. RB, Shaun Wilson (404 YR, 4 TD's, with a 14.4 YPC average) is a monster. This 1-2 punch will be enough to keep the Hurricane "O" on the sidelines. The 'Canes are 1-4 ATS their L5 games played at home, 1-7 ATS their L8 Conference games, and 2-10 ATS their L12 overall. The Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS their L8 road games, 7-1 ATS their L8 Conference games, and 10-2-1 ATS their L13 overall. Take Duke. Thank you.
Joe Gavazzi
Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky
Bonus Play Kentucky (-17) Noon ET SECTV
Vandy finally got their first cover of the year, losing to S. Carolina (48-34) as 21 point home dog. That makes them 1-3 SU ATS, failing by a net 72 points to the line. With only 10 RS and a revamped coaching staff, it is doubtful the Coms stay competitive against a quickly improving Kentucky contingent. Wildcats are off to a promising 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS start, in which they have covered by 42 points. That includes a 36-30 triple OT loss at Florida, in which they were most competitive. The Wildcats, however, have had an extra week to prepare themselves emotionally for this contest. Kentucky QB Towles is the real deal at 305 PYPG. Look for him to dissect a Vandy secondary that is allowing 267/7.5 through the airways. With an offense averaging less than 20 PPG and only 284 YPG, it is unlikely that Vandy can answer.
Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky
Bonus Play Kentucky (-17) Noon ET SECTV
Vandy finally got their first cover of the year, losing to S. Carolina (48-34) as 21 point home dog. That makes them 1-3 SU ATS, failing by a net 72 points to the line. With only 10 RS and a revamped coaching staff, it is doubtful the Coms stay competitive against a quickly improving Kentucky contingent. Wildcats are off to a promising 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS start, in which they have covered by 42 points. That includes a 36-30 triple OT loss at Florida, in which they were most competitive. The Wildcats, however, have had an extra week to prepare themselves emotionally for this contest. Kentucky QB Towles is the real deal at 305 PYPG. Look for him to dissect a Vandy secondary that is allowing 267/7.5 through the airways. With an offense averaging less than 20 PPG and only 284 YPG, it is unlikely that Vandy can answer.
